Alert archive / Oregon / High Wind Warnings in 2015
High Wind Warning 5, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this high wind warning at Mar 14, 2015, 2:28 PM PDT for 7 counties in Oregon. It took effect at Mar 15, 2015, 5:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 14 hr. 35 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 14, 2015, 2:28 PM PDT (21:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 15, 2015, 5:00 AM PDT
- Expired
- Mar 15, 2015, 7:04 PM PDT
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 6:55 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.59 | 6 S Bandon, OR | COCORAHS STATION BANDON 6.2 S /OR-CS-10/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 6:56 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.88 | 1 N Langlois, OR | COCORAHS STATION BANDON 11.4 S /OR-CY-3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 7:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 0.74 | 2 N Provolt, OR | HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 6 MILES EAST OF MURPHY. |
| Mar 15, 7:03 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.9 | 2 Ese Coos Bay, OR | COCORAHS STATION COOS BAY 2.1 ESE /OR-CS-3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 7:03 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.92 | 2 Nne Bandon, OR | COCORAHS STATION BANDON 1.5 NNE /OR-CS-8/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 7:09 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.91 | 5 E Port Orford, OR | COCORAHS STATION PORT ORFORD 5.0 E /OR-CY-4/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 7:21 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.86 | 2 Wnw Coos Bay, OR | COCORAHS STATION COOS BAY 1.7 WNW /OR-CS-14/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 7:30 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.49 | 1 Wnw Coquille, OR | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION COQUILLE CITY /COQO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 8:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.93 | 5 E Port Orford, OR | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION PORT ORFORD 5 E /PTOO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 8:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.35 | 5 Nne North Bend, OR | HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 6 MI N OF NORTH BEND. |
| Mar 15, 8:59 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.91 | 1 Se Coos Bay, OR | COCORAHS STATION COOS BAY 0.5 SE /OR-CS-22/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 9:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1 | 4 Ssw Sunny Valley, OR | HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 10 MI N OF GP AT BOTTOM OF SEXTON MT. |
| Mar 15, 9:49 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.13 | 1 Sw Reedsport, OR | COCORAHS STATION REEDSPORT 0.8 SW /OR-DG-44/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1 | 17 Nne Bly, OR | MESONET STATION CRAZYMAN FLAT /CZFO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1 | 4 Sse Toketee Falls, OR | MESONET STATION TOKETEE AIRSTRIP /TOKO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1 | 6 Sse Azalea, OR | MESONET STATION KING MOUNTAIN /KIMO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1 | 7 Ese Modoc Point, OR | MESONET STATION SWAN LAKE MTN /SWNO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.1 | 3 Sw Crater Lake, OR | MESONET STATION ANNIE SPRINGS /ANSO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.2 | 10 Ssw Williams, OR | MESONET STATION BIGELOW CAMP /BGCO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.2 | 13 N Howard Prairie, OR | MESONET STATION FISH LK. /FISO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.2 | 14 S Crater Lake, OR | MESONET STATION SEVENMILE MARSH /SVMO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.3 | 16 W Chiloquin, OR | MESONET STATION COLD SPRINGS CAMP /CSCO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:00 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.4 | 21 W Modoc Point, OR | MESONET STATION BILLIE CREEK DIVIDE /BCDO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:01 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.77 | 17 Ne Reedsport, OR | MESONET STATION GOODWIN PEAK RAWS /GPFO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:07 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.14 | 17 W Modoc Point, OR | MESONET STATION SELDOM CREEK RAWS /SDFO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:08 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.51 | 6 W Scottsburg, OR | MESONET STATION CHARLOTTE RIDGE /CHRO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:13 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.03 | 2 Ese Gold Beach, OR | MESONET STATION FLYNN PRAIRIE RAWS /FPRO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:13 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.61 | 7 Wnw Coquille, OR | MESONET STATION SEVEN MILE CREEK /SMCO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:24 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.06 | 7 Nnw Elkton, OR | MESONET STATION DEVILS GRAVEYARD RAWS /DVLO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:39 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.06 | 13 S Powers, OR | MESONET STATION BALD KNOB #2 /BKFO3/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:55 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.04 | 4 Wnw Myrtle Point, OR | MESONET STATION 4 WNW MYRTLE POINT /EW0059/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 10:57 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.08 | 5 Ne Brookings, OR | MESONET STATION 5 NE BROOKINGS /EW4856/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 11:05 AM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.05 | 4 Wnw Myrtle Point, OR | MESONET STATION 4 WNW MYRTLE POINT /EW0059/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Mar 15, 12:00 PM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.5 | Port Orford, OR | HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION RIGHT IN PORT ORFORD. |
| Mar 15, 12:18 PM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.35 | 1 Nnw Lakeside, OR | NOON-NOON |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 42 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1425 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 202 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 337 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
696 WWUS76 KMFR 142128 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 228 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ORZ030-031-150530- /O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-150315T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0005.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKEVIEW...PAISLEY...SUMMER LAKE...ADEL 228 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WITHIN THE ADVISORY AREA. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, REACH A PEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON, THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW...ADEL...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 395, 31, AND 140. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG AREA ROADS COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OR HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ ORZ021-022-150530- /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0005.150315T1800Z-150316T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD 228 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH AT 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. WIND GUSTS AT CAPES AND HEADLANDS COULD REACH UP TO 70 MPH AT TIMES. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON, REACH A PEAK DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, THEN DIMINISH DURING THE LATE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: BANDON...PORT ORFORD...CAPE ARAGO...CAPE BLANCO...OREGON DUNES. * IMPACTS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 101...AND TRAVEL ALONG THE HIGHWAY COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OR HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS WILL BE PARTICULARLY STRONG OVER CAPES AND HEADLANDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029-150530- /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY- KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS 228 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, REACH A PEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON, THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTURAS...CEDAR PASS...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 299 AND 395. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG AREA ROADS COULD BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ081-082-150530- /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T0600Z-150316T0300Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 228 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH AT 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, REACH A PEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON, THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 BETWEEN WEED AND YREKA. * IMPACTS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED. TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 5 COULD BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
4 follow-up statements
002 WWUS76 KMFR 142334 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 434 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 CAZ082-150045- /O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T0600Z-150316T0300Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- 434 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. $$ ORZ030-031-151145- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0005.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKEVIEW 434 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WITHIN THE ADVISORY AREA. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...PEAK IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW...ADEL...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 395...31...AND 140. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG AREA ROADS COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OR HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ ORZ021-022-151145- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0005.150315T1800Z-150316T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD 434 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH AT 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. WIND GUSTS AT CAPES AND HEADLANDS COULD REACH UP TO 70 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...PEAK DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE LATE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: BANDON...PORT ORFORD...CAPE ARAGO...CAPE BLANCO...OREGON DUNES. * IMPACTS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 101...AND TRAVEL ALONG THE HIGHWAY COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OR HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS WILL BE PARTICULARLY STRONG OVER CAPES AND HEADLANDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029-151145- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY- KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS 434 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...PEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTURAS...CEDAR PASS...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 299 AND 395. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG AREA ROADS COULD BECOME DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ081-151145- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T0600Z-150316T0300Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 434 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH AT 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...PEAK IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 BETWEEN WEED AND YREKA. * IMPACTS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED. TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 5 COULD BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ STOCKTON
676 WWUS76 KMFR 150937 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 237 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY... .LOW PRESSURE OFF THE OREGON COAST WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY TODAY AND WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN ALL LOCATIONS...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS AT THE COAST...IN THE SISKIYOU AND CASCADE MOUNTAINS...THE SHASTA VALLEY...AND EAST OF THE CASCADES. ORZ028-152315- /O.EXB.KMFR.HW.W.0005.150315T1800Z-150316T0300Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 237 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY THIS MORNING...PEAK THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: HIGH TERRAIN IN THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES INCLUDING MOUNT ASHLAND. * IMPACTS: DOWNED TREES AND FALLING BRANCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ ORZ021-022-152315- /O.EXT.KMFR.HW.W.0005.150315T1800Z-150316T0300Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD 237 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH AT 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. WIND GUSTS AT CAPES AND HEADLANDS COULD REACH UP TO 75 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING...PEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: BANDON...PORT ORFORD...CAPE ARAGO...CAPE BLANCO...OREGON DUNES. * IMPACTS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 101...AND TRAVEL ALONG THE HIGHWAY COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OR HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ ORZ030-031-152315- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0005.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLY...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 237 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WITHIN THE ADVISORY AREA. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING...PEAK IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW...ADEL...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 395...31...AND 140. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029-152315- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.150315T1200Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY- KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 237 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING...PEAK IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: KLAMATH FALLS...ALTURAS...CEDAR PASS...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 97...299...AND 395. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG AREA ROADS COULD BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ081-152315- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 237 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH AT 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY THIS MORNING...PEAK IN LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 BETWEEN WEED AND YREKA. * IMPACTS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED. TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 5 COULD BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ SK
454 WWUS76 KMFR 152152 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 252 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ORZ021-022-152300- /O.CAN.KMFR.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- 252 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... WINDS ARE DIMINISHING AND ARE NO LONGER CONSIDERED AN IMMEDIATE THREAT. THEREFORE, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. $$ CAZ081-152300- /O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- 252 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. $$ ORZ030-031-160600- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150316T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLY...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 252 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WITHIN THE ADVISORY AREA. * TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK THIS AFTERNOON AND DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SUMMER LAKE...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: LAKEVIEW...ADEL...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 395...31...AND 140. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ ORZ028-160300- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 252 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: HIGH TERRAIN IN THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES INCLUDING MOUNT ASHLAND. * IMPACTS: DOWNED TREES AND FALLING BRANCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029-160600- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY- KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 252 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: KLAMATH FALLS...ALTURAS...CEDAR PASS...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 97...299...AND 395. * IMPACTS: TRAVEL ALONG AREA ROADS COULD BECOME DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
498 WWUS76 KMFR 160204 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 704 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ORZ030-031-160315- /O.CAN.KMFR.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150316T0600Z/ /O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- 704 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ORZ028-160315- /O.CAN.KMFR.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 704 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029-160315- /O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150316T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY- KLAMATH BASIN- 704 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. $$ STOCKTON
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Mar 14, 8:31 AM PDT, 5 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 8:31 AM PDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
831 AM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015
.UPDATE...HAVE MADE A FEW NECESSARY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST
THIS MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE BANDS OF PRECIPITATION CURRENTLY
PUSHING ONSHORE. THIS INCLUDES BUMPING UP PRECIPITATION CHANCES,
AS WELL AS INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE, JUST TO THE PARAMETERS NEEDED TO BRING
THINGS MORE IN LINE WITH CURRENT OBSERVATIONS.
GLANCING OVER THE CHANGES TO THE MODEL SOLUTIONS OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS, IT APPEARS THAT THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN TODAY WILL BE
WINDS AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO. WITH
MODELS TRENDING TOWARDS A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW JUST OFFSHORE OF
THE OREGON COAST, CONDITIONS MAY BE WORSE THAT PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT
ALONG THE COASTLINE AND AT SEA. WILL FOCUS EFFORTS IN THESE AREAS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE CURRENT FORECAST, SEE THE PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION BELOW. -BPN
&&
.AVIATION...FOR THE 14/12Z TAF CYCLE...AN APPROACHING FRONT WILL
BRING THICKENING AND LOWERING CLOUDS THROUGH TODAY...WITH RAIN ALONG
THE COAST AND IN THE CASCADES...SPREADING INTO WEST SIDE VALLEYS AND
TO THE EAST SIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS
ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COAST AND IN THE UMPQUA VALLEY WITH HIGHER
TERRAIN OBSCURED. CIGS/VSBYS WILL REMAIN VFR ELSEWHERE...BUT HIGHER
TERRAIN WILL BE INCREASINGLY OBSCURED. GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE RIDGES...EAST SIDE...SHASTA VALLEY AND POSSIBLY THE ROGUE
VALLEY. -WRIGHT
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 300 AM PDT SATURDAY 14 MAR 2015...SOUTH WINDS
WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. WINDS WILL DIMINISH A BIT THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS
GRADIENTS ALONG THE FRONT TEMPORARILY WEAKEN, BUT ANOTHER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT AND BRING INCREASED WINDS
AND SEAS AGAIN ON SUNDAY. THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE NOW SHOWS A
SUB-1000 MB SURFACE LOW COMING INSIDE 130W ON SUNDAY, WHICH SHOULD
YIELD GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE WATERS. SOME OF THE GUIDANCE STILL
SHOWS A WEAKER LOW, BUT THERE IS NOW ENOUGH AGREEMENT TO ISSUE A
GALE AND HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH FOR SUNDAY. WILL BE ISSUING THAT
WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. THINGS WILL CALM DOWN EARLY TO MID
NEXT WEEK, BUT ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY BRING SMALL CRAFT TO GALE FORCE
WINDS AND VERY STEEP SEAS TO THE AREA LATE NEXT WEEK. -WRIGHT
&&
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015/
DISCUSSION...
A FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE IS REACHING VERY CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA...JUST WEST OF 130W AT THE MOMENT. OVER THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS THE BULK OF THIS MOISTURE...AND ANY SIGNIFICANT
UPPER LEVEL ENERGY...WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. THEREFORE...RAINFALL WILL
BE MOSTLY LIGHT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND FOCUSED AT THE COAST. AN
UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE TONIGHT WILL HELP ENHANCE RAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE CASCADES. INTERESTINGLY...BY THE
TIME A STRONG SHORTWAVE CAN PUSH THE FRONT INLAND THAT THE MOISTURE
IS RIDING ALONG...THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL BE WELL TO THE
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...SO ONLY MODERATE RAINFALL TOTALS ARE
EXPECTED BY THE TIME PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF SUNDAY NIGHT.
SO...DESPITE THERE BEING IVT VALUES OF 600-800 KG/M/S NEARBY...AN
INDICATOR OF A VERY WET SURGE OF MOISTURE...THE FORECAST AREA WILL
MOSTLY SEE A MUCH DRIER FRONTAL SYSTEM ACTUALLY PASS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN AND
UPPER WINDS FOR TODAY. 10000 FOOT WINDS OF 40-50KT SUGGEST WIND
ADVISORY CONDITIONS NEAR THE SUMMER LAKE AREA EAST OF THE
CASCADES...AND WE HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY AT NPWMFR TO COVER
THIS HAZARD. WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE SHASTA VALLEY AND PERHAPS
THE ROGUE VALLEY TOO...BUT SHOULD JUST BE GUSTY AND NOT MEET
ADVISORY CRITERIA.
MODELS HAVE STRUGGLED TO RESOLVE THE SPECIFICS OF A SECOND LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY ALONG THE COAST...AND MOVES
NORTHWARD. SOME MODELS LIKE THE MOST RECENT ECMWF HAVE SUGGESTED A
WEAK LOW...BASICALLY A WAVE ALONG THE FRONT...MOVING QUICKLY TO THE
NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. OTHERS...LIKE THE MOST RECENT GFS AND
NAM...SHOW A DEEPENING LOW CENTER SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING
SOUTHERLY GALES TO THE WATERS AND POTENTIALLY HIGH WINDS EAST OF THE
CASCADES AND IN THE SHASTA VALLEY. FUTURE SHIFTS MAY NEED TO BUMP UP
WINDS IN THESE AREAS AND ISSUE SOME WIND HAZARD PRODUCTS IF THE
MODELS COME INTO EVEN BETTER AGREEMENT...WHICH THEY SEEM TO BE DOING
IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. AS A RESULT OF RECENT MODEL TRENDS...WE HAVE
INCREASED WINDS IN THE FORECAST FOR THESE AREAS.
ONE OTHER NOTE ABOUT THE WEEKEND FORECAST IS SNOW LEVEL.
UNBELIEVABLY...THESE HAVE TRENDED EVEN HIGHER PER RECENT MODEL
RUNS...AND NOW SNOW LEVELS SHOULD BE 7000-8500 FEET FOR THE BULK OF
THE PRECIPITATION.
DRYING AND WARMING IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE EXITS THE
REGION...AND AGAIN...GIVING RECENT MODEL TRENDS...WE'RE EXPECTING
LESS AND LESS RAIN ON MONDAY. WEAK TROUGHING MAINTAINS A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS ON TUESDAY...AND GFS 850MB COMPUTED LI VALUES NEAR ZERO WITH
WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS IS THE FIRST RUN WITH LI VALUES THAT LOW SO HAVE
NOT ADDED THEM TO THE FORECAST YET...BUT SOMETHING TO WATCH. DRYING
AND RIDGING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
ORZ030-031-624-625.
CA...NONE.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
PZZ350-356-370-376.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
PZZ350-356-370-376.
HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR PZZ370.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR PZZ370.
BPN/NSK/TRWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2:43 AM PDT | Wind Advisory | MFR | Klamath, Lake | 12 hr |
| Mar 14, 4:39 AM PDT | Gale Watch | MFR | 11 hr | |
| Mar 14, 4:39 AM PDT | Hazardous Seas Watch | MFR | 11 hr | |
| Mar 14, 2:28 PM PDT | Wind Advisory | MFR | Klamath, Lake | 29 hr |
| Mar 14, 4:06 PM PDT | Gale Warning | MFR | 25 hr | |
| Mar 14, 4:06 PM PDT | Hazardous Seas Warning | MFR | 28 hr | |
| Mar 14, 4:06 PM PDT | Small Craft Advisory for Winds | MFR | 25 hr | |
| Mar 14, 4:06 PM PDT | Small Craft Advisory for Hazardous Seas | MFR | 11 hr | |
| Mar 14, 4:06 PM PDT | Small Craft Advisory for Hazardous Seas | MFR | 10 hr |
Nearby
High Wind Warnings in Oregon, 2015Every high wind warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.