High Wind Warning 1, NWS Medford, OR

534 
WWUS76 KMFR 151552
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
752 AM PST THU JAN 15 2015

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED LATE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.AN INCOMING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL INCREASE WINDS AHEAD OF IT AS IT
MOVES THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

ORZ021-022-160000-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0001.150116T0200Z-150116T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.HW.W.0001.150116T0200Z-150116T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH
752 AM PST THU JAN 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM PST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM PST
FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
  60 MPH.

* TIMING: EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH.

* IMPACTS: HIGH WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADWAYS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 101. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE 
  LOOSE OBJECTS AND USE CAUTION WHEN VENTURING OUTDOORS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

ORZ030-031-160000-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.150116T0400Z-150116T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0001.150116T0400Z-150116T1800Z/
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
752 AM PST THU JAN 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM PST FRIDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM PST FRIDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM PST FRIDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM
THIS EVENING TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH. GUSTS 
  IN THE WARNING AREA COULD PEAK AT 70 MPH. 

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* WARNING LOCATIONS INCLUDE: AREAS IN AND AROUND SUMMER LAKE... 
  INCLUDING PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 31 FROM NORTH OF PAISLEY TO 
  SUMMER LAKE.

* ADVISORY LOCATIONS INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 SOUTH OF SUMMER LAKE...
   NEAR PAISLEY.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ081-160000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0001.150116T0000Z-150116T1800Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
752 AM PST THU JAN 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM PST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM PST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING: LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED AND GAZELLE.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT INTERSTATE 5 AND HIGHWAY 97 
  NEAR WEED AND GAZELLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN 
  THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED. GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE 
  DRIVING MORE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE 
  VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

BTL/MND

855 
WWUS76 KMFR 152224
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
224 PM PST THU JAN 15 2015

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED LATE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.AN INCOMING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL INCREASE WINDS AHEAD OF IT AS IT
MOVES THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

ORZ030-031-161500-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.150116T0400Z-150116T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0001.150116T0400Z-150116T1800Z/
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
224 PM PST THU JAN 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM PST FRIDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM PST FRIDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM PST FRIDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM
THIS EVENING TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH. GUSTS 
  IN THE WARNING AREA COULD PEAK AT 70 MPH. 

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* WARNING LOCATIONS INCLUDE: AREAS IN AND AROUND SUMMER LAKE... 
  INCLUDING PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 31 FROM NORTH OF PAISLEY TO 
  SUMMER LAKE.

* ADVISORY LOCATIONS INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 SOUTH OF SUMMER LAKE...
  NEAR PAISLEY.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-160900-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.150116T0200Z-150116T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH
224 PM PST THU JAN 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 AM PST FRIDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 AM PST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  60 MPH. 

* TIMING: EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH.

* IMPACTS: HIGH WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADWAYS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 101. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE 
  LOOSE OBJECTS AND USE CAUTION WHEN VENTURING OUTDOORS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

CAZ081-161500-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0001.150116T0000Z-150116T1800Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
224 PM PST THU JAN 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING: LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED AND GAZELLE.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT INTERSTATE 5 AND HIGHWAY 97 
  NEAR WEED AND GAZELLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN 
  THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED. GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE 
  DRIVING MORE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE 
  VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

816 
WWUS76 KMFR 160855
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1255 AM PST FRI JAN 16 2015

...GUSTY WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.A FRONT NOW MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA IS BRINGING STRONG WINDS TO SOME AREAS. 

ORZ021-022-161000-
/O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150116T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH
1255 AM PST FRI JAN 16 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING.

$$

ORZ030-031-161800-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150116T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150116T1800Z/
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
1255 AM PST FRI JAN 16 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
   MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH GUSTING TO 50 TO 60 MPH. GUSTS IN
  THE WARNING AREA COULD PEAK AT 70 MPH.

* TIMING: THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* WARNING LOCATIONS INCLUDE: AREAS IN AND AROUND SUMMER LAKE... 
  INCLUDING PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 31 FROM NORTH OF PAISLEY TO 
  SUMMER LAKE.

* ADVISORY LOCATIONS INCLUDE: HIGHWAY 31 SOUTH OF SUMMER LAKE...
   NEAR PAISLEY. 

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ081-161800-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150116T1800Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
1255 AM PST FRI JAN 16 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 45 TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING: THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT INTERSTATE 5 AND HIGHWAY 97 
  NEAR WEED AND GAZELLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN 
  THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED. GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE 
  DRIVING MORE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE 
  VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

STOCKTON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
905 PM PST WED JAN 14 2015

.DISCUSSION...MADE AN UPDATE THIS EVENING TO INCREASE POPS FOR
THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA
AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OFFSHORE MOVES THROUGH. LATEST HIGH
RESOLUTION NEAR-TERM GUIDANCE (HRRR AND RAP) SHOW AN AREA OF
LIGHT RAIN BREAKING OUT ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST THEN SPREADING
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE UMPQUA VALLEY AND INTO THE CASCADES
THURSDAY MORNING. NOT THINKING TOO MUCH HERE IN THE ROGUE VALLEY,
BUT WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED TO SEE A LITTLE LIGHT RAIN HERE EITHER.
A GRADUALLY LOWERING MID-LEVEL CLOUD DECK ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
INCOMING FEATURE SHOULD PRECLUDE FOG DEVELOPMENT IN MOST AREAS
OVERNIGHT, BUT LOW CLOUDS STILL MAY AFFECT A FEW OF THE DEEPER
VALLEYS WHERE THEY DIDN'T QUITE BREAK TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY WILL BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AREA WIDE. FOR
MEDFORD, FRIDAY'S NORMAL HIGH IS 47 DEGREES. SPILDE

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 15/00Z TAF CYCLE...HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED AT
COAST AND UMPQUA BASIN TONIGHT AHEAD OF A WEAKENING COLD FRONT.
CIGS WILL LOWER LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO LOWER THROUGHOUT THE
DAY THURSDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES IN. VFR EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR
IN UMPQUA BASIN AND ALONG COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATION LIKELY. VFR WILL PERSIST IN WEST SIDE VALLEYS AND EAST
SIDE, WITH POSSIBLE OBSCURATION OF CASCADES. -MSC

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED AT 400 PM, WEDNESDAY JANUARY 14, 2015...LIGHT
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING
THIS EVENING AS A WEAK LOW MOVES INTO THE WATERS. MODERATE SWELL
WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS WITH AREAS OF STEEP SEAS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP TONIGHT, MAINLY FOR THE WATERS BEYOND 10 NM OFFSHORE.  THEN
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER
ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG FRONT WITH GALE WINDS AND VERY STEEP
10 TO 14 FT SEAS POSSIBLE FROM CAPE BLANCO NORTH. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WINDS AND STEEP TO VERY STEEP SEAS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF
CAPE BLANCO.  ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
WATERS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY BRINGING ADDITIONAL RAIN, GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS AND STEEP SEAS. -MSC

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 427 PM PST WED JAN 14 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
REMAINING AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IN THE ILLINOIS VALLEY,
GRANTS PASS, AND SHASTA VALLEY AREAS HAVE JUST ABOUT DISSIPATED
AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE, AN
INTERESTING UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH, EVIDENT AS A SPINNING
AREA OF CLOUDINESS WEST OF THE OREGON AND CALIFORNIA COAST, IS
MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. THIS UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ACTUALLY HAS A COLD POOL WITH IT THAT WILL DEEPEN SLIGHTLY AS IT
MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS
MIGHT BE ENOUGH TO RESULT IN A LITTLE LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE
ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST, IN THE UMPQUA BASIN, AND SNOW FLURRIES
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THE CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE
IS EXPECTED TO PREVENT SUFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING FOR FOG
FORMATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT TWO FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT ACROSS THE SHASTA VALLEY, THE EAST SIDE, AND, TO A
LESSER DEGREE, IN THE ASHLAND AREA DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. WIND
ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SUMMER LAKE AREA AND THE
SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED, AND IT WILL BE WINDY ACROSS THE PEAKS AND
RIDGES LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

AS THIS FIRST FRONTAL SYSTEM ARRIVES, IT WILL HAVE A SUBSTANTIAL
MOISTURE PLUME TO WORK WITH, AS HAS BEEN INDICATED BY INTEGRATED
WATER VAPOR TRANSPORT GUIDANCE. WE EXPECT THE BULK OF THIS
MOISTURE TO PRECIPITATE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. AMOUNTS THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1" TO 1.5" ACROSS COOS COUNTY,
1.5" TO 3.5" ACROSS CURRY COUNTY, .50" TO 1" ACROSS THE OREGON
CASCADES, SISKIYOUS, AND MARBLE MOUNTAINS AND UMPQUA BASIN, AND
25" TO 1" FOR THE INLAND VALLEYS WEST OF THERE.

SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS INITIAL FRONTAL SYSTEM DO NOT RISE AS MUCH
AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED DUE TO A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD TRAJECTORY AND
ORIENTATION OF THE WEATHER SYSTEM AND IT'S ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH. THIS MAY RESULT IN 2 INCHES OR LESS OF SNOWFALL ACROSS THE
EAST SIDE AT SOME LOCATIONS BETWEEN 4500 AND 6000 FEET BEFORE SNOW
CHANGES OVER TO RAIN. FROM THE CASCADES WESTWARD ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE MOSTLY BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000 FEET WITH GENERALLY 6 INCHES
OR LESS EXPECTED.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY'S FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SEND A SURGE
OF WARMER AIR ACROSS THE AREA, WITH SNOW LEVELS RISING TO AROUND
8KFT. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT UNTIL LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. -BTL

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MODEL CONSISTENCY REMAINS
PRETTY GOOD IN THE EXTENDED AND, AS A RESULT, FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS MODERATE TO HIGH. THE FINAL PUSH OF MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA
OCCURS SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH. THE FRONT
GRADUALLY DISSIPATES OVER US SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
RAINFALL DOESN'T LOOK ESPECIALLY HEAVY ON SUNDAY, BUT USUALLY WHEN
FRONTS DISSIPATE OVER US, THE SOUTH COAST AND ADJACENT MOUNTAINS
CAN PICK UP A LOT OF RAIN. IN OTHER WORDS, PLACES LIKE BROOKINGS
AND THE KALMIOPSIS WILL PROBABLY GET MORE RAIN THAN ONE MIGHT
OTHERWISE THINK LOOKING AT DETERMINISTIC MODELS. PRECIPITATION
WILL END ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE WEST-NORTHWEST
AND DRIER AIR ARRIVES BEHIND THE FRONT. I LOWERED POPS FOR MONDAY,
BUT I COULD SEE THEM BEING REMOVED ALTOGETHER IF THE DRYING TREND
IN THE MODELS CONTINUES.

AN UPPER RIDGE BEGINS BUILDING ALONG 130W ON TUESDAY AND THEN MOVES
OVER US ON WEDNESDAY. WE WILL HAVE RECEIVED PRETTY GOOD MOISTURE
PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THIS RIDGE, SO RESULTING TEMPERATURE
INVERSIONS, WHILE NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG, SHOULD TRAP MOISTURE AND
LEAD TO NOCTURNAL FOG ISSUES IN THE VALLEYS AGAIN. POPS HAVE BEEN
REMOVED FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND VALLEY FOG/LOW CLOUD HAS BEEN
INTRODUCED, AT LEAST ON THE WEST SIDE. -WRIGHT

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR
     ORZ030-031-624-625.

CA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR
     CAZ081-281.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 AM
	 THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.

     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.

     GALE WARNING FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 10 AM PST THURSDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.

MAS/BTL/TRW/MSC