Red Flag Warning 6, NWS North Platte, NE

Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garden County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Wheeler County, NE

767 
WWUS83 KLBF 201701
RFWLBF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1201 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA...

.VERY WARM TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 70S WILL COMBINE WITH DRY
AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

NEZ204-206-208>210-219-210100-
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0006.150320T1800Z-150321T0100Z/
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/
SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST-
NIOBRARA VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR-LOUP RIVERS BASIN-
FRENCHMAN BASIN-LOESS PLAINS-
1201 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015 /1101 AM MDT FRI MAR 20 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NIOBRARA AND
LOUP RIVER BASIN...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 204 EASTERN 
  PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 206 
  SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/ SAMUEL R 
  MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 208 NIOBRARA 
  VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 209 LOUP RIVERS 
  BASIN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 210 FRENCHMAN BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 219 LOESS PLAINS.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 13 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY RANGE FIRE START MAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BURN 
  OUT OF CONTROL AND EXHIBIT EXTREME BURNING BEHAVIOR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LBF

110 
WWUS83 KLBF 202056
RFWLBF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
356 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA...

.VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL COMBINE WITH DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING. 

NEZ204-206-210-219-211100-
/O.NEW.KLBF.FW.A.0004.150321T1800Z-150322T0100Z/
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150321T0100Z/
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/
SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST-FRENCHMAN BASIN-LOESS PLAINS-
356 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015 /256 PM MDT FRI MAR 20 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NIOBRARA AND
LOUP RIVER BASIN...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONE 219...210...206...AND 204...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 204 EASTERN 
  PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 206 
  SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/ SAMUEL R 
  MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 210 FRENCHMAN 
  BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 219 LOESS PLAINS.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 70S.

* IMPACTS...ANY RANGE FIRE START MAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BURN 
  OUT OF CONTROL AND EXHIBIT EXTREME BURNING BEHAVIOR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NEZ208-209-210100-
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150321T0100Z/
NIOBRARA VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR-LOUP RIVERS BASIN-
356 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015 /256 PM MDT FRI MAR 20 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NIOBRARA AND
LOUP RIVER BASIN...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 208 NIOBRARA 
  VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 209 LOUP RIVERS 
  BASIN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY RANGE FIRE START MAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BURN 
  OUT OF CONTROL AND EXHIBIT EXTREME BURNING BEHAVIOR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LBF

922 
WWUS83 KLBF 210056 AAA
RFWLBF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
756 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR PARTS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA...

.WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED REDUCING THE RISK OF UNCONTROLLABLE FIRE
BEHAVIOR. THE RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S SATURDAY WILL COMBINE WITH DRY AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE DANGER IN SOME AREAS.

NEZ204-206-210-219-211500-
/O.CAN.KLBF.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150321T0100Z/
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.A.0004.150321T1800Z-150322T0100Z/
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/
SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST-FRENCHMAN BASIN-LOESS PLAINS-
756 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015 /656 PM MDT FRI MAR 20 2015/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 219...210...206...AND 204...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR NIOBRARA AND LOUP RIVER BASIN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS CANCELLED THE
RED FLAG WARNING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 204 EASTERN 
  PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 206 
  SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/ SAMUEL R 
  MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 210 FRENCHMAN 
  BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 219 LOESS PLAINS.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 70S.

* IMPACTS...ANY RANGE FIRE START MAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BURN 
  OUT OF CONTROL AND EXHIBIT EXTREME BURNING BEHAVIOR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NEZ208-209-210200-
/O.CAN.KLBF.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150321T0100Z/
NIOBRARA VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR-LOUP RIVERS BASIN-
756 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015 /656 PM MDT FRI MAR 20 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR NIOBRARA AND LOUP RIVER BASIN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS CANCELLED THE
RED FLAG WARNING.

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED REDUCING THE RISK OF UNCONTROLLABLE FIRE
BEHAVIOR. THE RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
352 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 351 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015

CUTOFF LOW OVER THE BAJA...RIDGING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND
THE SOUTHEAST CONUS WITH AN UPPER HIGH OVER CUBA. TROUGH FROM
HUDSON BAY LOW INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 351 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015

MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT IN NEAR TERM. HAVE GOOD CONFIDENCE IN
THE FORECAST. MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
WESTERN NEBRASKA TODAY...SEE DISCUSSION BELOW. SPLIT FLOW REGIME
ALOFT WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES FULL SUN AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST FLOW. HAVE UPPED TEMPERATURES
BY 3 TO 4 DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE WITH STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW. LOWERED DEWPOINTS INTO THE TEENS OVER MUCH OF THE SANDHILLS
AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA FOLLOWING RUC FORECAST. DEWPOINTS OVER THE
PANHANDLE IN THE TEENS EARLY THIS MORNING. UNDER CLEAR SKIES
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 30S OVER NIGHT WITH SOME LOWER
READINGS ALONG RIVER VALLEYS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 351 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015

ACTIVE PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD. MAIN FOCUS WILL BE ON
AND OFF FIRE CONCERNS AND MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH A FEW SHOTS AT
RAINFALL/THUNDER...YES PRECIP...NEXT WEEK...ALBEIT NOT GREAT
SHOTS.

SATURDAY A STALLING COOL FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH BACK TO THE
NORTHEAST AS A WARM FRONT. QUESTION IS HOW FAR IT MAKES IT INTO N
CENTRAL NEB AS TO TEMPS THERE. TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
FRONT...850 MB TEMPS SOAR BACK TO 14C TO 18C. GUIDANCE RETURNS
TEMPS INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER
EXPECTED...HAVE SIDED WITH THE WARMER VALUES. TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE FRONT...STILL MILD AIR FOR FEBRUARY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE FRONT WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT...15 MPH
OR LESS...SO WHILE RH VALUES WILL BE AT OR BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS
NO HEADLINE AT THIS TIME.

SUNDAY A SFC LOW AND TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SE ACROSS THE
AREA. TIMING STILL IN QUESTION WITH THE GFS FASTER...BRINGING
COLD AIR CLOSER TO THE CWA....WHICH MAKES FOR A LOW CONFIDENCE
TEMP FORECAST. MIXING ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD HELP TO PUSH TEMPS
UP SO STILL WENT WITH 60S AND 70S AGAIN. MODELS IN GENERALLY HAVE
INCREASE THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT...WHICH HAS RESULTED IN THE
BETTER MOISTURE/LIFT FOCUSING MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CWA...SO TRIMMED INHERITED POPS.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL PUSH
ACROSS THE PLAINS...HOWEVER MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE
TRACK AND TIMING. THE FIRST WAVE ARRIVES MONDAY MORNING. DRY SLOT
ACROSS SW WITH THE REST OF THE AREA WITH LOW POPS. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL BE INCREASING MOISTURE...HOWEVER WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED MOST OF THE PRECIP IS JUST LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES.
MONDAY NIGHT THE GFS FAVORS AN ELEVATED TROUGH TO LIFT NE ACROSS
THE AREA. A NEG ELEVATED LIFTED INDEX AND MARGINAL MOISTURE COULD
RESULT IN SOME OVERNIGHT THUNDER. LINGERING T CHANCE FOR TUESDAY
AS THE ACTIVITY LIFTS NE OF THE AREA.

WEDNESDAY A STRONGER LOW SLIDES ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL
PLAINS...WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT. SOME ARCTIC AIR FILLS IN
BEHIND THE FRONT AS 850 MB TEMPS FALL BELOW ZERO. LACK OF
MOISTURE IS STILL A CONCERN WITH PASSAGE...HOWEVER THE COOLER
TEMPS COULD RESULT IN RAIN MAYBE MIXING WITH SNOW WED NIGHT IF IT
HAS NOT EXITED YET.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2015

VFR IS EXPECTED ALL AREAS OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

SFC LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SERN ALBERTA WILL CIRCULATE THROUGH THE
DAKOTAS FRIDAY AND BE LOCATED OVER MN BY FRIDAY EVENING. FEW
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WRN AND NCNTL NEBRASKA DURING THIS
TIME.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 351 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2015

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA WHERE MOISTURE
HAS BEEN SPARSE OVER THE LAST MONTH. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TODAY
WITH DEW POINTS FALLING INTO THE TEENS AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES
RISING INTO THE MID 70S THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST ZONES WILL BE
MORE SUSCEPTIBLE WITH STRONGER WIND FORECAST AS COOL FRONT MOVES
SOUTH OUT OF SOUTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING. WINDS SOMEWHAT MARGINAL
OVER THE SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA BUT
HAVE INCLUDED DUE TO LOW RH AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
CDT /7 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR NEZ204-206-208>210-219.

&&

SYNOPSIS...POWER
SHORT TERM...POWER
LONG TERM...MASEK
AVIATION...CDC
FIRE WEATHER...POWER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
332 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2015

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-202045-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
332 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2015 /232 PM MDT THU MAR 19 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SUNSET ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST
UP TO 40 MPH THROUGH THIS TIME. IF ANY FIRES DEVELOP...RAPID
SPREAD IS LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NEAR CRITICAL...TO CRITICAL FIRE DANGER IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON EAST AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CODY...TO SUTHERLAND...TO
MASON CITY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK...
WHICH COULD RESULT IN THE FIRST RUMBLES OF THUNDER FOR THE SPRING.
SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF A LINE FROM VALENTINE
TO NORTH PLATTE MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED.

ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...OR ROUGHLY
EAST OF A LINE FROM AINSWORTH TO BROKEN BOW. ANY THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH DO DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. WEST OF THIS LINE...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL
DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THESE COUPLED WITH VERY DRY
AIR...WILL LEAD TO INCREASED FIRE DANGER.

BEYOND TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

CLB