Tornado Warning 15, NWS Jackson, MS

195 
WWUS54 KJAN 250522
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1222 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARC017-LAC035-123-MSC055-151-250615-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150425T0615Z/
CHICOT AR-WEST CARROLL LA-EAST CARROLL LA-ISSAQUENA MS-WASHINGTON MS-
1222 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
CHICOT COUNTY...CENTRAL WEST CARROLL AND CENTRAL EAST CARROLL
PARISHES...NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...
    
AT 1222 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR OAK GROVE...OR 13 MILES WEST OF LAKE PROVIDENCE...
MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKE PROVIDENCE AND SHELBURN AROUND 1235 AM CDT.
  GRACE AROUND 1255 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
FOREST...KILBOURNE...MAYERSVILLE AND PIONEER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3312 9141 3314 9091 3294 9091 3283 9097
      3268 9097 3268 9154 3274 9152 3298 9142
TIME...MOT...LOC 0522Z 258DEG 47KT 3280 9141 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

CME

280 
WWUS54 KJAN 250529
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1229 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARC017-LAC035-123-MSC055-151-250615-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150425T0615Z/
CHICOT AR-WEST CARROLL LA-EAST CARROLL LA-ISSAQUENA MS-WASHINGTON MS-
1229 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL CHICOT COUNTY...NORTHEASTERN WEST CARROLL AND CENTRAL EAST
CARROLL PARISHES...NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...
    
AT 1229 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE PROVIDENCE...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FITLER AROUND 1240 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
KILBOURNE AND MAYERSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3312 9130 3314 9091 3294 9091 3283 9097
      3268 9097 3269 9141 3298 9133
TIME...MOT...LOC 0529Z 269DEG 57KT 3275 9127 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

CME

262 
WWUS54 KJAN 250535
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1235 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARC017-LAC123-250545-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150425T0615Z/
CHICOT AR-WEST CARROLL LA-
1235 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CHICOT COUNTY IN
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN WEST CARROLL PARISHES IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT 
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3302 9117 3303 9114 3305 9112 3306 9112
      3308 9115 3313 9113 3314 9091 3310 9091
      3310 9092 3294 9091 3292 9092 3283 9097
      3268 9097 3269 9127
TIME...MOT...LOC 0535Z 262DEG 56KT 3276 9116 

$$

LAC035-MSC055-151-250615-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150425T0615Z/
EAST CARROLL LA-ISSAQUENA MS-WASHINGTON MS-
1235 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN EAST CARROLL PARISH...NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA AND
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...
    
AT 1235 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE PROVIDENCE...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FITLER AROUND 1240 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
MAYERSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3302 9117 3303 9114 3305 9112 3306 9112
      3308 9115 3313 9113 3314 9091 3310 9091
      3310 9092 3294 9091 3292 9092 3283 9097
      3268 9097 3269 9127
TIME...MOT...LOC 0535Z 262DEG 56KT 3276 9116 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

CME

360 
WWUS54 KJAN 250546
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1246 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

MSC151-250555-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150425T0615Z/
WASHINGTON MS-
1246 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS. MOVED OUT 
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3300 9106 3301 9092 3300 9092 3294 9091
      3291 9092 3283 9097 3268 9097 3269 9114
TIME...MOT...LOC 0545Z 266DEG 52KT 3274 9100 

$$

LAC035-MSC055-250615-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150425T0615Z/
EAST CARROLL LA-ISSAQUENA MS-
1246 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND
NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTIES...
    
AT 1245 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED OVER FITLER...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF VALLEY PARK...
MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
EAST CENTRAL EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND
NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...MAYERSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 9106 3301 9092 3300 9092 3294 9091
      3291 9092 3283 9097 3268 9097 3269 9114
TIME...MOT...LOC 0545Z 266DEG 52KT 3274 9100 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

CME

345 
WWUS54 KJAN 250600
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
100 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

LAC035-250609-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150425T0615Z/
EAST CARROLL LA-
100 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL EAST CARROLL PARISH IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS. MOVED OUT 
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3268 9103 3273 9102 3276 9097 3268 9097
TIME...MOT...LOC 0559Z 266DEG 48KT 3272 9082 

$$

MSC055-250615-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150425T0615Z/
ISSAQUENA MS-
100 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
ISSAQUENA COUNTY...
    
AT 1259 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR VALLEY PARK...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
CENTRAL ISSAQUENA COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3268 9103 3273 9102 3276 9097 3268 9097
TIME...MOT...LOC 0559Z 266DEG 48KT 3272 9082 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

CME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1021 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

.UPDATE...LATEST HIRES HRRR GUIDANCE SHOWS THE BOWING LINE MOVING
THROUGH THE NW LOUISIANA AND SW ARKANSAS PUSHING INTO MAINLY THE
DELTA REGION LATER TONIGHT THEN DEVELOPING SOUTHEASTWARD. SPC HAS
EXTENDED OUR WESTERN AREAS INTO A TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 4 AM. SO HAVE
ADJUSTED ZONES AND GRIDS ACCORDINGLY. UPPER 00Z PLOTS SHOWS GOOD
DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION EVEN WITH GOOD JET ENERGY AND STRONG
SHEAR. MEANWHILE ON THE SURFACE THE WARM FRONT WAS PUSHING NORTH.
WILL SEND UP A 06Z BALLOON TO SEE HOW THE ATMOSPHERE HAS EVOLVED
AHEAD OF THE BOWING LINE./17/

./PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...445 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...MORNING CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES HAVE DIMINISHED AS THEY
HAVE MOVED EAST BUT HAVE BROUGHT SOME RAIN TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO
MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST BUT THESE ARE MUCH MORE SCATTERED.
DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THAT WAS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS RETURNED TO THE REGION WITH
DEWPOINTS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE REGION IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S. THIS IS THANKS TO A NORTHWARD MOVING WARM FRONT
FROM THE COAST. NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID
50S BUT EXPECT THAT THESE SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EVENING AS SOME MODELS EVEN SHOW UP TO 70 DEGREE DEWPOINTS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE REGION. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT ADDITIONAL
STORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE DELTA AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES....PARTICULARLY AFTER 8-10PM. AT THIS POINT VERTICAL
TOTALS AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING(WITH SHEAR
VALUES APPROACHING 60-70KTS) AND SHOULD BE PLENTY SUFFICIENT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND TORNADOES. IT APPEARS THAT THE LATEST RUNS
OF THE HRRR MIGHT HAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON THE SITUATION AS A SMALL
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE DELTA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
APPROACHING SQUALL LINE. IT BRINGS THE LINE THROUGH MOSTLY THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF MY CWA FROM ABOUT 03-10Z WITH SEVERAL LEWP
STRUCTURES AND IT DOES APPEAR THAT LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20
HAVE THE GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY IN THE DELTA. WE
HAVE GONE AHEAD AND UPGRADED OUR HWO PRODUCTS ESPECIALLY IN THE DELTA
WHERE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH
GREATER THAN 75MPH WINDS AND STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE. /28/

ON SATURDAY THE OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LEAVE A
BOUNDARY SET UP OVER THE AREA AND THE GFS/ECMWF INDICATE AT LEAST
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
WITH GOOD LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 6.5 C/KM...LARGE HAIL LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. STILL CANT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT A TORNADO BUT HAIL AND WIND SHOULD BE THE MAIN
CONCERN. EXPECT ALL OF THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL TO END EARLY
SATURDAY EVENING WITH CLEARING SKIES SATURDAY NIGHT AS DRIER AIR
BUILDS IN./15/

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS LOOKS TO GET QUITE
AMPLIFIED BY SUNDAY AS THE PREVIOUS TROUGH ENERGY BRINGING INCLEMENT
WEATHER IN THE SHORT TERM BECOMES PART OF A CONSOLIDATED AND LARGE
UPPER LOW OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST AND MORE ENERGY DIGS TOWARD THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. SHORT WAVE RIDGING IN BETWEEN THESE TROUGHS WILL BE
OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH A COLD FRONT PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED TO
COME INTO THE NORTH SUNDAY LIKELY DELAYED UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY
ACCORDING TO LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS. THIS SHOULD SPELL A VERY WARM
AND MOSTLY SUNNY SUNDAY FOR MUCH OF THE REGION WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 80S.

BY LATER SUNDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY DISTURBANCES SHOULD
START EJECTING OUT OF THE APPROACHING PLAINS UPPER
LOW...UNDERCUTTING HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING IN THE PERSISTENTLY ACTIVE
SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM. LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE
HINTING IN THIS PATTERN THAT BAROCLINICITY AND INSTABILITY FOCUSED
FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY TOWARD THE GULF COAST WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS
FOR THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES RIDING SOUTHEAST AND BLENDED GUIDANCE IS
CATCHING ON TO THIS. MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT POPS ARE MOST STRONGLY
FOCUSED IN SOUTHERN (AND ESPECIALLY SOUTHWESTERN) ZONES AND IT IS
QUITE POSSIBLE POPS COULD TREND EVEN MORE WEIGHTED TOWARD THE COAST.
IT IS NOT UNTIL TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY WHEN THE UPPER LOW SHOULD COME
OVER THE REGION AND POSITIVELY FORCE SOLID RAIN AND EMBEDDED STORM
OPPORTUNITIES ACROSS THE WHOLE OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

MUCH DRIER WEATHER LOOKS TO MOVE IN FOR MIDDLE OF THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND AS UPPER RIDGING TAKES HOLD ONCE AGAIN. /BB/

&&

.AVIATION...AS A WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA LATER
TONIGHT...EXPECT INCREASING CHANCES FOR TSRA AND LOWER
CIGS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE HEZ-JAN-GTR CORRIDOR IN
THE 03Z-12Z TIME FRAME. DRIER AIR WILL BECOME TO MOVE BACK IN
SATURDAY FROM THE WEST...BUT THERE WILL BE LINGERING CHANCES FOR
TSRA ESPECIALLY IN THE HBG/PIB AREA. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
/EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       70  85  67  87 /  71  40   8   7
MERIDIAN      68  84  66  86 /  66  50  11   7
VICKSBURG     70  87  66  87 /  74  26   8   9
HATTIESBURG   71  85  68  89 /  42  45  10   8
NATCHEZ       71  85  68  86 /  53  31   7   7
GREENVILLE    67  86  63  82 /  97  22   5   9
GREENWOOD     67  86  63  83 /  96  34   8  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

17/28/15/BB/EC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-MSZ018-019-034-040-041-252100-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-WASHINGTON-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
348 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT IN THE ARKLAMISS DELTA REGION WITH
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE...INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
GREATER THAN 75 MPH AND POSSIBLE STRONG TORNADOES. IN
ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BRING LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING SHOULD BE AFTER
10 PM.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LAZ016-023>026-MSZ025>033-035>039-042-047-252100-
MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-WARREN-
348 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A
NATCHEZ TO VICKSBURG TO MACON LINE. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...TORNADOES...AND HAIL. IN
ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BRING LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING SHOULD BE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. THERE IS A LIMITED THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS TO
LINGER INTO SATURDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

MSZ043>046-048>062-252100-
MADISON-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN-LINCOLN-
348 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT MAINLY NORTH OF BROOKHAVEN TO
LAUREL LINE. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL...AND A TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD BRING LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING SHOULD BE AFTER MIDNIGHT. A
LIMITED THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

MSZ063>066-072>074-252100-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
348 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SATURDAY

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY. THE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A
TORNDADO.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SATURDAY.

EC

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
821 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ075-MSZ034-250200-
CHICOT AR-WASHINGTON MS-
821 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CHICOT AND CENTRAL
WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 821 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR EUDORA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CHICOT JUNCTION AROUND 825 PM CDT.
  AVON AND WAYSIDE AROUND 840 PM CDT.
  LELAND AROUND 855 PM CDT.
  TRIBBETT AROUND 900 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE ARCOLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3351 9089 3332 9076 3327 9076 3327 9074
      3302 9135 3318 9146
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 239DEG 48KT 3315 9133

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
852 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

MSZ019-025-035-250230-
LEFLORE MS-SUNFLOWER MS-HUMPHREYS MS-
852 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN
SUNFLOWER...NORTHWESTERN HUMPHREYS AND LEFLORE COUNTIES THROUGH
930 PM CDT...

AT 851 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR TRIBBETT TO
DARLOVE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HOLLY RIDGE AROUND 855 PM CDT.
  ISOLA AROUND 900 PM CDT.
  INDIANOLA AND INVERNESS AROUND 905 PM CDT.
  MOORHEAD...SUNFLOWER AND SWIFTOWN AROUND 910 PM CDT.
  BLAINE AROUND 915 PM CDT.
  ITTA BENA...SIDON AND QUITO AROUND 920 PM CDT.
  SUNNYSIDE AROUND 925 PM CDT.
  GREENWOOD AROUND 930 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE SCHLATER AND MORGAN
CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3370 9030 3370 9026 3346 9013 3342 9014
      3342 9017 3335 9017 3337 9032 3336 9031
      3335 9028 3331 9029 3332 9032 3317 9068
      3321 9068 3323 9073 3327 9073 3327 9076
      3351 9076 3374 9031
TIME...MOT...LOC 0151Z 240DEG 57KT 3338 9083 3324 9077

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1031 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

MSZ035-041-250415-
HUMPHREYS MS-SHARKEY MS-
1031 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HUMPHREYS AND CENTRAL SHARKEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...

AT 1031 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BELZONI TO NEAR ROLLING FORK...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BELZONI AND ISOLA AROUND 1035 PM CDT.
  MIDNIGHT AROUND 1050 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE CARY...SILVER CITY
AND LOUISE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3326 9045 3324 9037 3328 9037 3330 9033
      3310 9035 3313 9038 3309 9037 3312 9042
      3310 9043 3301 9038 3301 9044 3297 9045
      3292 9066 3279 9095 3310 9075 3310 9068
      3314 9070 3327 9064 3327 9056 3333 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0331Z 244DEG 54KT 3316 9057 3286 9086

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1108 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

MSZ036-250500-
HOLMES MS-
1108 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL HOLMES
COUNTY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT...

AT 1107 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR HOWARD TO 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THORNTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  TCHULA AROUND 1115 PM CDT.
  HOWARD AROUND 1125 PM CDT.
  LEXINGTON AND EMORY AROUND 1130 PM CDT.
  BOWLING GREEN AROUND 1140 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE WEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3321 8975 3320 8976 3319 8978 3318 8978
      3312 8981 3301 9034 3302 9034 3302 9035
      3301 9037 3302 9038 3304 9038 3319 9025
      3329 9003
TIME...MOT...LOC 0407Z 244DEG 53KT 3313 9023 3301 9041

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1118 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

MSZ018-250445-
BOLIVAR MS-
1118 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BOLIVAR COUNTY UNTIL 1145 PM
CDT...

AT 1118 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ROSEDALE TO NEAR
ARKANSAS CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ROSEDALE AND GUNNISON AROUND 1125 PM CDT.
  DEESON AROUND 1130 PM CDT.
  SHELBY AND MOUND BAYOU AROUND 1135 PM CDT.
  CLEVELAND...SHAW AND BOYLE AROUND 1145 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE MERIGOLD...BEULAH...
PACE...DUNCAN...ALLIGATOR AND WINSTONVILLE.

LAT...LON 3362 9066 3362 9076 3354 9076 3354 9123
      3360 9113 3370 9118 3368 9103 3372 9114
      3378 9114 3378 9099 3385 9107 3393 9101
      3398 9107 3400 9102 3396 9097 3402 9099
      3402 9090 3410 9088 3412 9066
TIME...MOT...LOC 0418Z 255DEG 46KT 3389 9102 3354 9119

CME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1201 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

MSZ019-025-250530-
LEFLORE MS-SUNFLOWER MS-
1201 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN SUNFLOWER AND
LEFLORE COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

AT 1200 AM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DREW TO INDIANOLA...AND
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  DREW AROUND 1205 AM CDT.
  MINTER CITY AROUND 1215 AM CDT.
  ITTA BENA AROUND 1220 AM CDT.
  QUITO AROUND 1225 AM CDT.
  GREENWOOD AND SIDON AROUND 1230 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE DODDSVILLE AND
SCHLATER.

LAT...LON 3381 9045 3381 9018 3379 9017 3376 9019
      3375 9030 3372 9031 3369 9029 3372 9022
      3372 9014 3368 9014 3366 9011 3346 9010
      3346 9014 3342 9014 3342 9017 3339 9018
      3336 9073 3387 9055 3389 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0500Z 260DEG 45KT 3381 9051 3345 9064

CME