Special Weather Statement, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
330 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

.UPDATE...
SYNOPSIS...NEAR TERM...SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM SECTIONS HAVE BEEN
UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 330 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PARTS OF OUR REGION TO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES WELL INTO NEXT
WEEK.  THIS WILL RESULT IN AN ACTIVE PATTERN AND A GOOD CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

A STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
QUITE WARM...BUT THEY MAY TEMPORARILY COOL TO NEAR NORMAL AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES A LITTLE MORE ZONAL
THEN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
ISSUED AT 330 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING
ACROSS ILLINOIS AND IT APPEARS LIKELY WE WILL SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.  WILL GO WITH LIKELY POPS MOST AREAS
THIS EVENING AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY PUSHES INTO OUR REGION TONIGHT.   HRR MODELS
INDICATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT
WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND WILL GO WITH CHANCE POPS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

MODELS INDICATE A COLD FRONT OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS MAY STALL ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PARTS OF OUR REGION LATER TONIGHT.  LOWS TONIGHT WILL
BE NEAR 70 TO LOWER 70S CENTRAL AND SOUTH AND POSSIBLY UPPER 60S FAR
NORTH.  WENT CLOSE TO A MOS BLEND ON TEMPERATURES IN MOST CASES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ISSUED AT 330 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

A FRONTAL SYSTEM STALLED ACROSS OUR NORTHERN SECTIONS SATURDAY WILL
MOVE NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES LATE SATURDAY AND REMAIN
THERE REST OF THE SHORT TERM BEFORE MOVING SOUTH AGAIN AFTER THE
WEEKEND.

MODELS KEEP US UNDER A WARM HUMID AIRMASS AND WILL GO WITH CHANCE
POPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND INCREASING TO LIKELY POPS MONDAY AS AN
UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES OUR WAY BY MONDAY.  SOME MODELS INDICATE A
LULL IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL GO
ONLY LOW CHANCES THEN.

AIRMASS REMAINS QUITE WARM AND HUMID.  MODELS HAVE TRENDED A WARMER
ON SATURDAY...BUT WITH LOTS OF CLOUDS WILL CUT TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES THEN.  HIGHS MOST OF THIS PERIOD WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE 80S
OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS AND UPPER 80S IN THE SOUTH.   LOWS WILL BE
NEAR 70 OR LOWER 70S BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ISSUED AT 330 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE AN ACTIVE AND VERY SUMMER LIKE PATTERN
CONTINUING INTO NEXT WORK WEEK WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MEANDERING
ACROSS THE REGION AND REMAINING JUST TO THE NORTH OF A SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE. THIS WILL RESULT IN ALMOST DAILY CHANCES FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND TEMPERATURES RIGHT AT
CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. SUPERBLEND
INITIALIZATION APPEARS TO REFLECT THIS PATTERN VERY WELL...SO DID
NOT NEED TO MAKE MANY ADJUSTMENTS AT THIS TIME.

TYPICAL...IF SOMEWHAT ACTIVE...SUMMERTIME PATTERN EXPECTED FOR THE
COMING WORK WEEK WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IMPINGING UPON THE REGION
AND THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST COMBINING
TO NECESSITATE THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ESSENTIALLY EVERY PERIOD.

THAT SAID...DO NOT EXPECT A TOTAL WASHOUT BY ANY MEANS...AND HAVE
BUMPED MAX TEMPS UP A BIT EARLY IN THE WEEK AS A RESULT AS TYPICAL
MODEL TENDENCY TO OVERDO COVERAGE OF CONVECTIVE PRECIP IS LIKELY
IMPACTING MODEL TEMPERATURES SOMEWHAT.

SHOULD SEE TEMPS NEAR TO JUST SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 121800Z TAFS/...
ISSUED AT 105 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN
ILLINOIS WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES THIS
AFTERNOON CAUSING A TRAILING COLD FRONT OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS TO
MOVE TO NEAR KLAF TONIGHT AND STALLING THERE LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE AT KIND...KHUF AND KBMG OUTSIDE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. WENT WITH PREDOMINATE CEILINGS AROUND 4 THOUSAND FEET
THROUGH TONIGHT AND SCATTERED CU WITH BROKEN MID CLOUDS SATURDAY
MORNING ON.  VISIBILITIES COULD BE BRIEFLY 1 TO 2 MILES IN
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT OTHERWISE VFR.

KLAF MAY SEE PERIODS OF MVFR CEILINGS TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY.  OTHERWISE...VFR OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

CONVECTION SHOULD INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN DIMINISH LATE
TONIGHT. ONLY EXPECT WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 12 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 20 T0 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS MOST OTHER
PERIODS AND MAY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES AT KLAF TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JH
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...JH
LONG TERM...SMF
AVIATION...JH

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

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WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
358 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-131000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-
358 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

HAZARDS: DAMAGING WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAINS PRODUCING LOCALIZED
FLOODING...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

TIMING: GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

DISCUSSION: LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. STORMS WILL
DECREASE IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW SHIFTS OFF TO THE EAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK: DAILY CHANCES FOR SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH ANY STORM. A GREATER RISK FOR
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DISCUSSION: A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. THE FRONT ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL UPPER
WAVES WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE AND RESULT IN AN UNSETTLED PERIOD THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ060>065-067>072-131000-
SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-
MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
358 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: SCATTERED STRONG STORMS.

HAZARDS: GUSTY WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAINS PRODUCING LOCALIZED
FLOODING...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND HAIL.

DISCUSSION: LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. STORMS WILL
DECREASE IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW SHIFTS OFF TO THE EAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK: DAILY CHANCES FOR SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH ANY STORM.

DISCUSSION: A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. THE FRONT ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL UPPER
WAVES WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE AND RESULT IN AN UNSETTLED PERIOD THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

RYAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
210 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

INZ042-121830-
RANDOLPH-
210 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY
UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 207 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINCHESTER...OR 12 MILES
SOUTH OF PORTLAND.  THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  RIDGEVILLE...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4017 8508 4030 8512 4031 8508 4031 8481
      4017 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 180DEG 0KT 4026 8493

LEE/TUCEK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
228 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

INZ042-121845-
RANDOLPH-
228 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY
UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 228 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINCHESTER...OR 15 MILES
SOUTH OF PORTLAND...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  UNION CITY...

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4016 8499 4025 8499 4031 8481 4031 8480
      4016 8480 4016 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 1829Z 259DEG 29KT 4023 8490

LEE/TUCEK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
243 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RUSHVILLE               39.61N  85.45W
06/12/2015                   RUSH               IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE LIMB DOWNED FROM OAK TREE AT 7TH AND HARRISON.

&&

DRT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
348 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

INZ037-039-047-122015-
BOONE-HAMILTON-MARION-
348 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOONE...SOUTHWESTERN
HAMILTON AND NORTHERN MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

AT 345 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES WEST OF ZIONSVILLE...OR 17 MILES
NORTHWEST OF INDIANAPOLIS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  ZIONSVILLE...
  CARMEL...
  FISHERS...
  NOBLESVILLE...
  WHITESTOWN...
  WESTFIELD...
  CASTLETON...
  GEIST RESERVOIR...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3989 8594 3992 8633 3992 8640 3998 8641
      4012 8600
TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 258DEG 23KT 3995 8635

LEE/TUCEK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
412 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

INZ039-047-048-122045-
HAMILTON-HANCOCK-MARION-
412 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...
NORTHWESTERN HANCOCK AND NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM
EDT...

AT 409 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CARMEL...OR 13 MILES NORTH OF
INDIANAPOLIS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  CARMEL...
  NOBLESVILLE...
  FISHERS...
  WILLIAMS CREEK...
  WESTFIELD...
  CASTLETON...
  GEIST RESERVOIR...
  MCCORDSVILLE...
  FORTVILLE...

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4018 8591 4002 8586 3995 8587 3994 8583
      3988 8581 3990 8624 4001 8624
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 270DEG 22KT 3996 8617

LEE/TUCEK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
421 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

INZ045-052>054-062-122100-
CLAY-MONROE-MORGAN-OWEN-PUTNAM-
421 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CLAY...NORTHWESTERN
MONROE...SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN...OWEN AND SOUTHERN PUTNAM COUNTIES
UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

AT 420 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BRAZIL TO 12 MILES
NORTH OF LINTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  SPENCER...
  COAL CITY...
  BOWLING GREEN...
  PATRICKSBURG...
  FREEDOM...
  CAGLES MILL LAKE...
  CLOVERDALE...
  MCCORMICKS CREEK STATE PARK...
  DEVORE...
  QUINCY...
  GOSPORT...
  EMINENCE...
  BELLE UNION...
  STINESVILLE...
  LITTLE POINT...
  ELLETTSVILLE...

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 8715 3963 8668 3963 8665 3962 8664
      3960 8665 3960 8662 3919 8656 3920 8717
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 262DEG 26KT 3948 8707 3920 8708

LEE/TUCEK