Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Lincoln, IL

028 
WGUS73 KILX 142117
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
417 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

ILC019-113-147-142315-
/O.CON.KILX.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150614T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PIATT-MCLEAN-CHAMPAIGN-
417 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR 
NORTHEASTERN PIATT...SOUTHEASTERN MCLEAN AND NORTHERN CHAMPAIGN
COUNTIES...

AT 413 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE 
ALREADY FALLEN IN THE PAST TWO HOURS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
AROUND THREE INCHES WERE IN NORTHWEST CHAMPAIGN COUNTY BETWEEN 
FISHER AND LAKE OF THE WOODS...INCLUDING PART OF ILLINOIS ROUTE 47. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
RANTOUL...MAHOMET...FISHER...THOMASBORO...GIFFORD...MANSFIELD...LAKE
OF THE WOODS...LUDLOW...FOOSLAND...PENFIELD...DEWEY AND FLATVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 57 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 244 AND 256.
 INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 161 AND 173.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT ENTER OR CROSS FLOWING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. 

&&

LAT...LON 4015 8868 4039 8847 4040 8793 4025 8793

$$

MILLER

156 
WGUS73 KILX 142316
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
616 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

ILC019-113-147-142325-
/O.EXP.KILX.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150614T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PIATT-MCLEAN-CHAMPAIGN-
616 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PIATT...SOUTHEASTERN
MCLEAN AND NORTHERN CHAMPAIGN COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT.

LAT...LON 4015 8868 4039 8847 4040 8793 4025 8793

$$

AUTEN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
301 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 301 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN IL. NUMEROUS LOW LEVEL
BOUNDARIES...SOME APPARENT IN THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS AND OTHERS
CONVECTIVELY INDUCED...WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. THE MAIN CONCERN
WILL BE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN WITH SOME OF THE STORMS DUE
TO COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE AND WEAKER WINDS ALOFT THAN THE PAST
FEW DAYS. INSTABILITY WILL BE MODERATE...BUT THE LACK OF WIND SHEAR
SHOULD KEEP WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS FROM DEVELOPING. HOWEVER...
ISOLATED STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG/SEVERE GUSTS DUE TO HEAVY
PRECIPITATION LOADING THIS EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG A
WSW-ENE BOUNDARY WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND
ISOLATED FLOODING DUE TO TRAINING EFFECTS.

MUCH OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD START TO WANE TOWARD MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT
FOR LINGERING AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-74. THE REST OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS CAN ONLY EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT DUE TO WEAKER FORCING AND MORE DIFFUSE
BOUNDARIES.

AS THE COLD FRONT IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS PROGRESSES TOWARD CENTRAL
IOWA AROUND DAYBREAK...STORMS THAT DEVELOP AHEAD OF IT OVERNIGHT MAY
MAKE INTO WEST CENTRAL IL. THUS...HAVE INCREASED POPS BACK INTO THE
LIKELY CATEGORY MAINLY WEST OF THE IL RIVER VALLEY BY SUNRISE.

&&

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 301 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

AN ACTIVE CONVECTIVE WEATHER PATTERN, ALONG WITH WARM AND HUMID
CONDTIONS, IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE THERE WILL BE PERIODS
WHERE MORE WIDESPREAD AND/OR POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE,
IT PRETTY TOUGH TO PICK OUT AN OPPORTUNITY FOR COMPLETELY DRY
WEATHER AT THIS POINT. THIS IS RESULTING IN AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
POPS THAT WILL HOPEFULLY BE ABLE TO BE FINE TUNED BETTER AS THE
DETAILS BECOME MORE CLEAR.

THE WORK WEEK WILL START OUT WITH ONE OF THE BETTER CHANCES FOR
SIGNIFICANT STORMS. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW, CURRENTLY SPINNING OVER THE
PLAINS, AS WELL AS A WEAK SURFACE FRONT, WILL TRACK THROUGH THE
MIDWEST. PRE-FRONTAL CAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500 J/KG SHOULD BE COMMON
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING, ALONG WITH BULK SHEAR VALUES
APPROACHING 35 KTS. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTIVE OF SCATTERED STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA INTO
MONDAY NIGHT, WHICH IS WELL DEPICTED IN THE SPC DAY 2 OUTLOOK.

THE FRONT WILL STALL NOT TOO FAR SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY
NIGHT, AND IT SHOULD STAY NEAR WHERE IT STALLS UNTIL THE NEXT
STRONGER UPPER WAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY. DUE TO
THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT, AND THE FACT THAT THE AIRMASS WILL
REMAIN VERY MOIST AND POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE, POPS WILL STAY FAIRLY
HIGH INTO WEDNESDAY (LOWEST IN THE NORTH, FURTHER AWAY FROM SURFACE
BOUNDARY). THE PASSAGE OF THE NEXT MAJOR WAVE ON WEDNESDAY COULD
ALSO SUPPORT MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER, WITH SHEAR PROFILES EVEN
BETTER THAN ANTICIPATED MONDAY, AT LEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA.

THE PASSAGE OF THE WEDNESDAY SYSTEM SHOULD RESULT IN A RELATIVE LULL
IN THE RAINFALL RISK. HOWEVER, BY THE END OF THE WEEK, CHANCES MAY
RAMP UP YET AGAIN AS POTENTIAL REMNANTS FROM A TROPICAL SYSTEM
COMING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TRACK NEAR THE AREA. THEN, BY LATE
IN THE WEEKEND, A PIECE OF ENERGY MORE TIED TO THE MAIN BELT OF THE
WESTERLIES TO OUR NORTH, WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA
WITH AN ASSOCIATED SHOWER/STORM RISK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH INTERMITTENT MVFR
CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THIS TAF PERIOD IN CENTRAL AND
EASTERN IL.

ONE ROUND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED T-STORMS IS MOVING THROUGH EAST
CENTRAL IL JUST BEFORE 18Z. HOWEVER...IT IS LIKELY THIS CONVECTION
WILL STAY JUST SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE TAF SITES IN EASTERN IL.
OTHER MORE SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN WEST CENTRAL IL
AND EASTERN MO. THUS...WENT WITH VCSH AT ALL TAF SITES UNTIL
20-21Z WHEN INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL MOST LIKELY PRODUCE MORE
IN THE WAY OF THUNDER. THERE CONTINUES TO BE LOW CONFIDENCE,
THOUGH, THAT ANY ONE TAF SITE WILL BE IMPACTED BY A THUNDERSTORM,
SO WENT WITH VCTS, AND WILL MONITOR FOR LATER UPDATES.

AFTER THE MID/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES FROM CENTRAL MO INTO
NORTHEAST IL BY LATE THIS EVENING...THERE SHOULD BE A BREAK IN THE
CONVECTION WITH MAINLY VFR CEILINGS. THE NEXT ROUND OF CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT TOWARD EARLY MORNING AS THE AREA REMAINS
IN AN EXTREMELY MOIST AIRMASS AND UPPER LEVEL ENERGY APPROACHES
WEST CENTRAL IL. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF CONVECTION IN WEST
CENTRAL IL...BUT WITH NUMEROUS LEFT OVER CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES THE
SHORT RANGE/HIGH RES MODELS ARE ALL POINTING TO AT LEAST SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS INTO EASTERN IL AS WELL.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...BAK
AVIATION...MILLER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1150 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>051-151100-
CASS-DE WITT-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-
MORGAN-PEORIA-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
1150 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. ISOLATED STORMS MAY
CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALONG WITH THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING AND WORSEN
AREAS OF RIVER FLOODING ALREADY IN PROGRESS. MINOR TO MODERATE
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS...SANGAMON AND SPOON
RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE
SEVERE RISK...THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK ENHANCING THE RIVER AND FLASH
FLOOD THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY. HOWEVER...REPORTS OF
WIND GUSTS...HEAVY RAINFALL OR FLOODING WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

ILZ044>046-052>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-151100-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-
EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-MACON-MOULTRIE-PIATT-RICHLAND-
SHELBY-VERMILION-
1150 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF
THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING. THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE WHICH WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING AND WORSEN AREAS OF
RIVER FLOODING ALREADY IN PROGRESS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE ALONG THE SANGAMON AND PARTS OF THE WABASH AND LITTLE
WABASH RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE THREAT FOR MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE OVER
THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE
RISK...THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK ENHANCING THE RIVER AND FLASH FLOOD
THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY. HOWEVER...REPORTS OF
WIND GUSTS...HEAVY RAINFALL OR FLOODING WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

MILLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
951 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HOPEWELL                40.98N 89.46W
06/14/2015  M1.71 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   MESONET

            24-HOUR RAINFALL...SWOP REPORT

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HENRY                   41.11N 89.36W
06/14/2015  M3.26 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   MESONET

            24-HOUR RAINFALL...SWOP REPORT

&&

EJL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1019 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WSW MAHOMET           40.17N 88.47W
06/14/2015  M1.53 INCH       PIATT              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW ATHENS            39.99N 89.74W
06/14/2015  M1.10 INCH       MENARD             IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 W LINCOLN             40.15N 89.46W
06/14/2015  M1.00 INCH       LOGAN              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NEW HOLLAND             40.18N 89.58W
06/14/2015  M1.82 INCH       LOGAN              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNE MAHOMET           40.22N 88.39W
06/14/2015  M1.44 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S MAHOMET             40.18N 88.40W
06/14/2015  M1.55 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W WASHBURN            40.92N 89.35W
06/14/2015  M1.01 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N ATHENS              39.98N 89.72W
06/14/2015  M1.18 INCH       MENARD             IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE WHITE HEATH       40.14N 88.47W
06/14/2015  M1.22 INCH       PIATT              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SE LATHAM             39.95N 89.14W
06/14/2015  M1.75 INCH       MACON              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SW EMDEN              40.27N 89.53W
06/14/2015  M1.64 INCH       LOGAN              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

&&

EJL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1128 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HENRY                   41.11N 89.36W
06/14/2015  M3.10 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   MESONET

            24-HOUR RAINFALL...SWOP REPORT

&&

EJL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1143 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WSW MAHOMET           40.17N 88.47W
06/14/2015  M1.53 INCH       PIATT              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ALTONA                  41.12N 90.16W
06/14/2015  M1.33 INCH       KNOX               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       TOULON                  41.09N 89.86W
06/14/2015  M1.54 INCH       STARK              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW ATHENS            39.99N 89.74W
06/14/2015  M1.10 INCH       MENARD             IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N ATHENS              39.98N 89.72W
06/14/2015  M1.18 INCH       MENARD             IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W WASHBURN            40.92N 89.35W
06/14/2015  M1.01 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S MAHOMET             40.18N 88.40W
06/14/2015  M1.55 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNE MAHOMET           40.22N 88.39W
06/14/2015  M1.44 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 W LINCOLN             40.15N 89.46W
06/14/2015  M1.00 INCH       LOGAN              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DE LAND                 40.12N 88.64W
06/14/2015  M1.26 INCH       PIATT              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NEW HOLLAND             40.18N 89.58W
06/14/2015  M1.82 INCH       LOGAN              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SW EMDEN              40.27N 89.53W
06/14/2015  M1.64 INCH       LOGAN              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HENRY                   41.11N 89.36W
06/14/2015  M3.26 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   MESONET

            24-HOUR RAINFALL...SWOP REPORT

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HOPEWELL                40.98N 89.46W
06/14/2015  M1.71 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   MESONET

            24-HOUR RAINFALL...SWOP REPORT

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LACON                   41.02N 89.41W
06/14/2015  M2.48 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE WHITE HEATH       40.14N 88.47W
06/14/2015  M1.22 INCH       PIATT              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HENRY                   41.11N 89.36W
06/14/2015  M3.10 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   MESONET

            24-HOUR RAINFALL...SWOP REPORT

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SE LATHAM             39.95N 89.14W
06/14/2015  M1.75 INCH       MACON              IL   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR RAINFALL

&&

EJL