River Flood Warning 30, NWS Atlanta, GA

950 
WGUS82 KFFC 202027
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
427 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 
 
  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

GAC021-153-169-207-289-211027-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150422T2024Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.150419T0745Z.150420T2015Z.150422T1424Z.NO/
427 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 400 PM Monday the stage was 20.8 feet...and rising slowly.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue to rise to around 21 feet by this evening.
  The river will fall to below flood stage by late Wednesday morning.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to two 
  feet deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands east of Macon
  and well downstream will be under 1 to 4 feet of water.

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC167-303-319-211027-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0030.150422T0200Z-150424T0224Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.150422T0200Z.150423T0600Z.150423T2024Z.NO/
427 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From Tuesday evening until Thursday evening.
* At 345 PM Monday the stage was 14.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday evening and 
  continue to rise to near 17.8 feet by early Thursday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* At 18 feet...The water level begins to flood portions of the dirt
  parking lot area near the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just 
  upstream and rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor 
  flooding continues in the woodlands near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

441 
WGUS82 KFFC 210101
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
901 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

 
GAC021-153-169-207-289-211501-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150423T0224Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.150419T0745Z.150421T0045Z.150422T2024Z.NO/
901 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 830 PM Monday the stage was 21.0 feet...and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to two 
  feet deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands east of Macon
  and well downstream will be under 1 to 4 feet of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC167-303-319-211501-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0030.150422T0359Z-150423T2159Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.150422T0359Z.150422T1800Z.150423T1559Z.NO/
901 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From late Tuesday evening until Thursday afternoon.
* At 830 PM Monday the stage was 14.9 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Tuesday evening and 
  continue to rise to near 17.5 feet by early Wednesday afternoon.The
  river will fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* At 18 feet...The water level begins to flood portions of the dirt
  parking lot area near the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just 
  upstream and rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor 
  flooding continues in the woodlands near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

041 
WGUS82 KFFC 210904
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
504 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-212304-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150423T0224Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.150419T0745Z.150421T0545Z.150422T2024Z.NO/
504 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 430 AM Tuesday the stage was 21 feet...and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will begin to fall this morning...dropping below flood stage 
  by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding continue with an increasing amount of the 
  Macon Greenway Ocmulgee Heritage Trail flooded north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to two 
  feet deep on portions of the trail and both banks of the river will 
  overflow upstream from the bridge. Large portions of the agricultural 
  lands east of Macon and well downstream will be under 1 to 4 feet of 
  water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC167-303-319-212304-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0030.150422T0359Z-150423T2159Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.150422T0359Z.150422T1800Z.150423T1559Z.NO/
504 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From tonight until Thursday afternoon.
* At 445 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.7 feet...and rising.
* No flooding is currently occurring...however minor flooding is forecast 
  to develop.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tonight and continue to 
  rise...reaching near 17.5 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* At 14 feet...bankfull conditions are reached along the river. The Old 
  Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and along the right bank 
  from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge...will begin to flood.
  At 17 feet...flood stage is reached. The water level reaches the top of the 
  Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and along the right bank 
  from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding of woodlands near 
  the river occurs. 
  At 18 feet...The water level begins to flood portions of the dirt parking lot 
  area near the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and along 
  the right bank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding 
  continues to expand into the woodlands near the river.
 

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

662 
WGUS82 KFFC 211226
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
826 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

 
GAC021-153-169-207-289-220226-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150423T0900Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.150419T0745Z.150421T0545Z.150423T0300Z.NO/
826 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 8AM Tuesday the stage was 20.9 feet...and 
  falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday 
  late evening.
* At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to two 
  feet deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands east of Macon
  and well downstream will be under 1 to 4 feet of water.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC167-303-319-220226-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0030.150422T0200Z-150423T0712Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.150422T0200Z.150422T0600Z.150423T0112Z.NO/
826 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From tonight until late Wednesday night.
* At 745AM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet...and 
  rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 17.2 feet by after midnight Wednesday.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Wednesday late evening.
* At 17.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. The water level reaches the 
  top of the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and 
  rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding of 
  woodlands near the river occurs.


&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

458 
WGUS82 KFFC 220253
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1053 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

 
GAC167-303-319-221653-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150423T0000Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.150422T1200Z.150422T1200Z.150422T1800Z.NO/
1053 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From tomorrow morning until Wednesday evening.
* At 9PM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise to flood stage by tomorrow morning and fall below 
  flood stage by early afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. The water level reaches the 
  top of the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and 
  rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding of 
  woodlands near the river occurs.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.1 feet on Dec 16 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

015 
WGUS82 KFFC 221340
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
940 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

 
GAC167-303-319-230340-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150423T0600Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.150422T1800Z.150422T1800Z.150423T0000Z.NO/
940 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From this afternoon until late tonight.
* At 845 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.8 feet...and 
  rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near 17.0 feet by this afternoon.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* At 17.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. The water level reaches the 
  top of the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and 
  rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding of 
  woodlands near the river occurs.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

558 
WGUS82 KFFC 230218
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1018 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Hawkinsville affecting Bleckley and Pulaski 
  Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Abbeville affecting Dodge...Telfair and Wilcox
  Counties 


GAC023-235-231618-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0031.150424T0336Z-150426T0359Z/
/HAWG1.1.ER.150424T0336Z.150425T0000Z.150425T2159Z.NO/
1018 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Hawkinsville.
* From tomorrow late evening until Saturday evening.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.9 feet and rising.
* Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and 
  continue to rise to near 20.6 feet by Friday evening.The river will
  fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* At 20.5 feet...Minor flooding of roads begins on the southside of 
  Hawkinsville...along Gooseneck Lane. With the flooding of Gooseneck
  Lane...residents are cutoff from reaching their homes.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3263 8359 3266 8353 3229 8343 3210 8332
       3206 8337 3227 8349            

$$

GAC091-271-315-231618-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.1.ER.150423T0145Z.150427T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Abbeville.
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 12 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13 feet by Sunday evening 
  then begin falling.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding of lowlands adjacent to the river 
  continue to expand into the flood plain. Flooding of the nearby 
  park and parking lot at the Abbeville boat ramp also expands.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3206 8337 3210 8332 3188 8315 3181 8299
      3175 8299 3184 8320             

$$

GAC167-303-319-230248-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150423T0600Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.150422T1457Z.150422T1830Z.150422T2352Z.NO/
1018 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* This takes affect immediately.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
730 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 351 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

..SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 8AM...

SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS IMMANENT FOR PORTIONS OF NW GEORGIA AS LINE
OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE ADVANCES
OUT OF ALABAMA. CAPE VALUES IN THIS REGION HAVE BEEN LARGELY
UNIMPRESSIVE...ESPECIALLY SURFACE BASED CAPE. HOWEVER...ELEVATED
CONVECTION IS MORE READILY AVAILABLE AND CROSS SECTIONS REVEAL
VORTICITY MAXIMA RESPONSIBLE FOR ENHANCED ACTIVITY IS LOW IN THE
ATMOSPHERE THAN WE TYPICALLY SEE...RIGHT AROUND 700 MB IN THIS
SITUATION.

FOLLOWING THE EVOLUTION OF THIS VORT MAX...LOOKS LIKE
THE NORTHERN TIER OF OUR COUNTIES...MAYBE A HALF A DOZEN COUNTIES
OR SO WILL BE UNDER THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS THIS MORNING WITH
STRONG WINDS THE PRIMARY CONCERN. CANNOT RULE OUT A TORNADO EITHER
0-1KM HELICITY VALUES CURRENTLY MAXING OUT AT 350 M2/S2 ON LATEST
RAP RUN. ALSO LOOKING AT DOWNDRAFT CAPE AXIS...SHOULD SEE THIS
HOLD TOGETHER OVER THE LOCAL AREA MEANING WINDS SHOULD HAVE NO
PROBLEM MIXING TO THE SURFACE SHOULD STORMS HOLD TOGETHER.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY...AFOREMENTIONED ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN
TO WANE SLIGHTLY AS IT PROGRESSES EAST BUT ENOUGH ACTIVITY WILL
REMAIN TO WARRANT CATEGORICAL TO LIKELY POPS FOR THE NORTHERN
TIER. THEREAFTER...IT WILL DEPEND HOW QUICK LOW CLOUDS CLEAR OUT
AND HOW MUCH RECOVERY WE CAN GET BEFORE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. OF
PARTICULAR INTEREST IS STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVING IN OFF THE GULF
COAST THIS AFTERNOON THAT RESULTS IN DEVELOPMENT OF A STRONG LOW
LEVEL JET AND INFLUX OF DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. WILL LIKELY
SEE CAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF 2500 J/KG SHOULD CLOUDS CLEAR FOR A
LONG ENOUGH TIME FROM GAINESVILLE TO MACON AND POINTS EASTWARD
ALLOWING FOR A SECONDARY SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE. STRONG WINDS WILL
BE THE MAIN CONCERN ONCE AGAIN BUT SIG TO PARAMETER DOES BECOME
ENHANCED AFTER 18Z WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE AGAIN.

FINALLY QUIETER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE SHORT TERM WITH NIL POPS AND COOL OVERNIGHT TEMPS.

DEESE

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

THERE CONTINUE TO BE NOTICEABLE INCONSISTENCIES BETWEEN MODELS...AND
EVEN FROM RUN TO RUN WITHIN EACH MODEL...IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST
PERIOD...SO OVERALL A GENERAL BLEND AND CONCENTRATION ON THE LARGER
SCALE FEATURES WERE USED FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST GRIDS AGAIN THIS
MORNING.

PERIOD STARTS OUT DRY...BUT MOISTURE RETURN BEGINS WEDNESDAY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE SLIPS EAST OF THE STATE. WEAK SHORT WAVES IN THE
WESTERLY UPPER FLOW AND A WEAK COLD FRONT BRING AT LEAST A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION BACK INTO THE NORTH BY LATE WEDNESDAY. AMPLE
MOISTURE AND FLAT WESTERLY UPPER FLOW KEEP AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BETTER
CHANCES FOR RAIN SWEEP BACK IN FOR THE START OF THE WEEKEND AS A
STRONGER SHORT WAVE SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION. BOTH THE GFS AND THE
ECMWF ARE GENERATING A DECENT SURFACE LOW WITH THIS SHORT WAVE...
HOWEVER THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN THE TIMING OF THIS LOW
TO KEEP LOW POPS IN THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ENOUGH
INSTABILITY INDICATED WITH THE MID-WEEK SYSTEM FOR A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS...ALTHOUGH LACK OF STRONG DYNAMICS AND MARGINAL NATURE
OF THE INSTABILITY POINT TO MINIMAL CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER.
WEEKEND SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW MARGINAL INSTABILITY AT BEST...BUT
STRONGER DYNAMICS INDICATE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR DEEPER
CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM AS WELL.

20

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE... LINE OF TSRA HAS PASSED SAFELY NORTH OF THE ATL
TERMINALS THIS MORNING. CIGS HAVE LIFTED IN ITS WAKE TO MVFR AND
WILL KEEP THEM THERE UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON WHEN VFR EMERGES. OTHERWISE...SOME
REDEVELOMENT POSSIBLE WITH SOME HEATING THIS AFTERNOON SO INCLUDED
TEMPO FOR TSRA FOR ALL SITES. GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY WITH SOME
GUIDANCE INDICATING GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 KTS AT ATL AND FOLLOWED
THIS SOLUTION BASED ON UPSTREAM OBS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON TSRA CHANCES.
HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.

DEESE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          76  50  72  48 /  40  30   0   5
ATLANTA         75  52  72  51 /  30  20   0   5
BLAIRSVILLE     71  44  66  44 /  30  20   5   5
CARTERSVILLE    75  46  71  48 /  20  10   0   5
COLUMBUS        79  53  77  53 /  50  20   0   5
GAINESVILLE     75  50  70  49 /  30  20   0   5
MACON           78  52  76  50 /  50  40   0   5
ROME            73  46  72  47 /  20  10   5   5
PEACHTREE CITY  77  49  73  47 /  40  20   0   5
VIDALIA         84  59  77  55 /  60  30   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DEESE
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...DEESE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
602 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-211015-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
602 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING NORTH GEORGIA...
...ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER
EASTERN SECTIONS...

AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES NORTHWEST GEORGIA  THIS MORNING...A
SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE INTO NORTH GEORGIA BRINGING THE THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS.

ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA...ROUGHLY FROM A MACON TO GAINESVILLE LINE. AN
ADDITIONAL DAMAGING WIND THREAT IS EXPECTED PRIMARILY BUT ONCE
AGAIN CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR LARGE HAIL WITH THIS
ACTIVITY.

WITH THE STORMS...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. IN ADDITION...A FEW RIVERS AND CREEKS MAY
BEGIN TO FLOW OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AND
AGAIN SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED AND SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
630 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

GAZ008-009-015-016-201100-
TOWNS GA-LUMPKIN GA-WHITE GA-UNION GA-
630 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN TOWNS...
LUMPKIN...WHITE AND UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 700 AM EDT...

AT 630 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
HAYESVILLE TO 8 MILES WEST OF HELEN TO 7 MILES WEST OF DAHLONEGA...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LIGHTNING DETECTION SYSTEMS INDICATE NUMEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS TOWNS...LUMPKIN...WHITE AND UNION
COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND
DAHLONEGA...HIAWASSEE...YOUNG HARRIS...HELEN...UNICOI STATE PARK...
PLUM ORCHARD GAP SHELTER...BRASSTOWN BALD...SMITHGALL WOODS
CONSERVATION ARE...QUALATCHEE LAKE...TRACK ROCK...MACEDONIA...
MOUNTAIN SCENE...TURNERS CORNER...ALEXANDERS MILL...TITUS...LOW GAP
SHELTER...ANNA RUBY FALLS...CAMP COLEMAN LAKE...PORTER SPRINGS AND
BLOOD MOUNTAIN SHELTER.

RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD STAY INDOORS.  ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES
AND TELEPHONES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED FOR WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...
HAIL LESS THAN THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...OR SIGNIFICANT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3495 8355 3494 8360 3492 8359 3491 8363
      3488 8366 3482 8365 3480 8368 3476 8363
      3473 8362 3471 8364 3457 8388 3452 8416
      3476 8392 3499 8389 3499 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 1030Z 245DEG 40KT 3501 8387 3470 8387 3454 8412

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
633 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W ROLSTON             34.67N  84.37W
04/20/2015                   GILMER             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE GILMER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED MULTIPLE
            TREES DOWN AND 1100 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER. TREES WERE
            BLOCKING ROY ROAD AND BIG CREEK ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500223

20

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
640 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

GAZ014-022-201115-
DAWSON GA-FORSYTH GA-
640 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
RAIN IN DAWSON AND FORSYTH COUNTIES UNTIL 715 AM EDT...

AT 640 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FREE HOME...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
DAWSONVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

LIGHTNING DETECTION SYSTEMS INDICATE NUMEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS DAWSON AND FORSYTH COUNTIES...INCLUDING
AREAS AROUND
DAWSONVILLE...DOUGHERTY...MATT...HIGHTOWER...SILVER CITY...HOLLIS
LATHEM RESERVOIR AND WAR HILL PARK.

RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD STAY INDOORS.  ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES
AND TELEPHONES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED FOR WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...
HAIL LESS THAN THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...SIGNIFICANT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING OR HEAVY RAIN.

LAT...LON 3446 8410 3442 8398 3440 8397 3439 8398
      3436 8398 3433 8396 3433 8395 3432 8395
      3426 8426 3439 8426 3447 8410
TIME...MOT...LOC 1040Z 247DEG 48KT 3432 8426

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
700 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

GAZ023-024-201130-
BANKS GA-HALL GA-
700 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PENNY SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN BANKS AND HALL COUNTIES UNTIL 730 AM EDT...

AT 659 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
CLERMONT TO NEAR GAINESVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PENNY SIZED SIZED HAIL...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS BANKS AND HALL COUNTIES THROUGH 730 AM EDT.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
GAINESVILLE...HOMER...LULA...CLERMONT...PINEFIELD CROSSROADS...
MURRAYVILLE AND HOLLINGSWORTH.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED FOR WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...
HAIL LESS THAN THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...OR SIGNIFICANT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3450 8378 3450 8367 3443 8361 3449 8354
      3448 8347 3446 8340 3444 8339 3439 8338
      3435 8339 3430 8394 3446 8390 3450 8384
      3450 8379 3452 8378
TIME...MOT...LOC 1059Z 252DEG 42KT 3451 8387 3435 8391

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
736 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 AM     TSTM WND GST     RISING FAWN             34.76N  85.53W
04/20/2015  E60 MPH          DADE               GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A 60 MPH GUST AS THE LEADING
            EDGE OF THE THUNDERSTORM REACHED RISING FAWN.

0535 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW TAILS CREEK       34.66N  84.63W
04/20/2015                   GILMER             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE GILMER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TREES AND
            POWER LINES DOWN ON RIDGEWAY CHURCH ROAD.

0550 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W ROLSTON             34.67N  84.37W
04/20/2015                   GILMER             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE GILMER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED MULTIPLE
            TREES DOWN AND 1100 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER. TREES WERE
            BLOCKING ROY ROAD AND BIG CREEK ROAD.

0550 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CHERRY LOG              34.79N  84.39W
04/20/2015                   GILMER             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE GILMER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TREES AND
            POWER LINES DOWN IN CHERRY LOG.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500222 FFC1500224 FFC1500223 FFC1500225

20

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
937 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CLEVELAND               34.60N  83.76W
04/20/2015                   WHITE              GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TWO TREES DOWN IN CLEVELAND.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500226

JLF