Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Kansas City, MO

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

723 
WWUS83 KEAX 172358
RFWEAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
658 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2015


KSZ025-102>104-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>024-028-029-180100-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150318T0000Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-
WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-
DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-PLATTE-CLAY-
658 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND WINDS
AROUND 20 MPH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...
005...006...007...008...011...012...013...014...015...016...017...
020...021...022...023...024...025...028...029...102...103 AND
104...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS
CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING.

WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND MOSTLY LOST THEIR GUSTS. WITH HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION AND TEMPERATURES COOLING... HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE. THUS THE RED FLAG WARNING IS
CANCELLED. 

$$

CDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
542 AM CDT Tue Mar 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 349 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2015

Significantly cooler temperatures are anticipated in the wake of a
strong cold front which swept through the region early this morning;
however, highs are still expected to reach or even slightly exceed
their seasonal normals in the mid to possibly upper 50s. Surface
high pressure will then build late Tuesday night, allowing temps to
drop to or below freezing by early Wednesday morning. Wildfire danger
is not expected to be quite as high this afternoon as in previous
days, since NNE winds will begin to diminish by the time RH drops
this afternoon. However, a period of RH less than 30% and NNE winds
greater than 10 mph is expected across northwest MO and northeast KS
this afternoon, elevating the fire danger.

A shortwave trough is still progged to lift northeastward into the
region Wednesday afternoon, spreading the potential for light rain
showers across the southern and especially southeastern half of the
CWA. Measurable precipitation will likely hold off until afternoon,
due to the fairly significant dry air that will have to be overcome
before precipitation begins to fall, and amounts should be at most a
few tenths of an inch across central MO, tapering to just a few
hundredths by the MO River. Cooler air filtering in under the upper
trough and cloud cover/evaporative cooling associated with any rain
showers will make Wednesday the coolest day in the forecast period,
with highs remaining in the lower to mid 50s.

As the upper trough exits the region, warmer temperatures will begin
again by Thursday and continue into to build into the end of the
work week, bringing highs back into the 60s for both Friday and
Saturday. A few rain chances are also possible this weekend as upper
level flow flattens and allows a few weak disturbances to wash
through the area this weekend, but potential rainfall amounts look
low at this point.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 542 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2015

Breezy conditions and a few scattered low clouds are expected this
morning as a cold front sweeps through the area. Although patches of
MVFR stratus are possible through 15z, the duration of any broken
ceilings is too short to warrant a mention in the TAF at this time.
Otherwise, just scattered high clouds and gradually diminishing NNE
winds are forecast through the remainder of the TAF period.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Laflin
AVIATION...Laflin

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
228 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-171930-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
228 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CRITICAL WILDFIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HUMIDITY WILL DROP INTO THE 15 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE...WHILE WINDS
GUST BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH AREA WIDE. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL THE OUTLOOK AREA OUTSIDE OF CENTRAL MISSOURI.

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.