Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Wind Advisories in 2015
Wind Advisory 7, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this wind advisory at Nov 13, 2015, 9:51 AM EST for 26 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 13, 2015, 9:51 AM EST (14:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 13, 2015, 6:00 PM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
All 26 counties
Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1873 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 75 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
296 WWUS71 KCTP 131451 NPWCTP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 951 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 PAZ017>019-024>028-033>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-132300- /O.NEW.KCTP.WI.Y.0007.151113T1451Z-151113T2300Z/ CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR- HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...PHILIPSBURG... STATE COLLEGE...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION... LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG... CHAMBERSBURG...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG... SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG... BERWICK...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...POTTSVILLE...LEBANON... CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 951 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH TODAY. * IMPACTS...SCATTERED TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE. DIFFICULTY DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS OF 46 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE CAUTION AND CONSIDER AVOIDING AREAS EXPOSED TO STRONG CROSS-WINDS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN AWAY IF NOT STORED OR TIED DOWN. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE OR MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && $$ BG
1 follow-up statement
977 WWUS71 KCTP 132318 NPWCTP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 618 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 DEFAULT OVERVIEW SECTION PAZ017>019-024>028-033>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-140030- /O.EXP.KCTP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-151113T2300Z/ CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR- HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...PHILIPSBURG... STATE COLLEGE...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION... LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG... CHAMBERSBURG...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG... SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG... BERWICK...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...POTTSVILLE...LEBANON... CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 618 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE WIND WILL REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY...BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA OVERNIGHT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 13, 7:32 AM EST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 13, 7:32 AM EST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 732 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 .SYNOPSIS... COLD AIR WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES RATHER STEADY OR EVEN FALLING TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS. A DUSTING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS BY NIGHTFALL. A BETTER CHANCE FOR A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IN THE LAKE EFFECT AREAS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE WEST WIND WILL BE GUSTY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND BRINGING COOL AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... 630 AM UPDATE... CLOUDS EATEN UP BY THE DOWNSLOPE WARMING TO THE SE OF UNV. HOWEVER...THICKER STRATUS MOVING IN NOW. SOME OF THAT SHIELD SHOULD SURVIVE DEEPER INTO THE SUSQ VALLEY...ESP WHEN THE BIG PUSH FROM THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS DOWN LATER THIS AFTN. WINDS STILL GUSTING INTO THE 20S AREA WIDE. AOO WITH THE GAP WIND AND UNV ARE STILL INTO THE 30S AT TIMES. NO SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES TO THE GOING FCST. SLIGHT TWEAKS TO TIMING OF CHANGE TO SNOW WITH AN EYE TOWARD HRRR P-TYPE. PREV... LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS ON RADAR...BUT MOSTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA DUE TO THE WESTERLY FETCH. THE TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN KEPT IN CHECK BY THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND WELL-MIXED BLYR. SOME BREAKS ARE SEEN OVER THE AREA THOUGH THEY MAY BE SHORT-LIVED AS MORE-SOLID STRATUS MOVING IN FROM OHIO SHORTLY. 8H TEMPS DO DROP ABOUT 4C THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS...AND SFC TEMPS WILL PROBABLY HOLD OF EVEN DIP SOME IN THE MORNING. IF THE SERN ZONES CAN GET SOME SUN TODAY THE TEMPS SHOULD RISE A FEW DEGS BUT MAY NOT GET BACK TO WHERE THEY ARE HERE AT 09Z. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... A VERY POTENT SHORTWAVE CROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TODAY AND BLASTS THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA THIS EVENING THIS WAVE DEEPENS THE TROUGH OVER ERN CANADA TONIGHT...BUT HEIGHTS RISE QUICKLY AFTER THE TROUGH PASSES THIS EVENING. STILL...THE STRENGTH OF THE WAVE WILL CERTAINLY ADD TO THE LIFT AND CREATE WIDESPREAD SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS EARLY TONIGHT. MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD NOT SEE ANY ACCUMULATION...BUT WILL CARRY AN INCH TO TWO OVER THE NWRN MTNS. THE HEAVIEST OF THE SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 4 AM. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL BE SLIDING THROUGH LATER TONIGHT AND THE SUBSIDENCE FROM THE ADVANCING HIGH SHOULD KILL THINGS OFF AROUND SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTERWARD ON SATURDAY. THE 1030MB HIGH IS ONCE AGAIN OF PACIFIC ORIGIN AND NOT OUT OF CANADA BUT IT WILL RUN ABOUT 3-8F COOLER THAN NORMAL FOR MAXES ON SAT. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA EXPANDS TO COVER ABOUT 3/4S OF THE CONUS. AFTER A NEARLY NORMAL COLD START TO SUNDAY...MOST PLACES WILL GET BACK TO ABOUT 5F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS FOR SUNDAY THANKS TO THE SUN. THE WEATHER WILL BE DRY AND QUIET WITH A WARMING TREND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND SOUTHERLY WINDS BRING A RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS. THE NEXT CHC OF RAIN WILL BE LATER WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. && .AVIATION /13Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... MVFR TO LOW VFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AIRSPACE TODAY. MVFR CIGS WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO THE WESTERN 1/3 OF THE AIRSPACE IN ZOB SECTOR. EXPECT FREQUENT SFC WIND GUSTS 25-35KT FROM 270-300 TODAY WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OCNL GUSTS MAY EXCEED 40KT. THE LOW LEVEL TURBULENT MIXING WILL RESULT IN A PRETTY BUMPY TAKEOFF AND FINAL APPROACH INTO AND OUT OF LOCAL AIRFIELDS. LAKE AND TERRAIN ENHANCED RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS INVOF OF BFD THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN IFR SHSN AT BFD AFT 00Z. JST WILL ALSO LKLY EXPERIENCE OCNL IFR VSBY IN SHSN LATER TONIGHT. THE SHSN ACTIVITY CONTINUES INTO EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE DECREASING IN COVERAGE SATURDAY AFTN AND ENDING SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS VFR FLYING FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. OUTLOOK... SAT...IFR/MVFR AT BFD-JST BCMG MVFR/VFR. MAINLY VFR ELSEWHERE. SUN-TUE...NO SIG WX EXPECTED. && .CLIMATE... THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL LIKELY PUT US BELOW NORMAL FOR A 7-DAY STRETCH FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE MID-OCTOBER. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SYNOPSIS...DANGELO NEAR TERM...DANGELO SHORT TERM...DANGELO LONG TERM...BGM AVIATION...STEINBUGL CLIMATE...DANGELO
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 13, 3:25 AM EST, 6 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 325 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-140830- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND- ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 325 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2015Every wind advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.