Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Cleveland, OH

326 
WWUS51 KCLE 230810
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
410 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

OHC007-055-085-230845-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-150623T0845Z/
ASHTABULA OH-LAKE OH-GEAUGA OH-
410 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 AM EDT
FOR ASHTABULA...LAKE AND CENTRAL GEAUGA COUNTIES...

AT 409 AM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR NORTH KINGSVILLE TO CLEVELAND HEIGHTS...MOVING 
EAST AT 60 MPH. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS LINE OF STORMS.  TAKE 
SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.  

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PAINESVILLE...ASHTABULA...WILLOWICK...CONNEAUT...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FAIRPORT HARBOR...GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE...EUCLID...MENTOR...
WILLOUGHBY...EASTLAKE...MADISON...NORTH KINGSVILLE...PERRY...
ORWELL...ANDOVER...TIMBERLAKE...LAKELINE AND CHESTERLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING WIDESPREAD 
WIND DAMAGE ACROSS. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND 
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
 
&&

LAT...LON 4150 8052 4150 8139 4156 8139 4157 8149
      4164 8149 4176 8129 4176 8124 4186 8101
      4187 8090 4191 8080 4192 8072 4198 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 0809Z 275DEG 32KT 4198 8066 4150 8153 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

KUBINA

502 
WWUS51 KCLE 230842
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

OHC007-055-085-230851-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-150623T0845Z/
ASHTABULA OH-LAKE OH-GEAUGA OH-
442 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ASHTABULA...LAKE AND CENTRAL
GEAUGA COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 AM EDT...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4150 8052 4150 8139 4156 8139 4157 8149
      4164 8149 4176 8129 4176 8124 4186 8101
      4187 8090 4191 8080 4192 8072 4198 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 0839Z 270DEG 55KT 4198 8066 4150 8153 

$$

KUBINA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
310 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THIS
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES LATE
TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A WARM FRONT WITH A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NW. THIS
LINE WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. STILL MONITORING THIS
LINE FOR SEVERE WEATHER. 88D SHOWING PRETTY STRONG OUTFLOW FROM
THE STORMS. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY HAS SLIGHTLY DIMINISHED THE PAST
FEW MINUTES. HOPEFULLY THIS MEANS THE LINE HAS FINALLY BEGUN TO
WEAKEN. WILL STAY WITH HIGH POPS THROUGH DAYBREAK AND THEN TAPER
OFF PRECIP CHANCES FROM NW TO SE THIS MORNING. THE COLD FRONT
SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE AREA BY MIDDAY. SOME OF THE
GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY THE NAM REDEVELOP STORMS OVER THE SE END OF
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE PREVIOUS FORECAST HAD DRY WEATHER ALL
AREAS BY MIDDAY BUT HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP A VERY SMALL MENTION IN
THE SE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON OF SO. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT SKIES TO
GRADUALLY BECOME SUNNY. DEWPOINTS WILL DROP A GOOD 10 DEGREES BY
LATE AFTERNOON. HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE WEATHER WILL BE QUIET BY THIS EVENING WITH PLEASANT WEATHER
THEN EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS
THROUGH THE REGION WITH NORTHERLY FLOW FOR A TIME. THIS WILL USHER
SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS
DIPPING INTO THE LOWER 50S AND MAYBE EVEN THE UPPER 40S. TEMPS
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE SEASONABLE AND RATHER PLEASANT AS
COMPARED TO THE PAST WEEK. MODELS STILL HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH
THE WARM FRONT SET TO RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE WARM
FRONT MAY BE A LITTLE SLOWER TO ARRIVE THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT AND
CONFIDENT THE FIRST HALF OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE DRY. WILL
STILL NEED HIGH POPS FOR THURSDAY AS THE FRONT WILL BE OVERHEAD.
SOME TRAINING STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD OCCUR. RIGHT
NOW EXPECT MOST AREAS TO SEE BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND INCH OF
RAINFALL. DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL YOU BELIEVE...THINGS WILL DRY
OUT FROM THE NORTH ON THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE
THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS DRYING AS IT PUSHES THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY WELL TO THE SOUTH. NOT COMFORTABLE WITH REMOVING POPS BUT
HAVE LOWERED TO THE CHANCE CATEGORY BY 06Z FRIDAY. HAVE USED A
BLEND OF GUIDANCE TEMPS FOR THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT DISCUSSION TODAY AS POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER ABOUT TO AFFECT
THE LOCAL AREA THIS MORNING.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGHINESS WILL DEEPEN WITH TIME THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS WEST COAST RIDGE AMPLIFIES DURING THE SAME PERIOD. THIS
WILL CAUSE A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURES TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST ACROSS
THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO
MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AS LOWS PULL OUT TO THE EAST ALLOWING
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. A COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO
MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA ON MONDAY BRINGING WITH IT ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...FORECAST AREA WILL
EXPERIENCE A SLIGHT COOL DOWN THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOME WARMING
BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN CONFINED TO
SOUTHERN MI. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY SNEAK INTO THE TOL AREA
AROUND 08Z...BUT EXPECT IT TO BE IN A WEAKENED STATE. THEN COLD
FRONT WILL BEGIN ITS PUSH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT MVFR VIS AND CIGS TO DEVELOP
BRIEFLY BEFORE SUNRISE AT TERMINALS THAT SEE RAIN. CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR BY MID MORNING AS DRY AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND
THE FRONT.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR LIKELY THU AND EARLY FRI IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT INTO EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND A COLD FRONT. WINDS
MAY DROP OFF A LITTLE FASTER ON THE WESTERN BASIN AND MAY BE ABLE TO
CANCEL THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY BY MID-MORNING IF WINDS REMAIN BELOW
20 KNOTS. WANTING TO SEE HOW WINDS RESPOND TO THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT BEFORE ADJUSTING THE EXPIRATION TIMES. WINDS AND WAVES WILL BE
HIGHER ON THE EAST END OF THE LAKE AND THE ADVISORY WILL NEED TO
REMAIN IN EFFECT INTO THE AFTERNOON.

WINDS WILL DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
EXPANDS EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN
OVERHEAD THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WIND AND WAVE
CONDITIONS. SOME INCREASE IN WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AS THE NEXT LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     LEZ142>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KUBINA
NEAR TERM...KUBINA
SHORT TERM...KUBINA
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...MAYERS
MARINE...LOMBARDY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
922 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-240130-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
922 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS LAKE ERIE AND NORTHERN OHIO.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. A FEW TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY BEFORE 2 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.