Alert archive / Ohio / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 69, NWS Cleveland, OH

December 27, 2015Trumbull County, Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this river flood warning at Dec 27, 2015, 10:13 AM EST for Trumbull County, Ohio. It took effect at Dec 27, 2015, 11:08 AM EST. It was in force for 42 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 27, 2015, 10:13 AM EST (15:13 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 27, 2015, 11:08 AM EST
Expired: Dec 29, 2015, 4:38 AM EST
In force: 42 hr
Issued by: NWS Cleveland, OH
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Trumbull County, OH

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Eagle Creek (Trumbull Co) at Phalanx Station (PHAO1). The gauge peaked at 12.32 ft at Dec 28, 2015, 5:00 AM EST.

Action stage: 8 ft
Minor stage: 9.5 ft
Moderate stage: 13.5 ft
Major stage: 15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03093000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

327 
WGUS41 KCLE 271513
FLWCLE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1013 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC155-272313-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0069.151227T1608Z-151228T1231Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1608Z.151227T2100Z.151228T0631Z.UU/
1013 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a 

* Flood warning for 
  the Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
* From this morning until Monday morning
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was...9.1 feet 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet 
* Forecast...The river will rise to 10.9 feet late this afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
BM

8 follow-up statements

377 
WGUS81 KCLE 272015
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
315 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC155-280415-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151229T0306Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1613Z.151228T0300Z.151228T2106Z.UU/
315 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At  3:00 PM Sunday the stage was 10.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 10.6 feet by late tonight.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
BM

051 
WGUS81 KCLE 280346
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Eagle Creek Above Findlay
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC101-281146-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0070.151228T0340Z-151229T1200Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.151228T0240Z.151228T1200Z.151229T0600Z.NO/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 10:00 PM Sunday the stage was 11.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will rise to 11.2 tonight.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas in and around the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC075-169-281146-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0071.151228T0341Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.151228T0341Z.151228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 PM Sunday the stage was 14.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and rise to near 15.2 
  feet by late tonight. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.
* At 15.0 feet...Several low lying roads in Holmes County including 
  County Road 1, Township Road 91, and County Road 621 are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC063-281103-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-151228T1103Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.151228T0245Z.151228T0400Z.151228T0503Z.UU/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek Above Findlay.
* At 10:00 PM Sunday the stage was 9.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast..The creek will rise to 9.2 feet tonight.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 10.0 feet...Water from the Eagle Creek will impact portions of 
  South Blanchard Street, Brookside Drive, Fremont and Graceland 
  Streets. The intersections of Beechmont Drive with Fairmont and 
  Rosemont Drives flood. 
* At 9.0 feet...Eagle Creek will overrun its banks and begin to 
  inundate portions of Fremont and Graceland Avenue. Water wiill 
  inudate a field near Rosemont Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

OHC155-281146-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151230T0013Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1613Z.151228T0400Z.151229T1813Z.UU/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At 10:00 PM Sunday the stage was 11.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Forecast...The creek will rise to 11.6 feet tonight.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

GARNET

959 
WGUS81 KCLE 280930
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
430 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in ...

  Eagle Creek Above Findlay

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC101-281730-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.151228T0240Z.151228T0900Z.151229T0600Z.NO/
430 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At  4:00 AM Monday the stage was 11.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by late 
  tonight.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas in and around the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC075-169-281730-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151228T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
430 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At  4:00 AM Monday the stage was 15.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to a stage of 15.2 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.
* At 15.0 feet...Several low lying roads in Holmes County including 
  County Road 1, Township Road 91, and County Road 621 are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC063-281000-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-151228T1103Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.151228T0245Z.151228T0600Z.151228T0718Z.UU/
430 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Eagle Creek Above Findlay.
* At  4:00 AM Monday the stage was 8.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at  2:18 AM Monday.
* Forecast...the river will fall to 3.5 feet by Tuesday morning.
* At 9.0 feet...Eagle Creek will overrun its banks and begin to 
  inundate portions of Fremont and Graceland Avenue. Water wiill 
  inudate a field near Rosemont Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

OHC155-281729-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151230T0013Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1613Z.151228T0900Z.151229T1813Z.UU/
430 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At  4:00 AM Monday the stage was 12.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* At 13.0 feet...Flooding begins on Braceville Robinson Road. 
  Portions of Barcley Messerly Road south of Eagle Creek Road will be
  impassable. Some homes will be threatened.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.


&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

010 
WGUS81 KCLE 281619
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1118 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
  Grand River At Painesville
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC085-290018-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0075.151228T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.151228T2100Z.151229T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Grand River At Painesville.
* from this afternoon through Wednesday.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and rise 
  to near 8.3 feet BY Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 8.5 feet...Low land flooding adjacent to the river in the 
  metropark likely. Vrooman Road inundated.
* At 8.0 feet...Water levels will overrun the banks along the 
  metropark south of Painesville. 

&&

LAT...LON 4173 8130 4176 8124 4173 8120 4176 8100
      4173 8100 4169 8123             

$$

OHC101-290018-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151230T0400Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.151228T0240Z.151228T1800Z.151229T2200Z.NO/
1118 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At 11:00 AM Monday the stage was 11.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will begin to fall this afternoon and drop
  below flood stage by late Tuesday. 
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas in and around the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-290018-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0073.151229T0730Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.151229T0730Z.151230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* from late tonight through Thursday.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 8.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late tonight and rise to near 
  10.3 feet BY Tuesday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 10.0 feet...Highway 203 is inaccessible north of Prospect. 
  Flooding occurs near Elm Street in northern parts of Prospect.
* At 9.0 feet...Water inundates low portions of Highway 203 north of 
  Prospect.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-290018-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151228T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At 11:00 AM Monday the stage was 15.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 15.3 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.  Additional rises are possible thereafter. 
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.
* At 15.0 feet...Several low lying roads in Holmes County including 
  County Road 1, Township Road 91, and County Road 621 are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-290018-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-151229T0705Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151228T1515Z.151229T0105Z.NO/
1118 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 10.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.
* At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding will occur near the town of 
  Leavittsburg.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-290018-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151231T0230Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1613Z.151228T0930Z.151230T2030Z.UU/
1118 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At 11:00 AM Monday the stage was 12.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
mitchell

081 
WGUS81 KCLE 282038
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
338 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Grand River At Painesville
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC085-290438-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0075.151228T2153Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.151228T2153Z.151229T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
338 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Grand River At Painesville.
* through Wednesday.
* At  3:00 PM Monday the stage was 7.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and rise 
  to near 8.3 feet BY Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 8.5 feet...Low land flooding adjacent to the river in the 
  metropark likely. Vrooman Road inundated.
* At 8.0 feet...Water levels will overrun the banks along the 
  metropark south of Painesville. 

&&

LAT...LON 4173 8130 4176 8124 4173 8120 4176 8100
      4173 8100 4169 8123             

$$

OHC101-290438-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151230T0400Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.151228T0240Z.151228T1445Z.151229T2200Z.NO/
338 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At  3:00 PM Monday the stage was 11.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by late
  Tuesday.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas in and around the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-290438-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0073.151229T0542Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.151229T0542Z.151230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
338 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* from late tonight through Thursday.
* At  3:00 PM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late tonight and rise to near 
  10.5 feet BY early Wednesday morning. Additional rises are possible
  thereafter.
* At 10.0 feet...Highway 203 is inaccessible north of Prospect. 
  Flooding occurs near Elm Street in northern parts of Prospect.
* At 9.0 feet...Water inundates low portions of Highway 203 north of 
  Prospect.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-290437-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151228T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
338 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At  3:00 PM Monday the stage was 15.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 15.3 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.  Additional rises are possible thereafter. 
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.
* At 15.0 feet...Several low lying roads in Holmes County including 
  County Road 1, Township Road 91, and County Road 621 are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-290407-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-151229T0407Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151228T1515Z.151228T2207Z.NO/
338 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* At  3:15 PM Monday the stage was 10.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.
* At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding will occur near the town of 
  Leavittsburg.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-290437-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151230T1933Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1613Z.151228T0930Z.151230T1333Z.UU/
338 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At  3:00 PM Monday the stage was 11.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
Mitchell

472 
WGUS81 KCLE 290120
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
820 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Grand River At Painesville
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Scioto River Near Prospect

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC085-290920-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.151229T0246Z.151229T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
820 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Grand River At Painesville.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 7.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and rise to near 8.3 
  feet by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 8.5 feet...Low land flooding adjacent to the river in the 
  metropark likely. Vrooman Road inundated.
* At 8.0 feet...Water levels will overrun the banks along the 
  metropark south of Painesville. 

&&

LAT...LON 4173 8130 4176 8124 4173 8120 4176 8100
      4173 8100 4169 8123             

$$

OHC101-290919-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151230T0400Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.151228T0240Z.151228T1445Z.151229T2200Z.NO/
820 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 11.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas in and around the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-290919-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
820 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 9.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 10.5 feet by early Wednesday
  morning.  Additional rises are possible thereafter. 
* At 10.0 feet...Highway 203 is inaccessible north of Prospect. 
  Flooding occurs near Elm Street in northern parts of Prospect.
* At 9.0 feet...Water inundates low portions of Highway 203 north of 
  Prospect.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-290919-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-151230T1200Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151228T1300Z.151230T0600Z.NO/
820 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 15.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.
* At 15.0 feet...Several low lying roads in Holmes County including 
  County Road 1, Township Road 91, and County Road 621 are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-290919-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151229T1452Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1613Z.151228T0930Z.151229T0852Z.UU/
820 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by early 
  Tuesday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
Sefcovic

348 
WGUS81 KCLE 290611
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
111 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Grand River At Painesville
  Blanchard River Near Findlay
  Eagle Creek Above Findlay
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC085-291411-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-151230T1200Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.151229T1800Z.151230T0000Z.151230T0600Z.NO/
111 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Grand River At Painesville.
* At 12:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 8.5 feet...Low land flooding adjacent to the river in the 
  metropark likely. Vrooman Road inundated.
* At 8.0 feet...Water levels will overrun the banks along the 
  metropark south of Painesville. 

&&

LAT...LON 4173 8130 4176 8124 4173 8120 4176 8100
      4173 8100 4169 8123             

$$

OHC063-291411-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0076.151229T1048Z-151230T0906Z/
/FDYO1.1.ER.151229T1048Z.151229T1800Z.151230T0306Z.NO/
111 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Blanchard River Near Findlay.
* from early this morning to late tonight.
* At  1:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 12.0 feet...Water impacts River Street and Apple Alley on the 
  west side of Findlay, Blanchard Street between Sandusky and Main 
  Cross, and several streets south of Clinton Court near Riverside 
  Park.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding impacts areas near Riverside Park and East 
  Main Cross Street in the City of Findlay.
* At 10.0 feet...Water reaches East Main Cross Street near Lye Creek.
* At 9.0 feet...Flooding occurs on low lying roads along the river 
  west of Findlay, including County Road 140.
* At 8.0 feet...Water covers low lying portions of South River Road 
  and Howard Street on the west side of Findlay.


&&

LAT...LON 4107 8388 4106 8354 4098 8353 4098 8358
      4101 8359 4101 8388             

$$

OHC101-291410-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151230T2200Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.151228T0240Z.151228T1445Z.151230T1600Z.NO/
111 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At  1:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas in and around the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-291410-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
111 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* At 12:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 11.4 feet by this evening.  
  Additional rises are possible thereafter. 
* At 12.0 feet...Highway 203 inaccessible north of Prospect. Elm and 
  West River Road are flooded. Prospect and Upper Sandusky Roads are 
  also flooded.
* At 10.0 feet...Highway 203 is inaccessible north of Prospect. 
  Flooding occurs near Elm Street in northern parts of Prospect.
* At 9.0 feet...Water inundates low portions of Highway 203 north of 
  Prospect.


&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-291410-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-151230T1400Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151229T1200Z.151230T0800Z.NO/
111 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At  1:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.
* At 15.0 feet...Several low lying roads in Holmes County including 
  County Road 1, Township Road 91, and County Road 621 are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC063-291400-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-151229T1400Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.151229T0354Z.151229T0600Z.151229T0800Z.UU/
111 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek Above Findlay.
* At  1:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by early this 
  morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Water from the Eagle Creek will impact portions of 
  South Blanchard Street, Brookside Drive, Fremont and Graceland 
  Streets. The intersections of Beechmont Drive with Fairmont and 
  Rosemont Drives flood. 
* At 9.0 feet...Eagle Creek will overrun its banks and begin to 
  inundate portions of Fremont and Graceland Avenue. Water wiill 
  inudate a field near Rosemont Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

OHC155-291410-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151229T1452Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1613Z.151228T0930Z.151229T0852Z.UU/
111 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At  1:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

100 
WGUS81 KCLE 290938
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
438 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Blanchard River Near Findlay
  Eagle Creek Above Findlay
  Grand River At Painesville
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC085-291738-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-151230T1200Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.151229T1800Z.151230T0000Z.151230T0600Z.NO/
438 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Grand River At Painesville.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is forecast to crest near 8.1 feet this evening.
* At 8.5 feet...Low land flooding adjacent to the river in the 
  metropark likely. Vrooman Road inundated.
* At 8.0 feet...Water levels will overrun the banks along the 
  metropark south of Painesville. 

&&

LAT...LON 4173 8130 4176 8124 4173 8120 4176 8100
      4173 8100 4169 8123             

$$

OHC063-291738-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0076.151229T1200Z-151230T0040Z/
/FDYO1.1.ER.151229T1200Z.151229T1800Z.151229T1840Z.NO/
438 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Blanchard River Near Findlay.
* until this evening.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expect to crest near 11.1 feet this afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Water impacts River Street and Apple Alley on the 
  west side of Findlay, Blanchard Street between Sandusky and Main 
  Cross, and several streets south of Clinton Court near Riverside 
  Park.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding impacts areas near Riverside Park and East 
  Main Cross Street in the City of Findlay.
* At 10.0 feet...Water reaches East Main Cross Street near Lye Creek.


&&

LAT...LON 4107 8388 4106 8354 4098 8353 4098 8358
      4101 8359 4101 8388             

$$

OHC101-291738-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151230T2200Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.151228T0240Z.151229T0845Z.151230T1600Z.NO/
438 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas in and around the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-291738-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
438 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 11.4 feet by this evening.
* At 12.0 feet...Highway 203 inaccessible north of Prospect. Elm and 
  West River Road are flooded. Prospect and Upper Sandusky Roads are 
  also flooded.
* At 10.0 feet...Highway 203 is inaccessible north of Prospect. 
  Flooding occurs near Elm Street in northern parts of Prospect.
* At 9.0 feet...Water inundates low portions of Highway 203 north of 
  Prospect.


&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-291738-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-151230T1400Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151229T1200Z.151230T0800Z.NO/
438 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to crest near 15.4 feet this afternoon.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.
* At 15.0 feet...Several low lying roads in Holmes County including 
  County Road 1, Township Road 91, and County Road 621 are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC063-291529-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-151229T1529Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.151229T0354Z.151229T0900Z.151229T0929Z.UU/
438 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek Above Findlay.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage this 
  morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Water from the Eagle Creek will impact portions of 
  South Blanchard Street, Brookside Drive, Fremont and Graceland 
  Streets. The intersections of Beechmont Drive with Fairmont and 
  Rosemont Drives flood. 
* At 9.0 feet...Eagle Creek will overrun its banks and begin to 
  inundate portions of Fremont and Graceland Avenue. Water wiill 
  inudate a field near Rosemont Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

OHC155-291008-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151229T1452Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.151227T1613Z.151228T0930Z.151229T0627Z.UU/
438 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at  1:27 AM Tuesday.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

oudeman

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 27, 9:45 AM EST, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 9:45 AM EST, 28 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
945 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WAS SOUTH OF THE REGION AND IS EXPECTED TO
STALL NEAR THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS BOUNDARY WILL
LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY. AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
ALONG THE FRONT ON TUESDAY AND CROSSES LAKE HURON IT WILL PULL A
COLD FRONT EAST ACROSS THE REGION. A SERIES OF REINFORCING COLD
FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
COLD FRONT IS SOUTHEAST OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA(CWA) THIS
MORNING. THIS HAS PUSHED THE HEAVIEST SWATCH OF CONVECTIVE
RAINFALL SOUTH OF THE REGION. WHILE SEVERAL OF THE RIVERS ACROSS
THE AREA HAVE RISEN IT APPEARS THAT MOST WILL BE ABLE TO HANDLE
ANOTHER .2 TO .75 INCHES THAT COULD OCCUR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURRING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CWA.

IT APPEARS THAT ALL LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY SEEN THEIR HIGH FOR
THE DAY WITH TEMPERATURES HOLDING STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE CLOUDY THROUGH THE DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS UPPER ENERGY FROM THE FIRST SYSTEM MOVES OFF TO THE EAST THIS
EVENING AND DRIER AIR PUSHES SOUTH...THE BACK EDGE OF THE LIGHT
RAIN SHOULD SHIFT SOUTH INTO MAINLY THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES BY
MIDNIGHT. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK MORE TOWARD THE
SOUTH INTO DAYBREAK MON INCREASING THE OVERRUNNING. THIS WILL
ALLOW THE PRECIP TO START TO PUSH BACK TO THE NORTHEAST BY THE END
OF THE NIGHT. THE AIRMASS COULD BE MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH FOR A
LITTLE SNOW TO MIX IF SOME OF THE PRECIP ENDS UP BEING FURTHER
NORTH THAN EXPECTED. ALSO THERE COULD BE A THREAT FOR SOME FZRA
TOO BUT THINK IF THE PRECIP IS FURTHER NORTH THEN LOWS WILL NOT BE
AS COLD AS FORECAST SO WON'T MENTION ANY FZRA.

THE NEXT LOW REMAINS ON TRACK TO LIFT NNE ACROSS LOWER MI AND LHUR
TUE INTO EARLY TUE NIGHT PULLING A TRAILING COLD FRONT EAST ACROSS
THE CWA. LIKEWISE...MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN LOOKS LIKELY
LATER MON AND MON NIGHT. THIS ADDED SIGNIFICANT RAIN ON TOP OF THE
CURRENT RAINFALL WILL HAVE A MUCH BETTER CHC TO PRODUCE FLOODING
PROBLEMS SO A FLOOD WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED FOR THIS. THE
AIRMASS BY MONDAY NIGHT COULD BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH THAT ALONG WITH THE
STRONG DYNAMICS COULD LEAD TO SOME THUNDER.

TEMPS STILL NEAR FREEZING MON EVE COULD ALLOW FOR SOME FZRA IN THE
EAST PART OF OUR NW PA COUNTIES. THE AIRMASS ABOVE THE SURFACE IS
SHOWN TO BE WARMING QUICKLY SO THINK ANY FZRA OR SLEET WOULD BE
BRIEF.

COOLER AIR MOVES IN AT ALL LEVELS TUE WHILE THE UPPER DYNAMICS SHIFT
OFF TO THE NE ALONG WITH THE DEEPER MOISTURE. THUS...EXPECT JUST
LINGERING LIGHT RAIN ON TUE. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NNE INTO THE
AREA FOR TUE NIGHT SO NOT EXPECTING PRECIP EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHC
FOR THE SNOWBELT.

ANOTHER S/W ROTATING THRU THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH WILL PULL ANOTHER
BATCH OF MOISTURE NORTH FROM THE GULF BUT MOST OF THIS SHOULD STAY
SE OF THE CWA WED AND WED NIGHT. HOWEVER...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
IS SHOWN PUSHING INTO THE AREA WED NIGHT WHICH MAY COLLECT ENOUGH
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SOME LIGHT PRECIP. TEMPS ON WED STILL LOOK TO
GET TO AT LEAST 40 DEGREES SO THINK THE PRECIP TYPE SHOULD BE MOSTLY
RAIN BUT TEMPS WED NIGHT SHOULD GET COLD ENOUGH TO SEE ANY POSSIBLE
PRECIP CHANGE TO MOSTLY SNOW WITH THE BEST THREAT IN THE SNOWBELT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM THIS MORNING. IT FINALLY LOOKS
LIKE THE AREA WILL SEE SOME WINTER WEATHER. EXPECTING A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE LAKE MEANING THAT LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SNOWBELT MOST OF THE PERIOD. SEVERAL
TROUGHS WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE LAKES DURING THE PERIOD AND AS
USUAL THE MODELS HAVE DIFFERENT TIMING AND TRACKS FOR THESE
FEATURES. THE MODELS HAVE 850 MB TEMPS COLDER THAN NEG 10 MOST OF
THE PERIOD AND AS COLD AS NEG 14 ON FRIDAY. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS
LIKE FRIDAY WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR DECENT ACCUMULATIONS.
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL GRADUALLY DRY OUT OVER THE WEEKEND DIMINISHING
THE THREAT FOR SNOW. AREAS AWAY FROM THE SNOWBELT WILL SEE A LOT
CLOUDS AND PASSING FLURRIES. HAVE USED A BLEND OF GUIDANCE TEMPS.
READINGS WILL BE SEASONABLE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FRONT IS ON IT'S WAY BACK SOUTHEAST AND HAS KICKED OFF SOME
CONVECTION. THUNDER NEAR KYNG SHOULD BE GONE IN THE NEXT HOUR LEAVING
A LOT OF RAIN TO CONTEND WITH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. EXPECT TOL
TO BEGIN TO DRY TOWARD MIDDAY BUT IT MAY TAKE TILL AFTER DARK FOR
THE SE END OF THE AREA TO DRY OUT. WITH THE NORTHERLY FLOW OFF THE
LAKE BEHIND THE FRONT...WIDESPREAD IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
WILL TRY TO IMPROVE CIGS TO MVFR FROM NW TO SE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THAT MAY BE OPTIMISTIC. THE FLOW WILL BECOME N TO
NNE BY MIDDAY ALL AREAS. EXPECT SOME GUSTINESS BY LATER THIS
MORNING. SOME GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL BE LIKELY.

OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD NON VFR RETURNING MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO
TUESDAY. NON VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY AGAIN WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO
THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS ACROSS LAKE ERIE. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTH TODAY ALLOWING NORTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP. SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL BE AROUND 15 KNOTS SO DO THINK WE NEED A SMALL CRAFT AT THIS
TIME. THE FLOW WILL BECOME NORTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE SOME
TONIGHT. STRONG EASTERLY FLOW IS STILL EXPECTED FOR
MONDAY...ESPECIALLY LATE IN THE DAY. WILL LEAVE THE GALE WATCH UP
FOR NOW BUT IT APPEARS THAT SUSTAINED 25 TO 30 KNOTS IS A BETTER
FORECAST THAN GALES. THE WINDOW FOR THE GALES WILL QUICKLY END
MONDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT COMES BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. THIS
WILL CAUSE THE FLOW TO RETURN TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. A COLD
FRONT WILL FOLLOW ON TUESDAY WITH THE FLOW BECOMING SW TO WEST.
MORE SMALL CRAFTS WILL BE NEEDED AT THAT TIME. WESTERLY FLOW WILL
THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD AS NUMEROUS TROUGHS
CROSS THE REGION.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
     LEZ142>146-162>166.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ADAMS
NEAR TERM...MULLEN
SHORT TERM...ADAMS
LONG TERM...KUBINA
AVIATION...KUBINA
MARINE...KUBINA

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 27, 4:25 AM EST, 5 hours 48 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
425 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-280930-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
425 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TODAY MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING
IN A FEW SPOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED FOR LATER
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT COULD PRODUCE AREAS OF FLOODING.

WINDS LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT MAY GUST 35 TO 40 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ142>146-162>166-280930-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
425 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-147>149-167>169-280930-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-
ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
425 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WINDS MONDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY NIGHT MAY APPROACH GALE FORCE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 27, 9:58 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	CLE	Trumbull	9 hr
Dec 27, 10:25 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	CLE	Holmes, Mahoning, Stark, Wayne	110 min
Dec 27, 4:05 PM EST	Small Craft Advisory	CLE		60 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Ohio, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.