Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2015
Small Craft Advisory 18, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Feb 22, 2015, 3:52 AM EST. It took effect at Feb 22, 2015, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 22, 2015, 3:52 AM EST (08:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 22, 2015, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 23, 2015, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
156 WHUS71 KBUF 220852 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 352 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 LOZ042-043-221700- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.150223T0000Z-150223T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 352 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMITH
9 follow-up statements
079 WHUS71 KBUF 221103 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 603 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 LOZ042-043-221915- /O.NEW.KBUF.UP.A.0001.150223T0000Z-150224T1800Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.150223T0000Z-150223T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 603 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS POSSIBLE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ062-063-221915- /O.NEW.KBUF.UP.A.0001.150223T0000Z-150224T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 603 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS POSSIBLE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ SMITH
268 WHUS71 KBUF 221505 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1005 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 LOZ042-043-222315- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.150223T0000Z-150223T1800Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.A.0001.150223T0000Z-150224T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1005 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS POSSIBLE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ062-063-222315- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.A.0001.150223T0000Z-150224T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1005 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS POSSIBLE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
022 WHUS71 KBUF 221901 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 201 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 LOZ042-043-230315- /O.UPG.KBUF.UP.A.0001.150223T0000Z-150224T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0005.150223T0600Z-150224T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.150223T0000Z-150223T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 201 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-063-230315- /O.UPG.KBUF.UP.A.0001.150223T0000Z-150224T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0005.150223T0600Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 201 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. && $$
010 WHUS71 KBUF 222027 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 327 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 LOZ042-043-230430- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.150223T0000Z-150223T1800Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.150223T0600Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 327 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-063-230430- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.150223T0600Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 327 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. && $$
553 WHUS71 KBUF 230354 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1054 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 LOZ042-043-231200- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150223T1800Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.150223T0600Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1054 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-063-231200- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.150223T0600Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1054 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. && $$
241 WHUS71 KBUF 231101 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 601 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015 LOZ042-043-231915- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150224T0000Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 601 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET IN ICE FREE AREAS. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-063-231915- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 601 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. && $$ HITCHCOCK/CHURCH
835 WHUS71 KBUF 231510 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1010 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015 LOZ042-043-232315- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150224T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150224T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1010 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-063-232315- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1010 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. && $$ RSH
996 WHUS71 KBUF 232039 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 339 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015 LOZ042-043-240445- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150224T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150224T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 339 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-063-240445- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 339 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. && $$ RSH
357 WHUS71 KBUF 240019 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 719 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015 LOZ042-043-240830- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150224T0000Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 719 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. && $$ LOZ062-063-240830- /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150224T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 719 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * FREEZING SPRAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON VESSELS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SPRAY FROM WAVE ACTION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARNING AREA. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 21, 11:56 PM EST, 3 hours 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 11:56 PM EST, 3 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1156 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THE RECENT STORM SYSTEM.
AIR TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE SUNDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...BRINGING POTENTIALLY RECORD
BREAKING COLD ALONG WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS BY MONDAY. WHILE
MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE PERIOD...TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
REGIONAL RADARS DISPLAY PRECIPITATION NOW ENDING OVER THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION THIS LATE EVENING. FARTHER WESTWARD...CLOUDY
SKIES WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S.
AS THE DEEPER MID-LEVEL MOISTURE IS STRIPPED OUT OVERNIGHT A WEAK
WESTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW MAY RESULT IN A TRANSITION TO AREAS OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE LATER ON TONIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS UPSLOPE
AREAS OF WESTERN NEW YORK AND EVENTUALLY THE NORTH COUNTRY. WE WILL
CONTINUE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN PLACE FOR MAINLY FREEZING
DRIZZLE EAST OF LAKE ERIE...AND TO ACCOUNT FOR THE ENDING SNOW EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN FREEZING DRIZZLE REMAINS MARGINAL...WITH FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUPPORTING FREEZING DRIZZLE IF PRECIPITATION OCCURS...BUT
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IF THE FLOW WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE
ANY PRECIPITATION.
WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
MORNING...HOWEVER THERE WILL STILL BE SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TRAPPED. AN ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE TOO COLD AHEAD OF THIS FRONT ON EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THEY WILL DROP ABRUPTLY WITH ITS PASSAGE
AROUND SUNSET SUNDAY EVENING. THERE MAY BE SOME SNOW SHOWERS WITH
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE SOUTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY EVENING SERVING UP
ANOTHER ROUND OF FRIGID AIR.
THE BOTTOM WILL FALL OUT SUNDAY EVENING AS TEMPERATURES PLUNGE
TOWARD ZERO BY MIDNIGHT AS THE CORE OF THE -24C TO -30C 850 MB AIR
ARRIVES BY MONDAY MORNING. INCREASED WINDS ACCOMPANY THE ARCTIC
FRONT...AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN AN IMPRESSIVE HIGH
MOVING FROM THE UPPER PLAINS TO THE MIDWESTERN STATES...AND THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA OVER THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE. THE COMBINATION OF
TEMPERATURES PLUNGING AND STEADY WINDS IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
ACROSS THE AREA WILL LIKELY PROMPT ANOTHER PERIOD OF BITTER WIND
CHILLS...WILL ISSUE A WIND CHILL WATCH MIDNIGHT THROUGH NOON ON
MONDAY.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW POTENTIAL OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL PICK UP ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST SHORE
OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH WINDS VEERING TO A LITTLE NORTH OF WEST. THE
MEAN NORTHWEST FLOW DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL CONCENTRATE THE
HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS FROM EASTERN NIAGARA COUNTY ACROSS TO SOUTHWEST
OSWEGO COUNTY...SIMILAR TO THE MOST RECENT LAKE EFFECT EVENT. EXPECT
THE HIGHEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE LAKE
SHORE...AND WILL TAPER OFF QUICKLY INLAND...DUE TO THE MULTIBANDED
STRUCTURE AND THE REDUCED FETCH DUE SOME ICE COVER ON LAKE ONTARIO.
SHOULD THESE LAKE PARAMETERS HOLD...ADVISORY HEADLINES MAY
EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE LAKE
SHORE.
TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY RECORD
SETTING COLD AIR FOR MONDAY. GLOBAL MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES ARE
IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON A STRONG 500 MB LOW PASSING NORTH OF NEW
YORK DURING THE DAY MONDAY. NAEFS PERCENTILES SHOW FORECAST 1000MB
AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN REACH RECORD VALUES FOR THE
1979-2009 CLIMATE PERIOD. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO LOW TEMPERATURES
MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING RANGING FROM AROUND 0 NEAR
LAKE ONTARIO TO TEENS BELOW ZERO AWAY FROM THE LAKE. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL LIKELY REMAIN WITHIN A FEW DEGREES
EITHER SIDE OF 0.
LOW TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY NIGHT WILL OCCUR EARLY AS WINDS BACK TO
SOUTHWESTERLY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. LOWS IN THE
NEGATIVE SINGLE NUMBERS WEST AND CENTRAL WITH NEGATIVE TEENS FOR THE
NORTH COUNTRY WILL RISE TO THE POSITIVE SIDE OF ZERO SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR THE WEST AND CENTRAL COUNTIES. THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL
RISE ABOVE ZERO DURING TUESDAY MORNING. THE ENTIRE REGION WILL
EXPERIENCE A WARMUP TO THE UPPER TEENS TO AROUND 20 ON TUESDAY AS
THE NEXT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BEARS DOWN ON US FROM CENTRAL ONTARIO.
SNOW WILL BE LIKELY LATE ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW
PASSES JUST TO OUR NORTH...WITH A RESURGENCE OF FRIGID AIR ON AN
ARCTIC FRONT POISED TO CROSS THE REGION DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT.
AFTER A PROLONGED SPELL OF VERY DRY AIR...THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
WILL BE ABLE TO TAP INTO A FAIRLY DEEP LAYER OF MOISTURE TO PROVIDE
A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATING SNOW BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS THE ARCTIC FRONT CROSSES THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE LOW WILL NOT BE AS
COLD AS IN RECENT EVENTS. HIGH TEMPS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY
EARLY. 850MB TEMPS DO FALL TO ABOUT -24C OVER LAKE ONTARIO ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND WITH A WELL ALIGNED WESTERLY WIND
WILL PRODUCE A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE INLAND
TO CENTRAL NY. LOWS WED NIGHT IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS CLOSE TO AND
DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND SINGLE NUMBERS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND NORTH COUNTRY. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL RISE BACK TO
THE UPPER SINGLE NUMBERS TO LOWER TEENS.
SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE UPPER PLAINS TO
BREADBASKET PROVINCES WILL BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING DRYING AND SUBSIDENCE TO
THE AREA WITH AN END OF THE LAKE EFFECT AND MORE SUNSHINE. STILL
COLD WITH HIGHS IN THE TEENS.
THE UPPER PATTERN BECOMES QUASIZONAL ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. DURING
THE END OF THE WEEK WITH A PACIFIC TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION TO THE PLAINS. THIS WILL BRING A GULF OF MEXICO
LOW INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES...AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE FLOWING
NORTHWARD MAY BRING SNOW TO THE REGION ON SATURDAY...MORE LIKELY ON
SUNDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT 06Z IFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WERE FOUND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER
WITH MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. AS MOISTURE IN THE LOWER LEVELS
SPREADS NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT SOME LOWER CIGS WITHIN THE MVFR RANGE
MAY SNEAK INTO THE NORTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER. ALSO THIS MOISTURE MAY
PRODUCE SOME SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE OVERNIGHT...BOTH EAST OF LAKE
ERIE AND ALSO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
ANY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL END AROUND DAY BREAK SUNDAY MORNING...WITH
A PERIOD OF MAINLY VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS. THIS BREAK WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER ARCTIC AIRMASS SPREADS ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF
THIS AIRMASS SOME SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH IFR VSBYS. ALSO
GUSTY WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL VEER TO WESTERLY THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS OF SUNDAY. THOUGH THE BURST OF SNOW WILL BE
BRIEF...EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO...ESPECIALLY OVER THE KROC AIRFIELD AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW
COMMENCES BEHIND THE FRONT.
OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...MVFR/IFR IN LAKE SNOW SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. VFR ELSEWHERE.
TUESDAY...VFR.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE.
&&
.MARINE...
RELATIVELY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS ON LAKE ONTARIO WILL PERSIST THROUGH
TONIGHT AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES THE REGION. A
FRESHENING WESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE PASSING LOW SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. AN ARCTIC FRONT DROPPING ACROSS THE LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT
WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WITH BRISK
WNW FLOW LASTING THROUGH MONDAY WITH WINDS BACKING TO THE SW TUESDAY
AHEAD OF ANOTHER CLIPPER THAT IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE GREAT
LAKES. ONE ADDITIONAL FACTOR TO CONSIDER IS THE INCREASING ICE
COVERAGE ON LAKE ONTARIO...WHICH IS HAVING AN INCREASING IMPACT ON
WAVE DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT OPEN AREAS REMAIN ON THE OPEN
WATERS...IT IS POSSIBLE THE NEARSHORE WATERS WILL FREEZE ONCE
ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.
&&
.CLIMATE...
---AS ARCTIC AIR AGAIN SWEEPS OVER THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT RECORD
LOW TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE AIRMASS. THE ARRIVAL OF THE
ARCTIC AIR LATER SUNDAY MAY NOT ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO
RECORD LEVELS BY THE CLOSE OF MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER ON MONDAY WE MAY
NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES FOR THE DATE. BELOW ARE THE RECORD
LOW MINIMUMS...AND RECORD LOW MAXIMUMS FOR OUR CLIMATE STATIONS.
STATION: DATE RECORD LOW (F) RECORD LOW MAXIMUM (F)
BUFFALO FEB 23RD -6 (1889) 1 (1889)
ROCHESTER FEB 23RD -5 (1889) 0 (1889)
WATERTOWN FEB 23RD -29 (1972) 12 (1965)
---THIS FEBRUARY IS WRAPPING UP TO BE ONE OF THE COLDEST AND
SNOWIEST MONTHS IN OUR PRIMARY CLIMATE STATIONS HISTORY. THE
CONTINUED NORTHWEST FLOW OF BITTERLY COLD AIR HAS LEFT THE MONTH OF
FEBRUARY A HISTORIC MONTH THAT WILL BE A BENCHMARK MARK FOR YEARS TO
COME. BELOW ARE THE COLDEST MONTHS IN EACH STATIONS HISTORY.
TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER GO BACK TO
1871...WHILE TEMPERATURE RECORDS IN WATERTOWN GO BACK TO 1950.
STATION: VALUE (F) MONTH (YEAR)
BUFFALO 11.6 FEB (1934)
13.4 FEB (1875)
13.8 JAN (1977)
14.1 JAN (1918)
14.6 FEB (1885)
14.9 FEB (1979)
15.5 FEB (1978)
15.6 JAN (1920)
15.6 JAN (1912)
16.2 JAN (1945)
ROCHESTER 12.6 FEB (1934)
13.7 FEB (1979)
14.4 FEB (1875)
14.5 FEB (1885)
14.8 JAN (1918)
14.9 JAN (1994)
15.2 JAN (1945)
15.5 JAN (1977)
15.7 JAN (1981)
16.1 JAN (1920)
WATERTOWN 6.4 DEC (1989)
6.5 JAN (1970)
6.9 JAN (1994)
7.9 FEB (1978)
8.0 JAN (1981)
8.1 JAN (2004)
8.4 FEB (1979)
10.0 JAN (2003)
10.1 JAN (1977)
10.3 JAN (1961)
CURRENT MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE LISTED ON THE CF6 CLIMATE
PRODUCT.
---FEBRUARY HAS ALSO BEEN A SNOWY MONTH AS A PERSISTENT TRACK OF
CLIPPERS WITHIN A NORTHWEST FLOW HAS MAINTAINED NICKEL AND DIME
SNOWS THROUGH THE MONTH...THIS AFTER A SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC STORM TO
START FEBRUARY. BELOW ARE THE TOP SNOWIEST FEBRUARY'S ON RECORD.
SNOWFALL RECORDS GO BACK TO 1884.
STATION: SNOW (IN) YEAR
BUFFALO 1 54.2 1958
2 49.5 1960
3 43.7 1910
4 42.2 2015 (DATA THROUGH 2/20)
ROCHESTER 1 64.8 1958
2 58.3 1960
3 46.5 2007
4 42.7 1910
5 40.7 1978
6 40.6 2015 (DATA THROUGH 2/20)
---IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BUFFALO REMAINS BELOW FREEZING THE ENTIRE
MONTH OF FEBRUARY. THIS HAS HAPPENED ONCE BEFORE...IN THE YEAR 1978.
---ROCHESTER HAS HAD 7 DAYS THIS MONTH WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES
FALLING BELOW ZERO. BELOW IS A LIST OF GREATEST NUMBER OF DAYS
IN FEBRUARY WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO...
NUMBER YEAR
10 1979
8 1934
7 1963
7 1875
7 2015 (DATA THROUGH 2/21)
THE GREATEST NUMBER OF DAYS IN A WINTER SEASON IN ROCHESTER THAT
HAVE MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW ZERO IS 15 DAYS SET BACK IN
1884-85.
---WATERTOWN HAS HAD 14 DAYS THIS MONTH WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES
FALLING BELOW ZERO. BELOW IS A LIST OF GREATEST NUMBER OF DAYS IN
FEBRUARY WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO...
NUMBER YEAR
16 1978
15 1993
15 1979
14 2015 (DATA THROUGH 2/21)
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ001-002-
006>008-010>012-019>021-085.
WIND CHILL WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
FOR NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...APFFEL/THOMAS
NEAR TERM...APFFEL/THOMAS
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...WCH
AVIATION...THOMAS
MARINE...APFFEL
CLIMATE...THOMASHazardous weather outlook, Feb 21, 3:21 PM EST, 12 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 321 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015 NYZ001-002-006>008-010>012-019>021-085-222030- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 321 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WIND CHILL WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ003>005-013-014-222030- MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- 321 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015 ...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-222030- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 321 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 6:03 AM EST | Heavy Freezing Spray Watch | BUF | 8 hr | |
| Feb 22, 1:57 PM EST | Wind Chill Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson and 6 more | 43 hr |
| Feb 22, 1:57 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BUF | Cayuga, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis, Livingston and 6 more | 43 hr |
| Feb 22, 2:01 PM EST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | BUF | 38 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.