Small Craft Advisory 147, NWS Buffalo, NY

794 
WHUS71 KBUF 022035
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
335 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015

LEZ040-041-030445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.151203T1200Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
335 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
10 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-030445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.151203T1200Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
335 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
10 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-030445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.151203T1200Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
335 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

120 
WHUS71 KBUF 030234
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
934 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015

LEZ040-041-031045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.151203T1200Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
934 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
10 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-031045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.151203T1200Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
934 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
10 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-031045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.151203T1200Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
934 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

538 
WHUS71 KBUF 031440
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
940 AM EST THU DEC 3 2015

LEZ040-041-032245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
940 AM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-032245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
940 AM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-032245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
940 AM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH

318 
WHUS71 KBUF 032035
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
335 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

LEZ040-041-040445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
335 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-040445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
335 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-040445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
335 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

467 
WHUS71 KBUF 032316
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
616 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

LEZ040-041-040730-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
616 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-040730-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
616 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-040730-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
616 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

166 
WHUS71 KBUF 040224
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
924 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

LEZ040-041-041030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
924 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-041030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
924 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-041030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
924 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

156 
WHUS71 KBUF 040457
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1157 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

LEZ040-041-041300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1157 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-041300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1157 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-041300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1157 PM EST THU DEC 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

569 
WHUS71 KBUF 041431
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
931 AM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

LEZ040-041-042245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
931 AM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-042245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
931 AM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-042245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
931 AM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

665 
WHUS71 KBUF 042024
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

LEZ040-041-050300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
324 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-050300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
324 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-050430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
324 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

569 
WHUS71 KBUF 042331
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
631 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

LEZ040-041-050300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
631 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-050300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
631 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-050600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
631 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

029 
WHUS71 KBUF 050245
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
945 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-050345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
945 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

$$

LOZ043>045-050600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
945 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

CHURCH

474 
WHUS71 KBUF 050603
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
103 AM EST SAT DEC 5 2015

LOZ043>045-050715-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151205T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
103 AM EST SAT DEC 5 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS AT THIS
TIME.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT ALONG A STALLED FRONT OVER CENTRAL
NEW YORK BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WILL
EVENTUALLY BE COLD ENOUGH TO ALLOW RAIN TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE OVER
TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF...ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS SHOULD BE MINIMAL.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS BACK IN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A STALLED FRONT IS ANALYZED GENERALLY ALONG THE SPINE OF THE
APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE FRONT OVER
WEST VIRGINIA WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT NORTH ALONG THE FRONT TODAY
WHILE SPREADING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NEW YORK. REGIONAL RADAR SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF RAIN OVER
PENNSYLVANIA PUSHING NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER AND GENESEE RIVER
VALLEY. HAVE SHIFTED THE RAIN FURTHER WEST AND INCREASED POPS WITH
THE MORNING UPDATE BASED ON 12Z NAM AND HRRR RUNS. THE WESTERN EDGE
OF THE PRECIP SHIELD WILL GLANCE NEAR OR JUST EAST OF BUFFALO AND
NIAGARA FALLS WITH ALL LOCATIONS EAST OF THIS LINE PICKING UP A
TENTH TO AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH WITH THIS HIGHER AMOUNT FALLING
ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND NORTH COUNTY. OUTSIDE OF THE
RAIN...EXPECT ANOTHER CLOUDY DAY AS THE WESTERN EDGE OF CLEARING
WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER CENTRAL LAKE ERIE AND JUST WEST OF LAKE
ONTARIO. TEMPS WILL NOT FLUCTUATE MUCH TODAY HOLDING IN THE MID 40S.

TONIGHT...THE SURFACE WAVE WILL SHIFT OVER NEW ENGLAND WITH SOME
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE LINGERING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.
THERE WILL BE A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WHERE WESTERN NEW YORK WILL SEE
SOME DRY TIME BEFORE THE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS ACROSS NEW YORK
BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF WIDE SPREAD MOISTURE AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SOME SNOW AS COLDER AIR ARRIVES.
WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY WHICH SHOULD DIRECT ANY ACCUMULATING
SNOW TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE FAR WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND TUG
HILL. TOTALS SHOULD RUN AROUND AND INCH OR LESS. ACROSS LOWER
ELEVATIONS INCLUDING THE MAJOR METRO AREAS THERE MAY BE A RAIN/SNOW
MIX LATE OVERNIGHT BUT NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. THUS THE
SNOWLESS CONDITION FOR BUFFALO WILL LIKELY REMAIN SO FOR A WHILE TO
COME. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE
INTERIOR HILLS...AND THE MID 30S ALONG THE SHORES OF THE GREAT LAKES
AND LAKE PLAINS TO THE FINGER LAKES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ON THURSDAY A SHARP MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE OTTAWA
VALLEY TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SEVERAL LOBES OF VORTICITY ROTATING
AROUND THE CLOSED LOW WILL CROSS THE LOWER LAKES AND BRING PERIODS
OF ENHANCED ASCENT. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH ABUNDANT WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS OF RAIN AND WET
SNOW ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL GROW JUST COLD ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT SOME MODEST LAKE ENHANCEMENT AS LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM
LEVELS RISE TO AROUND 11K FEET. THE MAIN FORCING FOR MORE PERSISTENT
PRECIPITATION WILL BE UPSLOPE FLOW IN THIS TYPE OF SETUP...WITH THE
GREATEST QPF FOUND ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE
JUST INLAND FROM LAKE ERIE AND ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN
ADIRONDACKS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY SHOULD PEAK MID TO LATE MORNING THURSDAY CORRESPONDING TO
THE BEST SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING AND MOISTURE...WITH A SLOW
DIMINISHING TREND DURING THE AFTERNOON.

BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES WILL BE MARGINAL FOR RAIN VS. WET SNOW
AND WILL BRING PTYPE ISSUES INTO PLAY. ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS
EXPECT A MIX OF RAIN AND WET SNOW...WITH THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR WET
SNOW BEING THURSDAY MORNING WHEN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE
COOLEST...AND PRECIP THE STEADIEST RESULTING IN SOME EVAPORATIVE AND
DYNAMIC COOLING. ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS TEMPERATURES SHOULD DROP
TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK AND SUPPORT A CHANGE TO ALL WET SNOW FOR
MOST OF THE DAY. EXPECT ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN FROM SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES INTO THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...AND ALSO THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN FOOTHILLS
OF THE ADIRONDACKS. THE BRISTOL HILLS SHOULD ALSO SEE AROUND AN
INCH. ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PREVENT ANY
ACCUMULATION.

IF BUFFALO CAN ESCAPE THIS PERIOD WITH NO MEASURABLE SNOW... A NEW
RECORD WILL BE SET FOR THE LATEST FIRST MEASURABLE SNOW. IN FACT THE
RECORD WOULD BE SHATTERED WITH LITTLE SNOW POTENTIAL IN THE LONG
TERM THROUGH AT LEAST DAY 10. THE PREVIOUS LATEST MEASURABLE SNOW ON
RECORD AT BUFFALO WAS DECEMBER 3RD SET IN 1899.

THURSDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE NEXT 7...BUT STILL ONLY NEAR
AVERAGE WITH HIGHS AROUND 40 AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AND MID 30S HIGHER
TERRAIN.

THURSDAY NIGHT THE MID LEVEL LOW AND DEVELOPING SECONDARY COASTAL
CYCLOGENESIS WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE AND ASCENT WILL STEADILY DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT
SCATTERED UPSLOPE/LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE TO END OVERNIGHT AS MOISTURE BECOMES TOO
SHALLOW. A FEW SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MAY PERSIST EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO THROUGH THE NIGHT...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN NEAR THE LAKE.
ANY ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT AND SPOTTY.

ON FRIDAY A SHARP BUT MOISTURE STARVED MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS
THE LOWER LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND. IN MOST AREAS THIS WILL JUST BRING
SOME ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THERE MAY BE JUST
ENOUGH ADDITION OF LAKE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE TROUGH TO SUPPORT A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. EXPECT
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS AND UPPER 30S TO AROUND
40 ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

FRIDAY NIGHT ANY SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL END. OTHERWISE A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SURFACE AND
ALOFT WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND BRING CLEARING
SKIES TO OUR REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE A PERIOD OF RARE BENIGN WEATHER
FOR EARLY METEOROLOGICAL WINTER WITH VERY MILD TEMPERATURES AND DRY
WEATHER.

OVER THE WEEKEND A STRONG RIDGE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD ACROSS
THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL PROVIDE PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE AND TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE...WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE DRY
WEATHER CONTINUES INTO AT LEAST MONDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS IN PLACE.

BY TUESDAY MODEL GUIDANCE BEGINS TO DIVERGE WITH THE HANDLING OF A
CLOSED LOW LIFTING OUT OF THE DEEP SOUTH. THE LATEST 00Z GFS BRINGS
THIS LOW THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND TOWARDS THE LOWER LAKES LATER
TUESDAY AND WOULD SPREAD RAIN INTO THE REGION. THE 00Z ECMWF MOVES
THIS SYSTEM IN A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES...KEEPING OUR REGION DRY. THE GEFS ENSEMBLES SHOW A GOOD
AMOUNT OF VARIABILITY WITH SOME MEMBERS FOLLOWING THE OPERATIONAL
SOLUTION AND SOME MORE IN THE ECMWF CAMP. GIVEN THE MODEL
UNCERTAINTY AND TIME RANGE FOR NOW WILL JUST STICK WITH THE
PREVIOUS CONTINUITY OF A DRY FORECAST FOR TUESDAY.

LOOKING A LITTLE FARTHER AHEAD...THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE
MILD PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 10-12 DAYS AS PACIFIC AIR
CONTINUES TO FLOOD THE NATION. BY THE MIDDLE OF DECEMBER...THE PAST
FEW RUNS OF THE GEFS ENSEMBLES SHOW MORE VARIABILITY IN THE LONGWAVE
PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA...WITH A FAIR NUMBER OF ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS SHOWING A PATTERN MORE CONDUCIVE TO ALLOWING COLD AIR TO
DRAIN SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE US. THIS IS STILL A VERY
LONG WAYS OFF...BUT SOMETHING TO WATCH AS WE HEAD TOWARDS THE MIDDLE
OF THE MONTH.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STALLED FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL NY WITH SURFACE WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE LIFTING NORTHEAST TOWARD NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TODAY.
THIS WILL MAINTAIN CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE REGION WITH RAIN EXPECTED
GENERALLY EAST OF KBUF/KIAG/KJHW ALTHOUGH ANY SLIGHT SHIFT TO THE
WEST MAY BRING LIGHT RAIN TO THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. LIFR WILL LINGER
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT. VFR CIGS AT
KBUF/KIAG/KART WILL FALL TO MVFR CIGS ALONG WITH KROC LATER TODAY
INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS RAIN EXPANDS NORTH. TONIGHT COLDER AIR ARRIVES
WITH SOME RAIN MIXING WITH THEN CHANGING TO SNOW WHICH WILL LOWER
VIS TO IFR AT KART AND KJHW.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR. A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS
EARLY.
FRIDAY TO SUNDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A SHORT LULL IN ELEVATED WINDS AND WAVES WILL OCCUR TODAY AS A WEAK
WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS NORTH ALONG A STALLED FRONT OVER CENTRAL
NEW YORK. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES THEN LOOK TO BE NEEDED THURSDAY AS
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FRESHENS AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
BETWEEN DEPARTING THE LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE MIDWEST.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SMITH
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...SMITH
MARINE...SMITH/WCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
502 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-031015-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
502 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-031015-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
502 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF