Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 18, 20154 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 18, 2015, 4:16 AM EDT for 4 counties in New York. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2015, 4:16 AM EDT (08:16 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2015, 7:15 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Genesee County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 18, 6:30 AM EDTHEAVY RAIN 1.244 E Rochester, NY24 HOUR RAINFALL.
Jul 18, 7:00 AM EDTHEAVY RAIN 2.245 Wnw Rochester, NY24 HOUR RAINFALL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2015-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 117 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2015-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 212 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
117 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1119 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
212 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
322 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

114 
WGUS51 KBUF 180816
FFWBUF
NYC037-055-073-117-181115-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0020.150718T0816Z-150718T1115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
416 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN GENESEE COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
  WEST CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
  MONROE COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
  SOUTHEASTERN ORLEANS COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 715 AM EDT
    
* AT 415 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
  ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  ROCHESTER...GREECE...IRONDEQUOIT...CHILI...BROCKPORT...EAST
  ROCHESTER...ALBION AND HILTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

&&

LAT...LON 4326 7828 4334 7775 4332 7771 4332 7773
      4331 7771 4331 7769 4328 7766 4323 7755
      4327 7742 4328 7733 4309 7738 4302 7817

$$

HIBBERT
2 follow-up statements
539 
WGUS71 KBUF 180932
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
532 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015

NYC037-117-180940-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150718T1115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GENESEE NY-WAYNE NY-
532 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GENESEE AND WEST CENTRAL
WAYNE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ALL ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 4313 7791 4313 7822 4326 7828 4334 7776
      4323 7755 4327 7742 4309 7739 4304 7795

$$

NYC055-073-181115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150718T1115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONROE NY-ORLEANS NY-
532 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 AM EDT FOR
MONROE AND SOUTHEASTERN ORLEANS COUNTIES...

AT 530 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. MORE THAN TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE 
ALREADY FALLEN. NUMEROUS FLOODING ISSUES ARE OCCURRING.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
ROCHESTER...GREECE...IRONDEQUOIT...CHILI...BROCKPORT...EAST
ROCHESTER...ALBION AND HILTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 7791 4313 7822 4326 7828 4334 7776
      4323 7755 4327 7742 4309 7739 4304 7795

$$

HIBBERT
176 
WGUS71 KBUF 181111
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
711 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015

NYC055-073-181118-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150718T1115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONROE NY-ORLEANS NY-
711 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR MONROE AND SOUTHEASTERN ORLEANS
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 AM EDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS MONROE AND ORLEANS COUNTIES. RAPID 
WATER RISES HAVE SLOWED...HOWEVER THERE MAY STILL BE AREAS WHERE 
HIGH WATER REMAINS IN PLACE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. HEED ANY ROAD 
CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 4313 7791 4313 7822 4326 7828 4334 7776
      4323 7755 4327 7742 4309 7739 4304 7795

$$

TMA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 3:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee, Monroe38 min
Jul 18, 5:03 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOntario42 min
Jul 18, 5:35 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFLivingston, Monroe, Ontario3 hr
Jul 18, 6:25 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston35 min
Jul 18, 7:00 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFOntario3 hr
Jul 18, 3:43 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 8 more29 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.