Alert archive / Connecticut / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

April 15, 2015Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Connecticut

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this river flood warning at Apr 15, 2015, 12:29 PM EDT for Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Connecticut. It took effect at Apr 16, 2015, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 8 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2015, 12:29 PM EDT (16:29 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 16, 2015, 11:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 24, 2015, 12:26 PM EDT
In force
8 days
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Connecticut River at Middle Haddam (MHDC3). The gauge peaked at 7.85 ft at Apr 17, 2015, 2:00 PM EDT.

actionminormoderate4681004/1504/1604/1704/1804/1904/2004/2104/2204/2304/2404/25
Action stage
5 ft
Minor stage
7 ft
Moderate stage
10.5 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01193050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

511 
WGUS41 KBOX 151640 CCA
FLWBOX

BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1229 PM EDT WED APR 15 2015



...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON, MA HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN CONNECTICUT...

  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLE HADDAM AFFECTING MIDDLESEX COUNTY
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT HARTFORD AFFECTING HARTFORD AND MIDDLESEX 
  COUNTIES


RAPID SNOWMELT ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO CHANNEL 
THROUGH THE CONNECTICUT RIVER BASIN. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR RISES ACROSS 
THE LOWER BRANCH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER, ESPECIALLY AT HARTFORD AND 
MIDDLE HADDAM. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...A FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION 
IN THIS FLOOD EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS, OR 
EARLIER IF NEEDED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN RIVERS, 
STREAMS OR CULVERTS. SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN IMMINENT THREAT
TO LIFE.



&&

CTC007-160429-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FL.W.0003.150416T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150416T1500Z.150418T0400Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1229 PM EDT WED APR 15 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON, MA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLE HADDAM.
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:55 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN LOW LYING SECTIONS 
  ALONG THE CONNECTICUT RIVER FROM WETHERSFIELD AND GLASTONBURY 
  DOWNSTREAM THROUGH CROMWELL, MIDDLETOWN AND PORTLAND. BOATING 
  INTERESTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR A PERIOD OF SWIFT RIVER FLOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

CTC003-007-160429-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FL.W.0002.150416T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/HFDC3.1.ER.150416T0200Z.150416T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1229 PM EDT WED APR 15 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON, MA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT HARTFORD.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 16.9 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE 
  CONNECTICUT RIVER FROM HARTFORD THROUGH WETHERSFIELD AND 
  GLASTONBURY, PRIMARILY OUTSIDE OF LEVEE PROTECTION. THIS WILL 
  AFFECT SEVERAL RIVERSIDE ROADWAYS AS WELL AS SEVERAL PARK AND 
  RECREATIONAL FACILITIES. FURTHER DOWNSTREAM FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN
  LOW LYING SECTIONS ALONG THE CONNECTICUT RIVER FROM WETHERSFIELD 
  AND GLASTONBURY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH CROMWELL, MIDDLETOWN AND 
  PORTLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 7270 4180 7273 4180 7259 4164 7258
      4163 7263 4164 7263            

$$
13 follow-up statements
198 
WGUS41 KBOX 202118
FLWBOX


BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
518 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015



...The National Weather Service in Taunton, MA has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County

The rainfall from today combined with minor tidal fluctuations will result in
minor flooding very early this evening and then a second time very 
early Tuesday morning.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.

&&

CTC007-210918-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FL.W.0003.150420T2118Z-150421T1400Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150421T0700Z.150421T0800Z.UU/
518 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

The National Weather Service in Taunton, MA has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:55 PM Monday the stage was 7.03 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Very Minor flooding is occurring and very Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will briefly fall below flood stage early this evening
  but then rise again to near 7.1 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

FRANK
768 
WGUS81 KBOX 210905
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
505 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County

Increased surge along the south coast is preventing the Connecticut 
River from draining efficiently into Long Island Sound. The resulting backup has resulted in flooding along portions of the lower Connecticut River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

CTC007-211610-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150421T1610Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150421T0800Z.150421T1010Z.UU/
505 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until this afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 4:55 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$
370 
WGUS81 KBOX 211011
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
611 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County

Increased surge along the south coast as well as local runoff from 
last nights thunderstorms is preventing the Connecticut River from 
draining efficiently into Long Island Sound. This backup has 
resulted in flooding along portions of the lower Connecticut 
River.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

CTC007-212211-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150422T1500Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150421T0800Z.150422T0900Z.UU/
611 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  5:55 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$
563 
WGUS81 KBOX 211736
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
136 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County

A combination of runoff from recent rains and snow melt making its way 
downstream has caused the lower Connecticut River to rise to flood 
stage. Additionally, tidal influences are causing the Connecticut River 
at Middle Haddam to oscillate slightly above, slightly below and near 
flood stage through Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.


&&

CTC007-220536-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150424T1900Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150421T0800Z.150424T1300Z.UU/
136 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:55 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 7.1 feet by late this afternoon.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

KAB
932 
WGUS81 KBOX 212045
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
445 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...
  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County
  Connecticut River At Hartford affecting Hartford and Middlesex 
  Counties


A combination of runoff from recent rains and snow melt across 
Northern New England making its way downstream has caused the lower 
Connecticut River at Hartford and Middle Haddam to reach bank full.
At Hartford, the Connecticut River will rise above flood stage 
Wednesday afternoon. At Middle Haddam, tidal influences will cause 
river levels to oscillate slightly above, slightly below and near 
flood stage through Friday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

CTC007-220845-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150424T1900Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150421T0800Z.150424T1300Z.UU/
445 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:55 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

CTC003-007-220845-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0004.150422T1900Z-150424T0700Z/
/HFDC3.1.ER.150422T1900Z.150423T0500Z.150424T0100Z.NO/
445 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Hartford.
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Thursday night...or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  4:16 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 16.2 feet by early Thursday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday before midnight.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding is expected in several low 
  lying areas outside levee protection in Hartford, as well as 
  downstream through Wethersfield and Glastonbury. Further downstream
  flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow Road, Route 17A, in 
  the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion of this roadway 
  will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange Club of Portland 
  Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for a period of swift
  river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 7270 4180 7273 4180 7259 4164 7258
      4163 7263 4164 7263            

$$

KAB
037 
WGUS81 KBOX 220229
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1029 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County
  Connecticut River At Hartford affecting Hartford and Middlesex 
  Counties

A combination of runoff from recent rains and snow melt across 
Northern New England making its way downstream has caused the lower 
Connecticut River at Hartford and Middle Haddam to approach their 
respective flood stages. At Hartford, the Connecticut River will 
rise above flood stage Wednesday afternoon. At Middle Haddam, tidal 
influences will cause river levels to oscillate around flood stage 
through Friday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.

&&

CTC007-221429-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150424T1800Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150421T0800Z.150424T1200Z.UU/
1029 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:55 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 7.2 feet by early tomorrow.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

CTC003-007-221429-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0004.150423T0600Z-150423T2000Z/
/HFDC3.1.ER.150423T0600Z.150423T0600Z.150423T1400Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Hartford.
* from late Wednesday night to Thursday afternoon...or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At 10:16 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding is expected in several low 
  lying areas outside levee protection in Hartford, as well as 
  downstream through Wethersfield and Glastonbury. Further downstream
  flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow Road, Route 17A, in 
  the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion of this roadway 
  will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange Club of Portland 
  Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for a period of swift
  river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 7270 4180 7273 4180 7259 4164 7258
      4163 7263 4164 7263            

$$
807 
WGUS81 KBOX 220931
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
531 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County
  Connecticut River At Hartford affecting Hartford and Middlesex 
  Counties

A combination of runoff from recent rains and snow melt across 
Northern New England making its way downstream has caused the lower 
Connecticut River at Hartford and Middle Haddam to approach their 
respective flood stages. At Hartford, the Connecticut River will 
rise above flood stage Wednesday afternoon. At Middle Haddam, tidal 
influences will cause river levels to oscillate around flood stage 
through Friday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

CTC007-222131-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150424T2300Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150421T0800Z.150424T1700Z.UU/
531 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until Friday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:55 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

CTC003-007-222131-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0004.150423T0700Z-000000T0000Z/
/HFDC3.1.ER.150423T0700Z.150424T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
531 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Hartford.
* from late tonight until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  5:01 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 16.3 feet by Friday evening. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding is expected in several low 
  lying areas outside levee protection in Hartford, as well as 
  downstream through Wethersfield and Glastonbury. Further downstream
  flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow Road, Route 17A, in 
  the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion of this roadway 
  will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange Club of Portland 
  Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for a period of swift
  river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 7270 4180 7273 4180 7259 4164 7258
      4163 7263 4164 7263            

$$
465 
WGUS81 KBOX 222003
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
403 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County
  Connecticut River At Hartford affecting Hartford and Middlesex 
  Counties

A combination of runoff from recent rains and snow melt across 
Northern New England making its way downstream has caused the lower 
Connecticut River at Hartford and Middle Haddam to approach their 
respective flood stages. At Hartford, the Connecticut River will 
rise above flood stage on Thursday. At Middle Haddam, tidal 
influences will cause river levels to rise above flood stage for 
part of every tidal cycle through at least Saturday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.

&&

CTC007-230803-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150425T0900Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150421T0800Z.150425T0300Z.UU/
403 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:55 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by early
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Friday before 
  midnight.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

CTC003-007-230803-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0004.150423T1500Z-150425T1300Z/
/HFDC3.1.ER.150423T1500Z.150424T0300Z.150425T0700Z.NO/
403 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Hartford.
* from Thursday morning to Saturday morning...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  3:31 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 16.1 feet by tomorrow late evening.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding is expected in several low 
  lying areas outside levee protection in Hartford, as well as 
  downstream through Wethersfield and Glastonbury. Further downstream
  flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow Road, Route 17A, in 
  the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion of this roadway 
  will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange Club of Portland 
  Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for a period of swift
  river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 7270 4180 7273 4180 7259 4164 7258
      4163 7263 4164 7263            

$$
240 
WGUS81 KBOX 230235
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1035 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County
  Connecticut River At Hartford affecting Hartford and Middlesex 
  Counties

A combination of runoff from recent rains and snow melt across 
Northern New England making its way downstream has caused the lower 
Connecticut River at Hartford and Middle Haddam to approach their 
respective flood stages. At Hartford, the Connecticut River will 
rise near flood stage on Thursday. At Middle Haddam, tidal 
influences will cause river levels to rise above flood stage for 
part of every tidal cycle through at least Saturday morning. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

CTC007-231435-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150425T0600Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150423T0900Z.150425T0000Z.UU/
1035 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:55 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 7.5 feet by early
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Flooding is expected in low lying sections 
  along the Connecticut River from Wethersfield and Glastonbury 
  downstream through Cromwell, Middletown and Portland. Boating 
  interests should prepare for a period of swift river flows.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

CTC003-007-231435-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0004.150423T0900Z-150424T0600Z/
/HFDC3.1.ER.150423T0900Z.150423T0900Z.150424T0000Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Hartford.
* from late tonight to late Thursday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:16 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding is expected in several low 
  lying areas outside levee protection in Hartford, as well as 
  downstream through Wethersfield and Glastonbury. Further downstream
  flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow Road, Route 17A, in 
  the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion of this roadway 
  will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange Club of Portland 
  Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for a period of swift
  river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 7270 4180 7273 4180 7259 4164 7258
      4163 7263 4164 7263            

$$
538 
WGUS81 KBOX 231122
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
722 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Hartford affecting Hartford and Middlesex 
  Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...
  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County

A combination of runoff from recent rains and snow melt across 
Northern New England making its way downstream has caused the lower 
Connecticut River at Hartford and Middle Haddam to approach their 
respective flood stages. At Hartford, the Connecticut River will 
rise near just short of flood stage today. At Middle Haddam, tidal 
influences will cause river levels to rise above flood stage for 
part of every tidal cycle through at least Saturday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

CTC003-007-231152-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150424T0600Z/
/HFDC3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
722 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Connecticut River At Hartford.
* At  7:00 AM Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  15.9 feet this morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding is expected in several low 
  lying areas outside levee protection in Hartford, as well as 
  downstream through Wethersfield and Glastonbury. Further downstream
  flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow Road, Route 17A, in 
  the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion of this roadway 
  will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange Club of Portland 
  Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for a period of swift
  river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 7270 4180 7273 4180 7259 4164 7258
      4163 7263 4164 7263            

$$

CTC007-232322-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150425T0600Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150423T1005Z.150425T0000Z.UU/
722 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:55 AM Thursday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$
479 
WGUS81 KBOX 231925
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
325 PM EDT THU APR 23 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County


Snow melt and runoff is making its way downstream in the Connecticut 
River basin. This has caused the lower Connecticut River at Middle 
Haddam above flood stage. In addition, tidal influences at Middle 
Haddam have caused river levels to rise above flood stage for 
part of every tidal cycle. The non-tidal portion of the river level
will trend lower tonight and Friday. The Friday late afternoon high 
tide is expected to crest below flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.

&&

CTC007-240725-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150424T1900Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150423T1005Z.150424T1300Z.UU/
325 PM EDT THU APR 23 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:55 PM Thursday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by late 
  this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late
  morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$
359 
WGUS81 KBOX 240234
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1034 PM EDT THU APR 23 2015


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County

Snowmelt and runoff is making its way downstream in the Connecticut
River basin. In addition, tidal influences at Middle Haddam have
caused river levels to rise above flood stage for part of every
tidal cycle. The non-tidal portion of the river level will trend
lower tonight and Friday. The Friday late afternoon high tide is
expected to crest below flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

CTC007-241434-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150424T2000Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150423T1005Z.150424T1400Z.UU/
1034 PM EDT THU APR 23 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:55 PM Thursday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 7.2 feet by early
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage late tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$
966 
WGUS81 KBOX 241626
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1226 PM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...

  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County

Runoff is diminishing in the Connecticut River. This has lowered the 
river stage at Middle Haddam. River levels at high tide are now 
below flood stage.  The river is expected to continue to fall this 
weekend. For this reason...the Flood Warning is cancelled.

&&

CTC007-241656-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150424T2000Z/
/MHDC3.1.ER.150420T2045Z.150423T1005Z.150424T1207Z.UU/
1226 PM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* At 11:55 AM Friday the stage was 6.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  8:07 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.6 feet by Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding would be likely in the vicinity of 
  Meadow Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. 
  A portion of this roadway would be closed. This area includes the 
  Exchange Club of Portland Fairgrounds. 

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 15, 11:45 AM EDT, 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 11:45 AM EDT, 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1145 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE TODAY PROVIDES DRY WEATHER AND WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. DRY BUT SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER FOLLOWS THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFFSHORE FRIDAY WITH A PERIOD OF RAIN
POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE SATURDAY. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE FOLLOWS SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD RAIN LATER MARATHON MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

11 AM UPDATE...
OTHER THAN BANDS OF HIGH CLOUDS PASSING ACROSS N CT/RI/SE
MA...SKIES WERE MAINLY CLEAR AT 15Z.

TEMPS HAVE ALSO RECOVERED QUICKLY AFTER LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S AND
30S /EXCEPT 40-45 IN THE URBAN CENTERS/ TO THE LOWER-MID 60S AWAY
FROM THE IMMEDIATE E COAST...CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. N-NE WINDS
HAVE BEEN INCREASING THROUGH THE MORNING AND...WITH GOOD MIXING
THROUGH 900 HPA AS NOTED ON THIS MORNING/S SOUNDINGS FROM
KALY...KOKX AND KBOX...GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KT HAVE BEEN NOTED
ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS.

CONDITIONS STILL REMAIN MARGINAL FOR FIRE WEATHER ISSUES...THOUGH
DEWPTS OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS WERE LOWER THAN FORECAST. THE BIG
QUESTION REMAINS WHETHER WINDS WILL REACH 25 KT CRITERIA. PLEASE
SEE DETAILS ON FIRE WEATHER ISSUES BELOW.

HAVE UPDATED NEAR TERM FORECAST TO BRING CONDITIONS CURRENT AND
INCORPORATED TRENDS INTO REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON/S FORECAST.

=================================================================

FOCUS IS UPON THE FIRE WEATHER ENVIRONMENT. WILL SEE A DRY AIRMASS
DROP S OUT OF CANADA WHICH YESTERDAY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH DEWPOINTS
AROUND 20 DEGREES AND WIND GUSTS RANGING 25 TO 30 MPH. YET WITH
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXING...NORTHERLY WINDS ADVECTING THE DRY
AIRMASS SOUTH ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS ROBUST. H925 SUSTAINED
WINDS OF AROUND 30 KTS YESTERDAY DROP TO 20 KTS.

SO EVEN THOUGH THE FORECAST RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS AT OR BELOW 30
PERCENT WITH HIGHS IN AROUND THE MID TO UPPER 60S WITH DEWPOINTS
AROUND THE LOW-20S...WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINAL WITH GUSTS
AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. BUT WITH A CONSENSUS OF THE FORECAST GUIDANCE
HAVING 30 MPH N-WINDS AT THE TOP OF THE WELL-MIXED LAYER UP TO H8
CAN NOT RULE OUT 25 MPH GUSTS AT THE SURFACE...ESPECIALLY AS FOR
MUCH OF THE MONTH OF APRIL MODEL WIND GUST FORECASTS HAVE BEEN
UNDERDONE. SO CONFIDENCE IS THAT WE WILL SEE WIND GUSTS OF AROUND
25 MPH.

HIGH CONFIDENCE WE WILL SEE THE DRY CONDITIONS. UPSTREAM DEWPOINTS
DOWN TO 10-DEGREES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS S CANADA WITH TEMPERATURES
NEAR 60-DEGREES.

SO IN SHORT...THE COMBINATION OF MIX-DOWN OF FASTER MOMENTUM AND
DRIER AIR TO THE SURFACE WILL RESULT IN CONDITIONS IN WHERE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...AROUND 15 TO 20
PERCENT IN FACT /IMPROVING ALONG THE SHORES INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS WITH ONSHORE WIND/...AND WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 25 MPH.

PER COORDINATION WITH STATE FIRE WEATHER FOCAL POINTS...A RED
FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT
NANTUCKET...WHILE FOR CT AND RI...WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY WARRANT A
RED FLAG WARNING WHICH IS NOTED IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

FOR FURTHER DETAILS...PLEASE SEE THE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION
BELOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT...

WINDS RELAX AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. EXPECTING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS. SHOULD SEE
DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING AND THUS HAVE GONE WITH A CONSENSUS
BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE...DROPPING IT A COUPLE OF DEGREES ESPECIALLY
IN SUSCEPTIBLE LOW-LYING AREAS PRONE TO RADIATIONAL COOLING.
FROST AND FREEZE HEADLINES ARE NOT NECESSARY AT THIS TIME AS THE
GROWING SEASON DOES NOT BEGIN TILL APRIL 21ST FOR LOW- LYING
COASTAL AREAS.

THURSDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES E ALLOWING FOR RETURN S-FLOW. MOSTLY CLEAR
FORECAST WITH LOW DEWPOINTS AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO THE 60-DEGREE
MARK. CONTINUED BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING ALBEIT LIMITED TO H9 BY A
DRY-AIR INVERSION. INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD KEEP WINDS
BELOW THE 25 MPH THRESHOLD...CAN NOT RULE OUT GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
WITH THE MIX-DOWN OF FASTER MOMENTUM AND DRIER AIR. WILL NEED TO
RE-EVALUATE WITH THE NEXT FORECAST PERIOD WITH RESPECT TO THE
FIRE WEATHER ENVIRONMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW...

CLOSED LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION SUPPORTS SPLIT FLOW ACROSS
THE CONUS INTO EARLY THIS WEEKEND. THIS CLOSED LOW EJECTS SEVERAL
PACKETS OF SOUTHERN STREAM MOISTURE NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND
WITH THE FIRST MOISTURE PLUME ARRIVING FRI. THE NEXT PACKET OF JET
ENERGY AND MOISTURE TARGET SNE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS 2ND PRECIP
EVENT MAY BE MORE WIDESPREAD AND ASSOCIATED WITH APPRECIABLE QPF AS
STREAMS MERGE AND FORMS A COASTAL LOW. MEANWHILE THE NORTHERN STREAM
UNDERGOES SOME AMPLIFICATION AS TROUGHING DEVELOPS VICINITY OF
ALASKA WITH DOWNSTREAM RIDGING INTO WESTERN CANADA. THIS RESULTS IN
A MODEST SURGE OF COOL AIR INTO THE NORTHEAST SAT NIGHT AND SUN
MORNING BEHIND A DEPARTING NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH/COLD
FRONT.

MODEL/GUIDANCE EVALUATION...

FIRST ITEM OF CONCERN ARE POPS AND QPF FOR FRI. 00Z GFS IS MOST
BULLISH WITH QPF. MEANWHILE ALL OTHER GUIDANCE HAS LIGHTER AMOUNTS
ALONG WITH PRECIP BECOMING FRAGMENTED ESPECIALLY EASTWARD WHICH
SEEMS REASONABLE AS PRECIP ENTERS CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT OVER NEW
ENGLAND. GEFS POPS FOR 0.05 QPF CAPTURES THIS NICELY WITH POPS
DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST FRI. THUS WILL FOLLOW A NON GFS
SOLUTION HERE YIELDING LESS QPF. NEXT ISSUE IS TIMING OF PRECIP FOR
MARATHON MONDAY. DETERMINISTIC 00Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF ALONG WITH GEFS
ENSEMBLES IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR DRY WEATHER MON MORNING WITH
INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND BEYOND. GIVEN GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT WILL FOLLOW THIS TIMELINE.

DAILY SENSIBLE WEATHER...

THU NIGHT...MILD NIGHT AS RETURN FLOW ADVECTS DEW PTS NEAR 50 ACROSS
THE REGION. ANY RAIN SHOULD HOLD OFF TIL VERY LATE AT NIGHT OR FRI
MORNING.

FRIDAY...HIGH CERTAINTY FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING HOW WIDESPREAD AND ASSOCIATED QPF. DOESN/T
APPEAR AS A WASHOUT GIVEN FAST FLOW ALOFT MAY YIELD RAIN ENDING IN
THE AFTERNOON WITH PARTIAL CLEARING POSSIBLE.

SATURDAY...MILD START AND WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF APPROACHING SHORT
WAVE AND ATTENDING COLD FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT A WARM AFTERNOON WITH
HIGHS IN THE U60S TO L70S. LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER MOS TEMPS
COMPARED TO COOLER MODEL BLEND TEMPS. SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING
POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS. BEST INSTABILITY
/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES/ AND FORCING FOR ASCENT APPEARS ACROSS
NORTHERN AND EASTERN MA. THUS HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THIS REGION.

SUNDAY...COOLER AND DRY BEHIND DEPARTING SHORT WAVE AND ATTENDING
COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH SEASONABLY MILD WITH HIGHS U50S TO L60S...FEW
DEGS ABOVE NORMAL.

EARLY NEXT WEEK INCLUDING MARATHON MONDAY...FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN WIDESPREAD RAIN SOMETIME LATER MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND AT
LEAST EARLY TUE. RAIN COULD BE WIDESPREAD IN AREAL COVERAGE ALONG
WITH APPRECIABLE RAINFALL GIVEN GULF MOISTURE...STREAMS MERGING
RESULTING IN A COASTAL LOW TRACKING NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

12Z UPDATE...

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO 06Z TAFS. EARLIER DISCUSSION BELOW.

==============================================================

VFR. N WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KTS. WILL SEE AN ONSHORE NE FLOW
EMERGE TOWARDS MIDDAY AND LINGER INTO EVENING FOR COASTAL
TERMINALS TODAY. LIGHT / VARIABLE FLOW OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY
RETURN S-FLOW INTO THURSDAY AS HIGH-CLOUDS INCREASE OUT OF THE W.

KBOS TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF. THINKING NE-ONSHORE FLOW
DEVELOPS AROUND 15Z.

KBDL TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

THURSDAY NIGHT...HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VFR

FRIDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. MAINLY VFR BUT WITH PERIODS OF MVFR IN
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.

SATURDAY...MOST LIKELY VFR WITH A MODEST WEST WIND BECOMING
NORTHWEST.

SUNDAY...MOST LIKELY VFR ALONG WITH DIMINISHING WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

THIS AFTERNOON...EXPECT N-NE WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
REMAIN BELOW 5 FT...BUT MAY POSSIBLY SEE BRIEF SWELLS UP TO 5 FT
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS.

TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH
PRES MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS...THEN SHIFTS E ON THURSDAY ALLOWS
FOR RETURN S FLOW THAT BECOMES BRISK WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS
TOWARDS THE END OF THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MODEST WSW WINDS AS HIGH PRES SLIPS
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. STRONGEST WINDS NORTHERN WATERS AND NEAR
SHORE. VSBY MAY LOWER AT TIMES IN PERIODS OF RAIN.

SATURDAY...LOW PRES MOVING ACROSS EASTERN QUEBEC INTO NEW BRUNSWICK
WILL YIELD A MODEST WSW WIND ACROSS THE WATERS. COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
LATE SAT YIELDS A WIND SHIFT TO THE WNW WITH MODEST WIND GUSTS.

SUNDAY...DIMINISHING WIND AND SEAS AS HIGH PRES CREST OVER NEW
ENGLAND AND NEARBY COASTAL WATERS. DRY WEATHER RESULTS IN GOOD VSBY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

11 AM UPDATE...
DEWPTS HAVE DROPPED BELOW FORECASTED VALUES AS N-NE WINDS
INCREASED TO 10-15 KT ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE REGION BY LATE
THIS MORNING. INCORPORATED THESE DOWNWARD TRENDS INTO THIS
AFTERNOON/S FORECAST...AND NOTED MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DOWN
TO 15-25 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS EXCEPT HIGHER ACROSS THE MID AND
OUTER CAPE AND NANTUCKET.

AFTER COLLABORATION WITH STATE FIRE WEATHER OFFICIALS AT MID
MORNING...CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR MOST OF
MASSACHUSETTS /EXCEPT NANTUCKET/ WHILE KEEPING IT DOWN FOR N CT
AND RI. KEPT MENTION OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR THOSE
AREAS IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A LACK OF RAIN COMBINED WITH DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION HAS
ALLOWED SMALL FINE FUEL FIRES TO IGNITE THE PAST FEW DAYS. WILL
SEE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY THAT ONLY EXACERBATE THE ISSUE.

DRY AIR AND BREEZY NORTH WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTH OUT OF CANADA WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE REGION OF AROUND 10 TO 20 PERCENT AS
NORTHERLY WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 MPH FROM MID-MORNING INTO THE
EVENING HOURS TODAY.

WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS AND UPDATE HEADLINES AS
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR MAZ002>023-
     026.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOCERA/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...NOCERA/EVT
SHORT TERM...SIPPRELL
LONG TERM...NOCERA
AVIATION...NOCERA/SIPPRELL
MARINE...NOCERA/SIPPRELL/EVT
FIRE WEATHER...EVT/DUNTEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 4:15 AM EDT, 8 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
415 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

MAZ002>023-026-160815-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
415 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ALL OF MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT
NANTUCKET.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   RED FLAG WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THURSDAY...A LACK OF RAIN COMBINED WITH DRY CONDITIONS YIELDS AN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. RED FLAG WARNINGS OR FIRE WEATHER
STATEMENTS MAY HAVE TO BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ002>004-RIZ001>007-160815-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
415 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LACK OF RAIN COMBINED WITH DRY CONDITIONS YIELDS AN ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. RED FLAG WARNINGS OR FIRE WEATHER
STATEMENTS MAY HAVE TO BE ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THURSDAY...A LACK OF RAIN COMBINED WITH DRY CONDITIONS YIELDS AN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. RED FLAG WARNINGS OR FIRE WEATHER
STATEMENTS MAY HAVE TO BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ024-RIZ008-160815-
NANTUCKET MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
415 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-160815-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
415 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 12:29 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBOXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region8 days
Apr 15, 12:29 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region7 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Connecticut, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.