Alert archive / New York / Wind Chill Warnings in 2015

Wind Chill Warning 3, NWS Albany, NY

February 2, 2015Hamilton County, Herkimer County, New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this wind chill warning at Feb 2, 2015, 4:19 PM EST for Hamilton County, Herkimer County, New York. It took effect at Feb 2, 2015, 8:00 PM EST. It was in force for 13 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 2, 2015, 4:19 PM EST (21:19 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 2, 2015, 8:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 3, 2015, 9:24 AM EST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-02-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-02-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 620 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
682 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
620 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1207 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

434 
WWUS41 KALY 022119
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
419 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

NYZ032-033-030530-
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.W.0003.150203T0100Z-150203T1600Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150202T2300Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR
419 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SOME BLOWING SNOW...AND DANGEROUSLY LOW
  WIND CHILL VALUES.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO...ALLOWING
  FOR A STORM TOTAL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...STEADY SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
  LATER THIS EVENING BEFORE ENDING.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS AND TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO
  SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WILL
  ALSO CONTINUE TO MAKE ROADWAYS SNOW COVERED EVEN AFTER BEING
  CLEARED. UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED. DANGEROUSLY LOW
  WIND CHILL VALUES TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN FROSTBITE...HYPOTHERMIA
  OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...NEAR ZERO THIS EVENING...FALLING TO 10 TO 20
  DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY LATE TONIGHT. 

* WIND CHILL...25 TO 35 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>043-047>054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013>015-030530-
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0005.150203T0100Z-150203T1600Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150202T2300Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
419 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY
  CONNECTICUT...BERKSHIRES...SOUTHERN VERMONT...NORTHERN AND
  CENTRAL TACONICS...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE
  SARATOGA AREA...MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE VALLEYS...AND THE EASTERN
  CATSKILLS

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SOME BLOWING SNOW...AND DANGEROUSLY LOW
  WIND CHILL VALUES.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...UP TO AN ADDITIONAL THREE INCHES THROUGH THIS
  EVENING...ALLOWING FOR STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16
  INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HIGHEST TOTALS WILL BE
  ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* TIMING...STEADY SNOW WILL TAPER TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS LATER THIS
  EVENING BEFORE ENDING.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS AND TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO
  SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WILL
  ALSO CONTINUE TO MAKE ROADWAYS SNOW COVERED EVEN AFTER BEING
  CLEARED. UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED. DANGEROUSLY LOW
  WIND CHILL VALUES TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN FROSTBITE OR
  HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS THIS
  EVENING...FALLING TO AROUND ZERO TO 10 BELOW OVERNIGHT. 

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

CTZ013-NYZ059-060-064>066-022300-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150202T2300Z/
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...TERRYVILLE...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
419 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT...THE MID
  HUDSON VALLEY...AND SOUTHERN TACONICS. 

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW SHOWERS AND SOME BLOWING SNOW. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING MAY BRING UP TO AN
  ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW...ALLOWING FOR STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION
  OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* TIMING...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING WILL END.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS AND TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO
  SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WILL
  ALSO CONTINUE TO MAKE ROADWAYS SNOW COVERED EVEN AFTER BEING
  CLEARED. UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE TEENS THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
800 
WWUS41 KALY 022314
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
614 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

NYZ032-033-030500-
/O.EXP.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150202T2300Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0003.150203T0100Z-150203T1600Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR
614 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL RESULT IN
  FROSTBITE...HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

* WIND CHILL...25 TO 35 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>043-047>054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013>015-030500-
/O.EXP.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150202T2300Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0005.150203T0100Z-150203T1600Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
614 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT... 
  BERKSHIRES...SOUTHERN VERMONT...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL 
  TACONICS... GREATER CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA 
  AREA...MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE VALLEYS...AND THE EASTERN CATSKILLS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL RESULT IN
  FROSTBITE OR HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO AROUND ZERO TO 10 BELOW.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

CTZ013-NYZ059-060-064>066-030015-
/O.EXP.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150202T2300Z/
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...TERRYVILLE...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
614 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE STEADY SNOW HAS COME TO AN END. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
MAY CONTINUE DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS.

$$
359 
WWUS41 KALY 030248
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
948 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

NYZ032-033-031100-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150203T1600Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR
948 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL RESULT IN 
  FROSTBITE...HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

* WIND CHILL...25 TO 35 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>043-047>054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013>015-031100-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150203T1600Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
948 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT... 
  BERKSHIRES...SOUTHERN VERMONT...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL 
  TACONICS... GREATER CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA 
  AREA...MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE VALLEYS...AND THE EASTERN 
  CATSKILLS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL RESULT IN 
  FROSTBITE OR HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO AROUND ZERO TO 10 BELOW.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$
254 
WWUS41 KALY 030854
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
354 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2015

NYZ032-033-031600-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150203T1600Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR
354 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL RESULT IN 
  FROSTBITE...HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

* WIND CHILL...25 TO 35 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>043-047>054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013>015-031600-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150203T1600Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
354 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT...
  BERKSHIRES...SOUTHERN VERMONT...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
  TACONICS...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
  AREA...MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE VALLEYS...AND THE EASTERN CATSKILLS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL RESULT IN 
  FROSTBITE OR HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...ZERO TO 15 BELOW...EXCEPT LOCALLY 20 BELOW TO 25
  BELOW IN THE GLENS FALLS AND LAKE GEORGE AREA.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$
732 
WWUS41 KALY 031424
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
924 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2015

NYZ032-033-031530-
/O.CAN.KALY.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150203T1600Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR
924 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL WARNING. 

LIGHT WINDS AND SLOWLY WARMING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL
LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILL VALUES ACROSS
THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK. THE WIND CHILL WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED...BUT COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY.

$$

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>043-047>054-058-061-063-082>084-
VTZ013>015-031530-
/O.CAN.KALY.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-150203T1600Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CHATHAM...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...
NAPANOCH...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
924 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 

THE COMBINATION OF SLOWLY WARMING TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS
WILL HELP TO LIMIT DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES FROM
OCCURRING. THIS THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...BUT
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill warning went out at Feb 2, 1:41 PM EST, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 1:41 PM EST, 2 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
141 PM EST MON FEB 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING TO OUR SOUTH WILL BRING A
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO THE AREA THROUGH TODAY. THE SNOW
WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. THE STEADY SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS
EVENING. BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. A
FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WINTER STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE REGION UNTIL
6 PM EST TODAY...

AS OF 1245 PM EST...LOW PRESSURE WAS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY OFF THE
JERSEY COAST AND LOOKS TO TRACK RIGHT INSIDE CAPE COD ELBOW BY THIS
EVENING. IFR SATELLITE RADAR INDICATED A BAROCLINIC REFORMING OFF
THE JERSEY COAST.

RADARS INDICATED A BACK EDGE OF THE HEAVIER SNOW WORKING TOWARD THE
HUDSON VALLEY. HOWEVER...WITH THE STORM DEVELOPING TO THE EAST...WE
BELIEVE THIS BACK EDGE WILL SLOW AND NOT CLEAR THE HUDSON VALLEY
UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...EASTERN AREAS TIL THIS EVENING.

SNOW..HEAVY AT TIMES (SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR BETTER PER
HOUR)...WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN INTENSITY OVER THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT LIKELY A FEW MORE INCHES WILL FALL EVERYWHERE.

THERE WAS SOME SLEET WELL SOUTH OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. AS THE
SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE TAKES OVER...ANY SLEET WILL TURN BACK TO
SNOW AS THE AIR ALOFT COOLS DOWN.

THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT MOHAWK HUDSON CONVERGENCE (MHC)WILL
TAKE PLACE. CSTAR RESEARCH INDICATED THAT WITH A NORTHEAST WIND AT
GLENS FALLS...AND A NORTHWEST WIND (EVENTUALLY AT KRME). RIGHT
NOW...THE WIND THERE WAS FROM THE EAST...BUT SHOULD SHIFT TO THE
WEST IN A COUPLE OF HOURS.

MHC ALLOWS LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...THE RESULT OF THE A NW WIND DOWN
THE MOHAWK VALLEY COLLIDING WITH A NORTH WIND IN THE HUDSON VALLEY
TO PRODUCE CONVERGENCE AND SOME LIFT...ENOUGH TO REGENERATE SNOW.
THIS LOOKS TO HAPPEN RIGHT AROUND 00Z...WHICH COULD ADD A QUICK IN
TO THE CAPITAL REGION.

EITHER WAY...IT LOOKS AS MOST AREAS WILL GET 8-14 INCHES WITH THE
STORM...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE HILLTOWNS. FOR ALL THE OFFICIAL SNOWFALL REPORTS PLEASE
REFER TO OUR PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT (PNS).

WHILE MOST VALLEY AREAS REPORTED WINDS UNDER 10 MPH...THE WIND WAS
STILL HIGHER OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY AT NORTH ADAMS WHERE
WINDS WAS GUSTING TO OVER 30 MPH! THIS WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED
SNOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.

TEMPERATURES LOOK RIGHT ON TARGET...STRUGGLING TO REACH ABOVE DOUBLE
DIGITS ALBANY NORTH...TEENS TO LOWER 20S SOUTH.

TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO REBOUND MUCH FROM CURRENT LEVELS...AS DENSE
COLD DRY AIR CONTINUES TO BE ENTRAINED SOUTHWARD DOWN THE
NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED HUDSON AND CT RIVER VALLEYS. HAVE UNDERCUT ALL
MOS GUIDANCE CONSIDERABLY...WITH MAX TEMPS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY
HOVER BETWEEN 5 AND 10 ABOVE FOR MOST AREAS FROM ALBANY NORTHWARD IN
THE HUDSON VALLEY...AND ALSO ACROSS SE VT. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY
LOWER/MID TEENS ARE EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR LOWER 20S ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE MID HUDSON VALLEY. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT TEMPS NOT ONLY
RISE VERY LITTLE TODAY...BUT THAT IN SOME AREAS...THEY ACTUALLY FALL
SLIGHTLY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
TONIGHT...SNOW SHOULD TAPER TO SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING...AND
SHOULD DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE BY MIDNIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 1-2
INCHES COULD OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF THE CAPITAL REGION...AND UPSLOPE
AREAS OF THE BERKSHIRES/TACONICS. THEN...EXPECT CLEARING TO
DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT. BRISK WINDS COMBINED WITH VERY COLD TEMPS
SHOULD PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS. IT IS VERY LIKELY THAT
WIND CHILL ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED FOR MOST OF THE REGION LATER
TODAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME WIND CHILL WARNINGS FOR THE
WESTERN ADIRONDACKS. EXPECT WIDESPREAD SUBZERO MINS OVERNIGHT.

TUESDAY...HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE
DAY. SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY AND ADIRONDACKS...ESP IN THE AFTERNOON. IT
WILL REMAIN VERY COLD...WITH MOST MAX TEMPS REMAINING IN THE TEENS
FOR VALLEYS...AND SINGLE DIGITS FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

TUE NT-WED...ANOTHER CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT
LAKES LATE TUE NT INTO WED. THIS WILL SPREAD LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW
SHOWERS INTO THE REGION...ESP LATE TUE NT INTO WED MORNING...IN
ASSOCIATION WITH WARM ADVECTION. ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL
LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON ACROSS AT LEAST THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS
AND MOHAWK VALLEY REGION. GENERALLY LIGHT SNOWFALL AMTS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH PERHAPS AN INCH OR TWO...MAYBE A BIT MORE FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MOHAWK VALLEY AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. TUE NT MIN
TEMPS MAY BE REACHED EARLY BEFORE RISING AS CLOUDS INCREASE AND
SOME WIND DEVELOPS...WITH SINGLE DIGITS EXPECTED. WED MAX TEMPS
SHOULD MODERATE COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS...REACHING THE 20S ACROSS
HIGHER TERRAIN...INTO THE LOWER 30S FOR SOME VALLEY AREAS SOUTH OF
ALBANY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD FEATURES BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH
A COUPLE OF ARCTIC FRONTS IMPACTING ERN NY AND WRN NEW ENGLAND WED
NIGHT INTO THU...AND ANOTHER ON SATURDAY WITH POSSIBLY ANOTHER STORM
LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

THE LONG TERM OPENS WITH FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE ENSEMBLES
AND MEDIUM RANGE OPERATIONAL DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE THAT A CLIPPER
LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS NY AND NEW ENGLAND WITH AN AMPLIFYING
POSITIVELY TILTED H500 LONGWAVE TROUGH.  THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS WITH PERHAPS A PERIOD OF UPSLOPE SNOWFALL FOR THE WRN
DACKS...AND SRN GREENS LATE WED PM INTO THE EVENING. SNOWFALL ACCUMS
LOOK LIGHT WITH AN INCH OR SO IN MOST LOCATIONS WITH 1 TO 4 INCHES
IN THE WRN/SRN DACKS...AND SRN GREENS.  THE ARCTIC FRONT SLIDES
THROUGH THE REGION...AND MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES BACK INTO THE FCST
AREA WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT SOUTH AND
EAST...AND SINGLE DIGITS TO SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO NORTH AND WEST. H850
TEMPS PLUMMET BACK TO -15C TO -20C.

THU-THU NIGHT...BITTERLY COLD AIR MOVES BACK INTO ERN NY AND WRN NEW
ENGLAND IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.  SOME RESIDUAL LAKE EFFECT SCT
FLURRIES AND ISOLD SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER DURING THE DAY WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVING THROUGH WITH MAX TEMPS ONLY IN THE TEENS TO
L20S WITH THE SRN DACKS STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF THE SINGLE DIGITS.
H850 TEMPS TUMBLE CLOSE TO -20C TO -25C OVER THE FCST AREA WITH
BLUSTERY NW WINDS.  LOWS TEMPS WILL BE BITTERLY COLD IN THE 10 TO 15
BELOW ZERO RANGE OVER THE ADIRONDACK PARK...AND ZERO AND 10 BELOW IN
MOST OTHER LOCATIONS...EXCEPT SOME SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE MID HUDSON
VALLEY..AND SRN LITCHFIELD COUNTY.   NORTH AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL
REGION AND ZERO TO ALMOST 10 BELOW SOUTH AND EAST WITH WINDS OF 5 TO
15 MPH WILL YIELD SOME DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS IN THE 15 TO 25 BELOW
ZERO RANGE ESPECIALLY OVER THE MTNS.  WIND CHILL HEADLINES WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED AGAIN. WE WILL CONTINUE MENTION IN THE HWO.

FRI-FRI NIGHT...ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE MIDWEST AND
OHIO VALLEY WITH A COLD FINISH TO THE WEEK.  SUNNY SKIES WILL GIVE
WAY TO INCREASING CLOUDS AT NIGHT WITH ANOTHER SHORT-WAVE
APPROACHING FROM SE ONTARIO...SRN QUEBEC...AND THE GREAT LAKES
REGION. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR FOR
THE WEEKEND.  THE THREAT FOR SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS INCREASES
WITH THE WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE CLIPPER.  AFTER HIGHS ONLY IN
THE TEENS...LOWS WILL BE IN THE -5F TO +5F RANGE.

SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...ARCTIC FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION ON
SATURDAY BASED ON THE GFS/ECMWF/WPC GUIDANCE WITH ISOLD-SCT SNOW
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.  HIGHS IN THE 20S ON SATURDAY WILL BE
BRIEF-LIVED.  LOWS WILL BE BACK IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND BELOW
ZERO.  SOME WIND CHILLS MAY GET CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVELS ONCE
AGAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  AN ARCTIC HIGH WILL
ATTEMPT TO BUILD IN FOR SUNDAY WITH COLD AND DRY WX TO CLOSE THE
WEEKEND.  HOWEVER...THE FRONT MAY STALL SIMILAR TO THE CURRENT
SYSTEM WITH A WAVE MOVING ALONG IT FROM THE MIDWEST.  THE LATEST
GEFS MEAN AND GFS SHOW ANOTHER POTENTIAL SNOWSTORM WITH OVER RUNNING
SNOWFALL OCCURRING LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  THE ECMWF SHOWS THE
ARCTIC ANTICYCLONE BUILDING IN WITH THE WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH.  THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY AND
SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE...AND WE WILL INCLUDE JUST A CHANCE OF SNOW
FOR THE AREA FOR NOW...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR BEFORE PUTTING
THIS POSSIBLE EVENT IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

BOTTOM LINE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPS ARE HERE TO STAY FOR AWHILE IN ERN
NY AND WRN NEW ENGLAND WITH SNOW THE PREDOMINANT PTYPE.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
...THE SNOWSTORM WILL CONTINUE TO MAJORLY IMPACT THE TAFS INTO THE
EVENING PEAK...

IFR TO VLIFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE BALANCE OF THE
AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL EASE ITS GRIP FIRST AT KPOU WHERE
CONDITIONS WILL TREND TO MVFR BY 21Z. IT WILL TAKE UNTIL CLOSER TO
00Z FOR CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE AT THE OTHER TAF SITES.

AT KALB...MHC MIGHT KEEP CONDITIONS AT IFR THROUGH 03Z...WITH MORE
BANDS OF MODERATE SNOW POSSIBLE.

AS THE STORM QUICKLY MOVES TO THE EAST OF CAPE COD THIS
EVENING...ALL SNOW WILL END. THE WIND WILL TURN FROM THE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 20KTS AT KALB AND KGFL.

THE SKY WILL PARTIALLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT. TOMORROW...AS HIGH PRESSURE
CREST TO OUR SOUTH...A WESTERLY FLOW MIGHT BRING SOME LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS TOWARD KALB AND KPSF BUT AT LEAST SOME LAKE EFFECT
CLOUDS. THESE SHOULD BE IN THE VFR RANGE. THE WIND WILL AVERAGE WEST
OR NORTHWEST AROUND 10KTS...EXCEPT LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT KGFL.

OUTLOOK...

TUESDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHSN.
WEDNESDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. LIKELY SHSN.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHSN.
THURSDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHSN.
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT.  NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT.  NO SIG WX.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO SIGNIFICANT HYDRO PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK. WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL THROUGH TODAY. CONTINUED COLD WITH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL ALLOW ICE TO THICKEN ON
RIVERS...STREAMS...CREEKS...LAKES AND OTHER BODIES OF WATER.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR CTZ001-
     013.
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ032-
     033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
MA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MAZ001-
     025.
VT...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     VTZ013>015.

&&

SYNOPSIS...IAA/HWJIV/KL
NEAR TERM...HWJIV/KL
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...WASULA
AVIATION...FRUGIS/11
HYDROLOGY...IAA/KL
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 4:50 AM EST, 11 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
450 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084-
VTZ013>015-031200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
450 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK NOT
INCLUDING THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...AND FOR SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. WIND CHILL ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR
AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING. WIND
CHILL ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR AT LEAST PORTIONS OF
THE REGION.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. IF CONFIDENCE
INCREASES THAT WIND CHILL CRITERIA WILL BE MET THEN WIND CHILL
HEADLINES WILL BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NYZ032-033-031200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
450 AM EST MON FEB 2 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS OF EAST
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. WIND CHILL ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING. WIND
CHILL ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES THAT WIND CHILL CRITERIA WILL BE
MET...THEN WIND CHILL HEADLINES WILL BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 2, 4:19 PM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryALYAlbany, Columbia, Fulton, Greene, Herkimer, Montgomery and 7 more17 hr

Nearby

Wind Chill Warnings in New York, 2015Every wind chill warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.