High Wind Warning 8, NWS Fairbanks, AK

627 
WWAK73 PAFG 180020
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
420 PM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

AKZ223-180800-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150718T0800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
420 PM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...FROM DELTA JUNCTION SOUTH.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-180800-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150718T0800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
420 PM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...IN PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS 
  EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

233 
WWAK73 PAFG 180632
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1032 PM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

AKZ223-226-180745-
/O.CAN.PAFG.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150718T0800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE...
MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...TRIMS CAMP...
EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
1032 PM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 



$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT MODELS RUNS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON HANDLING OF
THE MAJOR SURFACE AND UPPER AIR FEATURES OUT THROUGH SUNDAY.

UPPER AIR...
UPPER LOW CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF BETHEL
WILL MOVE TO NEAR HUSLIA BY 4 AM SATURDAY AND TO NEAR POINT
THOMPSON BY 4 AM SUNDAY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING. LITTLE FURTHER
MOVEMENT AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING THROUGH 4 AM MONDAY.

MODERATELY STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE ALASKA
RANGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY
TRANSITION TO A WEAKER SOUTHWEST FLOW BY LATE THIS
EVENING.

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN BERING SEA
WILL BUILD A LITTLE WHILE MOVING TO THE EASTERN BERING SEA BY 10
PM SUNDAY...THEN BUILD FURTHER OVER THE WEST COAST AND WESTERN
INTERIOR BY 4 PM MONDAY.

SURFACE...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH JUST NORTH OF THE ALASKA RANGE WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD TO THE BROOKS RANGE BY 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON...
THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN WHILE REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH 4 PM
SATURDAY. SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 55 MPH IN ALASKA RANGE PASSES
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.
A 992 MB LOW CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF BETHEL
WILL WEAKEN TO A 998 MB CENTER OVER EASTERN NORTON SOUND
BY 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON AS A NEW 998 MB LOW DEVELOPS OVER
THE EASTERN BROOKS RANGE. THIS NEW LOW WILL WEAKEN TO A
1004 MB LOW OVER THE MACKENZIE RIVER DELTA AREA BY 4 PM
SATURDAY.

RAIN OR SHOWERS OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE INTERIOR
ARCTIC SLOPE SOUTHWARD TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND OVER MOST OF THE
INTERIOR...INLAND ARCTIC SLOPE AND THE BROOKS RANGE TONIGHT
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS CONTINUING OVER MUCH OF THE
EASTERN INTERIOR SUNDAY.

OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL TOTALS ARE
ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE IN ZONE 227 AND NEARBY AREAS IN
ZONES 215-216-225. THERE IS REASONABLY GOOD CONSENSUS BETWEEN
THE GFS/NAM/ECMWF MODELS IN THESE AREAS...RAINFALL TOTALS OF
1-1.5 POSSIBLE. THERE IS ALSO POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL TOTALS OF
1-1.5 INCHES IN PARTS OF THE BROOKS RANGE.

FOG AT NIGHT AND IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH PREDOMINANTLY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS. AREAS OF DENSE
FOG THIS MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AND ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE WEST COAST...CENTRAL AND WESTERN
INTERIOR...AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE EASTERN INTERIOR. ANY
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SATURDAY IS LIKELY TO BE VERY SPOTTY
AT BEST.

MINIMUM HUMIDITY...IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE 40% TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

WETTING RAINS LIKELY OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/WESTERN
INTERIOR AND BROOKS RANGE...AND LOCALLY IN PARTS OF
THE EASTERN INTERIOR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL WILL BRING THE LEVELS UP ON MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS. NO
FLOODING ISSUES EXPECTED AT THIS TIME AS RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE
CURRENTLY RUNNING AT VERY LOW LEVELS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ226.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

RF JUL 15