Gale Warning 13, NWS Fairbanks, AK

916 
FZAK51 PAFG 272250
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
150 PM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-281400-
150 PM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST FROM BARROW EAST WILL
MOVE TO ANAKTUVUK TO INUVIK BY 3PM TUE AND THEN MOVE EAST. A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING ACROSS INTERIOR ALASKA TO THE
CHUKCHI SEA WILL BUILD NORTH OVER THE NORTH SLOPE TONIGHT AND
PERSIST INTO THU. A WEATHER FRONT IN EASTERN RUSSIA WILL MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA THU PM.

$$

PKZ225-281400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
150 PM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. 
.WED...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 35 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-281400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
150 PM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-281400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
150 PM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-281400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
150 PM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-281400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
150 PM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING.
.WED...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JAN 15

628 
FZAK51 PAFG 281254
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
354 AM AKST WED JAN 28 2015

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-290015-
354 AM AKST WED JAN 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A LOW NEAR BANKS ISLAND WILL MOVE EAST TODAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE STRETCHING ACROSS FROM THE ARCTIC COAST TO THE NORTHERN
BERING SEA PERSIST THROUGH THU THEN MOVE SOUTH OVER INTERIOR
ALASKA FRI. A WEAK WEATHER FRONT IN EASTERN RUSSIA WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WED NIGHT AND THU. A SECOND AND
MUCH STRONGER WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CHUKCHI  SEA THU
NIGHT AND TO BARROW NORTH ON FRI. 

$$

PKZ225-290015-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
354 AM AKST WED JAN 28 2015

.TODAY...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...S WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-290015-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
354 AM AKST WED JAN 28 2015

.TODAY...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-290015-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
354 AM AKST WED JAN 28 2015

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-290015-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
354 AM AKST WED JAN 28 2015

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-290015-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
354 AM AKST WED JAN 28 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JAN 15

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
354 AM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
A DEEP 490 DM LOW AT 500 MB NEAR INUVIK WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST
TODAY. A CUTOFF LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. WEAK RIDGING OVER SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ALASKA WILL
BUILD THROUGH WED. STRONGER RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE BERING SEA
THROUGH WED WILL BUILD EAST OVER WESTERN ALASKA THU AND OVER THE
REMAINDER OF NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS MEANS THAT
GENERALLY CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WILL
PERSIST THROUGH WED FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER NORTHERN ALASKA AS THE HIGH BUILDS OVER
NORTHERN ALASKA AND BRINGS WARMER AIR ALOFT.

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH STRETCHING FROM INUVIK TO BETTLES WILL MOVE TO
EAGLE EAST TODAY. THIS IS CAUSING NORTH WINDS THROUGH BROOKS RANGE
PASSES TODAY.

A SECOND SHORT WAVE NOW ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST WILL FROM BARROW
EAST WILL MOVE TO ANAKTUVUK TO INUVIK BY 3PM TUE AND THEN MOVE EAST.
THERE IS A SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MENTIONED BELOW.

A 3RD SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING FROM RUSSIA INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA
WED AND TO THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST THU. EXPECT NOTHING MORE THAN
FLURRIES WITH THIS.

850 MB TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM -12C OVER THE SW INTERIOR TO -30C
OVER NE ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE TODAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL RISE 2-3C
WED AND ANOTHER 1-2C THU.

SURFACE...
A SURFACE TROUGH NOW ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST FROM BARROW EAST WILL
MOVE TO ANAKTUVUK TO INUVIK BY 3PM TUE AND THEN MOVE EAST. LOW
CLOUDS AND FLURRIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL DIMINISH
NORTHWEST OF THE TROUGH. WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH WITH BLOWING
SNOW ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT IN THE EASTERN ARCTIC. WINDS AND
FLURRIES WILL DECREASE NORTH OF THE TROUGH.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING ACROSS INTERIOR ALASKA TO THE CHUKCHI
SEA WILL BUILD NORTH OVER THE NORTH SLOPE TONIGHT AND PERSIST INTO
THU. THIS WILL KEEP CONDITIONS GENERALLY COLD AND DRY UNDER THE
HIGH. IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS LOWS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY 30 TO 50
BELOW THROUGH WED THEN SLOWLY WARMING.

AN OCCLUDED FRONT IN THE SE BERING SEA AND KUSKOKWIM DELTA IS
CAUSING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN ZONES 214 AND 215 THAT
WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS IS ALSO CAUSING NE WINDS OF
15-25 MPH ZONES 211-215.

A STRONG FRONT IN EASTERN RUSSIA WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
CHUKCHI SEA THU PM. THIS WILL CAUSE STRONG SOUTH SOUTH WINDS
ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA THU PM.

AN OCCLUDED FRONT MOVING NORTH TO THE GULF OF ALASKA COAST BY 3PM
WED WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR WED NIGHT AND THU.
EXPECT A CHANCE OF SNOW WITH THIS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL AND SIMILAR THROUGH 3PM TUE. AFTER THAT THE
GFS BRINGS A STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH EAST ACROSS THE CHUKCHI
SEA THAN THE NAM FOR WED AND THU. THE GFS ALSO HAS A COINCIDENT
SURFACE TROUGH THAT IS STRONGER THAN THE NAM SOLUTION AND WEAKER
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WED AND THU. WE FAVOR THE GFS SOLUTION SINCE
THERE IS NOW A STRONG FEATURE IN THE WESTERN SEA OF OKHOTSK THAT
IS MOVING NORTH AND FEEDING ENERGY INTO THIS FEATURE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ202-AKZ213-AKZ215-AKZ218.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ203-AKZ206.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ204.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ240.
&&

JB JAN 15