Flash Flood Warning 93, NWS Las Vegas, NV

024 
WGUS75 KVEF 122034
FFSVEF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
134 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

CAC071-122245-
/O.CON.KVEF.FF.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140812T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN BERNARDINO CA-
134 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM PDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY...

AT 128 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED 
AREA. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF A COUPLE INCHES OF WATER WITH SOME 
SMALL DEBRIS FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY 62 IN THE JOSHUA TREE AREA. BASED 
ON RADAR...THERE IS POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EAST OF 
JOSHUA TREE. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TWENTYNINE PALMS...JOSHUA TREE LAKE CAMPGROUND...TWENTYNINE PALMS
MOUNTAIN AND TWENTYNINE PALMS MCAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WASHES...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND ON
ROADS. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOODED ROAD OR ENTER A FLOOD CHANNEL. TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN!

REPORT FLOODING TO THE LAS VEGAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA
FACEBOOK OR TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3408 11600 3408 11603 3412 11606 3412 11626
      3408 11627 3407 11644 3427 11644 3429 11600
      3404 11599 3404 11600

$$

JH

907 
WGUS75 KVEF 122152
FFSVEF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
252 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

CAC071-122245-
/O.CON.KVEF.FF.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140812T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN BERNARDINO CA-
252 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM PDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY...

AT 248 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED 
AREA. THESE MOST RECENT STORMS ARE A LITTLE FARTHER EAST THAN 
EARLIER STORMS...CLOSER TO TWENTY NINE PALMS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TWENTYNINE PALMS...JOSHUA TREE LAKE CAMPGROUND...TWENTYNINE PALMS
MOUNTAIN...TWENTYNINE PALMS MCAS AND JOSHUA TREE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WASHES...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND ON
ROADS. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOODED ROAD OR ENTER A FLOOD CHANNEL. TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN!

REPORT FLOODING TO THE LAS VEGAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA
FACEBOOK OR TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3408 11600 3408 11603 3412 11606 3412 11626
      3408 11627 3407 11644 3427 11644 3429 11600
      3404 11599 3404 11600

$$

JH

848 
WGUS75 KVEF 122237
FFSVEF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
337 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

CAC071-122246-
/O.EXP.KVEF.FF.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140812T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN BERNARDINO CA-
337 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 345 PM PDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY...

RAINFALL HAS ENDED IN THE AREA FROM YUCCA VALLEY TO TWENTY NINE 
PALMS. THE THREAT OF FLOODING HAS ENDED FOR NOW. 

LAT...LON 3408 11600 3408 11603 3412 11606 3412 11626
      3408 11627 3407 11644 3427 11644 3429 11600
      3404 11599 3404 11600

$$

JH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1000 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MONSOON MOISTURE PUSHING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST WILL
RESULT IN INCREASED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRIER
AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN GRADUALLY MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST STARTING
LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONFINED TO MOHAVE COUNTY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND AREA-WIDE DRY
CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...WE HAVE ONE WAVE OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA PRESENTLY PRODUCING
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS/LIGHT SHOWERS OVER LINCOLN/CLARK COUNTIES.
THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE NORTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY, WHILE
WE EXPECT ADDITIONAL CONVECTION TO FIRE SOUTH OF LAS VEGAS AND MOVE
NORTH. MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST THIS MORNING WAS THE INVERTED TROUGH
OVER NORTHERN SONORA/SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE INVERTED TROUGH WAS
PROVIDING THE DYNAMICS FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARIZONA
THIS MORNING. 12Z GFS/NAM SHIFT THE TROUGH NORTH ACROSS WESTERN
ARIZONA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE THE
DYNAMICS FOR NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS. MORNING LAS VEGAS SOUNDING PW
VALUES JUMPED UP TO 1.36 INCHES WHILE YUMA WAS SLIGHTLY OVER 2
INCHES. THE VEGAS VALUE WAS 176 PCT OF NORMAL. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
THE CONCERN FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT ESPECIALLY WITH
DYNAMICS IN PLAY. AREA COVERED BY CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH
JUSTIFIED.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. CONVECTION SHOULD IMPACT MAINLY THE
BEATTY...MORMON MESA AND PEACH SPRINGS CORRIDORS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR STORMS WITHIN
THE VICINITY OF THE TERMINAL TODAY...WHICH COULD BRING GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED-BROKEN CLOUDS ALONG WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA TODAY. WINDS WILL
FAVOR TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...EXCEPT NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO FEATURE A CLOSED
UPPER LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A RIDGE CENTERED AROUND THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS OUR REGION HAS
PUSHED ANOMALOUSLY HIGH MOISTURE OUR WAY. COMBINE THIS MOISTURE WITH
LARGE-SCALE FORCING TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL MEAN A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

ONCE AGAIN...UPPER LEVEL FORCING AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE HAVE COMBINED
TO KEEP SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS GOING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. THIS TIME ROUGHLY CONCENTRATING FROM NYE COUNTY SOUTHWARD TO
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY AND POINTS EAST...WITH MOHAVE COUNTY SEEING
THE BEST COVERAGE OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS. WHERE IT RAINS THIS
MORNING WILL SET THE STAGE FOR HIGHLY PRECIP EFFICIENT STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH HIGH SUBCLOUD LAYER RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN ARIZONA WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTHWEST ARIZONA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE INVERTED TROUGH
WILL THEN INTERACT WITH MORE WESTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND LIFT NORTH ACROSS WESTERN ARIZONA
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THERE IS AN ANOMALOUS MOISTURE AXIS STRETCHED
ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER NORTHWARD TO AT LEAST CENTRAL CLARK COUNTY
AND A GOOD FORCING LINE THAT WILL SET UP FROM LINCOLN COUNTY
SOUTHWARD THROUGH EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WITH THE ARRIVAL OF
THE LARGE-SCALE DYNAMICS. SO...HAVE EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FARTHER WEST TO INCLUDE EASTERN SAN BERN...ALL OF CLARK...AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. HAVE ALSO EXTENDED THE VALID TIME THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE...AIDED BY
LARGE-SCALE FORCING AND CROSSING SURFACE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

THE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING...BUT DID NOT WANT TO DO THAT AT THIS TIME. BELIEVE
THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN SHOULD SHIFT EAST AND THAT CUTOFF LINE
REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. MODELS DO BRING A SHARP DRY LINE
INTO AT LEAST THE CENTER OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY. WIND SHEAR
WILL BE A FACTOR AS WELL...SO WE COULD SEE A FEW STRONGER STORMS
ALONG THAT DRY LINE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODELS STILL
DIFFER ON THE EXACT LOCATION OF THIS MOISTURE GRADIENT...BUT
GENERALLY FROM LINCOLN COUNTY SOUTHWARD THROUGH CLARK AND EASTERN
SAN BERN IS LOOKING LIKELY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PUNCH EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
WILL KEEP ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CHANCE CONFINED TO BASICALLY
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MOHAVE COUNTY ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...DEEPER MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE MONSOONAL FLOW PUSHES EAST OF THE AREA AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
DWINDLE BY THE WEEKEND. MODELS HINT AT A WEAK RETURN OF MOISTURE TO
START THE WORK WEEK BUT CONFINE IT TO MAINLY THE SOUTHEASTERN
PORTION OF MOHAVE COUNTY. WITH LESS EXPECTED CLOUD COVER AND A DRIER
AIRMASS IN PLACE, TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN TO SEASONAL LEVELS FOR
A WARM AND DRY MID AUGUST WEEKEND.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT INSTANCES OF
FLASH FLOODING...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...AND BLOWING DUST TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&

UPDATE...PIERCE
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER