Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Las Vegas, NV

880 
WGUS75 KVEF 102203
FFSVEF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
303 PM MST THU JUL 10 2014

AZC015-110015-
/O.CON.KVEF.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140711T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOHAVE AZ-
303 PM MST THU JUL 10 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MST FOR WEST
CENTRAL MOHAVE COUNTY...

AT 258 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.  THESE STORMS WERE 
LOCATED NEAR DOLAN SPRINGS...AND ALONG STOCKTON HILL ROAD NORTH OF 
KINGMAN STRETCHING WEST TO GOLDEN VALLEY. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WASHES...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND ON
ROADS. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOODED ROAD OR ENTER A FLOOD CHANNEL. TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN!

REPORT FLOODING TO THE LAS VEGAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA
FACEBOOK OR TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3574 11457 3583 11434 3551 11419 3561 11390
      3542 11387 3522 11409 3513 11429

$$

OUTLER

428 
WGUS75 KVEF 110006
FFSVEF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
506 PM MST THU JUL 10 2014

AZC015-110015-
/O.EXP.KVEF.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140711T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOHAVE AZ-
506 PM MST THU JUL 10 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 515 PM MST FOR WEST CENTRAL
MOHAVE COUNTY...

HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA. LOCAL WASHES AND DRAINAGES 
MAY CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. 

LAT...LON 3574 11457 3583 11434 3551 11419 3561 11390
      3542 11387 3522 11409 3513 11429

$$

OUTLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
115 PM PDT THU JUL 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO GENERATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. DRIER AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND THE
DISTURBANCE...LIMITING ANY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO PORTIONS OF
MOHAVE COUNTY ARIZONA FOR THE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY TIME FRAME.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS OVER THE WEEKEND DUE
TO THE DRIER AIR. MONSOON MOISTURE RETURNS NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE LOOPS SHOWS A CIRCULATION APPROACHING
SOUTHERN NEVADA. THIS UPPER-LEVEL FORCING COMBINED WITH AN ANOMALOUS
AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA CONTINUES TO CREATE VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL. THIS CIRCULATION IS FORECAST TO BECOME MORE OF AN OPEN
WAVE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AND LIFT NORTH-NORTHEAST.
EXPECT CONVECTION WEST...NORTH...AND EAST OF THIS CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...CLARK...LINCOLN...AND MOHAVE COUNTIES WILL BE IN THE
PREFERRED QUADRANT FOR TORRENTIAL RAINFALL PRODUCING STORMS AND
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE SAME AREAS. THIS WAS THE MAIN REASON FOR THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUANCE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM THIS
EVENING. PLEASE STAY ALERT TO THE RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS AND BE
AWARE OF ANY FLASH FLOOD OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS ISSUED
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

AS THIS WAVE SLIDES NORTH...DRY AIR ON MORE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
FILTER INTO THE REGION. WE CAN ALREADY SEE THAT WITH DRYING ACROSS
OUR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN FORECAST AREA. THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL OVERTAKE MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH
MOST...IF NOT ALL...OF THE WEEKEND. STILL LOOKS LIKE AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY EACH AFTERNOON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS
THE HIRES MODELS CONTINUE TO HANG ON TO SOME MOISTURE AND SLIGHT
INSTABILITY. WHILE TEMPERATURES TODAY HAVE BEEN HELD DOWN BY
RAINFALL AND CLOUD COVER...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THAT DRY AIR WORKING INTO THE REGION.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BY SUNDAY MORNING HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE SHIFTING BACK WEST TOWARDS THE NEVADA-UTAH STATE
LINE. THIS WILL CUT OFF THE DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND OPEN THE DOOR
FOR MOISTURE TO FILTER IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST. IT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE A
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE TO PROVIDE MUCH OF A THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. HOWEVER...I HAVE LEFT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER
MOST OF MOHAVE COUNTY AND GHOST POPS OVER SOUTHERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTY.

LAST NIGHT MODELS WERE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THAT A DECENT SURGE OF
MONSOON MOISTURE AND WAVE WOULD PUSH UP FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST FOR
MONDAY. WITH THE LATEST 00Z RUNS BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS HAVE SLOWED
THIS DOWN BY AROUND 6-12 HOURS AND HAVE PUSHED THE WAVE A BIT
FURTHER WEST OVER THE SOCAL COAST. AM NOT READY TO COMPLETELY BUY
INTO ANY GIVEN SOLUTION SINCE THE PREVIOUS [12Z] ECMWF RUN WAS VERY
AGGRESSIVE WITH THE MOISTURE...WAVE..AND PRECIP FOR MONDAY. FOR NOW
HAVE INCREASED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF
THE FORECAST AREA SINCE THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT THERE. WITH THE
OVERALL SHOWER TIMING TUESDAY MAY HAVE MORE WIDESPREAD/SIGNIFICANT
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. AS A RESULT I HAVE INCLUDED AT LEAST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EVERYWHERE TUESDAY.

FOR WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND...THE LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST INTO NORCAL WHICH WOULD RESULT
IN SOMEWHAT DRIER NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER MODELS
AREN'T TOO AMBITIOUS ABOUT SCOURING OUT THE MOISTURE AND SO I'VE
LEFT IN FAIRLY WIDESPREAD POPS FOR THE MOMENT.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...SUNDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST...WITH TEMPERATURES
RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD
AS MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE REGION. PLEASANT RELIEF
FOR THE PERIOD OF TIME WHERE WE [ON AVERAGE] EXPERIENCE THE WARMEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING MORE SOUTHERLY AROUND 8 KTS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS AND OUTFLOW. EXPECT SHOWERS AND STORMS WITHIN THE
VICINITY OF THE AIRFIELD THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSES THROUGH. ANTICIPATE BROKEN CEILINGS
ABV 10 KFT MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE MORMON MESA AND PEACH SPRINGS CORRIDORS THE REST OF THE
DAY. CLEARING WILL TAKE PLACE LATER TONIGHT WITH DRIER AND MORE
STABLE AIR IN PLACE FOR THE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY TIME FRAME.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...THE GREATEST THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE OVER
SOUTHEAST NEVADA AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA. TODAY STORMS WILL LEAD TO
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS, WHILE AWAY FROM STORMS WIND SPEEDS
GENERALLY SOUTHERLY BETWEEN 5 AND 15 KTS.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY ACCORDING TO STANDARD
OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION: PADDOCK
LONG TERM: WOLCOTT

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
347 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2014

AZZ001>003-036-CAZ519>527-NVZ014>022-110700-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-NORTHWEST DESERTS-
LAKE MEAD NATIONAL RECREATION AREA-EASTERN SIERRA SLOPES-
OWENS VALLEY-WHITE MOUNTAINS OF INYO COUNTY-
DEATH VALLEY NATIONAL PARK-WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT-
EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT-MORONGO BASIN-CADIZ BASIN-
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY-UPPER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-
ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY-
NORTHEAST CLARK COUNTY-WESTERN CLARK AND SOUTHERN NYE COUNTY-
SHEEP RANGE-SPRING MOUNTAINS-LAS VEGAS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTY-
347 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2014 /347 AM MST THU JUL 10 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
ARIZONA...CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO
GENERATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCES OF STORMS LOOKS TO BE
OVER MOHAVE AND EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES. SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

DRIER AIR WILL PUSH IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST FRIDAY LIMITING ANY
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. MONSOON MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO START TO INCREASE AGAIN
FROM THE SOUTHEAST SUNDAY AND MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
204 PM PDT THU JUL 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SW TEMPLE BAR         36.00N 114.36W
07/10/2014                   MOHAVE             AZ   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            LAKE MEAD DISPATCH REPORTED SEVERE FLOODING ON TEMPLE BAR
            ACCESS ROAD BETWEEN MILE MARKER 22 AND 23.

1200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MEADVIEW                36.00N 114.07W
07/10/2014                   MOHAVE             AZ   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTS OF SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE IN
            MEADVIEW.

1200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW MEADVIEW          35.97N 114.09W
07/10/2014                   MOHAVE             AZ   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTS OF A FRUIT STAND BLOWN OVER AND DESTROYED.
            AND A WINDOW AT KENS PIZZA WAS BLOWN OUT BY THE WIND.

&&

ASG