Flash Flood Warning 36, NWS Tucson, AZ

187 
WGUS75 KTWC 130151
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
651 PM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

AZC003-130230-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0036.000000T0000Z-140813T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
651 PM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM MST FOR
CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY...

AT 647 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL IN CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY. 
HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING 
PROBLEMS...AND THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL COCHISE 
COUNTY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM MST.   

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3199 11004 3202 10984 3165 10978 3168 11000

$$
ZELL

144 
WGUS75 KTWC 130234
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
734 PM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

AZC003-130241-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0036.000000T0000Z-140813T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
734 PM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY...

AT 729 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
HEAVY RAINFALL IN CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY HAD COME TO AN END...WITH 
ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL IN THE EXPIRED WARNING AREA. THEREFORE...THE 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

HOWEVER...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING JUST 
SOUTH OF THIS AREA...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. THIS RAINFALL MAY CAUSE 
ADDITIONAL FLOODING PROBLEMS AND WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY. 

SOME WASHES MAY STILL EXPERIENCE FLOWING WATER WITH SOME LOCALIZED 
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO USE 
CAUTION AND DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3199 11004 3202 10984 3165 10978 3168 11000

$$
ZELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
225 PM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL PROVIDE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. SOME
STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. RAINFALL WILL
DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT. EXPECT SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A DOWNTURN IN
ACTIVITY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ACROSS MUCH OF
SE AZ AT THIS TIME. THE EXCEPTIONS WERE ACROSS WRN PIMA COUNTY AND
THE WHITE MOUNTAINS WHERE ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE OCCURRING.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUED ACROSS THE AREA WITH 1836Z BLENDED TOTAL
PRECIP WATER VALUES RANGING FROM 1.25 INCHES ACROSS THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS TO ABOUT 2.00 INCHES ACROSS WRN PIMA COUNTY. UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SYSTEM WAS CENTERED JUST SOUTHWEST OF NOGALES.
THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE NWWD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AZ BY AROUND MIDNIGHT.

THUS...THE BULK OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS
EVENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DEPICTS NUMEROUS SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WED MORNING. THE MAIN
IMPACT WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WITH AN ENHANCED POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING TO OCCUR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA UNTIL 1 AM MST WED. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS BRIEFLY TO SEVERE
THRESHOLDS. MARKEDLY LIGHTER RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY WED MORNING.

SUBSIDENCE SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS SE AZ WED AFTERNOON AS THE WEAK UPPER
LOW/VORT MAX MOVES INTO NRN ARIZONA. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
TO MERIT SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WED AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM TUCSON
EWD. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS WRN SECTIONS. THE
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY TREND DOWNWARD THUR-SAT AS
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BECOMES CENTERED OVER ARIZONA. THEREAFTER...SOME
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL OCCUR SUN-MON IN RESPONSE TO DEEPER SELY
FLOW RETURNING TO THE AREA. THE 12/12Z ECMWF ALSO DEPICTS A WEAK
UPPER LOW/INVERTED TROUGH THAT WOULD ENHANCE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO
BE OVER SE AZ SUN AFTERNOON. HAVE TRENDED POPS DOWNWARD AGAIN NEXT
TUE IN RESPONSE TO THE ECMWF SOLUTION THAT DEPICTED WLY MID-LEVEL
FLOW TO BE ACROSS THE AREA.

A VERY GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR WED-SUN FOLLOWED BY NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN DAYTIME TEMPS MON-TUE.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 14/00Z.
EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSRA/SHRA INTO THIS EVENING. MVFR
VISIBILITIES AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 KTS WILL OCCUR WITH THE
STRONGER TSRA. SCATTERED -SHRA AND ISOLD -TSRA WILL THEN PREVAIL
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SCATTERED -TSRA/-SHRA WILL
OCCUR MAINLY FROM KTUS VICINITY EWD/SWD WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...CLOUD DECKS WILL MAINLY BE AT 5-10K FT AGL AND SURFACE
WIND WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 KTS INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. EXPECT
HEAVY RAINFALL AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS WITH THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS. RAINFALL WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATE
TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA.
THEREAFTER...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN PREVAIL WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
    FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM MST WEDNESDAY FOR AZZ501>515.

&&

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

DISCUSSION...FRANCIS
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...HUMPHREYS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
123 PM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

AZZ502>504-122100-
TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION INCLUDING SELLS AZ-TUCSON METRO AREA INCLUDING
TUCSON/GREEN VALLEY/MARANA/VAIL AZ-UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND ALTAR
VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ-
123 PM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 200 PM
MST...

AT 118 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR THREE POINTS...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF
GREEN VALLEY...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN THAT CAN QUICKLY POND ON ROADWAYS AND LIMIT VISIBILITIES
FOR MOTORISTS.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...THREE POINTS...RYAN FIELD AND
SAGUARO NATIONAL PARK WEST.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3227 11150 3232 11116 3200 11107 3191 11135
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 163DEG 10KT 3202 11128

KD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
153 PM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 W RYAN FIELD          32.14N 111.18W
08/12/2014  M59 MPH          PIMA               AZ   AWOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1400081

KD