Alert archive / California / Red Flag Warnings in 2014
Red Flag Warning 7, NWS San Diego, CA
NWS San Diego, CA issued this red flag warning at Nov 15, 2014, 1:40 PM PST for 4 counties in California. It took effect at Nov 16, 2014, 10:00 AM PST. It was in force for 54 hr. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 15, 2014, 1:40 PM PST (21:40 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 16, 2014, 10:00 AM PST
- Expired
- Nov 18, 2014, 4:00 PM PST
- In force
- 54 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Diego, CA
Counties Orange County, CA, Riverside County, CA, San Bernardino County, CA, San Diego County, CA
The radar
The Santa Ana Mts radar (KSOX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 10:16 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 57 | 4 Sse Beaumont, CA | MESONET STATION HIGHLAND SPRINGS /HSGC1/ |
| Nov 16, 10:42 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | 3 W Riverside, CA | WIND DAMAGE TO ROOF IN EASTVALE. |
| Nov 16, 10:59 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 76 | 8 N Portola Hills, CA | MESONET STATION PLEASANTS PEAK /EW3131/ |
| Nov 16, 12:10 PM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 8 Ne Campo, CA | MESONET STATION CRESTWOOD /CWDSD/ |
| Nov 16, 3:47 PM PST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | 2 S San Bernardino, CA | PRESS ENTERPRISE NEWS ARTICLE CITED 1400 CUSTOMERS WITH OUT POWER IN THE CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO AT 10:22 AM...CHP ALSO REPORTED POWER LINES DOWN NE OF PERRIS AT 1:47 PM AND E OF MORENO VALLEY AT 11:55 PM. |
| Nov 17, 2:40 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 9 Ssw Julian, CA | MESONET STATION SILL HILL /SILSD/ |
| Nov 18, 12:40 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 55 | 9 Ssw Julian, CA | MESONET STATION SILL HILL /SILSD/ |
| Nov 18, 2:52 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 51 | 1 Ese Alpine, CA | MESONET STATION ALPINE /ANEC1/ |
| Nov 18, 2:59 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 57 | 8 N Portola Hills, CA | MESONET STATION PLEASANTS PEAK /EW3131/ |
| Nov 18, 4:16 AM PST | NON-TSTM WND GST 57 | 4 Sse Beaumont, CA | MESONET STATION HIGHLAND SPRINGS /HSGC1/ |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
654 WWUS86 KSGX 152140 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 140 PM PST SAT NOV 15 2014 ...A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS...THE INLAND EMPIRE...AND THE ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS FOR STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY THE RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...AND THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS FOR STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .PERIODS OF STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN BEHIND A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT. VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO DEVELOP...WITH HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BOTH DAYS. WEAKER...BUT GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITIES. CAZ242-248-255-257-161200- /O.UPG.KSGX.FW.A.0006.141116T2200Z-141118T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KSGX.FW.W.0007.141116T1800Z-141118T0400Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 140 PM PST SAT NOV 15 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN DIEGO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY...WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING TO CRITICAL LEVELS AFTER 10 AM. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO 70 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE WEAKER FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THEY STILL MIGHT BE GUSTY ENOUGH TO REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-256-258-161200- /O.UPG.KSGX.FW.A.0006.141117T0400Z-141118T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KSGX.FW.W.0007.141117T0400Z-141118T0400Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 140 PM PST SAT NOV 15 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN DIEGO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO 65 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE WEAKER FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THEY STILL MIGHT BE GUSTY ENOUGH TO REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
7 follow-up statements
218 WWUS86 KSGX 161134 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 334 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2014 ...A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TODAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS...THE INLAND EMPIRE...AND THE ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... ...A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 8 PM TODAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR THE RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...AND THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... .SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND MUCH LOWER HUMIDITIES TODAY. LOW HUMIDITIES WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY WITH THE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKENING. CAZ242-248-255-257-162230- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.141116T1800Z-141118T0400Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 334 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PST MONDAY. * TIMING...STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AROUND SUNRISE ON TODAY...WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING TO CRITICAL LEVELS DURING THE MORNING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH FOR TODAY... AND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH FOR TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE WEAKER FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THEY STILL COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-256-258-162230- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.141117T0400Z-141118T0400Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 334 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST MONDAY. * TIMING...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * WINDS...EAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE WEAKER FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THEY COULD STILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO FOR A DETAILED MAP OF THE HAZARD: WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=SGX 17
679 WWUS86 KSGX 162145 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 145 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2014 ...A RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS...THE INLAND EMPIRE...THE ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...THE RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...AND THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... .SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO BRING STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND MUCH LOWER HUMIDITIES TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH MONDAY...WITH A SECONDARY PEAK OF WINDS TO OCCUR LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. LOW HUMIDITIES...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...WITH THE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKENING. CAZ250-256-258-171200- /O.EXT.KSGX.FW.W.0007.141116T2145Z-141118T0400Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 145 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY. * TIMING...THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST TO EAST 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE WEAKER FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THEY COULD STILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ242-248-255-257-171200- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141118T0400Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 145 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY. * TIMING...THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE WEAKER FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THEY STILL COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO PALMER
147 WWUS86 KSGX 171045 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 245 AM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 8 PM PST TODAY FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS...THE INLAND EMPIRE...THE ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...THE RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...AND THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... .SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES INTO TUESDAY. CAZ242-248-255-257-172230- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141118T0400Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 245 AM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-256-258-172230- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141118T0400Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 245 AM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING. * WINDS...EAST TO NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 55 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO FOR A DETAILED MAP OF THE HAZARD: WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=SGX 17
864 WWUS86 KSGX 171655 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 855 AM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...A RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS...THE INLAND EMPIRE...THE ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...THE RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...AND THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... .SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES THROUGH TUESDAY. CAZ242-248-255-257-180600- /O.EXT.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141119T0000Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 855 AM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY. * TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN HUMIDITY AS WELL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-256-258-180600- /O.EXT.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141119T0000Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 855 AM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY. * TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...EAST TO NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 55 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN HUMIDITY AS WELL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO PALMER
156 WWUS86 KSGX 172150 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 150 PM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...A RED FLAG WARNINGS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS... THE INLAND EMPIRE...THE ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...THE RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...AND THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... .SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES THROUGH TUESDAY. CAZ242-248-255-257-181200- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141119T0000Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 150 PM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY. * TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO 40 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN HUMIDITY AS WELL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-256-258-181200- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141119T0000Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 150 PM PST MON NOV 17 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY. * TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * OUTLOOK...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN HUMIDITY AS WELL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO PALMER
378 WWUS86 KSGX 181038 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 238 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2014 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TODAY FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS... THE INLAND EMPIRE...THE ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...THE RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...AND THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... .SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES THROUGH TODAY. CAZ242-248-255-257-190000- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141119T0000Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 238 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT. * OUTLOOK...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN HUMIDITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-256-258-190000- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141119T0000Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 238 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT. * OUTLOOK...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN HUMIDITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO FOR A DETAILED MAP OF THE HAZARD: WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=SGX 17
704 WWUS86 KSGX 190010 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 410 PM PST TUE NOV 18 2014 CAZ242-248-250-255>258-190115- /O.EXP.KSGX.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141119T0000Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 410 PM PST TUE NOV 18 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER TONIGHT...AND HUMIDITIES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THE NEXT FEW DAYS. $$ MAXWELL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Nov 15, 1:15 PM PST, 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 1:15 PM PST, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
115 PM PST SAT NOV 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
ALTHOUGH LOW CLOUDS WILL PREVAIL WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH
TONIGHT...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY....BRINGING STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS. THESE WINDS
WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO SAN DIEGO COUNTY...AND TURN MORE NORTHEAST
AND EASTERLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. ALTHOUGH COOLER CONDITIONS
WILL DEVELOP IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS...WARMER CONDITIONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS TOWARD THE COAST. THIS OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL WEAKEN ON TUESDAY...WITH WEAK ONSHORE FLOW RETURNING ON
WEDNESDAY. FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...ONSHORE FLOW WILL
BRING A COOLING TREND...WITH AREAS OF NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS
AND FOG FOR COASTAL AREAS.
&&
.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE ALONG 130 WEST THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN OMEGA BLOCK
REMAINING WELL TO OUR NORTH. AT THIS POINT IN TIME...SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA REMAINS UNDER THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...WITH JUST A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS FILTERING ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. AT THE
SURFACE...ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TO PREVAIL...WITH STABLE LOW LEVEL
CUMULUS LINGERING WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES
ARE RUNNING WITHIN A COUPLE OF DEGREES OF THIS TIME YESTERDAY...WHICH
WILL MAKE FOR ANOTHER COOL EVENING ACROSS THE REGION. THESE LOW
CLOUDS WILL FILL IN TONIGHT...WITH SOME PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE NEAR THE
COASTAL SLOPES.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS MORE COLD AIR DIVING SOUTH ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THIS
BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TONIGHT AND
ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. A STRONG SURFACE BASIN HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE GREAT BASIN DURING THE
DAY. AS A RESULT...COOLER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. HOWEVER...THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE WITH
THE MODERATELY STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS...INLAND EMPIRE...AND ORANGE COUNTY. THE MODELS CONTINUE
TO SHOW THAT THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN TONOPAH AND SAN
DIEGO WILL PEAK AROUND 15 MB ON LATE SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 850 MB
WINDS OF AT 50 KTS OR STRONGER DEPENDING ON THE MODEL. FOR THIS
REASON...BELIEVE THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN AREAS LOOKS
ON TRACK...AND IS GOOD TO GO FOR SUNDAY. THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT
SOUTHWARD INTO SAN DIEGO COUNTY LATE IN THE DAY ON SUNDAY...AND TURN
MORE NORTHEASTERLY AND EASTERLY AS THEY DO. ALTHOUGH THE MODELS ARE
SHOWING THAT THE GRADIENT AND THE UPPER LEVEL WIND SUPPORT WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS STRONG ON MONDAY MORNING...IT STILL LOOKS LIKE HIGH WIND
CRITERIA WILL BE MET...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED CANYONS AND
PASSES AS WELL AS ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS. THEREFORE...WILL
UPGRADE THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO A WARNING WITH THE AFTERNOON
PACKAGE. ALTHOUGH THE GRADIENTS AND THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN INTO TUESDAY...SOME LOCALLY GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY MORNING.
ALTHOUGH THIS COLDER AIR WILL KEEP THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS QUITE
COOL FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY TOWARDS THE COAST. THIS COLDER
AIR IS ALSO QUITE DRY...SO EXPECT THE HUMIDITY LEVELS TO DROP
SIGNIFICANTLY FROM WHERE THEY HAVE BEEN...WITH THE MARINE LAYER
COMPLETELY MIXING OUT DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. THE ONE OTHER POINT
TO MENTION IS THAT AREAS THAT ARE WIND SHELTERED AREAS ON SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY SEE VERY CHILLY
CONDITIONS...DROPPING INTO THE 30S ON SUNDAY NIGHT. HAVE ADJUSTED
TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT IN THESE WIND SHELTERED AREAS...AND MAY NEED
TO THINK ABOUT A FROST ADVISORY FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. FOR
NOW...WILL HOLD OFF...BUT THIS IS SOMETHING TO CONTINUE TO WATCH.
THE EXTENDED MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SEVERAL SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE
WEST COAST FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK AND WEEKEND. THERE
ARE STILL SEVERAL TIMING AND STRENGTH ISSUES WITH THESE
SYSTEMS...ESPECIALLY THE LATTER SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND.
FOR NOW...EXPECT ONSHORE FLOW TO RETURN ON WEDNESDAY AND PREVAIL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH COOLER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AS WELL.
COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL ALSO REDEVELOP...AND SOME DENSE FOG
MIGHT BE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.
ALTHOUGH THE EXTENDED MODELS CONTINUE TO KEEP THE BRUNT OF THE
MOISTURE WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD...THE 12Z ECMWF
IS NOW HINTING AT A STRONGER SYSTEM FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WHICH
COULD BRING US SOME MOISTURE. GIVEN THAT THIS IS THE FIRST OF THE
MODELS AND MODEL RUNS TO SHOW A WETTER SCENARIO FOR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...WILL KEEP THINGS DRY FOR NOW...BUT MAYBE SOME MARINE
DRIZZLE IS NOT SO FAR FETCHED FOR FRIDAY OR SATURDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...
152104Z...COAST/VALLEYS/COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES...THROUGH 16/0000
UTC...SCT-FEW CLOUDS BETWEEN ABOUT 2000 AND 5000 FT MSL AND
UNRESTRICTED VIS. 16/0000-1200 UTC...CLOUDS BECOMING PATCHY BKN-OVC
WITH BASES 1700-2500 FT MSL AND TOPS 3500-4000 FT MSL...WITH LOCAL
VIS 3-5 SM AND SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION. 16/1200-1500 UTC...CLOUDS
STARTING TO CLEAR OUT OF SAN BERNARDINO...RIVERSIDE AND ORANGE
COUNTIES...AS DEVELOPING N TO NE WINDS 15-30 KT WITH GUSTS 30-45 KT
BRING STG-SVR UP/DOWNDRAFTS...POSSIBLE ROTORS...LOWERED VIS IN
BLOWING DUST...AND LLWS WHERE WINDS DO NOT SURFACE. CONFIDENCE IN
LLWS AND WIND FORECAST FOR KSNA AND KONT IS MODERATE. STRATUS THEN
CLEARING OUT OF SAN DIEGO COUNTY 16/1400-1700 UTC WITH SOME OF THE
STRONG NE TO E WINDS CREATING SOME UP/DOWNDRAFTS AND LLWS IN THAT
AREA AS WELL.
MOUNTAIN RIDGES AND DESERT SLOPES/DESERTS...FEW-SCT CLOUDS AOA 15000
FT MSL THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THROUGH 16/1200 UTC...AREAS OF W
WINDS 15-25 KT WITH GUSTS 30-40 KT WILL CREATE MOD-STG UP/DOWNDRAFTS
AND LLWS OVER AND E OF THE MOUNTAINS. AFTER 16/1200 UTC...DEVELOPING
N TO NE WINDS 15-30 KT WITH GUSTS 30-45 KT WILL BRING STG-SVR
UP/DOWNDRAFTS...POSSIBLE ROTORS...LOWERED VIS IN BLOWING
DUST/SAND...AND LLWS WHERE WINDS DO NOT SURFACE. CONFIDENCE IN WIND
FORECAST FOR KPSP AND KTRM IS LOW-TO-MODERATE.
&&
.MARINE...
104 PM...NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT WIND SPEEDS AND
AREA COVERAGE OF THE WINDS WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS. THUS...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.
&&
.BEACHES...
104 PM...THE SAN CLEMENTE BASIN BUOY INDICATES THAT THE
WEST-NORTHWEST SWELL HAS LOWERED SLIGHTLY TO AROUND 6 FT/12-14
SECONDS. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ELEVATED SURF OF 3 TO 5
FEET AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS TODAY. LOCAL SETS OF 6 FEET ARE
POSSIBLE NORTH OF NEWPORT BEACH AND SOUTH OF ENCINITAS. THE SWELL
SHOULD GRADUALLY LOWER THROUGH TODAY AND MORE SIGNIFICANTLY SUNDAY
AND MONDAY...RESULTING IN DIMINISHED SURF AND A LOWER RIP CURRENT
THREAT.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
FIRE WEATHER WATCHES WILL BE CONVERTED TO RED FLAG WARNINGS WITH THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE...AS STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SUNDAY AND MONDAY...FAVORING AREAS BELOW
THE PASSES AND CANYONS...BELOW THE MOUNTAIN CRESTS...AND ALONG THE
COASTAL SLOPES. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON SUNDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON FOR A CORRIDOR FROM CAJON SUMMIT TO
ORANGE COUNTY. THESE WINDS WILL DEVELOP AROUND SUNRISE...WITH
HUMIDITIES FALLING THE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS AFTER 10 AM. THESE
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL THEN SPREAD SOUTHWARD INTO SAN
DIEGO COUNTY BY SUNDAY EVENING...AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. DAYTIME
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS EACH DAY THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES DEVELOPING.
ALTHOUGH THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN SOME FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS MAY REMAIN NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
&&
.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.
&&
.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO NOON PST MONDAY FOR THE
COACHELLA VALLEY...ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...RIVERSIDE
COUNTY MOUNTAINS...SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...SAN
BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE...
SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR THE
RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER
DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST...SAN DIEGO
COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS...SAN DIEGO COUNTY
MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER
DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM PST MONDAY FOR THE
ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE
COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE...SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY
RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST...
SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT
OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO NOON PST MONDAY FOR THE
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS.
PZ...NONE.
&&
PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...PALMER
AVIATION/MARINE...HARRISONThe office that day
Everything else NWS San Diego, CA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 4:03 AM PST | High Wind Warning | SGX | Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego | 39 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in California, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.