Wind Advisory 6, NWS Reno, NV

352 
WWUS75 KREV 180141
NPWREV

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
541 PM PST MON FEB 17 2014

CAZ070-180245-
/O.EXP.KREV.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140218T0200Z/
SURPRISE VALLEY CALIFORNIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDARVILLE...FORT BIDWELL
541 PM PST MON FEB 17 2014

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM PST THIS EVENING. 

WINDS ARE DECREASING ACROSS THE SURPRISE VALLEY WITH GUSTS ONLY UP
TO 35 MPH EXPECTED THIS EVENING...DECREASING OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE
THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON TIME.

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
219 AM PST MON FEB 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
THE STORM TRACK WILL SHIFT INTO OREGON AND WASHINGTON THIS WEEK
WITH SOME BREEZY AFTERNOONS TODAY AND TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH WINDY CONDITIONS AHEAD OF IT.
THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF SUSANVILLE
AND GERLACH. ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING TO NEAR AVERAGE BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
FEW CHANGES MADE TO THE GOING FORECAST AS THE MODELS REMAIN IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SHORT WAVE RIDGE INTO TUESDAY BEFORE A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. NAM/GFS/EC AND ENSEMBLES
CONTINUE TO SHOW THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY SNOW WITH THE FRONT WILL
BE NEAR THE OREGON BORDER.

FOR TODAY INTO TUESDAY, SHORT WAVE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL
WITH SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH. 700 MB WINDS OF NEAR
30 KTS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME BREEZY AFTERNOONS. AT THIS POINT, PEAK
GUSTS LOOK TO BE NEAR 30 MPH AND THUS WILL NOT ISSUE ANY LAKE
WIND ADVISORIES AS IT LOOKS TO BE BELOW CRITERIA, BUT CLOSE.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE TODAY AND
TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER SEASONABLY COOL NIGHT TONIGHT.

WITH THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT, H7 WINDS INCREASE TO 50 KT AHEAD
OF IT. THE NAM SHOWS A LITTLE DOWNSLOPE SIGNATURE, BUT AT THIS
POINT, IT APPEARS THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS
AND RIDGES. HOWEVER, HAVE INCREASED WINDS A LITTLE TUESDAY NIGHT.
RIGHT NOW, GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS, BUT IT
WILL BE SPOTTY AND NOT WIDESPREAD LIKE IT WAS SATURDAY. GUSTS TO
55 MPH ARE LIKELY IN THE FOOTHILLS SO NOT THINKING ADVISORY RIGHT
NOW ALTHOUGH IT IS CLOSE FROM I-80 NORTHWARD.

THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE A BRIEF BURST OF RAIN/SNOW ALONG THE
COLD FRONT NORTH OF SUSANVILLE. GFS/NAM AND ENSEMBLES SHOW ABOUT
1-2 TENTHS OF PRECIP AND MOST OF IT WILL FALL AS SNOW EVEN ON
VALLEY FLOORS AS H7 TEMPS RAPIDLY COOL TO NEAR -10 C. RIGHT NOW
THINKING UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW SO NO HIGHLIGHTS SHOULD BE
NECESSARY ALTHOUGH IT WILL LIKELY BE SLICK IN THE MORNING FOR THE
SURPRISE VALLEY.

BEHIND THE FRONT, H7 TEMPS AVERAGING NEAR -10 C WILL BRING DAYTIME
HIGHS BACK TO NEAR AVERAGE, THE LOW 50S FOR WRN NV AND LOW-MID
40S FOR SIERRA VALLEYS. IT WILL FEEL A BIT COLDER WITH BRISK N-NW
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY. WALLMANN

.THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
LITTLE OR NO CHANGE TO FORECAST AS CENTRAL NORTH AMERICAN TROUGH
SLOWLY ADVANCES EASTWARD WITH RIDGING NEAR THE WEST COAST. SHORTWAVE
WILL BE DROPPING THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN THU-FRI WHICH
SHOULD RESULT IN THE BEST MIXING POTENTIAL OF PERIOD. MAINTAINED A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR THE OREGON BORDER THURSDAY ALTHOUGH
MOST OF THE MODELS KEEP IT NORTH AND EAST OF AREA. AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH PERIOD WITH
READINGS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 50S MOST LOCATIONS. HOHMANN

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXCEPT FOR A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF PATCHY FREEZING FOG
AROUND KTRK THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING. RIDGE WINDS WILL
GUST CLOSE TO 50KT AT TIMES ALONG THE SIERRA CREST WHICH COULD
RESULT IN SOME LIGHT TURBULENCE TO THE LEE OF THE SIERRA. STRONGER
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL SWING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WED
MORNING. HOHMANN

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)