Red Flag Warning 16, NWS Pueblo, CO

330 
WWUS85 KPUB 251827
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1227 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TODAY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 224...226 THROUGH 230 AND 233...WHICH INCLUDES THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY...EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO AND LAS ANIMAS
COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM SATURDAY...FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224 AND 226 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES ALL
OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY
AND THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR...

COZ226>229-261030-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-140426T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0010.140426T1800Z-140427T0200Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-
1227 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
226...227...228 AND 229...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228 AND 229...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228 AND 229.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ224-230-233-261030-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-140426T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0010.140426T1800Z-140427T0200Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
1227 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...230 AND 233...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...230 AND 233...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...230 AND 233.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. EVEN
  STRONGER WINDS WILL REDEVELOP LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ222-231-232-234>237-261030-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0010.140426T1800Z-140427T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-
BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
1227 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...231...232...234...235...
236 AND 237...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...231...232...234... 
  235...236 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

962 
WWUS85 KPUB 252047
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
247 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM TODAY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 224...226 THROUGH 230 AND 233...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY...FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 226 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS...FREMONT COUNTY AND THE INTERSTATE 25
CORRIDOR...

COZ224-260300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.A.0010.140426T1800Z-140427T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-140426T0300Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
247 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
224...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SATURDAY IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR SATURDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ226>230-233-261300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0010.140426T1800Z-140427T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0017.140426T1700Z-140427T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-140426T0300Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
247 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
226...227...228...229...230 AND 233...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
226...227...228...229...230 AND 233...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229... 
  230 AND 233.

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING. ON SATURDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
  GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ222-231-232-234>237-261300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0010.140426T1800Z-140427T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0017.140426T1700Z-140427T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-
BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
247 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...231...232...234...235...236 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...231...232...234... 
  235...236 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

563 
WWUS85 KPUB 260234
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
834 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 224...226 THROUGH 230 AND 233...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY...
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 226 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES
ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...FREMONT COUNTY AND THE INTERSTATE
25 CORRIDOR...

COZ226>230-233-261845-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-140426T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0017.140426T1700Z-140427T0300Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
834 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226... 227...228...229...230 AND
233... 

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228... 229...230 AND 233...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229... 
  230 AND 233.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ224-260345-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-140426T0300Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
834 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 224...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

$$

COZ222-231-232-234>237-261845-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0017.140426T1700Z-140427T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-
BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
834 PM MDT FRI APR 25 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...231...232...234...235...236
AND 237...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...231...232...234... 
  235...236 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1100 PM MDT THU APR 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 PM MDT THU APR 24 2014

RELATIVELY TRANQUIL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED OVER THE
FORECAST DISTRICT WITH PRIMARY METEOROLOGICAL CHALLENGES BEING
TEMPERATURES AND LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS/ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER ISSUES.

CWFA CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING VARYING DEGREES OF PRIMARILY HIGHER
LEVEL CLOUDINESS...SOME PRIMARILY LOCALIZED HIGHER TERRAIN GUSTY
WINDS AND NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

LATEST REAL-TIME DATA...FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS AND COMPUTER
SIMULATIONS INDICATE THAT DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO THROUGH FRIDAY AS DRY UPPER ZONAL TO
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AS WELL AS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE FORECAST DISTRICT...HOWEVER AT THIS TIME CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO ISSUE FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS.  WFO PUEBLO WILL MONITOR
CLOSELY.

MINIMUM TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR LATE APRIL SEASONAL AVERAGES ARE
ANTICIPATED TONIGHT WHILE ABOVE LATE APRIL SEASONAL AVERAGE MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN TO THE FORECAST DISTRICT BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 PM MDT THU APR 24 2014

FRI NIGHT A STRONG UPR TROF WL BE MOVING EASTWARD FROM THE WEST
COAST...AND AN UPR LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHWEST AZ
BY 18Z SAT. THE UPR TROF WL CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD THRU THE DAY
AND IS FORECAST TO REACH TO 4 CORNERS BY 00Z SUN AND THE TRACK
EASTWARD ALONG THE SRN CO BORDER SAT NIGHT.

AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...STRONG S TO SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVR THE
AREA ON SAT OVR MOST OF THE AREA.  THE SERN PLAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE QUITE DRY...WITH RH VALUES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT...RESULTING
IN CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS.  WILL ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FROM 18Z SAT TO 02Z SUN. FOR ALL OF THE SERN CO PLAINS.  THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY MAY HAVE A PERIOD IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON WHEN CRITICAL
CONDITIONS WL BE REACHED...BUT BY LATE AFTERNOON PCPN IS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD ACRS THE AREA...RAISING THE DEW POINTS.

AS THE UPR TROF MOVES TOWARD THE AREA ON SAT...PCPN IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING ALONG THE CONTDVD...AND THEN INCREASE IN THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...AND THEN SPREAD ACRS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND OVR
THE EASTERN MTS. TEMPS STILL LOOK RELATIVELY WARM DURING THE DAY
SAT...SO SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WL MAINLY BE OVR THE HYR PEAKS. SAT
NIGHT...PCPN CONTINUES OVR THE MTS AS THE UPR LOW TRACKS EASTWARD
ALONG THE SRN CO BORDER...WHILE THE SERN PLAINS REMAIN DRY UNTIL
EARLY SUN MORNING.  COLDER AIR WL BE SPREADING ACRS THE FORECAST
AREA SAT NIGHT WITH SNOW LEVELS PROBABLY LOWERING TO AROUND OR A
LITTLE LOWER THAN 6000 FT. THEN WHEN THE UPR LOW GETS CLOSER TO THE
ERN CO BORDER EARLY SUN...PCPN WRAPS AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW
OVR THE I-25 CORRIDOR. ALSO ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW...STRONG NW
TO N WINDS ARE EXPECTED AND TEMPS WL BE COLD ENOUGH OVR THE PALMER
DVD THAT THERE WL BE SNOW.  THE COMBINATION OF THE WIND AND SNOW
COULD LEAD TO DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS OVR NRN EL PASO COUNTY
AND THE PALMER DVD SUN MORNING. ON SUNDAY THE UPR LOW THEN IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND PCPN SPREADS EASTWARD
ACRS MUCH OF THE SERN PLAINS.  THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE
MODELS...BY 00Z MON THE NAM HAS THE UPR LOW CENTER SW OF
KHLC...WHILE THE GFS AND ECMWF TAKE IT FARTHER NORTH INTO WRN NE.
AS A RESULT...THE GFS AND EC HAVE DRIER CONDITIONS OVR THE SERN CO
PLAINS THAN THE NAM.  PCPN WL BE DECREASING OVR WRN AREAS AND THE
MTNS DURING THE DAY SUN.  THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE CONTDVD FROM SAT AFTERNOON
THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY SUN...SO FOR NOW WL ISSUE A WINTER WX WATCH FOR
THE HYR ELEVATIONS OF THE CONTDVD.

UNSETTLED WX IS THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO MID OR LATE WEEK AS
THE UPR LOW SITS OVR THE PLAINS STATES.  THIS WL LEAD TO BREEZY AND
COOL NORTHERLY FLOW OVR THE FORECAST AREA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
OCCASIONAL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACRS THE AREA AND BRINGING SOME PCPN.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1100 PM MDT THU APR 24 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALS...COS AND PUB THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. GENERALLY LIGHT DIURNAL DRAINAGE WINDS EXPECTED AT TAF
SITES OVERNIGHT...WITH BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25KTS
DEVELOPING AFTER 18Z.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR COZ222-226>237.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR COZ058-060-061-066-068.

&&

SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM...28
AVIATION...MW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1103 AM MDT THU APR 24 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-251715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1103 AM MDT THU APR 24 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND NEAR THE NEW MEXICO
BORDER ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE VERY LOW AND
WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE CREATING THE DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS.

AS THE STORM APPROACHES...SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL MOVE INTO THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE ON SATURDAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE MOUNTAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHTNING BEING THE
MAIN THREAT. IN ADDITION...SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER
PEAKS. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
SPREAD HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN COLORADO FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. EXTREME CAUTION IS ADVISED WITH ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING ACTIVITIES.

SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO
ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 8000
FEET. MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE. IN
ADDITION...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.

ACTIVE WEATHER WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS
SOUTHERN COLORADO. SEVERAL DISTURBANCES WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL AND SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE PLAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.