Red Flag Warning 11, NWS Pueblo, CO

755 
WWUS85 KPUB 310210
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
810 PM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS FROM 1100 UNTIL 1900 ON MONDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222 AND 227 THROUGH 236...WITH INCLUDES FREMONT...SOUTHERN
EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...
KIOWA...BENT AND PROWERS COUNTIES...

COZ222-227>236-311815-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140331T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0011.140331T1700Z-140401T0100Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
PROWERS COUNTY-
810 PM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...227...228...229...230...
231...232...233...234...235 AND 236...

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TONIGHT FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222...227...228...229...230...231...232... 233...234...235
AND 236...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...227...228...229... 
  230...231...232...233...234...235 AND 236.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ224-226-237-310315-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140331T0200Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
810 PM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...226
AND 237...

WHILE STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT...RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS CLIMBED ABOVE 15 PERCENT OVER
THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...AND THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

$$

753 
WWUS85 KPUB 311030
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
430 AM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS FROM 1000 UNTIL 1800 TODAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222 AND 227 THROUGH 236...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT...SOUTHERN EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...
KIOWA...BENT AND PROWERS COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FROM 1200 UNTIL 1900 ON TUESDAY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...AND 228 THROUGH 236...WHICH INCLUDES
THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS EXCEPT FOR EL
PASO COUNTY...

COZ237-010230-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0006.140401T1800Z-140402T0100Z/
/O.EXB.KPUB.FW.W.0011.140331T1600Z-140401T0000Z/
BACA COUNTY-
430 AM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 237...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 237.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ222-228>236-010230-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0006.140401T1800Z-140402T0100Z/
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0011.140331T1600Z-140401T0000Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
430 AM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...AND 228 THROUGH
236.  FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...AND 228 THROUGH 236.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CONTINUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FROM 10 AM UNTIL 6 PM TODAY AND HAS ALSO ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...FOR GUSTY WINDS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...228...229...230... 
  231...232...233...234...235 AND 236.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ227-010000-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0011.140331T1600Z-140401T0000Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
430 AM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ224-010230-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0006.140401T1800Z-140402T0100Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
430 AM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 40 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

907 
WWUS85 KPUB 312057
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
257 PM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS UNTIL 1800 TODAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 227
THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT...SOUTHERN EL PASO...
PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...
KIOWA...BENT...BACA AND PROWERS COUNTIES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS FROM 1100 UNTIL 2000 ON TUESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222...224...AND 227 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY...THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR FROM COLORADO SPRINGS AND
SOUTHWARD AND ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...

COZ222-228>237-011300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0006.140401T1800Z-140402T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0012.140401T1700Z-140402T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140401T0000Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
257 PM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 AND
237...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 AND
237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...228...229...230... 
  231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ227-011300-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0012.140401T1700Z-140402T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140401T0000Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
257 PM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
227...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ224-011300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0006.140401T1800Z-140402T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0012.140401T1700Z-140402T0200Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
257 PM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 13 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

812 
WWUS85 KPUB 312354
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
554 PM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY
FUELS WILL EXPIRE AT 1800 TODAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND
227 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT...SOUTHERN EL PASO...
PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO... KIOWA...
BENT...BACA AND PROWERS COUNTIES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS FROM 1100 UNTIL 2000 ON TUESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222...224...AND 227 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY...THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR FROM COLORADO SPRINGS
AND SOUTHWARD AND ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...

COZ222-227>237-011600-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140401T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0012.140401T1700Z-140402T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
554 PM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...
234...235...236 AND 237...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING 
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...
235...236 AND 237...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...227...228...229... 
  230...231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ224-011600-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0012.140401T1700Z-140402T0200Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
554 PM MDT MON MAR 31 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 224...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 13 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  GROWTH AND SPREAD CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY FIRE STARTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1137 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 339 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

...HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATING
INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE STATE THIS
MORNING AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST COAST IS
TRANSLATING INTO THE GREAT BASIN AT THIS TIME. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
IS ALSO INDICATING AMPLE MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING OUT
AHEAD OF SAID WAVE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO WESTERN COLORADO
AT THIS TIME. WITH THE STREAMING CLOUDS AND INCREASING
WINDS...EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES ARE VERY MILD FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR WITH READINGS IN THE 20S AND 30S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AT THIS TIME.

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE CURRENT FORECAST AS SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY AS THE GREAT
BASIN SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE STATE AND INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED JET PROGGED TO TRANSLATE
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO WILL KEEP MAINLY DRY...WARM AND WINDY
WEATHER IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO...WITH SHOWERS RAMPING
UP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MOST
NUMEROUS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MTS WHERE 2 TO 6 INCHES OF
SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS. COULD EVEN SEE A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AS LAPSE RATES
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE TROUGH.

FURTHER EAST...STRENGTHENING LEE TROUGH ACROSS ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS WILL HELP TO MIX THE DOWN THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT ACROSS THE
PLAINS WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 45 MPH EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONG WINDS...ALONG WITH EXPECTED WARM
TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 70S AND MIN RHS IN THE 5-10 PERCENT
RANGE...WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS WITH CURRENT RED FLAG
WARNING STILL ON TRACK. THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO AREAS
OF BLOWING DUST ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS AND MAY NEED A SHORT
FUSE ADVISORY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. PASSING SYSTEM SENDS A BORA COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE EVENING. LATEST MODELS INDICATING POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND H7 WINDS INCREASING TO 40-50KTS. WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE HIGH WINDS BUT FOR NOW HAVE BEEFED UP WINDS IN
CURRENT GRIDS WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ACROSS THE EASTERN MTS AND PLAINS
TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 339 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MAIN FEATURES WILL BE STRONG SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT...BRINGING SNOW TO MAINLY THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PART
OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THROUGH COLORADO...AND PERIODS OF
WIND/HIGH FIRE DANGER AND POSSIBLY BLOWING DUST ELSEWHERE.

A SPEED MAX/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH COLORADO FROM
THE WEST/SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING
WIND/HIGH FIRE DANGER/BLOWING DUST TO MOST AREAS MONDAY...WITH
INCREASING SNOW CHANCES ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY LATE IN
THE DAY. THEN...OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...SNOW WILL RAMP
UP ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...WHILE A COLD FRONT BACKS INTO
THE EASTERN PLAINS UP TO THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS.
FRONT IS DRY...SO MAIN IMPACT WILL BE A RESPITE IN THE STRONGER
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS AS LIGHTER EASTERLY WINDS
MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT. ALSO...COOLER AIR WILL FILTER IN ACROSS
THE PLAINS BEHIND THE FRONT.

BUT...IMPACTS OF SYSTEM WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS IT WILL QUICKLY
EJECT NORTHEAST OUT OF THE AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH
SNOWFALL WINDING DOWN ALONG THE DIVIDE...AND WINDS SHIFTING BACK
TO SOUTHWESTERLY AGAIN ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS MEANS MORE HIGH
FIRE DANGER AND BLOWING DUST COULD BE BACK IN THE FORECAST AGAIN
ALREADY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THEN...24 HOURS LATER...THINGS WILL BE CHANGING AGAIN...AS
ANOTHER...BIGGER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS
ONE...HAS BEEN WELL ADVERTISED IN THE MODELS FOR DAYS NOW...BUT
WITH VARYING IDEAS ON HOW THE STORM WILL TRACK. EARLY RUNS WERE A
MIX OF NORTHERN/SOUTHERN TRACKS...WITH SOUTHERN COLORADO POISED
FOR LESS/MORE SNOW...RESPECTIVELY. LATEST RUNS ARE LEANING TOWARD
A MORE NORTHERN SOLUTION...BUT NOT QUITE AS FAR NORTH AS SOME OF
THE INITIAL RUNS. REALLY...THE LATEST TRACKS ARE SORT OF A
COMPROMISE SOLUTION FROM THE NORTHERN/SOUTHERN TRACKS OF EARLIER.
ALSO...CURRENT TIMING OF THE GFS MODELS'S MAIN IMPACT WINDOW ON
SOUTHERN COLORADO IS NOW JUST ABOUT 24 HOURS DELAYED FROM PREVIOUS
RUNS...COMING ACROSS THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT INSTEAD OF WEDNESDAY/
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF INDICATES A PRIMARY IMPACT TIME OF
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY.

IN ANY EVENT...SOUTHERN COLORADO STILL LOOKS ON TRACK FOR A VERY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN...SOMETIME AROUND
MIDWEEK...WITH THE MOST RECENT RUNS CENTERING AROUND EARLY
THURSDAY. MOST EVERYONE SHOULD SEE COLD...WIND AND SOME AMOUNT OF
RAIN/SNOW WITH THIS EVENT. OF COURSE...IT'S THE HOW MUCH THAT
EVERYONE WANTS TO KNOW AND THAT'S HARD TO PINPOINT. LATEST RUNS
WOULD SUGGEST NORTHERN AREAS...MAINLY NORTH OF US HIGHWAY 50...AND
ESPECIALLY THE PIKES PEAK/PALMER DIVIDE REGION COULD DO QUITE WELL
WITH THIS STORM...WHILE OTHER AREAS WOULD SEE MUCH LIGHTER
IMPACT. THE STORM IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS AWAY...SO NOT REALLY
CERTAIN ABOUT ANYTHING YET. ANYTHING IS STILL POSSIBLE AT THIS
POINT.

ONCE THE BULK OF THE STORM PASSES...COOL...CYCLONIC FLOW WILL
REMAIN OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND SOME SCATTERED PRECIP...MAINLY
OVER THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A SNEAK PEAK OF THE 06Z RUN OF THE GFS JUST IN HAS SHIFTED THE MAX
PRECIP BULL'S-EYE BACK SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND I-25
CORRIDOR...ROUGHLY BOUNDED BY THE PALMER DIVIDE TO THE
NORTH...WALSENBURG TO THE SOUTH...AND CENTERED OVER WESTERN PUEBLO
COUNTY. MODEL NOW HAS APPROXIMATELY 0.75 INCHES OF LIQUID OVER
THE PUEBLO AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH OVER AN INCH ALONG THE WET
MOUNTAINS. ALWAYS TAKE THE 06Z RUN WITH A BIG GRAIN OF SALT...BUT
INTERESTING REGARDLESS. LW

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KCOS...KPUB AND KALS TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. GUSTY SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THEN BECOMING WEST TO NW FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ222-224-
226>237.

&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...LW
AVIATION...28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
607 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-311215-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
607 AM MDT SUN MAR 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE STATE THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
OVER AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MOST
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
WHERE 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON.

THE APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 25 TO 45 MPH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...WITH AREAS OF BLOWING DUST LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS.  THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND
DRY FUELS WILL ALSO RESULT IN HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY AND EASTERN PLAINS TODAY. FIRES COULD START AND SPREAD
EASILY...SO ANY ACTIVITIES THAT COULD START FIRES SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY LATER TONIGHT THOUGH REMAIN GUSTY
BEHIND THE PASSING SYSTEM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE DURING THIS PERIOD...ESPECIALLY NORTH
OF MONARCH PASS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...PERIODS OF HIGH FIRE DANGER AND BLOWING
DUST WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS PERIOD.

SOMETIME LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...A PACIFIC STORM
SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO BRINGING COLD...WIND
AND AT LEAST SOME RAIN AND SNOW TO MOST AREAS. RIGHT NOW...THE
PRIMARY IMPACT WINDOW LOOKS TO BE CENTERED AROUND EARLY THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...THE PRIMARY IMPACT PERIOD HAS BEEN SHIFTING BY AS MUCH
AS 24 HOURS IN RECENT MODEL RUNS...SO TIMING IS VERY UNCERTAIN.

ALSO...THE PRIMARY AREA OF IMPACT IS STILL IN QUESTION. SOME RUNS
HAVE FOCUSED ON THE PIKES PEAK AND PALMER DIVIDE REGION AS BEING
THE PRIMARY AREA OF IMPACT WHILE OTHERS HAVE HONED IN ON AREAS
FARTHER SOUTH ALONG THE WET MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT I-25 CORRIDOR.

IN ANY EVENT...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME AREAS OF SOUTHERN
COLORADO TO SEE A SIGNIFICANT SPRING STORM WITH THIS EVENT. STAY
TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE LATEST FORECAST
REVISIONS IN THE DAYS AHEAD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS MEETING REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

23/50