High Wind Warning 3, NWS Pocatello, ID

838 
WWUS75 KPIH 020112
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
712 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2014

IDZ017-021-022-020215-
/O.CAN.KPIH.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-141102T0300Z/
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLEY...RUPERT...SHOSHONE...CAREY...
POCATELLO...BLACKFOOT...OAKLEY
712 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS CANCELED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING.

SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS AND WIND GUSTS HAVE FALLEN BELOW WARNING AND
ADVISORY THRESHOLDS. THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELED.

$$

IDZ020-023>025-020215-
/O.CAN.KPIH.WI.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-141102T0300Z/
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-
CACHE VALLEY/IDAHO PORTION-WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IDAHO FALLS...REXBURG...RIGBY...
LAVA HOT SPRINGS...SODA SPRINGS...PRESTON...MONTPELIER...
GEORGETOWN...PARIS
712 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY.

SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS AND WIND GUSTS HAVE FALLEN BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA IN THE PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED AREA. THE WIND ADVISORY IS
CANCELED.

$$

MESSICK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
140 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG UPPER LOW
LIFTING ACROSS EAST IDAHO THROUGH THE PERIOD. NEGATIVE TILT WITH
STRONG SHORTWAVE LIFTING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON.
EAST IDAHO DESTABILIZING WITH WEAK CAPE ACROSS THE REGION ALREADY.
STORMS FAST MOVING WITH 50+KT 700MB WIND THUS EXPECT MARGINAL
ISOLATED SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON. LEADING LINE OF CONVECTION LIFTS
THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY BRIEF BREAK IN
PRECIP. COLD FRONT FOLLOWS BY EARLY EVENING MOST LOCATIONS. BEST
COLD ADVECTION IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH CONTINUED STRONG
SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN AREA OF STRONGEST SURFACE GRADIENT. MODELS
HOLD 850MB WET BULBS BETWEEN 0-2 DEG. DEPENDING ON TIMING OF
PRECIP IN WRAP-AROUND OVERNIGHT...COULD SEE SNOW DROPPING TO
VALLEY FLOORS. BETTING ON GUIDANCE BEING SLIGHTLY HIGH OVERNIGHT
SO HAVE TEMPS FALLING COLD ENOUGH TO ACCUMULATE LIGHT SNOW EVEN IN
THE VALLEY. HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS NOT VERY HIGH SO DESPITE FIRST
POTENTIAL SNOWFALL OF SEASON...WILL FOREGO A WINTER WX ADV FOR NOW
DESPITE JUST UNDER INCH OF ACCUMULATION THROUGH INTERSTATE
CORRIDOR IN SNAKE PLAIN. UPPER TROUGH AXIS LINGERS THROUGH SUNDAY
DESPITE CENTER OF MAIN FEATURE CONTINUING TO ROTATE NORTH THROUGH
MONTANA INTO SOUTHERN ALBERTA. SPOKE OF 700MB TROUGH SLIDES
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY WHICH LEADS TO SHARP CONVERGENCE ZONE
SIGNATURE THROUGH THE SNAKE PLAIN. TEMPS MAY WARM JUST ENOUGH
ABOVE FRZNG TO CHANGE BACK TO RAIN BUT WILL MAINTAIN MIX THROUGH
THE MORNING. UPSLOPE 700MB FLOW INTO THE SOUTHERN/EASTERN
HIGHLANDS COULD KEEP WEAK SHOWERS /MOSTLY SNOW/ GOING INTO THE
AFTERNOON OTHERWISE BULK OF PRECIP HAS SHIFTED WELL NORTHEAST WITH
THE MAIN LOBE OF THE LOW. UPPER RIDGE BEGINNING TO NOSE INTO THE
REGION BY SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT NAM CONTINUES IDEA OF BREAKING NEXT
PROGRESSIVE FEATURE INTO THE PACNW. IF NAM HOLDS TRUE COULD SEE
WEAK SHOWERS SNEAKING INTO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BY MONDAY
MORNING. GFS FAR LESS AGRESSIVE WITH THE PRECIP UPSTREAM IN
WASHINGTON SO TRENDED WITH MUCH DRIER POPS AS RIDGE AXIS TILTS
INTO IDAHO. DMH

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING
FOR MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE FOLLOWED QUICKLY BY ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE IDAHO PANHANDLE TUESDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED INITIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TUESDAY
MORNING WILL WEAKEN AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVELY FLAT RIDGING WILL REBOUND SOMEWHAT FOR
THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH MOISTURE AND THE BEST PRECIPITATION THREAT
WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH SATURDAY.  DSH

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.  PERIODS OF
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY WITH SNOW
LEVELS DROPPING TO VALLEY FLOORS SUNDAY MORNING.  MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS TODAY AND THIS EVENING AND CEILINGS WILL DROP TO MVFR/IFR
AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH LOCAL VISIBILITY DROPPING AS WELL IN AREAS OF
RAIN/SNOW.  DSH

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ017-021>025.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING TO 11 AM MST
SUNDAY ABOVE 5500 FEET FOR THE IDZ032.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING TO 11 AM MST
SUNDAY IDZ018.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST
SUNDAY ABOVE 5500 FEET FOR THE IDZ019.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING TO 11 AM MST
SUNDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET FOR THE IDZ031.

&&