Alert archive / New Jersey / Winter Storm Watches in 2014
Winter Storm Watch 6, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter storm watch at Feb 10, 2014, 3:28 PM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Feb 12, 2014, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 10, 2014, 3:28 PM EST (20:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 12, 2014, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 11, 2014, 3:43 PM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
All 21 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA
The radar
The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1004 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 104 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 92 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
810 WWUS41 KPHI 102028 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 328 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...POTENT COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION MID WEEK... DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-110430- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140214T0600Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE... GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY... MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER... KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN... LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 328 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS...THIS WATCH INCLUDES FAR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA...SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY...FAR NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...AND NORTHERN DELAWARE. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE FORECAST TO GENERALLY RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH AMOUNTS OVER 8 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. IN ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A TRACE UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS MOSTLY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW IS FORECAST TO CHANGE OVER TO A SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN MIX DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW AND TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OCCUR BY THE TIME WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ020>027-110430- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140213T1800Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-OCEAN- CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...CHESTERTOWN... CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY... LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST 328 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...THE WATCH INCLUDES SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL DELAWARE AND MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARD TYPES...PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE INLAND. * TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. BY MID DAY THURSDAY...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 15 TO 250 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES BY THE TIME THE WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ JOHNSON
4 follow-up statements
671 WWUS41 KPHI 102039 CCA WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 338 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...POTENT COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION MID WEEK... DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-110500- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140214T0600Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE... GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY... MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER... KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN... LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 338 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS...THIS WATCH INCLUDES FAR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA...SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY...FAR NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...AND NORTHERN DELAWARE. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE FORECAST TO GENERALLY RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH AMOUNTS OVER 8 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. IN ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A TRACE UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS MOSTLY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW IS FORECAST TO CHANGE OVER TO A SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN MIX DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW AND TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OCCUR BY THE TIME WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ020>027-110500- /O.COR.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140213T1800Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-OCEAN- CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...CHESTERTOWN... CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY... LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST 338 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...THE WATCH INCLUDES SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL DELAWARE AND MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARD TYPES...PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE INLAND. * TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. BY MID DAY THURSDAY...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES BY THE TIME THE WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ JOHNSON
964 WWUS41 KPHI 110301 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1001 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...POTENT COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION MID WEEK... DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-111500- /O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140214T0600Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE... GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY... MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER... KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN... LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 1001 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * LOCATIONS...THIS WATCH INCLUDES FAR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA... SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... FAR NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...AND NORTHERN DELAWARE. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE FORECAST TO GENERALLY RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH AMOUNTS OVER 8 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. IN ADDITION... ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A TRACE UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS MOSTLY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW IS FORECAST TO CHANGE OVER TO A SNOW...SLEET... AND FREEZING RAIN MIX DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW AND TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS... WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OCCUR BY THE TIME WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ020>027-111500- /O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140213T1800Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-OCEAN- CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...CHESTERTOWN... CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY... LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST 1001 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...THE WATCH INCLUDES SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY... SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL DELAWARE AND MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARD TYPES...PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE INLAND. * TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. BY MID DAY THURSDAY...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES BY THE TIME THE WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
418 WWUS41 KPHI 111107 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 607 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...POTENT COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY... DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-112100- /O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140214T0600Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE... GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY... MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER... KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN... LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 607 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * LOCATIONS...THIS WATCH INCLUDES FAR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA... SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... FAR NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...AND NORTHERN DELAWARE. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS MOSTLY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW IS FORECAST TO CHANGE OVER TO A SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN MIX DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW AND TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OCCUR BY THE TIME WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ020>027-112100- /O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140213T1800Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-OCEAN- CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...CHESTERTOWN... CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY... LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST 607 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...THE WATCH INCLUDES SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY... SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL DELAWARE AND MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARD TYPES...PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE. * TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. BY MID DAY THURSDAY...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES BY THE TIME THE WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
892 WWUS41 KPHI 112043 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 343 PM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...POTENT COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY... DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-120500- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140214T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0006.140213T0300Z-140214T0600Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE... GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY... MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER... KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN... LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 343 PM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THIS WARNING INCLUDES FAR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA... FAR SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... FAR NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...AND NORTHERN DELAWARE. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR WITH 8 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN FOR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS MOSTLY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW IS FORECAST TO MIX WITH SLEET BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MAY EVEN BRIEFLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BY THURSDAY EVENING IT IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AGAIN AND BEGIN TO TAPER OFF. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS... WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS BY THE TIME WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ MDZ012-120500- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140213T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0006.140213T0300Z-140214T0600Z/ KENT MD- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHESTERTOWN 343 PM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THIS WARNING INCLUDES FAR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA... FAR SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... FAR NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...AND NORTHERN DELAWARE. * HAZARD TYPES...PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 9 INCHES. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS MOSTLY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW IS FORECAST TO MIX WITH SLEET BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MAY EVEN BRIEFLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BY THURSDAY EVENING IT IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AGAIN AND BEGIN TO TAPER OFF. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS... WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS BY THE TIME WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ DEZ002-003-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ020>022-027-120500- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140213T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0006.140213T0000Z-140213T1800Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND- ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...CENTREVILLE... EASTON...DENTON...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... WHARTON STATE FOREST 343 PM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THE WARNING INCLUDES SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY... SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL DELAWARE AND MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARD TYPES...PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED INLAND. FORECAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DECREASE CLOSER TO THE SHORE. * TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. BY MID DAY THURSDAY...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES BY THE TIME THE WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NJZ023>026-120500- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140213T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0009.140213T0000Z-140213T1200Z/ CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY... ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND 343 PM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THE ADVISORY INCLUDES CAPE MAY COUNTY AS WELL AS THE COASTAL PORTIONS OF OCEAN AND ATLANTIC COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. * TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THURSDAY MORNING...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES BY THE TIME THE WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ DEZ004-120500- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0009.140213T0000Z-140213T1200Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...REHOBOTH BEACH 343 PM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...THIS INCLUDES THE COASTAL PORTIONS OF SUSSEX COUNTY IN DELAWARE. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. * TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THURSDAY MORNING...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS...WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES BY THE TIME THE WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ001-007>010-012>015-PAZ054-055-060>062-120500- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0007.140213T0600Z-140214T1100Z/ SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS- LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN... FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK... TRENTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 343 PM EST TUE FEB 11 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS...THIS WATCH INCLUDES NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND THE POCONOS IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...PRIMARILY HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...ALTHOUGH 10 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE POCONOS. * TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS... WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS BY THE TIME WINDS INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ JOHNSON
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 10, 2:58 PM EST, 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 2:58 PM EST, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 258 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MOVE EAST AND REACH THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE SLIDING OFFSHORE. MEANWHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND PASS EAST OF NEW JERSEY ON THURSDAY...REACHING NOVA SCOTIA ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT FROM THE GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT. AN ALBERTA TYPE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY A CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ON MONDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... A LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL BE THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER TONIGHT...PROVIDING LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS...CLEAR SKIES...AND IN COMBINATION WITH THE EXISTING SNOWPACK...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. IN FACT, LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS NORTH AND INTO THE LOW TEENS SOUTH...WHICH IS ABOUT TEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. GIVEN THE SNOWPACK, THE MOS GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES WERE UNDERCUT JUST A BIT WHEN POPULATING THE GRIDS. GIVEN THE IDEAL RADITIATIONAL CONDITIONS DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF A FEW PLACES IN THE SOUTHERN POCONOES DIPPED DOWN TO ZERO JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/... NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE MIDWEST HIGH MIGRATES EASTWARD, WITH GUSTS IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON. SUNSHINE COURTESY OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL HELP TAKE THE BITE OUT OF THE COLD...BUT WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...IT WILL SEEM MORE LIKE MID JANUARY THAN EARLY FEBRUARY EVEN THOUGH THE WIND WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... AN UPDATED LONG TERM DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ***SNOW STORM POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY NIGHT - THURSDAY*** 500 MB: TROUGH IN THE EAST WITH STRONG SHORT WAVE PASSAGES LATE THURSDAY... LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY AGAIN SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES: CALENDAR DAY AVERAGE TEMPS...AROUND 15 TO 18 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY! THEN ABOUT 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY...NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AND MAYBE 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL NEXT SUNDAY. FORECAST BASIS...MAINLY THE 00Z/10 GFS MOS GUIDANCE FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A SUBSTANTIAL DOWNWARD BLENDED ADJUSTMENT FOR THE WEDNESDAY MORNING MIN USING THE ECMWF! THEREAFTER THE 00Z/10 GFS WAS NOT USED FOR THE STORM WED NIGHT AND THURSDAY DUE TO ITS COLD EASTWARD OPERATIONAL MEMBER TRACK. THE 06Z RUN HAS SINCE TRENDED WEST. THAT 00Z/10 TRACK WAS SUPERSEDED BY CYCLICALLY CONSISTENTLY WESTWARD 00Z/10 ECMWF OP RUN WITH UK AND WPC SUPPORT. 0522Z/10 WPC GUIDANCE WAS USED THU NIGHT- SUNDAY WITH SOME 00Z/10 GFS/ECMWF ADJUSTMENT . THE DAILIES IN BRIEF BELOW... WEDNESDAY...AFTER A VERY COLD SUNNY START...RAPIDLY INCREASING CLOUDS FM SW TO NE. EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS 15-20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHEN THE SNOW STARTS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SAYS DELAY TIL WED EVE BUT THAT COULD CHANGE TO A FASTER START IN DELAWARE-E MD IN FUTURE FCSTS. WEDNESDAY NIGHT - MIDDAY THURSDAY...PROBABLY A SNOWSTORM. TRACK STILL UNCERTAIN SO THIS 330 AM DETERMINISTIC FCST WILL NEED CHANGES-ADJUSTMENTS TO PTYPE AND AMTS. THE MIXED PRECIP WORDING INDICATES UNCERTAINTY AND ALSO SPEAKS OF WARMING ALOFT. THE SFC HIGH IS ON THE EAST SIDE OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...A BAD SIGN FOR AN EASTWARD TRACK WHICH MEANS A WARMER WESTWARD SOLN IS STILL POSSIBLE...AT LEAST FOR I95 SEWD. SINCE THERE IS SO MUCH COLD AIR IN PLACE TO START...THAT SHOULD ALLOW SNOW MOST OF THE AREA FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS WED NIGHT WITH A SNOW TO RAIN SITUATION EVOLVING NORTHWARD..AT LEAST FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN. NE WIND SHOULD GUST 20 TO 30 MPH EXCEPT POTENTIALLY 45 MPH ALONG THE COAST. A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN NOT IMPOSSIBLE WEST OF I95. SNOW MAY BE WET AND HEAVY BUT FAR EARLY TO CONFIDENTLY KNOW THESE DETAILS. STORM TRACK AND DETAILS OF SNOW AMOUNTS VS RAIN ETC TO BE MORE ACCURATELY DETERMINED WITH TIME. A SNOW MAP...PRELIM IDEA OF OUR EXPECTATIONS THROUGH 7AM THURSDAY HAS POSTED ALONG WITH A FBOOK NOTE AND TWEET. LATE THURSDAY-FRIDAY...THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM OUR REGION AND ACROSS ATLANTIC CANADA FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, ALLOWING WEAK HIGH PRESSURE TO INFLUENCE OUR FORECAST AREA AT THAT TIME. THE AIR BEHIND THE STORM SHOULD NOT BE PARTICULARLY COLD, SO TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY SHOULD BE ONLY SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. FRIDAY NIGHT...A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT MAY AFFECT OUR REGION AROUND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE WEEKEND...A CLIPPER AND REINFORCING COLD SURGE SEEM POSSIBLE IN WHAT IS QUITE A WINTER SO FAR IN OUR AREA. && .AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... TONIGHT...VFR CONDITIONS WITH CLEAR SKIES AND NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 5 TO 10 KNOT RANGE. NO VSBY ISSUES EXPECTED. TUESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH NORTHWEST WINDS PICKING UP JUST A BIT IN THE AFTERNOON, GUSTING IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE. OUTLOOK... AN UPDATED OUTLOOK SECTION WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR. NW WIND GUSTS 15 KT TUESDAY WITH THE WIND BECOMING LIGHT NORTH TUE NIGHT. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...VFR CIGS WITH AN EAST WIND GUSTING 15-20 KT BY LATE IN THE DAY. WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING TO IFR OR LIFR AS SNOW SPREADS INTO OUR REGION FROM THE SOUTH. A GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND OF 20-35 KT DEPENDING ON TAF SITE, ESPECIALLY FROM KILG, KPHL, KPNE AND KTTN EAST AND SOUTHWARD (STRONGEST WIND OF 35 KT AT KACY). LLWS POTENTIAL AS NE WINDS POSSIBLY INCREASE 50 KT AT 2000 FT. THURSDAY...MAINLY IFR DURING THE MORNING IN SNOW. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN FROM KPHL EAST AND SOUTHWARD. POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENT IN THE AFTERNOON. A GUSTY BACKING NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND IS ANTICIPATED. THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR. && .MARINE... AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE FORECAST WATERS SLOWLY RELAXES, WINDS AND SEAS ARE SLOWLY SUBSIDING, AND THE SCA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THERE WILL STILL BE GUSTS IN THE 20 KT RANGE INTO THIS EVENING...THEN AGAIN FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE GUSTS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FREEZING SPRAY FROM TIME TO TIME. OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. OUTLOOK... AN UPDATED OUTLOOK SECTION WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS 20 TO POSSIBLY 25 KNOTS REMAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES. FREEZING SPRAY EXPECTED AT TIMES... POSSIBLY MODERATE ADVISORY LEVEL FOR A SHORT INTERVAL. WEDNESDAY...NO MARINE HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED. WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE OR STORM FORCE NE WIND CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH A NOREASTER. TRACK UNCERTAIN WHICH MAKES WIND STRENGTH UNCERTAIN. PLAN ON STORMY WX AND BE SAFE IN PORT. THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS. && .CLIMATE... SNOWFALL KABE SEASONAL TOTAL OF 43.7 NOW RANKED 17TH. POR DATE BACK TO 1922. KPHL SEASONAL TOTAL OF 43.3 NOW RANKED 11TH. POR BACK TO 1872. KILG SEASONAL TOTAL OF 32.4 NOW RANKED 17TH. POR BACK TO 1894. && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...NONE. NJ...NONE. DE...NONE. MD...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...GIGI NEAR TERM...MIKETTA SHORT TERM...MIKETTA LONG TERM...GIGI AVIATION...GIGI/MIKETTA MARINE...GIGI/MIKETTA CLIMATE...639
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 4:37 AM EST, 10 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014 NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-110945- SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- 437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE LEHIGH VALLEY AS WELL AS NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. HEAVY SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE. MORE DETAILS WILL POST IN BRIEFING PACKAGES AND ALSO IN THIS PRODUCT LATE TODAY AND BEYOND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ101>106-110945- HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- 437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. STRONG COASTAL STORM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. HEAVY SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE. THERE MAY BE SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR A TIME THURSDAY IF THE STORM TRACKS WITHIN 50 MILES OF THE COAST. MORE DETAILS WILL POST IN BRIEFING PACKAGES AND ALSO IN THIS PRODUCT LATE TODAY AND BEYOND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-014-016>022-027-PAZ070-071-110945- NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER- CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. HEAVY SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY MORNING ALONG THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR AFTER WHICH PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO SLEET OR RAIN FOR A TIME DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. MORE DETAILS WILL POST IN BRIEFING PACKAGES AND ALSO IN THIS PRODUCT LATE TODAY AND BEYOND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-110945- KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE- 437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY BEFORE A POSSIBLE CHANGE TO RAIN FOR A TIME. MORE DETAILS WILL POST IN BRIEFING PACKAGES AND ALSO IN THIS PRODUCT LATE TODAY AND BEYOND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ003-004-NJZ023>026-110945- INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. SNOW AT THE START WEDNESDAY EVENING OR NIGHT SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO AROUND 40 ON EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING POSSIBLY PAST 45 MPH. IF THIS STORM TRACKS FURTHER EAST...SUBSTANTIAL ACCUMULATIONS WOULD OCCUR. MORE DETAILS WILL POST IN BRIEFING PACKAGES AND ALSO IN THIS PRODUCT LATE TODAY AND BEYOND. TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE THURSDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-450>455-110945- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST GALE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF STORM FORCE 50 KT GUSTS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in New Jersey, 2014Winter Storm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2014Winter Storm Watches in Maryland, 2014Every winter storm watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.