Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 155, NWS Mobile, AL

October 14, 2014Okaloosa County, Florida

NWS Mobile, AL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 14, 2014, 12:43 AM CDT for Okaloosa County, Florida. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 14, 2014, 12:43 AM CDT (05:43 UTC)
Expired: Oct 14, 2014, 1:45 AM CDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Mobile, AL
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Okaloosa County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 13, 7:23 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 87 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -108 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1247 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

381 
WUUS54 KMOB 140543
SVRMOB
FLC091-140645-
/O.NEW.KMOB.SV.W.0155.141014T0543Z-141014T0645Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1243 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 145 AM CDT

* AT 1240 AM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WRIGHT TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  MARY ESTHER...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  OCEAN CITY...         FORT WALTON BEACH...  SHALIMAR...
  LAKE LORRAINE...      CINCO BAYOU...        WRIGHT...
  VALPARAISO...         NICEVILLE...          MARY ESTHER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OFTEN PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. PLEASE TAKE COVER UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&

LAT...LON 3040 8679 3049 8679 3076 8642 3044 8641
      3048 8646 3045 8649 3045 8653 3042 8659
      3040 8658 3040 8653 3042 8649 3042 8644
      3041 8642 3037 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 0543Z 270DEG 36KT 3052 8669 3037 8666

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 13, 9:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 9:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
920 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...A QUICK UPDATE TO REMOVE OUR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COUNTIES FROM TORNADO WATCH 538. TORNADO WATCH 542 REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR ALL OF OUR ALABAMA AND FLORIDA COUNTIES UNTIL 3 AM. OVERALL STORM
INTESITY TRENDS HAVE BEEN SHOWING SOME WEAKENING...BUT ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND EAST OF A GROVE HILL
TO MOBILE LINE. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A
POSSIBILITY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FCST AREA...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND EAST OF I-65.  12/DS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 443 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014/

..SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION
TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

SHORT TERM [TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT]...AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE VICINITY
OF NORTHEAST OK AND SOUTHEAST KS TOWARD THE UPPER MIDWESTERN STATES
THIS AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ALSO CONTINUES TO PROGRESS
EASTWARD FROM THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY REGION. REGIONAL RADAR...SATELLITE...AND LIGHTNING DATA SHOW
A WELL ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE IS MOVING INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AND GENERALLY EXTENDS FROM IL/MO/KY REGION
SOUTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN MS...CENTRAL LA AND FAR SOUTHEAST TX AS OF
4 PM CDT. AHEAD OF THIS ORGANIZED LINE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
DISCRETE SHOWERS/STORMS ARE DEVELOPING AND MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CWFA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS HAVE
STRENGTHENED TO SEVERE LIMITS...WITH A COUPLE OF INSTANCES OF WIND
DAMAGE REPORTED AROUND THOMASVILLE IN CLARKE COUNTY AND WAYNESBORO IN
WAYNE COUNTY EARLIER. WINDS HAVE BEEN VERY GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH
TODAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR COASTAL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE
INCREASING GRADIENT BETWEEN SURFACE RIDGING TO THE EAST AND THE
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
VICINITY OF IA/MO/IL TONIGHT AS THE BROAD AND DEEP TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION THROUGH
TONIGHT. DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND EFFECTIVE STORM RELATIVE HELICITY WILL
BE MOST PRONOUNCED ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AL
THIS EVENING...AND LOCATIONS GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A BEAUMONT MS...
LEAKESVILLE MS...CHATOM AL...CAMDEN AL LINE WILL BE MOST FAVORED FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WITHIN OUR CWFA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SHEAR AND TO SOME
EXTENT...STORM RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES WILL FAVOR A SLIGHT SEVERE
RISK OVER THE REST OF THE REGION THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AM. DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE HAZARDS...
BOTH WITH DISCRETE CELLS THAT FORM AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE...AND WITH
THE SQUALL LINE ITSELF. THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL RUNS
INDICATE THAT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LINE WILL MOVE INTO OUR
SOUTHEAST MS COUNTIES GENERALLY BETWEEN 6-8 PM AND PROGRESS EASTWARD
TO NEAR THE I-65 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM...BEFORE GRADUALLY
DEPARTING EAST OF OUR AREA AROUND 6 AM OR SO. IN ADDITION TO THE
SEVERE THREAT...WE WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORING THE HEAVY RAIN AND
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL TONIGHT. AN ANOMALOUSLY MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE
IN PLACE ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
COLD FRONT...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASING TO 2 TO 2.25
IN. ROUGHLY EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. WITH POTENTIAL OF TRAINING
CELLS AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE...FOLLOWED BY VERY HEAVY RAINS WITH THE
SQUALL LINE...THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS GENERALLY LOOKS TO
BE ACROSS OUR SOUTH CENTRAL AL AND NORTHWEST FL PANHANDLE COUNTIES
TONIGHT. WE HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ROUGHLY EAST OF A
GREENVILLE AL...EVERGREEN AL ...PENSACOLA FL LINE TONIGHT...WHERE 2
TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALIZED DOUBLE THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE A LITTLE LOWER WEST OF THE
WATCH AREA...THOUGH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD STILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD BRING GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE CWFA TONIGHT. WE HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE A
WIND ADVISORY AS GUSTS MAY FREQUENTLY REACH AROUND OR ABOVE 30 MPH
TONIGHT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE CWFA TUESDAY.
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE MORNING
BEFORE POPS DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY. HIGHS TUESDAY
LOOK TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S OVER WESTERN AREAS TO THE
MID 70S TO AROUND 80 EAST. A COOLER AIRMASS FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT
AS HIGH PRESSURE NOSES IN FROM THE WEST. DUE TO THE LARGE LOW
LIFTING UP ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST...COULD BE SOME WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE/LOW CLOUDINESS AS FAR SOUTH AS THE NORTHERN HALF OF ZONES.
NOT ANTICIPATING ANY MEASURABLE RAINS FROM THESE CLOUDS THOUGH.
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES SOME 3 TO 8 DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGY
NORTH OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITH NUMBERS NEAR 50 OVER THE INTERIOR.
CLOSE TO 60 AT THE BEACHES. 21/10

LONG TERM [WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY]...A WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES ON
WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF.  HIGHS
ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS AND IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S WHILE LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
AND RANGE FROM THE MID 40S INLAND TO THE LOWER 50S CLOSER TO THE
COAST.

LONGWAVE TROF OVER THE EASTERN US CONTINUES TO IMPART A HIGH LEVEL
WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
FORECAST ON SATURDAY...MOVING INTO THE GULF SATURDAY NIGHT.  THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE LOOKS TO BE RAINFREE AS DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
REMAINS ABOUT 60-80 PERCENT OF SEASONABLE LEVELS.

DAYTIME HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND
TREND TO SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY SATURDAY THEN TREND
SOMEWHAT COOLER FOR SUNDAY/MONDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 40S
LOWER 50S/ WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 50S ON AVERAGE OVER THE WEEKEND.
/10

AVIATION...
13.18Z TERMINAL FORECAST DISCUSSION...MVFR CIGS WILL GENERALLY
PREVAIL TONIGHT AS MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION THROUGH
THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY AN ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE OF TSRA LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AM. WILL KEEP PREVAILING TSRA IN THE
FORECAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY AM HOURS TUESDAY.
LOCALIZED STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER 35 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS...ALONG WITH LOCALIZED IFR CONDITIONS OR LOWER WITH
HEAVY RAIN. STORMS SHOULD DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST TUESDAY MORNING.
/21

MARINE...A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AS A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT...FOLLOWED BY AN ORGANIZED LINE OF
STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE
AREA EARLY TUESDAY...BRINGING A MODERATE TO STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST
WIND FLOW INTO MIDWEEK. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 8 FEET OVER THE GULF
WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING BY
WEDNESDAY. LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE WINDS WILL OCCUR THE LATTER HALF
OF THE WEEK. 21/10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      70  77  52  78  51 / 100  30  00  00  00
PENSACOLA   74  79  57  78  55 / 100  50  05  00  00
DESTIN      75  80  59  77  58 / 100  70  10  00  00
EVERGREEN   70  77  50  77  46 / 100  50  05  00  00
WAYNESBORO  64  73  49  77  45 / 100  20  05  00  00
CAMDEN      68  75  50  77  46 / 100  40  05  00  00
CRESTVIEW   73  79  50  79  46 / 100  60  05  00  00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
     WILCOX...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 13, 7:50 PM CDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
750 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-141115-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
750 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS INCREASED THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH THE INCREASED WIND
FLOW...A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA
UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...WITH THE
INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW COMBINED WITH SPRING TIDAL CYCLES WE HAVE
RAISED THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TO HIGH THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TORNADO WATCH 538 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING FOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. TORNADO WATCH 542 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO
INCREASE OUT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT AS EXPECTED. DISCRETE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD IN AN ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE
PASSING THROUGH OUR AREA THIS EVENING AND EARLY INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. THE LINE IS NOW MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
WILL BE IN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY MIDNIGHT. THE
ENTIRE LINE WILL THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. WE EXPECT THE SQUALL LINE
TO EXIT THE FORECAST AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES...AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE
WITH  SOME STORMS AS WELL AS HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. WE EXPECT RAINFALL AVERAGING 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. 1 TO 2 INCH AVERAGES ARE POSSIBLE OVER INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES MAY OCCUR WHERE
THE STRONGER STORMS PERSIST.

THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE LINE WILL SLOW OVER THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST THROUGH
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 65. IN THIS AREA...ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 4
INCHES AND LOCALLY HIGHER WILL BE POSSIBLE. THERE NOW A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR THAT AREA VALID FOR TONIGHT THROUGH 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE REQUIRED
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-141115-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
745 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM FOR THE BAYS OF ALABAMA AND
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.  A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL MARINE ZONES THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER
GUSTS OVER THE MARINE AREA THIS AFTERNOON OUT AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET.
BAYS...SOUNDS AND WATERWAYS WILL BECOME CHOPPY TO ROUGH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY...BRINGING A
MODERATE TO STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND FLOW INTO MIDWEEK. SEAS
WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 7 FEET TUESDAY EVENING...AND RANGE FROM 3 TO 5
FEET ON WEDNESDAY. LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE WINDS WILL OCCUR THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 13, 7:07 PM CDT, 5 hours 36 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
707 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

MSZ067-075-076-078-079-140100-
WAYNE MS-STONE MS-PERRY MS-GREENE MS-GEORGE MS-
707 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN WAYNE...
NORTHEASTERN STONE...PERRY...WESTERN GREENE AND NORTHWESTERN GEORGE
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

AT 659 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF QUITMAN TO 10 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ELLISVILLE TO 7 MILES NORTH OF WIGGINS...AND MOVING
VERY SLOWLY TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WAYNESBORO...         CLARA...              MCLAIN...
  RICHTON...            NEW AUGUSTA...        BEAUMONT...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO
55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW
AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE
PASSED.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THIS LINE MAY SOON REQUIRE
TORNADO WARNINGS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

&&

Local storm report, Oct 13, 7:53 PM CDT, 4 hours 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
753 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE CANTONMENT         30.64N 87.32W
10/13/2014                   ESCAMBIA           FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO 3 RESIDENCES AND 2 BARNS. POWER LINES AND
            FENCES DOWN.

&&

SE

Special weather statement, Oct 13, 8:31 PM CDT, 4 hours 12 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
831 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ALZ061-063-MSZ076-079-140230-
GREENE MS-UPPER MOBILE AL-LOWER MOBILE AL-GEORGE MS-
831 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN GREENE AND
EASTERN GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...MOBILE COUNTY IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 930 PM CDT...

AT 830 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES NORTH OF CITRONELLE TO 9 MILES EAST OF
LUCEDALE TO 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF ESCATAWPA...AND MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MIDTOWN MOBILE...     DOWNTOWN MOBILE...    MOVICO...
  CODEN...              TILLMANS CORNER...    THEODORE...
  SEMMES...             SATSUMA...            SARALAND...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN ALABAMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 28.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 31.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

&&

Special weather statement, Oct 13, 9:29 PM CDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
929 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ALZ059-061>064-FLZ001-002-140330-
ESCAMBIA AL-INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-UPPER BALDWIN AL-COASTAL ESCAMBIA FL-
LOWER BALDWIN AL-UPPER MOBILE AL-LOWER MOBILE AL-
929 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
ESCAMBIA...BALDWIN AND MOBILE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...WESTERN
ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 1030 PM CDT...

AT 924 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF BAY MINETTE TO 8 MILES NORTH OF
GRAND BAY TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOSS POINT...AND MOVING EAST
AT 30 TO 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MIDTOWN MOBILE...     EASTERN DAUPHIN ISLAND...
  DOWNTOWN MOBILE...    CENTRAL DAUPHIN ISLAND...
  MOVICO...             CODEN...              PERDIDO BEACH...
  ORANGE BEACH...       MYRTLE GROVE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN FLORIDA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 7.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN ALABAMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 66.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 48.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

&&

Special weather statement, Oct 13, 11:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1127 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ALZ058-060-FLZ004>006-140515-
COVINGTON AL-CRENSHAW AL-INLAND OKALOOSA FL-COASTAL OKALOOSA FL-
SANTA ROSA FL-
1127 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT COVINGTON AND SOUTHERN
CRENSHAW COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHERN OKALOOSA AND
EASTERN SANTA ROSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 1215 AM
CDT...

AT 1125 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES NORTH OF ANDALUSIA TO 19 MILES WEST OF
FLORALA TO 14 MILES EAST OF BAGDAD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HORN HILL...          LAUREL HILL...        CRESTVIEW...
  BAKER...              DOZIER...             BRANTLEY...
  SANFORD...            ROSE HILL...          RIVER FALLS...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

THESE STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND A WARNING MAY SOON BE
NEEDED. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO OR TV FOR FURTHER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 13, 9:49 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Escambia, Santa Rosa	116 min
Oct 13, 10:29 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Escambia, Santa Rosa	2 hr
Oct 13, 11:55 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	110 min
Oct 14, 12:05 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	20 min
Oct 14, 12:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.