River Flood Warning 71, NWS Mobile, AL

788 
WGUS84 KMOB 232116
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
316 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-242116-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.141225T1000Z-141226T2136Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T1000Z.141226T0000Z.141226T1536Z.NO/
316 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 8.6 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

585 
WGUS84 KMOB 240249
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
849 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 



SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-250249-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.141225T1630Z-141226T2024Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T1630Z.141226T0600Z.141226T1424Z.NO/
849 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 08PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 8.4 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

963 
WGUS84 KMOB 241635
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1035 AM CST WED DEC 24 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 



SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-251635-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.141225T0800Z-141227T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T0800Z.141225T1800Z.141226T2100Z.NO/
1035 AM CST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING
* AT 10AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 8.9 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

357 
WGUS84 KMOB 241847
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1247 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 



SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-251847-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.141225T2200Z-141226T2100Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T2200Z.141226T0000Z.141226T1500Z.NO/
1247 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 12PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8.0 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

007 
WGUS84 KMOB 250243
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
843 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-260243-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.141225T0925Z-141227T0600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T0925Z.141226T0000Z.141227T0000Z.NO/
843 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 9.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING.
AT 8.0 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

074 
WGUS84 KMOB 251644
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1044 AM CST THU DEC 25 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 



SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-261644-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-141228T0900Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T2000Z.141227T0000Z.141228T0300Z.NO/
1044 AM CST THU DEC 25 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
* AT 10AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 8.9 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 8.0 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

791 
WGUS84 KMOB 260218
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
818 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-270218-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-141228T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T2226Z.141227T0000Z.141227T2100Z.NO/
818 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING 
* AT 7PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.7 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
AT 8.0 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

139 
WGUS84 KMOB 261716
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1116 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-271716-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-141228T0448Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T2226Z.141227T0000Z.141227T2248Z.NO/
1116 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING 
* AT 10AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

034 
WGUS84 KMOB 270315
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
915 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-280315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0072.141229T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.141229T0400Z.150101T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
915 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 30.6 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE 
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-280315-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0073.141228T1600Z-141231T0300Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.141228T1600Z.141229T1200Z.141230T2100Z.NO/
915 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING
* AT 09PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 24.9 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

FLC091-271600-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-141227T1600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.141225T2226Z.141226T1345Z.141227T1000Z.NO/
915 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 08PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
AT 8.5 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING IN THE AREA WILL DIMINISH AS THE RIVER DROPS BELOW
8 FEET.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
956 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

.UPDATE...AN ABBREVIATED UPDATE TO NOTIFY THAT THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 560 UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND ALL OF THE INTERIOR OF
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. UPDATE HAS BEEN MADE TO ADD HEADLINES TO
AFFECTED ZONES. /10

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 622 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014/

UPDATE...UPDATED CURRENT COASTAL HAZARDS TO INCLUDE HIGH SURF
ADVISORY ALSO THROUGH TONIGHT. A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS SURF HEIGHTS POSSIBLE UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 32/EE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014/

SHORT TERM [TODAY AND TONIGHT]...LATEST RADAR LOOPS CONTINUE TO
SHOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS MOVING
NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE AL/NWFL COAST. THIS FIRST ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AFFECTING MOST COASTAL AREAS IN NWFL AND AL
DURING THE NEXT 3 TO 5 HOURS. MORE DEVELOPMENT TO THE SOUTH AND WEST
WILL BE LIKELY LATER THIS MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
FOR TODAY EXPECT WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF DEEP MID TO UPPER TROF OF LOW PRESSURE
AND SFC COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. AT THE SFC A WEAK WARM
FRONT NOW OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO SHIFT NORTHWARD LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON.
AS A RESULT THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA SHOULD BE IN THE WARM SECTOR
LATER THIS MORNING RESULTING IN MOSTLY SURFACE BASED CONVECTION FOR
ALL AREAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS MOST OF THE
MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICT A 40 KT H8 JET BECOMING MORE ALIGNED OVER THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING COUPLED WITH SURFACE
BASED CAPE VALUES BETWEEN 1000 AND 1400 J/KG. AS A RESULT GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON POSSIBLY LEADING
TO A WIND ADVISORY LATER TODAY. MODERATE SHEAR IS ALSO NOTED W/
HELICITY VALUES RANGING FROM 140 TO 280 M2/S2 THROUGH THIS EVENING
SUPPORTING THE CHANCE FOR ROTATION WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER CELLS
THROUGH THIS EVENING ALSO. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO DEPICTS THE
WHOLE SYSTEM SLOWING SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT RESULTING
IN BETTER COVERAGE OVER MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WITH
TRAINING CELLS DEVELOPING OVER MANY AREAS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
LIKELY SEE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN FLOOD PRONE AND
URBAN AREAS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. AS RESULT A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE UNTIL 600 AM CST WED MORNING. THIS FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WAS EXTENDED FURTHER TO THE WEST MAINLY OVER SOUTHWEST
AL. AS FOR TEMPS WILL USE A BLEND OF THE WARMER MAV AND COOLER MET
00Z GUIDANCE THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 70S
FOR MOST AREA AND THE MIDDLE 70S OVER SOME INLAND AREAS IN SOUTHEAST
MS. WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION TONIGHT A LARGE RANGE
IN TEMPS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WED MORNING. LOWS OVER
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO
UPPER 50S...AND THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S TO THE EAST. 32/EE

[WEDNESDAY THROUGH CHRISTMAS NIGHT]...ANY LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS
WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS THEY QUICKLY END FROM WEST
TO EAST WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. DRY WEATHER AND CLEARING
SKIES WILL OCCUR IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF CHRISTMAS EVE AND ON CHRISTMAS DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS
THE REGION.

HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 57 TO 62 DEGREES
ALONG AND WEST OF I-65...AND FROM 62 TO 67 DEGREES EAST OF I-65.
THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE WEEK WILL FITTINGLY OCCUR CHRISTMAS
MORNING...WITH LOWS RANGING FROM 33 TO 38 DEGREES INLAND AREAS...AND
AROUND 40 DEGREES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL SECTIONS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES CHRISTMAS DAY WILL ONLY MANAGE TO REACH BETWEEN 55 TO
59 DEGREES...WITH LOWS CHRISTMAS NIGHT RANGING FROM 35 TO 40 DEGREES
INLAND AREAS...AND FROM 41 TO 46 ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS. /22

LONG TERM [FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY]...THE LARGE UPPER HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...AND THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD ON
TUESDAY. MEANWHILE AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES WILL MOVE VERY
SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AND DEAMPLIFY...FOLLOWED BY A
SECOND UPPER TROUGH DIGGING OVER THE ROCKIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS WILL
HOLD STRONG ON FRIDAY...AND THEN WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST ON SATURDAY
AS AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH FORMS OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. THE SURFACE TROUGH SHOULD EVOLVE INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER
MISSISSIPPI OR ALABAMA BY SUNDAY MORNING...AND THEN LIFT NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY
MONDAY MORNING. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS BACK INTO THE FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND. IT DOES
NOT APPEAR AT THIS TIME THAT THERE WILL BE SUFFICIENT UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PRECIPITATION WILL FINISH OUT THE LONG TERM
FORECAST AS A SECOND INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH SETS UP OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF REGION...WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE TO ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
/22

AVIATION...
23.12Z KMOB/KBFM AND KPNS TAF CYCLE
MOSTLY LIFR TO IFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES THROUGH 22.12Z. EXPECT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT.
SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. WINDS WILL SHIFT
SOUTH BY THIS AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT
HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN SHIFTING SOUTHWEST TO WEST AT
15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS EARLY WED MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED BY THIS AFTERNOON. 32/EE

MARINE...AREAS OF DENSE FOG REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO ONE MILE OR
LESS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT LATER THIS MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS
WILL BUILD LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. SEAS UP TO 10 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SOME STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
DEVELOPING EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN DIMINISHING SLOWLY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW
REDEVELOPS LATE IN THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION SHIFT
EAST. 32/EE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      71  56  60  35  58 / 100 100  20  05  05
PENSACOLA   73  63  64  40  59 / 100 100  30  05  05
DESTIN      71  65  67  43  57 / 100 100  40  05  05
EVERGREEN   71  63  63  34  58 / 100 100  30  05  05
WAYNESBORO  72  50  57  33  57 / 100  90  10  05  05
CAMDEN      70  59  59  34  57 / 100 100  20  05  05
CRESTVIEW   71  64  66  36  59 / 100 100  40  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
     WILCOX...

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...

MS...NONE.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN MOBILE
     BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN MOBILE
     BAY...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
550 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
550 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...PARTICULARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING DUE TO BETTER INSTABILITY IN THE LOWER
LEVELS COMBINED WITH INCREASED MID LEVEL FORCING. DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS IN THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS
OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MINOR
FLOODING ISSUES IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE WHERE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME LOCATION.

A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND
THIS AFTERNOON CONTINUING THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
COAST. AS A RESULT A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOME AREAS LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES THROUGHOUT THE DAY
AND OVERNIGHT.

A HIGH RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENT CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE GULF
BEACHES OF ALABAMA ANS NORTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-241200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
550 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL BE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SEAS BUILDING
TO NEAR 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO BE LIKELY...WITH SOME STORMS POSSIBLY STRONG TO SEVERE.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO ONE MILE OR LESS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING...POSSIBLE LINGERING THROUGH TONIGHT.
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INSHORE WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST THIS MORNING...AND MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL BE LIKELY IN THE WAKE OF
STRONG COLD FRONT EARLY WEDNESDAY. A STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND
FLOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY
THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
447 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

ALZ052-053-059>064-FLZ001>005-231215-
COVINGTON AL-ESCAMBIA AL-WASHINGTON AL-INLAND OKALOOSA FL-
INLAND SANTA ROSA FL-INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-UPPER BALDWIN AL-
COASTAL ESCAMBIA FL-CLARKE AL-SANTA ROSA FL-LOWER BALDWIN AL-
UPPER MOBILE AL-LOWER MOBILE AL-
447 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHERN
CLARKE...BALDWIN AND EASTERN MOBILE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN OKALOOSA...SANTA ROSA AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES
IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 615 AM CST...

AT 443 AM CST...A LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED
FROM GULF BREEZE FLORIDA TO 2 MILES WEST OF BAYOU LA BATRE ALABAMA
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PENSACOLA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...          MIDTOWN MOBILE...
  DOWNTOWN MOBILE...    WHITFIELD...          MIDWAY...
  PINE LEVEL...         MOWA CHOCTAW RESERVATION...
  WOODLAWN BEACH...     WHITING FIELD...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN FLORIDA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 42.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN ALABAMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 9 AND 66.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 68.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
650 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

ALZ061>064-231345-
UPPER BALDWIN AL-LOWER BALDWIN AL-UPPER MOBILE AL-LOWER MOBILE AL-
650 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN BALDWIN AND EASTERN
MOBILE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 745 AM CST...

AT 646 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THEODORE...OR 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF BELLE FONTAINE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MIDTOWN MOBILE...     DOWNTOWN MOBILE...    TILLMANS CORNER...
  THEODORE...           SATSUMA...            SARALAND...
  PRICHARD...           I65 AND US 45...      I65 AND US 43...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 7 AND 37. THIS
INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 37.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
GREATLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY AND CREATE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...WHICH MAY CAUSE VEHICLES TO HYDROPLANE. TRAVELERS ARE
URGED TO USE CAUTION.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
712 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 AM     HAIL             3 W DOWNTOWN MOBILE     30.69N 88.10W
12/23/2014  M0.88 INCH       MOBILE             AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

JOHNP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
717 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

ALZ061>064-FLZ001-231415-
INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-UPPER BALDWIN AL-LOWER BALDWIN AL-UPPER MOBILE AL-
LOWER MOBILE AL-
717 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL BALDWIN AND SOUTHERN
MOBILE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY
IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 815 AM CST...

AT 712 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BAYOU LA BATRE...OR 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CODEN...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MIDTOWN MOBILE...     DOWNTOWN MOBILE...    CODEN...
  TILLMANS CORNER...    THEODORE...           SATSUMA...
  SARALAND...           PRICHARD...           I65 AND US 45...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN ALABAMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 5 AND 42.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 41.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM MAY CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND A WARNING MAY SOON BE
NEEDED. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO OR TV FOR FURTHER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
818 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 AM     HAIL             1 N CARLTON             31.36N 87.85W
12/23/2014  E1.00 INCH       CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN THE TOWN OF CARLTON

&&

ERICE