Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

837 
WWUS84 KMAF 192056
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
256 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THIS
EVENING FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT
OR LESS...AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS...THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND PERMIAN BASIN...VAN HORN AND THE
HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...AND REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT
OR LESS...AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE SOUTHEAST
PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER TRANS PECOS...

.UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...A VERY DRY AIRMASS...AND GUSTY
WEST WINDS MIXING TO THE SURFACE HAVE COMBINED TO PRODUCE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045-046-050-051-057>062-067-074-258-200300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140220T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-MARTIN-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
WARD-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
256 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014 /156 PM MST WED FEB 19 2014/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/
THIS EVENING FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...HUMIDITY OF 
15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE 
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND 
APACHE MOUNTAINS...PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS 
AND PERMIAN BASIN...VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...AND 
REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTY.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.  
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ063-068>070-075-082-201200-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0008.140220T1500Z-140221T0000Z/
GLASSCOCK-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-
256 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...
HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE 
DANGER FOR THE SOUTHEAST PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER TRANS 
PECOS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  

* WIND...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.  
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.  LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
326 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A flat upper ridge stretches across the southern tier of states
from the Pacific to the Atlantic.  An upper trough will cross the
Rockies and swing across the plains on Thursday driving a front
through the area.  After that a weak ridge returns for the rest of
this week into next with mild wx for the area.

A leeside trough will extend down from CO today along the TX/NM
border and across the area.  A downslope W/SW wind behind this
trough will produce another unseasonably warm day today.  Expect
highs in the 80s today.  High clouds will increase from the west
today and may somewhat offset warming.  Based on latest guidance
have bumped up temps a couple of degrees and may only be 3 or 4
degrees below record highs.  Look for highs in the 90s for the Pecos
and Rio Grande Valleys.  Still looking at a strong front Thursday...
expect it will be fairly windy behind it with temperatures 20
degrees cooler than Wednesday.  Conditions recover Friday with highs
in the 70s returning.  The next front Sunday moves into the area but
seems to have trouble pushing through the region... instead lifting
north Monday to return again Tuesday.

A High Wind Warning remains in effect today and tonight for the
Guadalupe Mountains.  Expect very windy conditions across parts of
Culberson county... especially the Delaware Mountains and will add
them to a wind advisory.  Portions of the Eddy County could also
approach wind advisory levels and may have to be added to the
advisory later today.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
With temperatures just shy of record highs this afternoon and a dry
southwest to west flow, afternoon relative humidities will bottom
out between 5% and 10% over much of southeast New Mexico and
southwest Texas generally along and west of a line from Lamesa to
Sanderson. The surface pressure gradient will be unremarkable this
afternoon, though the mid-level flow will intensify ahead of
approaching trough. With BUFR soundings suggesting a near dry
adiabatic lapse rate from the surface to 700 mb, should be able to
mix down winds in excess of 20 mph across southeast New Mexico, the
western Permian Basin, upper trans-Pecos, and Van Horn and the
highway 54 corridor.  Models suggest that a band of high clouds just
north of the area this morning will shift over the area by mid-day.
Though clouds could inhibit low level mixing and limit near-surface
winds, wind speeds will still be sufficient for issuance of a Red
Flag Warning for that area this afternoon into early evening.  The
current Fire Weather Watch will be upgraded to a Red Flag Warning
which will also be expanded into the western Permian Basin.

A cold front is expected to enter the area Thursday morning and push
through the area by mid-day. Winds behind the front will exceed
20 mph with higher gusts for a few hours after frontal passage.
With the relatively early onset of cold air advection, minimum
relative humidities will generally exceed 15%, though brief critical
fire weather conditions will be possible just behind the front,
particularly over the lower trans-Pecos where better heating will
occur prior to frontal passage.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 86  44  62  32  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              88  47  61  33  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                89  47  67  32  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  90  52  77  41  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           93  50  66  41  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          77  41  60  37  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   84  43  61  31  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   82  35  65  24  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    87  44  64  33  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  87  45  65  33  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    91  45  67  32  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING from 11 AM this morning to 5 AM MST Thursday
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy
     County.

     RED FLAG WARNING from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM MST this
     evening FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains
     NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ...Southeast Plains/BLM Roswell/LNZ.

TX...HIGH WIND WARNING from 11 AM this morning to 5 AM MST Thursday
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.

     RED FLAG WARNING from Noon CST /11 AM MST/ today to 9 PM CST /8
     PM MST/ this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Andrews...
     Davis/Apache Mountains Area...Dawson...Ector...Gaines...
     Guadalupe Mountains...Loving...Martin...Midland...Reeves
     County and Upper Trans Pecos...Van Horn and Highway 54
     Corridor...Ward...Winkler.

     WIND ADVISORY from Noon today to 6 PM CST this evening FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

&&

05/72

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
907 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-200315-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
907 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2014 /807 PM MST TUE FEB 18 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WHERE A HIGH WIND
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED WEDNESDAY.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO...THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR INTO
NORTHERN REEVES COUNTY AND THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS. DUE TO THE VERY DRY CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE HEIGHTENED
ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND