Alert archive / Indiana / Wind Advisories in 2014

Wind Advisory 1, NWS Northern Indiana

February 20, 201421 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Ohio; 4 counties in Michigan

NWS Northern Indiana issued this wind advisory at Feb 20, 2014, 3:13 AM EST for 21 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Ohio; 4 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 20, 2014, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 23 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2014, 3:13 AM EST (08:13 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 20, 2014, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 21, 2014, 6:00 PM EST
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana
All 33 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Branch County, MI, Cass County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2014-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2014-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 340 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1540 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
340 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
322 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

241 
WWUS73 KIWX 200813
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
313 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND FRIDAY...

.A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS
MORNING WILL LIFT OUT THROUGH CENTRAL WISCONSIN TONIGHT AND DEEPEN
CONSIDERABLY. A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA
THIS EVENING WITH A PERIOD OF STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. ADDITIONAL STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-201800-
/O.NEW.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.140221T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
313 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 /213 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY. 

 * TIMING...THIS EVENING AND AGAIN FROM LATE FRIDAY MORNING
   THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE DIFFICULT
   AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
749 
WWUS73 KIWX 201853
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
153 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND FRIDAY...

.A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN TONIGHT AND STRENGTHEN 
CONSIDERABLY. A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE EASTWARD ACROSS OUR AREA
THIS EVENING WITH A PERIOD OF STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. ADDITIONAL STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-210300-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.140221T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
153 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 /1253 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY...

 * TIMING...THIS EVENING AND AGAIN FRIDAY MID MORNING THROUGH
   FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE 
   DIFFICULT AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
599 
WWUS73 KIWX 202214
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
514 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG FOLLOWED BY STRONG WINDS...

.WARM MOIST AIR MOVING OVER THE SNOW COVERED GROUND WAS CAUSING
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG FROM GAS CITY TO WABASH TO LAPORTE THIS
EVENING. THE DENSE FOG WILL LIFT NORTH ALONG A WARM FRONT EARLY
THIS EVENING... MOVING INTO THE SOUTH BEND AND FORT WAYNE AREAS. A
COLD FRONT WILL SURGE EASTWARD ACROSS OUR AREA LATER THIS EVENING
WITH A PERIOD OF STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
MPH. ADDITIONAL STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

INZ003-004-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-210615-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FG.Y.0003.140220T2214Z-140221T0100Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.140221T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-
KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-
WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...PLYMOUTH...
BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...
FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...MONON...
LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK
514 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 /414 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/
THIS EVENING. 
  
 * WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG EARLY THIS EVENING. 

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATER THIS EVENING.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE 
   DIFFICULT AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

INZ005>009-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-210615-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.140221T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-
PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...
LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...
DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...
LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...
OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE...BLUFFTON
514 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE 
   DIFFICULT AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
371 
WWUS73 KIWX 210053
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
753 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...STRONG WINDS OVERNIGHT...

.PATCHY DENSE FOG ACROSS THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING AS WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN INCREASE. A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE EASTWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA LATER THIS EVENING WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ACCOMPANYING AND FOLLOWING THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.

INZ003-004-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-210900-
/O.EXP.KIWX.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-140221T0100Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-
KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-
WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...PLYMOUTH...
BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...
FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...MONON...
LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK
753 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 /653 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
FRIDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

 * PATCHY DENSE FOG STILL EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATER THIS 
   EVENING.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE 
   DIFFICULT AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

INZ005>009-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-210900-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-
PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...
LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...
DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...
LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...
OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE...BLUFFTON
753 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATER THIS
   EVENING.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE 
   DIFFICULT AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
327 
WWUS73 KIWX 210336
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1036 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...STRONG WINDS OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING NORTH ACROSS WISCONSIN
WILL CAUSE STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH ACROSS
OUR AREA OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-211145-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
1036 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 /936 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
FRIDAY...

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE 
   DIFFICULT AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
807 
WWUS73 KIWX 210834
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
334 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING NORTH ACROSS WISCONSIN
WILL CAUSE STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH OVER
OUR AREA TODAY.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-211645-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
334 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 /234 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

 * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS
   MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE 
   DIFFICULT AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
109 
WWUS73 KIWX 211604
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1104 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING NORTH ACROSS WISCONSIN
WILL CAUSE STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH OVER
OUR AREA TODAY.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-212300-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140221T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
1104 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 /1004 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

 * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

 * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON WEST-EAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL BE DIFFICULT
   AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY
   BE BLOWN AROUND AND ONTO STREETS. LARGE LIMBS MAY FALL AND
   ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH...OR GUSTS
OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 19, 5:48 PM EST, 9 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 5:48 PM EST, 9 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
548 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 1225 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTH INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING RAIN...MILD TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WINDS...AND POSSIBLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION DURING THIS TIME. PRECIPITATION MAY
START AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO
ALL RAIN AS TEMPERATURES WARM WELL ABOVE FREEZING. COLDER AND
DRIER AIR WILL FILTER BACK INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

A VERY ACTIVE SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH A PLETHORA OF WEATHER FEATURES
TO IMPACT THE AREA. THIS EVENING WILL BEGIN CLEAR AND CALM BEFORE
THE IMPRESSIVE STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TAKING SHAPE IN THE SOUTHWEST
CONUS. WATER VAPOR SHOWS SHORT WAVE DIGGING INTO FOUR CORNERS REGION
THIS AFTERNOON WITH PACIFIC MOISTURE FEED ALREADY INTO SOUTHWEST
TEXAS. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE INTO PLAINS AND WILL LEAD TO RAPID AND
STRONG CYCLOGENESIS TONIGHT WITH FURTHER STRONG DEEPENING OF SYSTEM
ON THURSDAY. VERY IMPRESSIVE JET DYNAMICS WILL ALSO DEVELOP WITH 60
TO 70 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET MOVING INTO OUR REGION BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY
FOLLOWED BY IMPRESSIVE 100+ KT JET LATER THURSDAY. RESULT WILL BE A
RAPID INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO
WESTERN AREAS BETWEEN 09Z AND 12Z AND SPREAD EAST THU MORNING.

PCPN TYPE AN ISSUE FOR FIRST ONE TO THREE HOURS ON LEADING EDGE OF
PCPN SHIELD WITH LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES NEAR OR JUST BELOW
FREEZING WHILE STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION INCREASES OVER TOP. HAVE
CONTINUED WITH FREEZING RAIN MENTION AT ONSET BUT INCREASED COVERAGE
WITH SOME LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OVER NORTH AND NORTHEAST AS SFC
TEMPS LOOK TO RADIATE EARLY TONIGHT AND MAY STRUGGLE TO COME ABOVE
FREEZING UNTIL 15Z OR SO IN MORNING. THIS COULD LEAD TO UP TO A
TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION DEPENDING ON HOW FAST THESE
TEMPS RISE. IT IS POSSIBLE A WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR A
FEW HOURS THU MORNING BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR DEVELOPING PCPN
TRENDS OVERNIGHT.

ONCE WARMER AIR ARRIVES PCPN SHOULD TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN BY MID
MORNING WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE WITH WARM AIR
ADVECTION. MODELS SHOWING POSSIBILITY OF HALF INCH TO THREE QUARTERS
OF AN INCH WITH THIS INITIAL SURGE AND SOME HIGHER END MODELS CLOSE
TO AN INCH WITH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS FAVORED. THESE ARE SAME
AREAS WITH THE DEEPEST SNOWPACK AND HIGHEST SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT.
EARLIER ISSUED FLOOD WATCH WAS FOR THESE FACTORS AND SOUTHEAST WAS
INCLUDED FOR COMBINATION OF SNOW MELT AND RAIN BUT AMOUNTS LESS THAN
FURTHER NORTH. DEEP SNOW PACK AND LARGE SNOW PILES COVERING MANY
DRAINS AND HINDERING PROPER DRAINAGE. ALREADY HAVE SEEN AND HEARD OF
PONDING WATER FROM SNOW MELT YESTERDAY AND TODAY. CAN ONLY EXPECT
FURTHER FLOODING ISSUES ONCE RAIN BEGINS AND ADDITIONAL MELTING
OCCURS. MANY DRAINS AND GUTTERS LIKELY HAVE FROZEN SNOW AND ICE
WHICH MAY LEAD TO BACKED UP WATER NEAR AND AROUND HOMES AS WELL AS
INTO STREETS AND YARDS. THICK ICE ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS MAY
ALSO BEGIN TO BREAK UP THEN CAUSE ICE JAMS AND RAPIDLY RISING WATER.

LAST FOCUS IS ON COLD FRONT AND SEVERE POTENTIAL LATE THU AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SPC HAS CUT BACK SLIGHT RISK AREA WHICH IS REASONABLE
GIVEN THE DEEP SNOW PACK AND POTENTIALLY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
NAM12 SHOWING MUCAPES OF 400 TO 600 J/KG WITH IMPRESSIVE SHEAR
VALUES. AFTERNOON TEMPS EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO 40S WITH 50S OVER
SOUTHERN CWA. LATEST HIGH RES GUIDANCE SUGGEST DEEPEST LIFT AND
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTH OF OUR AREA. HOWEVER...ISOLATED
WIND GUSTS TO SEVERE LIMITS REMAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN OUR
SOUTHERN THIRD OF CWA AS A TYPICAL COLD SEASON FINE LINE EXPECTED
ALONG COLD FRONT. LOCAL RESEARCH HAS NOT YIELDED ANY CASES OF SEVERE
WEATHER EPISODES WITH SNOW DEPTHS EVEN CLOSE TO WHAT WE HAVE SO THIS
IS A BIT OF UNCHARTED TERRITORY AT LEAST CLIMATOLOGICALLY SPEAKING.
BOTTOM LINE IS THIS REMAINS A VERY IMPRESSIVE AND RAPIDLY DEEPENING
STORM SYSTEM SO COMBINATION OF GRADIENT WINDS AND THIN LINE COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED  SEVERE WIND GUSTS. ONCE COLD FRONT PASSES SHOULD
SEE STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION THU EVENING AND INCREASING GRADIENT
WINDS. WIND ADVISORY LOOKING LIKELY FOR THU NIGHT BUT GIVEN THIRD
PERIOD AND OTHER CONCERNS UP FRONT WILL NOT ISSUE WITH THIS
PACKAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

DEEPENING CYCLONE WILL TRACK NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL ONTARIO FROM
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. STOUT CAA IN WEST/NW FLOW
WRAPPED UP IN THE CYCLONE WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. ANY POST FRONTAL PRECIP AFTER MIDNIGHT SHOULD BE MAINLY
SNOW...HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT DRYING COLUMN IN THE CAA WING SHOULD
LIMIT ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIP INTO FRIDAY MORNING...AND THEREFORE
HAVE TRIMMED/REFINED POPS SLIGHTLY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. SE CONUS RIDGING AND WEAK/SUBTLE WAA AHEAD OF WEAK COLD
FRONT/SHORTWAVE LATER FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT SHOULD ALLOW FOR NEAR
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL HIGHS/LOW FOR FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT.

AFOREMENTIONED WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY/SUBTLE PV ANOMALY WILL TRACK
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN TIER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING.
SIGNAL IS PERSISTENT IN MOST OF THE LARGER SCALE MODELS...ALTHOUGH
EXACT TIMING/TRACK OF THIS WEAK SYSTEM STILL HAS VARIABILITY
BETWEEN/WITHIN MODEL SOLUTIONS/SPREADS. ALTHOUGH NOT AN OVERLY
IMPRESSIVE FEATURE...GIVEN TRACK RECORD OF DISTURBANCES IN W/NW
FLOW ACROSS THE REGION THIS WINTER IN AN OVERALL BROAD SCALE ERN
CONUS TROF REQUIRES AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE MENTION OF POPS
FRIDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER ACCUMS LOOKS MINIMAL IF ANY MORE THAN TRACE
AMOUNTS AT THIS POINT.

PATTERN LOOKS GENERALLY COLDER WITH PERSISTENT LARGE SCALE EASTERN
CONUS TROF THROUGH THE END OF THE LONG TERM FCST PD. EXTREMELY
NEGATIVE H5 HEIGHT AND H85 TEMP ANOMALIES ASSOCIATED WITH HUDSON BAY
VORTEX LOOK TO LOCK IN A PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL TO WELL BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK SHORT WAVES/CLIPPER
SYSTEMS COULD IMPACT THE REGION PERIODICALLY FROM SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY...HOWEVER MUCH UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS WITH THESE
CURRENTLY SUBTLE FEATURES FOR POP MENTION IN FCST...OUTSIDE OF
CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE POPS MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY ASSOCIATED WITH MORE
POTENT CLIPPER/PV ANOMALY FCST TO TRACK THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES DURING THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 447 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER COLORADO EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES
EAST ACROSS KS TONIGHT AND THEN NE TO SWRN WI BY 00Z FRI. SE WINDS
WILL DVLP ACROSS NRN INDIANA OVERNIGHT AND STRENGTHEN AS THE LOW
APPROACHES. RAIN SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE AREA THU MORNING AS THE
WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE S-SW.
THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NRN INDIANA AROUND MIDDAY CAUSING
WINDS TO VEER TO THE SOUTH. IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS
THE WARM FRONT APPROACHES... AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTN AS WARM/MOIST AIRMASS OVERSPREADS THE SNOW COVERED GROUND
ACROSS NRN INDIANA. VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT WITH LIMITED LOW LEVEL MIXING
DUE TO SFC BASED INVERSION COULD RESULT IN SGFNT LLWS THU.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
     FOR INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034.

MI...FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
     FOR MIZ077>081.

OH...FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
     FOR OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025.

LM...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...STEINWEDEL/LASHLEY
SHORT TERM...LASHLEY
LONG TERM...NG
AVIATION...JT

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.NORTHERNIN.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 3:42 PM EST, 11 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
342 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

INZ003>005-008-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-LMZ043-046-OHZ015-016-024-
025-202045-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-NOBLE-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-
FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-
HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...
ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...
FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...PAULDING...
ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
342 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014 /242 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING AROUND DAYBREAK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY WHICH WILL LEAD TO A
CONTINUED SNOWMELT. FROZEN GROUND CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN
EFFICIENT RUNOFF OF THE SNOWMELT INTO AREA STREAMS...CREEKS...AND
RIVERS. RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL THURSDAY MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF THE RUNOFF FROM MELTING
SNOW AND RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED FLOOD POTENTIAL ACROSS
THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
EVENING. AN ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUST WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THURSDAY
EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE US ROUTE 24 CORRIDOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ006-007-009-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-202045-
LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-DE KALB-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-
HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...AUBURN...
GARRETT...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...
CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...
BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON
342 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN...NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FREEZING
RAIN TOWARD DAYBREAK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WITH LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS IS
POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM
ABOVE FREEZING.

MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER THURSDAY MORNING WHICH WILL
LEAD TO A CONTINUED SNOWMELT. FROZEN GROUND CONDITIONS WILL RESULT
IN EFFICIENT RUNOFF OF THE SNOWMELT INTO AREA
STREAMS...CREEKS...AND RIVERS. RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH A
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THURSDAY MORNING. THE
COMBINATION OF THE RUNOFF FROM MELTING SNOW AND RAINFALL WILL LEAD
TO A HEIGHTENED FLOOD POTENTIAL ACROSS THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY. A
FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 20, 2:56 AM EST, 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
256 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014

INZ004>009-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-201215-
ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
DEFIANCE-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...
WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...
SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...
ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...STURGIS...
THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...COLDWATER...BRONSON...
HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...
WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...
HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER
256 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014

...A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED THIS MORNING...

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BETWEEN 7 AM AND 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOVERING AROUND THE FREEZING MARK AS
PRECIPITATION STARTS WHICH WILL LIKELY ALLOW FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN. SOME LIGHT ICING MAY LEAD TO SLIPPERY CONDITIONS
ON UNTREATED SURFACES BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM WELL ABOVE FREEZING
BY MID TO LATE MORNING.

INZ003-012>018-023>027-OHZ015-016-024-025-201215-
LA PORTE-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-
ALLEN IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-PAULDING-PUTNAM-
VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...
MEXICO...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...
BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...PAULDING...ANTWERP...
MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...
DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE
256 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 /156 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING...

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BETWEEN 6 AM AND 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOVERING AROUND THE FREEZING MARK AS
PRECIPITATION STARTS WHICH WILL LIKELY ALLOW FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN. SOME LIGHT ICING MAY LEAD TO SLIPPERY CONDITIONS
ON UNTREATED SURFACES BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM WELL ABOVE FREEZING
BY MID MORNING.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 8:49 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningIWXElkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, LaPorte, Marshall, Noble and 2 more24 hr
Feb 20, 11:10 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningIWXDeKalb, Steuben24 hr
Feb 20, 11:53 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningIWXCass, Kosciusko, Miami, Wabash, Whitley4 days
Feb 20, 5:14 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryIWXAdams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, Fulton, Grant and 10 more3 hr
Feb 20, 11:53 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningIWXAllen, Paulding, Putnam4 days

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Indiana, 2014Wind Advisories in Ohio, 2014Wind Advisories in Michigan, 2014Every wind advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.