Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 93, NWS Atlanta, GA

December 23, 2014Forsyth County, Fulton County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Dec 23, 2014, 10:00 PM EST for Forsyth County, Fulton County, Georgia. It took effect at Dec 24, 2014, 6:08 AM EST. It was in force for 44 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2014, 10:00 PM EST (03:00 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 24, 2014, 6:08 AM EST
Expired
Dec 26, 2014, 2:12 AM EST
In force
44 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Forsyth County, GA, Fulton County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Creek near Alpharetta (APHG1).

Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
7 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02335700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

598 
WGUS42 KFFC 240300
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1000 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...

  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES


.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND
RIVERS WHICH WILL CAUSE FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THE LATEST STAGE DATA WAS FURNISHED IN COOPERATION WITH THE UNITED 
STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY.

&&

GAC117-121-241700-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0093.141225T0000Z-141226T0712Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.141225T0000Z.141225T1200Z.141226T0112Z.NO/
1000 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 945 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.8 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 7.5 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 8.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND FURTHER INTO THE 
  WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE CREEK FROM NEAR CUMMING IN SOUTH 
  FORSYTH COUNTY TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. 
  ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING 
  WITH 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER. MOST OF THE WALKING AND BIKING PATHS 
  WILL BE CLOSED...ESPECIALLY UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  ON KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD AND NEAR ROCK HILL PARK. PORTIONS OF THE 
  YMCA CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.5 FEET ON DEC 1 2010.  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$
5 follow-up statements
387 
WGUS82 KFFC 240716
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
216 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES 

 
GAC117-121-242116-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0093.141224T1108Z-141226T0045Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.141224T1108Z.141225T0000Z.141225T1845Z.NO/
216 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 1 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 8.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING.THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND FURTHER INTO THE 
  WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE CREEK FROM NEAR CUMMING IN SOUTH 
  FORSYTH COUNTY TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. 
  ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING 
  WITH 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER. MOST OF THE WALKING AND BIKING PATHS 
  WILL BE CLOSED...ESPECIALLY UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  ON KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD AND NEAR ROCK HILL PARK. PORTIONS OF THE 
  YMCA CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.3 FEET ON MAR 29 2005.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$
963 
WGUS82 KFFC 241602
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1102 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY 

  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES 

 
GAC117-242226-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-141224T2226Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.141224T0702Z.141224T1145Z.141224T1626Z.UU/
1102 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 6 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING WILL EXPAND 
  INTO THE NATURAL FLOOD PLAIN OF THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM 
  FROM THE GAGE AT ATLANTA HIGHWAY OR GEORGIA HIGHWAY 9. LARGE 
  PORTIONS OF THE SIDEWALK AND BOARDWALK OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY 
  WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. THE AREAS UNDER THE GEORGIA 400 HIGHWAY AND 
  MCFARLAND ROAD WILL BE COVERED WITH AROUND ONE FOOT OF WATER. A 
  PORTION OF THE SIDEWALK UNDER MAJORS ROAD WILL BE COVERED WITH 
  AROUND TWO FEET OF WATER. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3418 8424 3417 8420 3411 8419 3410 8420
      3410 8425 3411 8424             

$$

GAC117-121-250602-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-141226T0815Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.141224T1520Z.141225T1200Z.141226T0215Z.NO/
1102 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7 FEET AND SLOWLY RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.7 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE 
  EVENING.
* AT 8 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND FURTHER INTO THE 
  WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE CREEK FROM NEAR CUMMING IN SOUTH 
  FORSYTH COUNTY TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. 
  ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING 
  WITH 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER. MOST OF THE WALKING AND BIKING PATHS 
  WILL BE CLOSED...ESPECIALLY UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  ON KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD AND NEAR ROCK HILL PARK. PORTIONS OF THE 
  YMCA CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$
435 
WGUS82 KFFC 250136
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
836 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES 

 
GAC117-121-251536-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-141225T1800Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.141224T1520Z.141224T1830Z.141225T1200Z.NO/
836 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7 FEET...AND 
  STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* AT 7 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED.  MINOR FLOODING OF WOODLANDS 
  AND FIELDS BEGIN ALONG THE CREEK BETWEEN CUMMING IN FORSYTH 
  COUNTY...TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY.  
  FLOODING STARTS TO EFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY NEAR 
  ALPHARETTA AND SOME PORTIONS MAY BECOME CLOSED WITH AROUND ONE FOOT
  OF WATER...ESPECIALLY UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON 
  KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD AND NEAR ROCK HILL PARK. PORTIONS OF THE YMCA 
  CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD.


&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$
918 
WGUS82 KFFC 250944
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
444 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  COAHULLA CREEK NEAR KEITHS MILL NEAR DALTON AFFECTING WHITFIELD 
  COUNTY 

  OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING JOHNSON...WASHINGTON AND 
  WILKINSON COUNTIES 

  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES 

  TURKEY CREEK NEAR BYROMVILLE AFFECTING DOOLY COUNTY 


GAC313-252055-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-141225T2055Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.141225T0915Z.141225T1455Z.UU/
444 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE COAHULLA CREEK NEAR KEITHS MILL NEAR DALTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET...AND SLOWLY RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL BEGIN FALLING LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. PASTURE AND FIELDS 
  UPSTREAM...RIGHT AND LEFT BANK FROM THE KEITHS MILL ROAD BRIDGE...
  AND DOWNSTREAM ON THE LEFT BANK BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 16.5 FEET ON APR 25 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC117-121-251800-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-141225T1800Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.141224T1520Z.141225T0830Z.141225T1200Z.NO/
444 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET...AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL BEGIN FALLING AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 7.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED.  MINOR FLOODING OF WOODLANDS 
  AND FIELDS BEGIN ALONG THE CREEK BETWEEN CUMMING IN FORSYTH 
  COUNTY...TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY.  
  FLOODING STARTS TO EFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY NEAR 
  ALPHARETTA AND SOME PORTIONS MAY BECOME CLOSED WITH AROUND ONE FOOT
  OF WATER...ESPECIALLY UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON 
  KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD AND NEAR ROCK HILL PARK. PORTIONS OF THE YMCA 
  CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.1 FEET ON MAY 3 2010.  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC093-251900-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-141225T1900Z/
/BVLG1.1.ER.141225T0500Z.141225T1000Z.141225T1300Z.NO/
444 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURKEY CREEK NEAR BYROMVILLE.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET...AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING OF WOODLANDS 
  OCCURS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE STREAM GAGE ON GEORGIA 
  HIGHWAY 90. PORTIONS OF CREEK ACCESS ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.3 FEET ON DEC 19 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3229 8385 3225 8380 3218 8387 3210 8391
      3210 8398 3220 8394             

$$

GAC167-303-319-252344-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0098.141225T1648Z-141228T2136Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.141225T1648Z.141227T1200Z.141228T1536Z.NO/
444 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE.
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...THE WATER LEVEL BEGINS TO FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE DIRT
  PARKING LOT AREA NEAR THE OLD BALLS FERRY ROAD BOAT RAMP...JUST 
  UPSTREAM AND RIGHTBANK FROM THE GEORGIA HIGHWAY 57 BRIDGE. MINOR 
  FLOODING CONTINUES IN THE WOODLANDS NEAR THE RIVER.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.4 FEET ON MAR 14 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$
936 
WGUS82 KFFC 251427
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
927 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING CREEK IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES

 
GAC117-121-251457-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-141225T1800Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.141224T1520Z.141225T1115Z.141225T1340Z.NO/
927 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* THIS TAKES EFFECT IMMEDIATELY.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.99 FEET AND 
  FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.
* THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* AT 7 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED.  MINOR FLOODING OF WOODLANDS 
  AND FIELDS BEGIN ALONG THE CREEK BETWEEN CUMMING IN FORSYTH 
  COUNTY...TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY.  
  FLOODING STARTS TO EFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY NEAR 
  ALPHARETTA AND SOME PORTIONS MAY BECOME CLOSED WITH AROUND ONE FOOT
  OF WATER...ESPECIALLY UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON 
  KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD AND NEAR ROCK HILL PARK. PORTIONS OF THE YMCA 
  CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 23, 7:48 PM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 7:48 PM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
748 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

.UPDATE...
LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AL CONTINUES
EASTWARD THIS EVENING. THE LINE IS HOLDING STEADY AND IS EXPECTED
TO REACH THE AL/GA STATE LINE AROUND 10 PM. THE HRRR BEGINS TO
WEAKEN THE LINE RIGHT ALONG THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR RIGHT
AROUND OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THE LINE WOULD
OCCUR IF THE WEDGE CONTINUED TO HOLD STRONG EAST OF 85.
HOWEVER...STORMS SHOULD BECOME ELEVATED ACROSS THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE CWFA. DO THINK SOME CONTINUED EROSION ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE WEDGE IS LIKELY...BUT NOT CONFIDENCE ON EXACTLY HOW
MUCH.

HAVE MADE SOME TIMING TWEAKS FOR TSRA WITHIN THE GRIDS. IN
ADDITION...TWEAKED THE HOURLY TEMP/DEW GRIDS ACCORDING TO THE
POSITION OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 622 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 244 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014/

.SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
.HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING LIKELY TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
OVERALL FCST IN GOOD SHAPE. WARM FRONT STILL VERY SLOW TO MOVE
NORTH BUT SHOULD MARCH SLOWLY NORTH TONIGHT.

MONITORING SEVERE STORM IN NW GA THAT HAS HISTORY OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS. STORM MAY HAVE TRAVELED ALONG WRN PERIPHERY OF
WEDGE. WILL BE A FEW HOURS BEFORE NORTH GA SEES ANOTHER ROUND OF
POSSIBLE SVR STORMS. AS MENTIONED IN PREV DISCUSSION /SEE UPDATE
SECTION BELOW/ INGREDIENTS REMAIN IN PLACE FOR SVR STORMS TONIGHT
AND WED MORNING...GREATEST THREAT 03Z-15Z OR SO.

AS FRONT SWEEPS THRU WED AFTERNOON...SHOULD SEE RAPID END TO PRECIP
AND ERODING OF LOW CLOUDS. NOT MUCH CHC FOR WINTER PRECIP WED NIGHT
EVEN IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME IN ELEV ABOVE 2500FT MAY SEE A BRIEF
MIX OF LIGHT RAIN WITH SNOW FLURRIES BUT NO IMPACTS EXPECTED.

SNELSON

UPDATE...
/ISSUED AT 129 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014/
FCST GRIDS UPDATED EARLIER THIS MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR OBSERVED
TRENDS. 12Z MODELS...PARTICULARLY GFS...TOO QUICK LIFTING WARM
FRONT WHICH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM AROUND COLUMBUS TO VIDALIA.
TEMPS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 40S IN NORTH GA AND 50S TO 60S
OVER MIDDLE GA.

COVERAGE OF RAINFALL OVER AL A LITTLE LESS THAN WHAT 12Z HIRES
MODELS INDICATING...POSSIBLY DUE TO LARGE EXPANDING AREA OF
CONVECTION OVER SRN AL AND SW GA. NEW 18Z CYCLE WPC QPF GUIDANCE
INDICATING ABOUT 1-2 INCHES OVER AREAS NORTH OF COLUMBUS TO MACON.
WILL REVIEW THIS BEFORE RELEASING FINAL FORECAST. BASED ON PREV
FCST AND ALREADY SOME REPORTS OF NUISANCE/MINOR FLOODING HAVE
ISSUED FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF CWA.

THREAT FOR SEVERE WX STILL IN PLACE THOUGH CONCERNED ABOUT
POSSIBLE UPSTREAM CONVECTION MENTIONED EARLIER DISRUPTING VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY. THAT SAID...STILL SEEING FAIRLY STRONG
ISOLATED CELLS IN NRN/WRN AL ATTM WHERE MLCAPE VALUES TRYING TO
CREEP UP TO 250-500 J/KG. 0-1KM BULK SHEAR ONLY 20-30KTS IN AL.
12Z MODEL VALUES FOR TONIGHT SILL FAVORABLE FOR HIGH SHEAR LOW
CAPE CONVECTION AND QLCS MODES. NAM STILL HIGHER THAN GFS FOR
SHEAR AND MLCAPE...AVERAGING AROUND 100-300 J/KG MLCAPE AND 35-45
FOR 0-1KM BULK SHEAR. SHEAR DROPS SOME DURING DAY ON WED SO
TORNADO THREAT MAY LOWER ACCORDINGLY.

CONTINUING TO MONITOR.

SNELSON

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT PUSHES EAST OF THE AREA EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING... WRAP AROUND CLOUDS AND MOISTURE MAY BE A BIT SLOW TO
CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST THURSDAY MORNING DUE TO A LAGGING STRONG
UPPER DISTURBANCE THAT DOES NOT PUSH EAST OF THE STATE UNTIL EARLY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE... EXPECT DRY HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD
OVER THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING CONDITIONS AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE 50S. THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE
FELT FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 30S. THEN MODELS AGREE
ON THE SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EAST ON FRIDAY...AND ESTABLISHING A
WARMING...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW GOING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS AHEAD OF
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT SHOULD BRING RAIN CHANCES TO THE
AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. LONG RANGE MODELS STILL SHOW SOME TIMING
DIFFERENCES... WITH THE FASTER GFS SPREADING SHOWERS INTO THE AREA
ON SATURDAY...AND HOLDING RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA INTO MONDAY
WHEN A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT FINALLY TRAVERSES THE AREA. THE SLOWER
ECMWF HOLD RAIN CHANCES OFF UNTIL MAINLY SUNDAY...BUT THEN DOES SHOW
A COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT-EARLY TUESDAY...
WITH BOTH SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER CONDITIONS IN CONTROL BY
TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME... LACK OF INSTABILITY AND STRONG UPPER
FORCING WARRANTS ONLY SHOWERS SO FAR WITH THIS SYSTEM... HOWEVER
THIS COULD CHANGE SO STAY TUNED.

39

HYDROLOGY...
DECIDED TO PLAY IT SAFE AND POST A FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL GA THROUGH 8 PM WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE EXPECTED 2 TO 3
INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE ALMOST CERTAIN... AND
WITH NEARLY 100 PERCENT RUNOFF OF ANY RAINFALL INTO CREEKS...
STREAMS AND RIVERS THIS TIME OF YEAR... RAPID RISES ARE
EXPECTED...THAT COULD RESULT IN FLOODING. IN ADDITION TO RIVER
FLOODING... ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO FALL
VEGETATION AND OTHER DEBRIS CLOGGING DRAINAGE SYSTEMS OR NARROWS
ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS. ALL INTEREST ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GA
SHOULD MONITOR CONDITIONS CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. THE RAINFALL
SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND GREATLY
LESSON THE THREAT OF FLOODING BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL GA THIS
EVENING. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT SHOULD
IMPACT ATL BETWEEN 04Z AND 07Z ACCORDING TO THE LATEST TIMING OF
THE HRRR. THE CIG FORECAST MAY BE TRICKY...IF THE WARM FRONT MOVES
NORTH OF ATL...CIGS COULD BRIEFLY IMPROVE. HOWEVER...BELIEVE WITH
THE STRONG WEDGE IN PLACE...GOING TO LEAVE THEM AT LIFR. SLOW
IMPROVEMENT TOMORROW TO MVFR. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE
SW BY THE AFTERNOON.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON TIMING OF LINE OF THUNDER. LOW-MED CONFIDENCE
ON CIGS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          46  45  66  40 / 100 100 100  30
ATLANTA         50  48  65  39 / 100 100 100  10
BLAIRSVILLE     55  43  58  35 / 100 100 100  30
CARTERSVILLE    50  49  64  37 / 100 100  90  10
COLUMBUS        64  62  66  40 / 100 100  90  10
GAINESVILLE     44  42  61  39 / 100 100 100  30
MACON           56  55  68  41 / 100 100 100  20
ROME            52  50  62  37 / 100 100  90  10
PEACHTREE CITY  54  53  66  37 / 100 100 100  10
VIDALIA         58  56  71  47 / 100 100 100  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BALDWIN...BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...BIBB...BLECKLEY...BUTTS...
CARROLL...CATOOSA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...
CLARKE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...CRAWFORD...CRISP...DADE...
DAWSON...DE KALB...DODGE...DOOLY...DOUGLAS...EMANUEL...FANNIN...
FAYETTE...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...GLASCOCK...GORDON...
GREENE...GWINNETT...HALL...HANCOCK...HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...
HENRY...HOUSTON...JACKSON...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...
JONES...LAMAR...LAURENS...LUMPKIN...MACON...MADISON...MARION...
MERIWETHER...MONROE...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...MURRAY...MUSCOGEE...
NEWTON...NORTH FULTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...PEACH...
PICKENS...PIKE...POLK...PULASKI...PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...
SOUTH FULTON...SPALDING...STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...
TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...TOWNS...TREUTLEN...
TROUP...TWIGGS...UNION...UPSON...WALKER...WALTON...WARREN...
WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WHITE...WHITFIELD...WILCOX...
WILKES...WILKINSON.

TORNADO WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: CHATTAHOOCHEE...HARRIS...HEARD...MARION...MUSCOGEE...
SCHLEY...STEWART...SUMTER...TROUP...WEBSTER.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 23, 4:15 PM EST, 5 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
415 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-241100-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DE KALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
415 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...TUESDAY NIGHT.

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE OVER CENTRAL AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA...
...HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING...

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL...WITH ANY STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH GEORGIA ON WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME
OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED
TORNADOES...AND HEAVY RAIN. THE BEST RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ON
WEDNESDAY WILL BE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL
MOVE INTO WESTERN GEORGIA WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND INTO EASTERN
GEORGIA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 23, 4:50 PM EST, 5 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
450 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHATSWORTH              34.77N  84.77W
12/23/2014                   MURRAY             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            911 CENTER REPORTED MANY TREES DOWN COUNTY WIDE. IN
            ADDITION THERE WAS A TREE DOWN ON A TRAILER NEAR ELM
            STREET AND A ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF ON 3RD AVENUE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1400981

GEO
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 9:03 PM EST, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
903 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

GAZ019-020-030>032-041>044-052-053-066-240245-
HEARD GA-COBB GA-PAULDING GA-TROUP GA-CARROLL GA-COWETA GA-
SOUTH FULTON GA-HARALSON GA-DOUGLAS GA-BARTOW GA-POLK GA-FLOYD GA-
903 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AN ENHANCED RISK OF BRIEF
TORNADOES AND 50 MPH WINDS IN HEARD...COBB...PAULDING...TROUP...
CARROLL...COWETA...SOUTH FULTON...HARALSON...DOUGLAS...BARTOW...POLK
AND FLOYD COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM EST...

AT 902 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CAVE
SPRING TO 9 MILES WEST OF FRANKLIN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 80 MPH.

THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS EXHIBITED AREAS OF
LOCALIZED...WEAK ROTATION...BUT NOTHING STRONG ENOUGH TO INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF A TORNADO AT 902 PM EST.  STILL...THE ENVIRONMENT ALONG
THIS LINE SUGGESTS AN ENHANCED RISK OF A BRIEF...GENERALLY WEAK...
TORNADO FORMING. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THE LINE
MOVES ACROSS HEARD...COBB...PAULDING...TROUP...CARROLL...COWETA...
SOUTH FULTON...HARALSON...DOUGLAS...BARTOW...POLK AND FLOYD COUNTIES
THROUGH 945 PM EST.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
ROME...NEWNAN...DOUGLASVILLE...LAGRANGE...CARROLLTON...
CARTERSVILLE...DALLAS...CEDARTOWN...BUCHANAN...FRANKLIN...ACWORTH...
VILLA RICA...POWDER SPRINGS...AUSTELL...BREMEN...ADAIRSVILLE...
PALMETTO...TEMPLE...ROCKMART AND EUHARLEE.

EVERYONE IN THIS AREA IS URGED TO REMAIN INDOORS AND BE ALERT TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE AND WEAK TORNADOES THAT FORM AND
DISSIPATE RAPIDLY. ONCE THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES EAST OF YOUR
AREA...THE RISK OF TORNADO FORMATION WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3440 8490 3441 8468 3334 8466 3322 8481
      3322 8485 3311 8495 3302 8522 3423 8545
TIME...MOT...LOC 0202Z 222DEG 72KT 3415 8531 3325 8525
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 9:45 PM EST, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
945 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

GAZ020>022-031>034-043>045-053>057-067-240330-
DE KALB GA-COBB GA-CLAYTON GA-GWINNETT GA-SOUTH FULTON GA-FAYETTE GA-
FORSYTH GA-NORTH FULTON GA-MERIWETHER GA-HENRY GA-PAULDING GA-
SPALDING GA-COWETA GA-CHEROKEE GA-BARTOW GA-DOUGLAS GA-
945 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AN ENHANCED RISK OF BRIEF
TORNADOES AND 50 MPH WINDS IN DE KALB...COBB...CLAYTON...GWINNETT...
SOUTH FULTON...FAYETTE...FORSYTH...NORTH FULTON...MERIWETHER...
HENRY...PAULDING...SPALDING...COWETA...CHEROKEE...BARTOW AND DOUGLAS
COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM EST...

AT 944 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CARTERSVILLE
TO MORELAND...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS EXHIBITED AREAS OF
LOCALIZED...WEAK ROTATION...BUT NOTHING STRONG ENOUGH TO INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF A TORNADO AT 944 PM EST.  STILL...THE ENVIRONMENT ALONG
THIS LINE SUGGESTS AN ENHANCED RISK OF A BRIEF...GENERALLY WEAK...
TORNADO FORMING. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THE LINE
MOVES ACROSS DE KALB...COBB...CLAYTON...GWINNETT...SOUTH FULTON...
FAYETTE...FORSYTH...NORTH FULTON...MERIWETHER...HENRY...PAULDING...
SPALDING...COWETA...CHEROKEE...BARTOW AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES THROUGH
1030 PM EST.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
ATLANTA...MARIETTA...NEWNAN...DOUGLASVILLE...CANTON...MCDONOUGH...
CARTERSVILLE...DECATUR...FAYETTEVILLE...DALLAS...CUMMING...
JONESBORO...SANDY SPRINGS...ROSWELL...JOHNS CREEK...ALPHARETTA...
SMYRNA...DUNWOODY...PEACHTREE CITY AND EAST POINT.

EVERYONE IN THIS AREA IS URGED TO REMAIN INDOORS AND BE ALERT TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE AND WEAK TORNADOES THAT FORM AND
DISSIPATE RAPIDLY. ONCE THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES EAST OF YOUR
AREA...THE RISK OF TORNADO FORMATION WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3420 8485 3438 8453 3437 8426 3433 8426
      3434 8414 3363 8414 3364 8418 3357 8413
      3343 8413 3321 8444 3307 8484 3352 8484
      3352 8482 3355 8483 3357 8481 3358 8484
TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 239DEG 45KT 3417 8477 3327 8477
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 9:57 PM EST, 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
957 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

GAZ056-066>070-078-079-089>091-240400-
MUSCOGEE GA-HARRIS GA-TALBOT GA-UPSON GA-MARION GA-SPALDING GA-
TROUP GA-PIKE GA-LAMAR GA-CHATTAHOOCHEE GA-MERIWETHER GA-
957 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AN ENHANCED RISK OF BRIEF
TORNADOES...40 MPH WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL IN MUSCOGEE...
HARRIS...TALBOT...UPSON...MARION...SPALDING...TROUP...PIKE...
LAMAR...CHATTAHOOCHEE AND MERIWETHER COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM EST...

AT 955 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LONE OAK TO
NEAR RUSSELL COUNTY SPORTS COMPLEX...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 90 MPH.

THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS EXHIBITED AREAS OF
LOCALIZED...WEAK ROTATION...BUT NOTHING STRONG ENOUGH TO INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF A TORNADO AT 955 PM EST.  STILL...THE ENVIRONMENT ALONG
THIS LINE SUGGESTS AN ENHANCED RISK OF A BRIEF...GENERALLY WEAK...
TORNADO FORMING. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCING
LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS THE LINE
MOVES ACROSS MUSCOGEE...HARRIS...TALBOT...UPSON...MARION...
SPALDING...TROUP...PIKE...LAMAR...CHATTAHOOCHEE AND MERIWETHER
COUNTIES THROUGH 1100 PM EST.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
COLUMBUS...LAGRANGE...GRIFFIN...THOMASTON...BARNESVILLE...ZEBULON...
HAMILTON...TALBOTTON...GREENVILLE...CUSSETA...MANCHESTER...PINE
MOUNTAIN...WOODBURY...WAVERLY HALL...MILNER...WARM SPRINGS...
WOODLAND...MOLENA...WILLIAMSON AND ORCHARD HILL.

EVERYONE IN THIS AREA IS URGED TO REMAIN INDOORS AND BE ALERT TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE AND WEAK TORNADOES THAT FORM AND
DISSIPATE RAPIDLY. ONCE THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES EAST OF YOUR
AREA...THE RISK OF TORNADO FORMATION WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3303 8502 3321 8445 3334 8425 3334 8415
      3330 8413 3284 8417 3274 8427 3272 8434
      3268 8434 3268 8437 3260 8441 3228 8471
      3228 8491 3232 8500 3244 8497 3264 8511
      3274 8511 3275 8514
TIME...MOT...LOC 0255Z 233DEG 78KT 3315 8480 3240 8519

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 9:03 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBartow, Carroll, Coweta, Douglas, Floyd, Haralson and 3 more42 min
Dec 23, 9:45 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCherokee, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta, DeKalb, Douglas and 3 more45 min
Dec 23, 9:57 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCChattahoochee, Harris, Meriwether, Muscogee, Pike, Spalding and 2 more63 min
Dec 23, 10:30 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCUpson30 min
Dec 23, 10:39 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow, DeKalb, Henry, Newton, Rockdale, Walton36 min
Dec 23, 10:56 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCStewart, Webster49 min
Dec 23, 11:02 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCButts, Crawford, Jasper, Lamar, Marion, Monroe and 3 more43 min
Dec 23, 11:57 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGreene, Jones, Putnam33 min
Dec 24, 12:12 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBibb, Houston, Peach33 min
Dec 24, 12:31 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBaldwin, Greene, Hancock, Jones, Putnam, Taliaferro and 1 more29 min
Dec 24, 12:39 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBleckley, Houston, Twiggs, Wilkinson51 min
Dec 24, 12:43 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDooly, Pulaski47 min
Dec 24, 1:13 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGlascock, Warren47 min
Dec 24, 2:14 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth11 hr
Dec 24, 4:11 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrisp, Dooly49 min
Dec 24, 4:23 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBleckley, Houston, Pulaski, Twiggs52 min
Dec 24, 6:36 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrisp, Dooly54 min
Dec 24, 7:19 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDodge, Laurens26 min
Dec 24, 7:44 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningFFCCrisp4 hr
Dec 24, 10:07 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDade7 hr
Dec 24, 12:11 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCWhitfield8 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.