Severe Thunderstorm Warning 166, NWS Dodge City, KS

746 
WWUS53 KDDC 260047
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
747 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

KSC075-260115-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0166.000000T0000Z-140626T0115Z/
HAMILTON KS-
647 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL
HAMILTON COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM MDT...

AT 645 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COOLIDGE...AND
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COOLIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3806 10182 3785 10182 3786 10204 3792 10205
      3807 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0047Z 132DEG 10KT 3799 10199

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

FINCH

246 
WWUS53 KDDC 260055
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
755 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

KSC075-260105-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0166.000000T0000Z-140626T0115Z/
HAMILTON KS-
655 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3806 10182 3785 10182 3786 10204 3792 10205
      3807 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 132DEG 10KT 3800 10201

$$

FINCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
633 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2014

...Updated for the aviation discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

The main forecast challenges are chances of thunderstorms into
Thursday.

Moist upslope flow continues tonight with south to southeast winds
of 10 to 15 mph and dewpoints in the 60s. Many of the short term
models show thunderstorms moving east from eastern Colorado and into
far western Kansas by around 7 to 10 pm, then towards Dodge City by
around midnight. Very light winds aloft with jet level winds less
than 30 knots are forecast into tonight, along with weak mid level
winds of 10 to 20 knots. With weak wind shear the chances for
supercell and rotating thunderstorms are not good, with only
marginally severe storms far west towards the Colorado border. Some
brief heavy rainfall and strong wind gusts will be the main hazards
tonight. Will keep the highest chances for thunderstorms west early
then towards Dodge City around midnight, then ending in far south
central sections by morning. Overnight lows will be mild in the low
to mid 60s.

For Thursday, an upper level trough moves toward the Intermountain
West with still not very strong winds across western Kansas. The
upper level winds increase to around 50 knots, with mid levels still
weak at 10 to 15 knots. South winds will increase to 15 to 25 mph
with some moderate instability forecast. Current thoughts are a few
thunderstorms could form toward late afternoon or evening. If they
form some could be severe with heavy rainfall. Highs will be warmer
and around 90 to 93 degrees.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

Thursday night/Friday:

Another MCS is possible Thursday night per EC/WRF-ARW/WRF-NMM. The operational
NAM is drier, so will keep just with slight pops now. Overnight lows
will be in the 60s and 70s.

A more significant upper level trough will move across the region Friday.
This system has more dynamics associated with it with 75-100 kt 250-hPa
jet nosing in from the northwest. Will have to watch for severe thunderstorms
as plenty of cape is forecast along with fairly strong and veering upper
level winds.

Saturday and beyond:

More thunderstorms will be possible Saturday along a frontal boundary.
Beyond that, temperatures will moderate and be in the 90s by the end
of the weekend into next week. Another chance for storms is possible
Tuesday and Wednesday with a fropa and eventual upslope flow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

Basically, nearly clear skies and good visibilities will result in
VFR flight conditions through the entire |24 hour Taf period.
Expect southeast to south winds at 10 to 12 knot overnight, with
surface winds becoming south at 15g25kt around 15Z on Thursday.
Also, you can expect a cig around 200-250 for much of the night
time periods.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  90  68  92 /  50  10  20  10
GCK  66  92  68  93 /  50  10  20  20
EHA  65  92  67  94 /  50  20  10  10
LBL  67  93  69  96 /  50  10  10  10
HYS  66  90  71  91 /  40  20  20  20
P28  67  90  73  92 /  30  20  20  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Burke

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
332 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-262200-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
332 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014 /232 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON,
THEN INCREASING ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS IN THE EVENING. MORE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AND FAR WESTERN
KANSAS DURING THE EVENING AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD TOWARD DODGE CITY
BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT LIKELY, WITH THE MAIN THREAT OF SMALL HAIL, BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL, AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL, SOUTHWEST, AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE GREATEST CHANCE WILL BE FARTHER
NORTH, THOUGH, ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 96.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

06

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
532 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

KSZ061-062-252315-
HAMILTON-KEARNY-
432 PM MDT WED JUN 25 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN HAMILTON AND WESTERN
KEARNY COUNTIES...

AT 431 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTH OF SYRACUSE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3823 10176 3814 10131 3774 10161 3781 10180
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 197DEG 17KT 3782 10171

FINCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
623 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             6 S SYRACUSE            37.89N 101.75W
06/25/2014  M1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

JFINCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
647 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             4 S SYRACUSE            37.92N 101.75W
06/25/2014  M1.75 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

DWOLFE