Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Cleveland, OH

643 
WWUS51 KCLE 300056
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
856 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

OHC101-117-300100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140430T0100Z/
MARION OH-MORROW OH-
856 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR MORROW AND EASTERN MARION COUNTIES...

AT 853 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTH OF CHESTERVILLE TO 14 MILES EAST OF
CHESTERVILLE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MANSFIELD TO MOUNT
VERNON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE 
OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG 
BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4035 8292 4041 8294 4041 8300 4043 8303
      4043 8309 4069 8309 4071 8264 4067 8262
      4066 8265 4064 8265 4064 8262 4055 8262
      4055 8264 4035 8265
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 245DEG 47KT 4072 8254 4046 8237

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
730 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
THROUGH LATE WEEK. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TO WESTERN
OHIO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN CROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH ALOFT WILL LINGER OVER
THE GREAT LAKES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
UPDATED TO SLOW THE TIMING OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE JUST WAITING FOR
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE IN. THE WINDS ARE STILL
GUSTY ALONG THE ERIE PA LAKESHORE BUT WILL BE DECREASING BY DARK.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LET THE WIND ADVISORIES/WARNINGS EXPIRE ACROSS EXTREME NE OH/NW
PA. THE STRONGEST WINDS HAVE MOVED EAST ALTHOUGH IT WILL REMAIN
WINDY THIS EVENING.

A SLOT OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED ON THE CLOUD STREETS OVER NORTH
CENTRAL OHIO/LAKE ERIE THAT OCCURRED WITH THE HIGHER BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH SOME CAPE UNDER THE JET ALOFT. DRYING AND
SUBSIDENCE ARE PUSHING NORTH. DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN DROPPING AHEAD
OF THE NEXT SHORT WAVE WHICH HAS A MORE SYNOPTIC LOOK TO IT. SMALL
HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH A FEW OF THE CELLS. THIS COULD
CONTINUE TO BE THE CASE FOR A WHILE BUT EXPECT THESE
SHOWERS/STORMS TO DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

THE SHORT WAVE COMING UP THE EAST SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW IS STRONG
AND WILL SPAWN NEW SHOWER ACTIVITY WHICH WILL PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND FILL IN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO COOL ALOFT AND WITH THE RELATIVELY WARM BOUNDARY LAYER
THE LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN. WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST BUT THERE WOULD SEEM A MINIMAL RISK FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS AND WILL NOT HAVE IT SPECIFICALLY MENTIONED IN THE ZONE
FORECAST. WILL KEEP A MENTION IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
SINCE WE ARE STILL IN THE "SLGT RISK" FROM SPC.

LOWS IN THE 50S...A FEW DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE ESPECIALLY
WHERE IT HAS WARMED UP THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MUCH THE SAME ISSUES ON WEDNESDAY. COOLING ALOFT WITH THE JET OVER
HEAD. THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY HAVE MADE IT TO WESTERN
OHIO BY MORNING THEN IT WILL TAKE ANOTHER SURGE TO GET IT EASTWARD
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WOULD SEEM TO BE EAST OF I-71. THERE COULD VERY WELL
BE REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND
WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70.

COOLER THURSDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. NOT SURE IF IT WILL BE CLOUDY OR
MORE OF A BROKEN CLOUD DECK. WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE FORECAST UNDER THE TROUGH ALOFT. HIGHS IN THE 50S. MUCH THE
SAME ON FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
CYCLONIC FLOW AT THE SFC AND ALOFT LOOKS TO PREVAIL SAT NIGHT INTO
SUN SO EXPECT REINFORCING COLD FRONTS/TROUGHS TO BE DROPPING ACROSS
THE AREA. EXPECT TO SEE SCT SHRA HANG AROUND THRU SUN THEN SHIFT TO
THE SNOWBELT SUN NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD FINALLY BUILD SE INTO
THE AREA. TEMPS WILL BE COOL BUT NOT COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW.

THE MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE SHIFTING NE OF THE AREA BY TUE BUT
OVERRUNNING IS ALREADY SETTING UP ALOFT WITH INCREASING MOISTURE MON
INTO MON NIGHT. FOR NOW WILL KEEP MON GENERALLY DRY THEN BRING
CHANCE FOR SHRA BACK MON NIGHT THRU TUE AS THE MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
INCREASE OVER THE AREA AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS INTO THE AREA TO ACT AS
A LOWER LEVEL FOCUS. TEMPS MON WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL AND PROBABLY
ALSO ON TUE.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WARM FRONT NOW BISECTING THE AREA. IT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
EAST...AS IT DOES WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO THE SOUTH.  AS
FAR AS CONVECTION AS LATE IN THE EVENING EXPECT AREA OF SHRA/TSRA
NW OH WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT
A UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. DOUBTS AS TO HOW
FAR EAST TSRA WILL MOVE. FOR NOW JUST MENTIONED TSRA IN TOL/FDY
TAFS.

.OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD NON-VFR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. WINDS NOW
APPEAR TO BE DROPPING INTO THE SCA CATEGORY SO WILL ADJUST HEADLINES
FOR JUST A SCA FOR THE EAST PART OF THE NEARSHORE AND REMOVE ALL THE
GALES. SCA CONDITIONS COULD HANG ON AT THE NW PA SHORE THRU WED
MORNING SO WILL RUN THE SCA UNTIL 10 AM.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE LAKE WED NIGHT AND TURN THE FLOW TO SW
WHICH WILL HANG AROUND THRU FRI THEN THE FLOW SHOULD BECOME MORE
WEST ON THE WEEKEND. WINDS SPEEDS SHOULD STAY 20 KNOTS OR LESS.
GIVEN THE MARGINAL SITUATION...THE QUESTION WILL BE WHETHER ANY 4
FOOT OR MORE WAVES CAN SPREAD DOWN INTO THE NEARSHORE WATERS THU
THRU SUN.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ148-149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KOSARIK
NEAR TERM...KIELTYKA/KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...KOSARIK
LONG TERM...ADAMS
AVIATION...DJB
MARINE...ADAMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
318 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-301930-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
318 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT LIKELY.

ANY HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ANY HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-301930-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
318 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
235 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0232 PM     HAIL             1 N MONROEVILLE         41.26N 82.70W
04/29/2014  E0.25 INCH       HURON              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

THOMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
718 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1047 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ERIE                    42.13N 80.09W
04/29/2014  E58.00 MPH       ERIE               PA   ASOS

&&

KIELTYKA