Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Cleveland, OH

224 
WWUS51 KCLE 141944
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
344 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

OHC075-141953-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-140514T1945Z/
HOLMES OH-
344 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HOLMES COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
345 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. HOWEVER...OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING BACK INTO THE 
SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY NEAR STILLWELL.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4046 8218 4057 8218 4057 8222 4063 8222
      4067 8219 4067 8165 4045 8166
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 216DEG 30KT 4088 8187

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
147 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL OHIO TODAY THEN STALL.   LOW
PRESSURE WILL RIDE ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS OHIO ON THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATED TO ADD TORNADO WATCH FOR MUCH OF THE AREA AND SEVERE WORDING.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN OHIO. SOME
DECREASE IN CLOUDS TO THE EAST AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE WEST. THE AIRMASS IS GETTING UNSTABLE OVER NE OH AND NW PA AND
SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON. WITH
THE GROUND SATURATED ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA ESPECIALLY
NE OH AND NW PA WENT WITH A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SOME
QUESTION IF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL BE MORE LOCALIZED OR WIDESPREAD.
THIS WILL BE DETERMINED BY THE AMOUNT OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWERED
SOME OF THE HIGHS WEST OF THE FRONT AND RAISED THEM TO THE EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO STALL FRONT ACROSS OHIO TODAY...WITH SURFACE
LOW MOVING ALONG THE LOW ACROSS OHIO ON THURSDAY. MODELS COMING
INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THE SYSTEM.
AL 3 MODELS MOVE THE LOW ACROSS NW OHIO THURSDAY MORNING...THEN
TRACKING INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE
WILL BE WIDESPREAD RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD ALONG WITH TSRA AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.

TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING
USHERING IN MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS. THE 850 MB TEMPS DIP TO NEAR
ZERO BY FRIDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER
INTO THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL LOW DRIFTS SLOWLY ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HE GREAT LAKES UPPER TROUGH SEEMS DESTINED TO MORPH INTO A CUT OFF
LOW SOMEWHERE OFF THE EAST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS COULD WORK
IN OUR FAVOR FOR A CHANGE AS WE SHOULD SPEND MUCH OF EARLY NEXT WEEK
UNDER A BUILDING RIDGE BETWEEN A WESTERN TROUGH AND THE EASTERN CUT
OFF. THE SURFACE HIGH SHOULD BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES ON SUNDAY AND SLOWLY GET SQUEEZED OUT BY MID WEEK. WE WILL
LIKELY SEE HIGH CLOUDS INCREASE BY TUESDAY AS WARM ADVECTION
DEVELOPS UPSTREAM. TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER TO NORMAL BY TUESDAY.
IT MAY BE COOL ENOUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING FOR A FROST THREAT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A LOW MOVING NORTH THRU WESTERN OH INTO LAKE HURON BY THU AFTERNOON
WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD/NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA. WIDESPREAD MVFR CEILINGS
ARE LIKELY THRU 18Z THU WITH POCKETS OF IFR CIGS...ESPECIALLY WEST
OF INTERSTATE 71. VSBYS SHOULD WAVER FROM VFR TO MVFR WITH LOCAL IFR
IN THE HEAVY RAIN IN SOME TSRA. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ALTHOUGH THE THREAT AT TOL AND
FDY WILL BE LESS THAN THAT FURTHER EAST.

.OUTLOOK...ON AND OFF NON VFR TO CONTINUE LATE THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A WEAKENING FRONT WILL STALL OVER EASTERN LAKE ERIE TODAY. WINDS
WILL VEER TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST ON THE WEST HALF OF THE LAKE
WHILE THE WIND MAY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THE EAST HALF OF THE LAKE.
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE STALLED FRONT AND CROSS
THE LAKE ON THURSDAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE AS THE
SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SLIDES ACROSS THE LAKE. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS
THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT.

THE WIND SHOULD DIMINISH BY FRIDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO
BUILD OVER THE LAKE. A TROUGH ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT LAKES
THIS WEEKEND AND SOMETIMES WINDS CAN PICK UP AS WEAK SURFACE TROUGHS
CROSS THE LAKE BUT THE GRADIENT WILL BE RATHER LIGHT OVERALL.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR OHZ009>014-019>023-
     029>033-038-047-089.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR OHZ003-006>008-017-
     018-027-028-036-037.
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJB
NEAR TERM...KIELTYKA
SHORT TERM...DJB
LONG TERM...KOSARIK
AVIATION...KOSARIK
MARINE...KOSARIK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
156 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

OHZ009>014-019>023-029>033-038-047-089-151800-
ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-HURON-MEDINA-
SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-
KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
156 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 155 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHEAST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

OHZ003-006>008-017-151800-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-HANCOCK-
156 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

OHZ018-027-028-036-037-151800-
SENECA-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION-MORROW-
156 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...TORNADO WATCH 155 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PAZ001>003-151800-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
156 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL
BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS MAY
ALSO BE RIGHT FOR A FEW TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

LEZ061-142-143-149-162>169-151800-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
156 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE
STRONG TO SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

LEZ144>148-151800-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
156 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 155 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE
STRONG TO SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
154 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     HAIL             SHELBY                  40.88N 82.66W
05/14/2014  E0.88 INCH       RICHLAND           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KIELTYKA