Alert archive / Ohio / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 7, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this river flood warning at Feb 20, 2014, 11:09 AM EST for Lake County, Ohio. It took effect at Feb 21, 2014, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 20, 2014, 11:09 AM EST (16:09 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 21, 2014, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 21, 2014, 10:54 AM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Lake County, OH
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Chagrin River at Willoughby (WBYO1). The gauge peaked at 13.34 ft at Feb 21, 2014, 2:00 PM EST.
- Action stage
- 9 ft
- Minor stage
- 12 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 16 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04209000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
464 WGUS41 KCLE 201609 FLWCLE BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO... HURON RIVER NEAR MILAN VERMILION RIVER NEAR VERMILION BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA CUYAHOGA RIVER AT INDEPENDENCE CHAGRIN RIVER AT WILLOUGHBY SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK MAHONING RIVER AT LEAVITTSBURG MAHONING RIVER AT YOUNGSTOWN PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. && OHC043-077-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0003.140221T0453Z-000000T0000Z/ /MILO1.2.ER.140221T0453Z.140221T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HURON RIVER NEAR MILAN * FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.8 FEET * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND RISE TO NEAR 21.4 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT BUSINESSES ALONG THE RIVER NEAR THE VILLAGE OF MILAN NEAR US ROUTE 250. WATER WILL BE NEARLY TWO FEET DEEP IN PORTIONS OF FRANKLIN FLATS. LOW LYING SECONDARY ROADS NEAR THE RIVER MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. * THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SOMETIME EARLY SATURDAY MORNING DEPENDING ON IMPACTS FROM ANY ICE JAMS. $$ OHC035-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0004.140221T0450Z-140221T1809Z/ /INDO1.2.ER.140221T0450Z.140221T0600Z.140221T1209Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CUYAHOGA RIVER AT INDEPENDENCE * FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...3.5 FEET * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND RISE TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING DEPENDING ON IMPACTS FROM ANY ICE JAMS. * AT 18.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OCCURS ALONG GLEESON... CHARLES...FRANCES...AND STONE STREETS. CANAL ROAD WILL BE FLOODED IN PORTIONS OF VALLEY VIEW. MANY ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. $$ OHC043-093-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0005.140221T1536Z-000000T0000Z/ /VERO1.1.ER.140221T1536Z.140221T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR VERMILION * FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...6.2 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 9.2 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY NIGHT DEPENDING ON IMPACTS FROM ANY ICE JAMS. * AT 9.0 FEET...RIVERSIDE DRIVE IN VERMILION INUNDATED. STATE ROUTE 60 IN HURON COUNTY THREATENED. $$ OHC093-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0006.140221T0821Z-000000T0000Z/ /ELRO1.1.ER.140221T0821Z.140221T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA * FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...2.3 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY NIGHT DEPENDING ON IMPACTS FROM ANY ICE JAMS. * AT 14.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS THROUGHOUT CASCADE PARK IN ELYRIA. $$ OHC085-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0007.140221T1150Z-140222T0224Z/ /WBYO1.1.ER.140221T1150Z.140221T1800Z.140221T2024Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CHAGRIN RIVER AT WILLOUGHBY * FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...4.4 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON DEPENDING ON IMPACTS FROM ANY ICE JAMS. * AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS IN DANIELS PARK IN WILLOUGHBY AND ALONG SOME SECONDARY ROADS NEAR THE CHAGRIN RIVER. $$ OHC101-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0008.140222T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LARO1.1.ER.140222T0000Z.140222T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE * FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...3.7 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE RIVER. $$ OHC075-169-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0009.140221T1708Z-000000T0000Z/ /KILO1.1.ER.140221T1708Z.140222T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.9 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND RISE TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS WEST OF WATER STREET IN THE VILLAGE OF KILLBUCK ARE FLOODED. FLOODED ROADS INCLUDE COUNTY ROAD 621... STATE ROUTE 60 NORTH...AS WELL AS LOCAL LOW LYING ROADS. HOLMES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS INUNDATED. $$ OHC155-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0010.140221T2146Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEAO1.1.ER.140221T2146Z.140222T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MAHONING RIVER AT LEAVITTSBURG * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...2.8 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR NEAR THE TOWN OF LEAVITTSBURG. $$ OHC099-210009- /O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0011.140221T0832Z-000000T0000Z/ /YGWO1.1.ER.140221T0832Z.140221T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MAHONING RIVER AT YOUNGSTOWN * FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...1.8 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 14.5 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. * AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING WILL SPREAD INTO INDUSTRIAL AREAS ALONG THE RIVER. $$
3 follow-up statements
097 WGUS81 KCLE 210137 FLSCLE FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO... HURON RIVER NEAR MILAN VERMILION RIVER NEAR VERMILION CUYAHOGA RIVER AT INDEPENDENCE MAHONING RIVER AT YOUNGSTOWN BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA CHAGRIN RIVER AT WILLOUGHBY BLANCHARD RIVER NEAR FINDLAY SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK MAHONING RIVER AT LEAVITTSBURG PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. && OHC043-077-210937- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0003.140221T0509Z-140222T1452Z/ /MILO1.2.ER.140221T0509Z.140221T1800Z.140222T0852Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE HURON RIVER NEAR MILAN. * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TONIGHT AND RISE TO NEAR 21.4 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT BUSINESSES ALONG THE RIVER NEAR THE VILLAGE OF MILAN NEAR US ROUTE 250. WATER WILL BE NEARLY TWO FEET DEEP IN PORTIONS OF FRANKLIN FLATS. LOW LYING SECONDARY ROADS NEAR THE RIVER MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. * AT 19.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS OVER A FOOT DEEP IN FRANKLIN FLATS. HURON RIVER VALLEY CAMPGROUND INUNDATED. * AT 18.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER FROM MILAN TO FRANKLIN FLATS. $$ OHC043-093-210937- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0005.140221T1536Z-140222T0730Z/ /VERO1.1.ER.140221T1536Z.140221T1800Z.140222T0130Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR VERMILION. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 9.2 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING. * AT 9.5 FEET...STATE ROUTE 60 IN HURON COUNTY INUNDATED. * AT 9.0 FEET...RIVERSIDE DRIVE IN VERMILION INUNDATED. STATE ROUTE 60 IN HURON COUNTY THREATENED. $$ OHC093-210937- /O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0006.140221T0821Z-000000T0000Z/ /ELRO1.1.ER.140221T0821Z.140221T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA. * FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 14.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS THROUGHOUT CASCADE PARK IN ELYRIA. * AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE RIVER IN ELYRIA. FORD ROAD MAY BE CLOSED FOR HIGH WATER. * AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP. $$ OHC035-210937- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0004.140221T0514Z-140221T1809Z/ /INDO1.2.ER.140221T0514Z.140221T0600Z.140221T1209Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUYAHOGA RIVER AT INDEPENDENCE. * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TONIGHT AND RISE TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. * AT 18.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OCCURS ALONG GLEESON... CHARLES...FRANCES...AND STONE STREETS. CANAL ROAD WILL BE FLOODED IN PORTIONS OF VALLEY VIEW. MANY ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. * AT 17.0 FEET...WATER REACHES MURRAY AND FOSDICK ROADS IN VALLEY VIEW. PORTIONS OF EXCHANGE ROAD, WALL STREET, AND CLOVERLEAF ROAD INUNDATED. * AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS BEGIN ENCROACHING ON CANAL ROAD IN THE VILLAGE OF VALLEY VIEW. $$ OHC085-210937- /O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0007.140221T1150Z-140222T0224Z/ /WBYO1.1.ER.140221T1150Z.140221T1800Z.140221T2024Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHAGRIN RIVER AT WILLOUGHBY. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING. * AT 7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS IN DANIELS PARK IN WILLOUGHBY AND ALONG SOME SECONDARY ROADS NEAR THE CHAGRIN RIVER. * AT 8.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURRS IN THE CITY OF EASTLAKE. $$ OHC063-210937- /O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0012.140221T1352Z-140222T1342Z/ /FDYO1.2.ER.140221T1352Z.140222T0000Z.140222T0742Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLANCHARD RIVER NEAR FINDLAY. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 1.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 12.0 FEET...WATER IMPACTS RIVER STREET AND APPLE ALLEY ON THE WEST SIDE OF FINDLAY...BLANCHARD STREET BETWEEN SANDUSKY AND MAIN CROSS...AND SEVERAL STREETS SOUTH OF CLINTON COURT NEAR RIVERSIDE PARK. * AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING IMPACTS AREAS NEAR RIVERSIDE PARK AND EAST MAIN CROSS STREET IN THE CITY OF FINDLAY. * AT 10.0 FEET...WATER REACHES EAST MAIN CROSS STREET NEAR LYE CREEK. * AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ON LOW LYING ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WEST OF FINDLAY...INCLUDING COUNTY ROAD 140. * AT 8.0 FEET...WATER COVERS LOW LYING PORTIONS OF SOUTH RIVER ROAD AND HOWARD STREET ON THE WEST SIDE OF FINDLAY. $$ OHC101-210937- /O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0008.140222T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LARO1.1.ER.140222T0000Z.140222T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE. * FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND RISE TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS IN AND AROUND THE VILLAGE OF LARUE. ROUTE 37 AND PARTS OF VINE STREET INUNDATED. * AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE RIVER. $$ OHC075-169-210937- /O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0009.140221T1708Z-000000T0000Z/ /KILO1.1.ER.140221T1708Z.140222T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK. * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 17.0 FEET...PRIVATE PROPERTY ON WATER STREET IN THE VILLAGE OF KILLBUCK FLOODED. SEVERAL COUNTY AND LOCAL ROADS IMPASSABLE INCLUDING STATE ROUTE 16 AND 60 NORTH, AND COUNTY ROAD 621. * AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS WEST OF WATER STREET IN THE VILLAGE OF KILLBUCK ARE FLOODED. FLOODED ROADS INCLUDE COUNTY ROAD 621... STATE ROUTE 60 NORTH...AS WELL AS LOCAL LOW LYING ROADS. HOLMES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS INUNDATED. * AT 15.0 FEET...SEVERAL LOW LYING ROADS IN HOLMES COUNTY INCLUDING COUNTY ROAD 1...TOWNSHIP ROAD 91...AND COUNTY ROAD 621 ARE FLOODED. $$ OHC155-210937- /O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0010.140221T2146Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEAO1.1.ER.140221T2146Z.140222T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MAHONING RIVER AT LEAVITTSBURG. * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND RISE TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR NEAR THE TOWN OF LEAVITTSBURG. * AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT OPERATIONS IN THE LTV STEEEL PLANT IN WARREN. $$ OHC099-210937- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0011.140221T0832Z-140222T1617Z/ /YGWO1.1.ER.140221T0832Z.140221T1200Z.140222T1017Z.NO/ 837 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MAHONING RIVER AT YOUNGSTOWN. * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FLOODING WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP AND JAM. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CAN CAUSE SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 14.5 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING WILL SPREAD INTO INDUSTRIAL AREAS ALONG THE RIVER. * AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS NEAR YOUNGSTOWN. LOW LYING SECONDARY ROADS MAY BE FLOODED. $$
083 WGUS81 KCLE 210742 FLSCLE FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO... HURON RIVER NEAR MILAN VERMILION RIVER NEAR VERMILION BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA CUYAHOGA RIVER AT INDEPENDENCE CHAGRIN RIVER AT WILLOUGHBY BLANCHARD RIVER NEAR FINDLAY SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK MAHONING RIVER AT LEAVITTSBURG MAHONING RIVER AT YOUNGSTOWN PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. && OHC043-077-211542- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140222T0000Z/ /MILO1.1.ER.140221T1800Z.140221T1800Z.140221T1800Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE HURON RIVER NEAR MILAN. * AT 1:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 18.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER FROM MILAN TO FRANKLIN FLATS. $$ OHC043-093-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0005.140221T1800Z-140222T0600Z/ /VERO1.1.ER.140221T1800Z.140221T1800Z.140222T0000Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR VERMILION. * FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE TONIGHT. * AT 2:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 9.0 FEET...RIVERSIDE DRIVE IN VERMILION IS INUNDATED. STATE ROUTE 60 IN HURON COUNTY IS THREATENED. $$ OHC093-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0006.140221T2036Z-000000T0000Z/ /ELRO1.1.ER.140221T2036Z.140222T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA. * FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 2:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND RISE TO NEAR 10.6 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP. $$ OHC035-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140222T0000Z/ /INDO1.1.ER.140221T1800Z.140221T1800Z.140221T1800Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUYAHOGA RIVER AT INDEPENDENCE. * AT 1:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS BEGIN ENCROACHING ON CANAL ROAD IN THE VILLAGE OF VALLEY VIEW. $$ OHC085-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0007.140221T1800Z-140222T0000Z/ /WBYO1.1.ER.140221T1800Z.140221T1800Z.140221T1800Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHAGRIN RIVER AT WILLOUGHBY. * FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THIS EVENING. * AT 2:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS IN DANIELS PARK IN WILLOUGHBY AND ALONG SOME SECONDARY ROADS NEAR THE CHAGRIN RIVER. * AT 8.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURRS IN THE CITY OF EASTLAKE. $$ OHC063-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0012.140222T1200Z-140222T1800Z/ /FDYO1.1.ER.140222T1200Z.140222T1200Z.140222T1200Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLANCHARD RIVER NEAR FINDLAY. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 2:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING IMPACTS AREAS NEAR RIVERSIDE PARK AND EAST MAIN CROSS STREET IN THE CITY OF FINDLAY. * AT 10.0 FEET...WATER REACHES EAST MAIN CROSS STREET NEAR LYE CREEK. * AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ON LOW LYING ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WEST OF FINDLAY...INCLUDING COUNTY ROAD 140. * AT 8.0 FEET...WATER COVERS LOW LYING PORTIONS OF SOUTH RIVER ROAD AND HOWARD STREET ON THE WEST SIDE OF FINDLAY. $$ OHC101-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0008.140222T0600Z-000000T0000Z/ /LARO1.1.ER.140222T0600Z.140222T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE. * FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 2:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TONIGHT AND RISE TO NEAR 11.4 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE RIVER. $$ OHC075-169-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0009.140221T1851Z-000000T0000Z/ /KILO1.1.ER.140221T1851Z.140222T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK. * FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 2:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND RISE TO NEAR 16.3 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS WEST OF WATER STREET IN THE VILLAGE OF KILLBUCK ARE FLOODED. FLOODED ROADS INCLUDE COUNTY ROAD 621... STATE ROUTE 60 NORTH...AS WELL AS LOCAL LOW LYING ROADS. HOLMES COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS IS INUNDATED. * AT 15.0 FEET...SEVERAL LOW LYING ROADS IN HOLMES COUNTY INCLUDING COUNTY ROAD 1...TOWNSHIP ROAD 91...AND COUNTY ROAD 621 ARE FLOODED. $$ OHC155-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0010.140221T2318Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEAO1.1.ER.140221T2318Z.140222T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MAHONING RIVER AT LEAVITTSBURG. * FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 2:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 11.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR NEAR THE TOWN OF LEAVITTSBURG. * AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT OPERATIONS IN THE LTV STEEEL PLANT IN WARREN. $$ OHC099-211541- /O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0011.140221T1512Z-140222T2227Z/ /YGWO1.1.ER.140221T1512Z.140222T0000Z.140222T1627Z.NO/ 242 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MAHONING RIVER AT YOUNGSTOWN. * FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 2:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. * AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS NEAR YOUNGSTOWN. LOW LYING SECONDARY ROADS MAY BE FLOODED. $$
524 WGUS81 KCLE 211554 FLSCLE FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1054 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO... CHAGRIN RIVER AT WILLOUGHBY MAHONING RIVER AT LEAVITTSBURG PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. && OHC085-211624- /O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140222T0000Z/ /WBYO1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1054 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE CHAGRIN RIVER AT WILLOUGHBY. * AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.4 FEET LATE TONIGHT. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. $$ OHC155-211624- /O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140221T1554Z/ /LEAO1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1054 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE MAHONING RIVER AT LEAVITTSBURG. * AT 10:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7.9 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * THE FLOOD WILL CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP OR BECOME JAMMED. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE CAUSING SHARP RIVER RISES AND FALLS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 20, 10:10 AM EST, 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 10:10 AM EST, 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1010 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL UNDERGO RAPID DEEPENING
AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST TODAY. THIS SYSTEM
WILL LIFT A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA TOWARDS MIDDAY...FOLLOWED
BY A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPING EAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL MOVE
NORTH ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR ON FRIDAY...WITH A RIDGE BUILDING OVER
THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE MID MORNING UPDATE IS PRETTY MUCH JUST AN ADJUSTMENT TO TIME
THE ADVANCING RAIN AND THUNDER. TEMPS IN TOLEDO SHOULD GO ABOVE
FREEZING BY LATE MORNING. WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW MUCH OF A BREAK
DEVELOPS IN THE RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS WE GET INTO THE WARM SECTOR
AND WILL ADJUST THE FORECAST ACCORDINGLY. NO OTHER CHANGES.
ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...ACTIVE FORECAST AS A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TRACKS NORTHEAST AND UNDERGOES
RAPID INTENSIFICATION. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
SEEN OVER ILLINOIS MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG THE ELEVATED FRONT ALOFT
AND THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL MAKE RAPID PROGRESS TOWARDS NW
OHIO THIS MORNING AS A 50-60 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET APPROACHES. THE
DRY RESIDENT AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL QUICKLY BE OVERCOME WITH
MOISTURE AS PW VALUES INCREASE FROM 0.25 TO 1.00 BY 18Z. CONCERNS
EARLY THIS MORNING INCLUDE PATCHY FREEZING FOG IN NE OHIO/NW PA
WHERE SKIES HAVE BEEN CLEAR MOST OF THE NIGHT. ALSO SOME CONCERN
THAT EASTERLY FLOW OFF LAKE ERIE IN NW OHIO WILL SLOW WARMING THIS
MORNING WITH A BRIEF WINDOW OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE BEFORE
TEMPERATURES WARM. UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS SHOW TEMPERATURES WARMING
INTO THE MID 30S IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE RAIN...AND GIVEN THAT IT
WON'T ARRIVE UNTIL AROUND 10 AM THINK RAIN IS THE MOST LIKELY
SCENARIO. HOWEVER...WARM FRONTS TEND TO SLOW AS THEY APPROACH THE
FROZEN LAKE ERIE SO DID INCLUDE A BRIEF MENTION OF FREEZING RAIN.
THIS WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL AFTER THE MORNING COMMUTE IS OVER.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO EXPAND TO THE WEST AND DID
INCLUDE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALL AREAS TODAY AS ELEVATED
INSTABILITY INCREASES. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AS WE
CONTINUE TO MELT THE SNOW PACK COMPOUNDED BY MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN
EXPECTED TODAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS WILL BE
FOCUSED ACROSS NW OHIO WHERE 0.50 TO 1.00 OF RAIN IS LIKELY. THE
GROUND REMAINS FROZEN SO THIS WATER AND WATER BEING RELEASED FROM
THE SNOW PACK WILL CHANNEL INTO AREA WATERWAYS. PONDING OF WATER MAY
BE AGGRAVATED BY DRAINAGE SYSTEMS THAT ARE CLOGGED BY LINGERING
SNOW. THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
POSE A THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER DUE TO THE VERY STABLE LAYER NEAR
THE SURFACE. THERE WILL BE A VERY STRONG WIND FIELD ALOFT WITH WINDS
NEAR 850MB OF 50 KNOTS BUT THESE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO MIX TO THE
SURFACE. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE ERIE COUNTY PA WHERE
SOUTHEASTERLY DOWN SLOPING WINDS WILL GUST TO 45 MPH BY LATE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE DECEIVING FOR TODAY AS FORECAST HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL THIS EVENING. THE
WARMING WILL BE SLOWED BY CLOUDS AND RAIN THROUGH MID DAY WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS RAMPING UP INTO TONIGHT. AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED
MAINLY ACROSS NW OHIO AS DEW POINTS INCREASE WITH ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE FROM THE MELTING SNOW PACK AND COOL FLOW OFF LAKE ERIE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
BY 00Z...A 982 SURFACE LOW WILL BE LOCATED WEST OF
CHICAGO...CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTH WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING EAST OUT
AHEAD OF IT. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD
FRONT MOVING EASTWARD WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY IN HOW FAR NORTH THE
SURFACE BASED CONVECTION WILL EXTEND. FOR NOW THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS KEPT THE SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS JUST
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THESE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD ONLY REACH AS FAR NORTH AS CENTRAL OHIO...BUT
THINK THERE IS A DECENT CHANCE OF THEM EXTENDING INTO NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTH EAST OHIO. HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA FOR TONIGHT AS THE STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA SHOULD AT LEAST BRING WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH. IF
CONVECTION DOES REACH NRN OHIO THEN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCHES/WARNINGS MAY ALSO BE NEEDED. THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOSTLY
LIKELY OCCUR BETWEEN 9 PM AND 2 AM.
THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT MODELS MAY BE STRUGGLING WITH
TEMPERATURES THIS EVENING BECAUSE OF THE SNOW PACK AND THAT WE MAY
ACTUALLY MAKE A RUN AT THE MID 50S...INCREASING THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT. WHETHER IT IS FROM THE CONVECTION OR JUST STRONG DOWNWARD
MOMENTUM ALONG THE FRONT...THINK WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY AND
COULD EXCEED 60 MPH WITH CONVECTION. WINDS MAY ALSO BE A LITTLE
STRONGER IN NW OHIO WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND PRESSURE FALLS WILL
OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT. QPF WILL RANGE FROM 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH
AGAIN BUT THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL LIKELY EXTEND FROM CENTRAL OHIO
TO NW PA WHICH MAY NOT RECEIVE AS MUCH DURING THE FIRST ROUND
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY AS THE LOW
DEPARTS TO THE NORTH. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE WELL MIXED THROUGH
NEARLY 800MB AND A 45-50 KNOT WIND FIELD REMAINS IN PLACE AT 850MB.
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...LIKELY STRONGEST IN THE
NORTH.
THERE WILL BE SOME WARM ADVECTION ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEAK
FRONTAL PUSH. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 40S MOST AREAS AND INCLUDE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS MOST AREAS...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SNOW IN NW
OHIO.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE FAST AND ZONAL AT THE START OF THE PERIOD.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE DIFFERING SOLUTIONS AS FAR AS THE TIMING
AND MOVEMENT OF THE INDIVIDUAL IMPULSES IS CONCERNED. SUNDAY SHOULD
BE DRY BUT SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS COULD OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP DURING THE
PERIOD WILL COME MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO
SHOW A WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION AT THAT TIME. A PERIOD OF
LIGHT SNOW IS PROBABLE. THIS SOLUTION IS SIMILAR TO THE MODELS
PREVIOUS COUPLE OF RUNS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO VARY A LOT FROM RUN
TO RUN SO WILL FOLLOW THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF. WILL NEED TO
CONTINUE WITH A MENTION OF LAKE EFFECT INTO WEDNESDAY. FOR THOSE
WANTING SPRING...YOU WILL HAVE TO WAIT A WHILE LONGER. HIGH TEMPS
THE ENTIRE PERIOD WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL AND AT LEAST 15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL FROM MONDAY ON.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A WARM FRONT OVER SOUTHERN OHIO WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA BY
18Z. PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NW OH BY MID
MORNING. TEMPS AT KTOL AND KFDY REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. THINK KFDY
MAY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING BEFORE THE RAIN STARTS BUT KTOL MAY SEE A
BRIEF PERIOD OF FZRA. WILL TRY TO TIME THE PRECIP EAST ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA. EXPECT KERI TO REMAIN DRY TILL LATE
AFTERNOON. WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL ARRIVE BEHIND THE FRONT
AND EXPECT WIDESPREAD IFR CIGS AND VSBYS TO DEVELOP AS THE SNOW
CONTINUES TO MELT. LITTLE IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED TILL A COLD
FRONT ARRIVES LATER TONIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT A LINE OF CONVECTION
WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
BEGINNING LATER THIS EVENING. WILL NOT INCLUDE ANY THUNDER IN THE
TAFS FOR NOW...BUT THUNDER IS CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY...ESPECIALLY
IN THE SOUTH.
THE OTHER BIG CONCERN TODAY IS THE WINDS. SE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE TODAY AND THEN BECOME S TOWARD EVENING. THE FLOW WILL
BECOME SW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS ARE LIKELY BY
LATE AFTERNOON MOST AREAS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS OR GREATER WITH
ANY CONVECTION THAT FORMS AND ALSO RIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
KERI WILL SEE A GOOD SET UP FOR DOWN SLOPING WINDS AND GUSTS TO 40
KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE THERE BY LATE AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...NON-VFR NE OH/NW PA FRIDAY AND MAYBE SAT IN -SHSN. SOME
NON-VFR POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY AND MAYBE SNOWBELT ON MON.
&&
.MARINE...
JET MAXIMUM IS PROGGED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES AND THIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE OVER
THE LAKE FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH GALE FORCE FRIDAY MORNING. COORDINATED WITH
SURROUNDING OFFICES AND THE CANADIANS ON ISSUING THE GALE WARNING
FOR LAKE ERIE. WARNING WILL GO INTO EFFECT 7 AM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH 1 AM SATURDAY MORNING.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT IS STILL ON TRACK TO CROSS THE LAKE LATER
TONIGHT. WILL SEE INCREASING SE FLOW TODAY AND S FLOW TONIGHT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. SW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE
ON FRIDAY. HAVE TRIMMED THE WATCH START TIME BACK SEVERAL HOURS.
IT STILL A LITTLE FAR OUT TO HOIST THE GALE. HAVE COORDINATED WITH
BUFFALO AND EXPECT THE DAY CREW TO GO WITH A WARNING. SPEEDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL THEN
CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. A LINE OF CONVECTIVE
SHOWERS WILL LIKELY CROSS THE LAKE TONIGHT. EXPECT GUSTS WITH THE
LINE TO BE CLOSE TO GALE FORCE.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING FOR OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR OHZ010>014-
020>023-031>033-038-089.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047.
PA...FLOOD WATCH FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING FOR PAZ001>003.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR PAZ003.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
PAZ001-002.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY FOR LEZ061-
142>149-162>169.
&&
SYNOPSIS...KEC
NEAR TERM...KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...KEC
LONG TERM...KUBINA
AVIATION...KUBINA
MARINE...KUBINA/LOMBARDYHazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 9:47 AM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 947 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 OHZ010>014-020>023-031>033-038-089-PAZ003-211500- LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE- TRUMBULL-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD PA- 947 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-211500- LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT- CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX- 947 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PAZ001-002-211500- NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- 947 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. LEZ061-142>149-162>169-211500- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA- ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 947 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ON LAKE ERIE. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 20, 8:16 AM EST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 816 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>029-036-037-201530- LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT- CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-MARION-MORROW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON... FREMONT...SANDUSKY...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK... UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...MARION... MOUNT GILEAD 816 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014 RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE THROUGH THE MID 30S. EVEN THOUGH THE TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING... THE GROUND IS COLD AND ICE MAY FORM ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. USE CAUTION THIS MORNING AND BE ALERT FOR BLACK ICE.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 4:03 AM EST | Wind Advisory | CLE | Ashland, Ashtabula, Crawford, Cuyahoga, Erie, Geauga and 22 more | 39 hr |
| Feb 20, 9:58 AM EST | Gale Warning | CLE | 38 hr | |
| Feb 20, 11:09 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Trumbull | 24 hr |
| Feb 20, 11:09 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Mahoning | 23 hr |
| Feb 20, 11:09 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Erie, Huron | 3 days |
| Feb 20, 11:09 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Cuyahoga | 36 hr |
| Feb 20, 11:09 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Erie, Lorain | 6 days |
| Feb 20, 11:09 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Lorain | 3 days |
| Feb 20, 11:09 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Marion | 4 days |
| Feb 20, 11:09 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Holmes, Wayne | 5 days |
| Feb 20, 11:27 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Hancock | 4 days |
| Feb 20, 12:26 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | CLE | Lucas, Ottawa, Wood | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Ohio, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.