Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Watches in 2014

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

March 10, 201416 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm watch at Mar 10, 2014, 4:00 AM EDT for 16 counties in New York. It took effect at Mar 12, 2014, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2014, 4:00 AM EDT (08:00 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 12, 2014, 2:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 11, 2014, 4:24 AM EDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2014-03-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2014-03-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 252 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1627 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

309 
WWUS41 KBUF 100800
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-101600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
400 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 7 TO 12 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY PRODUCE VERY DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY.
  INCREASING WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
  WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THE
  LOW TRACK WOULD ALTER EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-101600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0900Z-140313T0900Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
400 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 7 TO 12 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY PRODUCE VERY DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY.
  INCREASING WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
  WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THE
  LOW TRACK WOULD ALTER EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-101600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
400 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 7 TO 12 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY PRODUCE VERY DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY.
  INCREASING WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
  WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THE
  LOW TRACK WOULD ALTER EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
4 follow-up statements
061 
WWUS41 KBUF 101411
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1011 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-102200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1011 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 7 TO 12 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY PRODUCE VERY DIFFICULT 
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. 
  INCREASING WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN 
  THE LOW TRACK WOULD ALTER EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-102200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0900Z-140313T0900Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1011 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 7 TO 12 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY PRODUCE VERY DIFFICULT 
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. 
  INCREASING WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN 
  THE LOW TRACK WOULD ALTER EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-102200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1011 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING. 

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 7 TO 12 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY PRODUCE VERY DIFFICULT 
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. 
  INCREASING WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN 
  THE LOW TRACK WOULD ALTER EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

APFFEL
685 
WWUS41 KBUF 101955
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
355 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-110400-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
355 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
2 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...ERIE...GENESEE...AND WYOMING
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL INTENSIFY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...AND LAST THROUGH
  MOST OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ON
  WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS STORM WILL
  IMPACT BOTH THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY
  EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-110400-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0900Z-140313T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T0900Z-140313T0900Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
355 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 14 INCHES OF SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL INTENSIFY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...AND LAST
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE
  SIGNIFICANTLY ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
  EXPECT NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THIS STORM WILL SEVERELY
  IMPACT THE EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-110400-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
355 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL INTENSIFY ON WEDNESDAY...LASTING THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO
  INCREASE...RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS STORM WILL
  IMPACT THE EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY
  DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ019>021-110400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
355 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...AND POSSIBLY SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 4 TO 8
  INCHES...WITH LIGHT ICING ALSO POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION MAY PRODUCE VERY
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SLICK ROADS AND POOR
  VISIBILITY.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH SLEET
  OR FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
  MORNING...WHICH WOULD HOLD DOWN STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS. A
  SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD TRACK WOULD RESULT IN AN ALL SNOW EVENT...AND
  GREATER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-110400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
355 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING. 

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 4 TO 8 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE SNOW MAY PRODUCE VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY.
  INCREASING WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN 
  THE LOW TRACK WOULD ALTER EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

APFFEL
182 
WWUS41 KBUF 110235
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1035 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-111045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1035 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM WEDNESDAY TO
2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY 
  NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL INTENSIFY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...AND LAST 
  THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL 
  INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
  THIS STORM WILL IMPACT BOTH THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTE ON 
  WEDNESDAY EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-111045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T0900Z-140313T0900Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1035 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 14 INCHES OF SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL INTENSIFY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...AND LAST 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE 
  SIGNIFICANTLY ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING 
  SNOW. EXPECT NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THIS STORM 
  WILL SEVERELY IMPACT THE EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-111045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1035 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO
8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL INTENSIFY ON WEDNESDAY...LASTING THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE...
  RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS STORM WILL IMPACT THE 
  EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY 
  DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ019>021-111045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1035 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY 
  NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 4 TO 8 INCHES. ICE
  POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION MAY PRODUCE 
  VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SLICK ROADS AND POOR 
  VISIBILITY. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH 
  SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH WOULD HOLD DOWN STORM TOTAL 
  ACCUMULATIONS. A SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD TRACK WOULD RESULT IN AN 
  ALL SNOW EVENT...AND GREATER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-111045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1035 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 4 TO 8 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE SNOW MAY PRODUCE VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. 
  INCREASING WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN 
  THE LOW TRACK WOULD ALTER EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

THOMAS
712 
WWUS41 KBUF 110824
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
424 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

NYZ019>021-111630-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T1200Z-140313T0600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
424 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE WINTER STORM WATCH WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. GREATEST SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS
  THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WITH THE LOWEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE
  PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT. MIXED PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING. HEAVIEST
  SNOW EXPECTED LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...AND SOME WINTRY MIX OF
  SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 3 TO 6 INCHES WEDNESDAY AND 3
  TO 5 INCHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 5 TO 10
  INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...A WINTRY MIX DURING THE FIRST HALF OF WEDNESDAY WILL
  PRODUCE VERY SLIPPERY TRAVEL. HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW LATER
  WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-111630-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
424 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE WINTER STORM WATCH WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
  HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES WEDNESDAY...6 TO 11 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 9 TO 16 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH PRODUCING
  NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
  RESULT IN SEVERE WINTER TRAVEL CONDITIONS. DRIVING WILL BECOME
  EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE DRAMATICALLY REDUCED WITH DEEP SNOW COVER ON
  ROADWAYS DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-111630-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T0600Z-140313T0600Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
424 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM WEDNESDAY TO
2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
  HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED FROM MID MORNING THROUGH EVENING ON
  WEDNESDAY.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND
  FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS
  SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING UP TO AN INCH OVERNIGHT...6 TO
  10 INCHES WEDNESDAY...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
  LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 17 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATING UP
  TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING
  ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING
  NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
  RESULT IN SEVERE WINTER TRAVEL CONDITIONS. DRIVING WILL BECOME
  EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE DRAMATICALLY REDUCED WITH DEEP SNOW COVER ON
  ROADWAYS DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-111630-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T0900Z-140313T0900Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
424 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HEAVIEST
  SNOW EXPECTED FROM LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. SOME MIX OF SLEET AND
  FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS LIVINGSTON AND
  ONTARIO COUNTIES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT...5
  TO 10 INCHES WEDNESDAY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
  LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 18 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATING UP
  TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH WEDNESDAY ACROSS LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO
  COUNTIES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING
  NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
  RESULT IN SEVERE WINTER TRAVEL CONDITIONS. DRIVING WILL BECOME
  EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE DRAMATICALLY REDUCED WITH DEEP SNOW COVER ON
  ROADWAYS DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-111630-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0006.140312T1200Z-140313T1200Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
424 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO
8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
  HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES WEDNESDAY...6 TO 11 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 17 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH PRODUCING
  NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
  RESULT IN SEVERE WINTER TRAVEL CONDITIONS. DRIVING WILL BECOME
  EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE DRAMATICALLY REDUCED WITH DEEP SNOW COVER ON
  ROADWAYS DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Mar 10, 2:46 AM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 2:46 AM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
246 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL DROP ACROSS EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO AND BRING
SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTY. SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY THEN ANOTHER STORM
SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SOME SNOW MID-WEEK...FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LOW LEVEL /SURFACE TO 800MB/ WARM AIR ADVECTION IS ONGOING ACROSS
OUR REGION EARLY THIS MORNING AS OBSERVED ON KBUF LAPS SOUNDING AND
MESOANALYSIS GRAPHICS. VIEWING HIGH LEVEL KBGM RADAR SCANS...AS KBUF
AND KTYX REMAIN INOPERABLE...ALONG WITH SURFACE OBS SHOW A BAND
OF SNOW CONTINUING TO FALL ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTY. THIS IS
OCCURRING AS THE LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION INTERACTS WITH ENHANCED
MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND THERMAL GRADIENT WITH A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
TRANSLATING SOUTHEAST FROM THE UPPER LAKES. A BLEND OF
NAM/SREF/RGEM/GFS QPF GRAPHICS SUGGEST ABOUT 2 TO 3 INCHES TOTAL
ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES THIS MORNING.

ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND THE FINGER LAKES SOME RADAR RETURNS ARE
BEING PICKED UP BUT THE LAPS SOUNDING IS SUGGESTING THAT DRIER AIR AT
THE LOW LEVELS AND STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE ARE KEEPING
THE PRECIP FROM REACHING THE GROUND. THE WEAK WARM ADVECTION...WINDS
AND CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY RISING OVERNIGHT. MANY
LOCATIONS ACROSS WNY ARE REPORTING MID TO UPPER 30S THANKS IN PART
TO A DOWNSLOPING COMPONENT FROM THE SOUTHWEST FLOW. A 50 KNOT 850MB
JET WILL ALSO KEEP SOME GUSTY WINDS AROUND THIS MORNING BUT A
SURFACE INVERSION WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST WINDS FROM REACHING THE
GROUND. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH LOOK TO BE ABOUT THE MAX.

ON MONDAY...THE TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ALOFT WILL SHARPEN AS A WELL
ALIGNED WIND FIELD ALOFT HELPS ENHANCE A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS OUR REGION. THERE WILL NOT BE ANY WELL DEFINED AREAS OF WARM
AIR ADVECTION...BUT ANY RIPPLE COULD SPARK A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER
ALONG THE BOUNDARY. THIS SHARPENING BOUNDARY ALOFT WILL TRAP
MOISTURE IN THE LOW LAYERS...LIKELY RESULTING IN LINGERING CLOUDS
FOR MOST OF THE DAY. MEANWHILE...A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING IN
WARMER AND FAIRLY MOIST AIR...WITH A POSSIBILITY OF FOG AS DEW
POINTS RISE INTO THE MID 30S. EVENTUALLY...THE LOW MOISTURE SHOULD
START TO MIX OUT ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER LATE
IN THE DAY...WHILE CLOUDS SHOULD PERSIST ELSEWHERE. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD RISE INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S...WITH FORECAST HIGHS ON
THE LOWER SIDE OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE DUE TO THE LINGERING CLOUD
COVER. IF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE DOES MIX OUT EARLY...THAT WOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY MORE THAN FORECAST...BUT GIVEN
THE LIGHT FLOW AND FAIRLY DEEP MOISTURE EXPECT THAT IS A LESS LIKELY
OUTCOME.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL QUEBEC STARTS A WEAKENING AND FILLING
PROCESS...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TRAILING THIS LOW WILL SLOW
FURTHER AND STALL ACROSS THE LAKE ONTARIO BASIN AND SOUTHERN
ONTARIO. THIS WILL FORM A COL IN THE PRESSURE PATTERN BETWEEN HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERS OVER WESTERN ONTARIO AND THE WATERS OF THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...AND REGIONS OF LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC AND A STRONGER
DEVELOPING SYSTEM IN THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. PARTIAL SUNSHINE
THROUGH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS AND A NEUTRAL THERMAL ADVECTION PATTERN
WILL ALLOW SOMEWHAT MILDER TEMPS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA...EVEN TO THE MID 40S CLOSER TO THE FINGER
LAKES.

THE BENIGN WEATHER WILL NOT LAST LONG AS THE MIDWESTERN STORM WILL
GATHER STRENGTH AND MOVE UP THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ALONG OR JUST SOUTH
OF THE NY/PA LINE WITH SURFACE WINDS ACROSS NEW YORK STATE VEERING
TO NORTHWEST THEN NORTH AS THE REGION OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES
EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. EXPECT A WIDESPREAD STEADY
SNOW TO DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTENSIFY DURING WEDNESDAY...
DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE BACKSIDE OF THE MID/UPPER
DEFORMATION ZONE PASSES. A GENERAL CONSENSUS OF GFS/ECMWF/GEFS SHOWS
WESTERN TO CENTRAL NY RECEIVING THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF SNOW...BUT
WHETHER THAT AMOUNT OF SNOW WILL REACH WARNING CRITERIA IS STILL IN
QUESTION. ALSO...GIVEN THE RECENT MODEL VARIABILITY OF STORM TRACKS
AND PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIER SNOW SWATH...WILL HOLD OFF A LITTLE
LONGER ON A WINTER STORM WATCH UNTIL CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER.

GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING COLD ENOUGH AIRMASS TO KICK OFF
SOME LAKE SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL PLUMMET TO THE LOWER SINGLE NUMBERS TO BELOW ZERO READINGS...
WITH TEMPS CLOSER TO 10 ABOVE RIGHT ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE STORM WITH NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS LAKE
ONTARIO PRODUCING A BROAD AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ON
THURSDAY. ECMWF AND GFS SHOW A RATHER NARROW THROUGH WITH 850MB
TEMPS FALLING TO -20C BUT SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND DRY AIR DOWN TO
ABOUT 4KFT WILL LIMIT THE VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW CELLS. EXPECT
SCATTERED LAKE SNOW SHOWERS WITH SOME HEAVIER BUT FAST MOVING CELLS.
HIGH TEMPS ON THURSDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE TEENS FOR
MOST LOCATIONS WITH LOWER 20S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKESHORE AREAS
CLOSE TO LAKE ONTARIO.

THE COLD WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE TROUGH REMAINS PROGRESSIVE AND
QUICKLY MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER TO
NEAR AVERAGE AGAIN BY FRIDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW WILL
ARRIVE LATER FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A WEAKER MID LEVEL TROUGH
DIGS INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING IN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL BRING AN END TO
ANY CHANCE OF PRECIP AND SHOULD OFFER A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE.
THIS WILL OFFSET THE COLD ADVECTION AND KEEP HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS FOUND ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
AT 06Z...THOUGH IFR CIGS/VIS ARE IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTY
INCLUDING KART AS A WEAK SURFACE WAVE CONTINUES BRING SNOW NORTH OF
KSYR THIS MORNING. A 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET IS BRINGING SOME GUSTY
WINDS AS WELL THIS MORNING. SOME LLWS IS POSSIBLE WHERE THESE HIGHER
WINDS STRUGGLE TO MIX TO THE SURFACE. TOWARD DAYBREAK ACROSS WNY AND
CNY CIGS WILL LOWER TO MVFR AS THE SURFACE WAVE BRINGS INCREASED LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO. WARMER AIR AND RISING DEWPOINTS UNDER SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
BRING SOME PATCHY FOG LATER TODAY WHICH MAY BRING IFR VIS TO SOME
TERMINALS.

WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS MOISTURE LINGERS
BENEATH A LOW LEVEL INVERSION. SOME PATCHY FOG MAY ALSO LINGER INTO
THE EVENING. ANOTHER LOW LEVEL JET WILL CROSS WESTERN NEW YORK THIS
EVENING TO THE SOUTH OF ANOTHER WEAK SURFACE LOW AND BRING
ANOTHER PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS FOR WESTERN NEW YORK AND ANOTHER ROUND
OF SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK THROUGH THE NORTH COUNTY.

OUTLOOK...
TONIGHT...MVFR. IN CIGS AND PATCHY FOG.
TUESDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...IFR. SNOW.
THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
FRIDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK
AS A LOW LEVEL JET CROSSES THE LOWER LAKES. HAVE CONTINUED WITH A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO WHERE WINDS WILL BE
STRONGEST. AFTER THIS...EXPECT A MODEST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW LATER TODAY
THROUGH MID-WEEK. A DEVELOPING STORM MAY BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
TO POSSIBLY GALES ON WEDNESDAY...DEPENDING ON ITS STRENGTH AND TRACK.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
         LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...APFFEL/SMITH
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...WCH
AVIATION...SMITH
MARINE...SMITH
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 5:09 AM EDT, 22 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
509 AM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-100915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
509 AM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK FROM
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT TO JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH
OF THIS LOW TRACK...INCLUDING MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK.

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF
THIS SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK MAY RESULT
IN THE HEAVIER SNOW AMOUNTS MISSING OUR REGION. STAY TUNED TO
UPDATED FORECASTS IN THE COMING DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-100915-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
509 AM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 10, 3:55 PM EDTWinter Storm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more58 hr
Mar 10, 4:42 PM EDTGale WatchBUF12 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in New York, 2014Every winter storm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.