Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2014
Small Craft Advisory 78, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Sep 19, 2014, 3:43 PM EDT. It took effect at Sep 20, 2014, 1:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 34 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 19, 2014, 3:43 PM EDT (19:43 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 20, 2014, 1:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 21, 2014, 11:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 34 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
112 WHUS71 KBUF 191943 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 343 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 LEZ040-041-200345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T0500Z-140920T2000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 343 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-200345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T1300Z-140920T2300Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 343 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-200345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T0500Z-140920T2000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 343 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-200345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T1500Z-140920T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 343 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
9 follow-up statements
232 WHUS71 KBUF 200252 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1052 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 LEZ040-041-201100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T0500Z-140920T2000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1052 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-201100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T1300Z-140920T2300Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 1052 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-201100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T0500Z-140920T2000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1052 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-201100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T1500Z-140920T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1052 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMITH
141 WHUS71 KBUF 200841 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 441 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 LEZ040-041-201700- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140920T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 441 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-201700- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 441 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-201700- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T1300Z-140920T2300Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 441 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-201700- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T1500Z-140920T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 441 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJR
862 WHUS71 KBUF 201439 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1039 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 SLZ022-024-202100- /O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140920T2100Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 1039 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-202100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140920T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1039 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-202245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140920T2300Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 1039 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-202245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.140920T1500Z-140920T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1039 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-202245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1039 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
185 WHUS71 KBUF 201953 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 353 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 LEZ040-041-210400- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 353 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-210000- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 353 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-210000- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 353 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-024-210000- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T0000Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 353 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-210400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 353 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
678 WHUS71 KBUF 202358 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 758 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 LEZ020-LOZ030-042-SLZ022-024-210100- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 758 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS OVERNIGHT. $$ LEZ040-041-210100- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 758 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS OVERNIGHT. $$ LOZ045-210800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 758 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMITH
214 WHUS71 KBUF 210243 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1043 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 LOZ045-211000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1043 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMITH
487 WHUS71 KBUF 210544 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 144 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 LOZ045-211500- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 144 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJR
715 WHUS71 KBUF 210815 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 415 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 LOZ042-211615- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.140922T0000Z-140923T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 415 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-211615- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.140922T0300Z-140923T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 415 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-211500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 415 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RSH/JJR
527 WHUS71 KBUF 211449 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1049 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 LOZ045-212300- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-140921T1500Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.140922T1100Z-140923T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1049 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EDT TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE WINDS AND WAVES THAT WERE GENERATING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ONTARIO HAVE SUBSIDED THIS MORNING AND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER WINDS AND WAVES WILL INCREASE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EDT TUESDAY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-212300- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.140921T1800Z-140922T1200Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1049 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-212300- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.140922T0300Z-140923T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 1049 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-212300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.140922T0000Z-140923T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1049 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ WOOD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 19, 3:18 PM EDT, 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 3:18 PM EDT, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
318 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT.
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BOOST TEMPERATURES TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR SATURDAY UNDER PARTIAL
SUNSHINE. A COLD FRONT AND WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN CROSS THE
REGION LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A
FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THIS COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH
COOLER AIR AGAIN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. CUMULUS CLOUDS CREEPING NORTH THROUGH CENTRAL PA MAY
DRIFT INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER BY LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE
DISSIPATING THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
TONIGHT SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST OFF THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST. INCREASING SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW AROUND THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE DEPARTING HIGH WILL ALLOW A PLUME OF
ENHANCED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC TO ADVECT
NORTHWARD AND INTO PORTIONS OF NY STATE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE AN EXPANDING AREA OF LOW STRATUS CLOUDS ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES LATE TONIGHT...AND
EVENTUALLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS WELL. ON THE
LAKE PLAINS INCREASING SSW DOWNSLOPE FLOW SHOULD PREVENT THE LOW
CLOUDS FROM DEVELOPING...WITH JUST SOME HIGH/THIN CIRRUS INCREASING
AHEAD OF A SYSTEM IN THE UPPER LAKES.
SSW WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTABLY OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE DEPARTING HIGH AND LOW PRESSURE MOVING
FROM LAKE SUPERIOR TO WESTERN QUEBEC...AND A 35-40 KNOT LOW LEVEL
JET CROSSES THE REGION. THIS WILL PRODUCE GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS
LATER TONIGHT WITH 20 TO 25 KNOTS ON THE HILLS AND LAKE ERIE SHORE.
THE INCREASING WINDS AND MIXING WILL ALSO KEEP TEMPERATURES MUCH
MILDER THAN LAST NIGHT...WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE
LAKE PLAINS OF WESTERN NY AND LOWER 50S WELL INLAND...WITH SOME MID
40S ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION. THESE LOWS SHOULD OCCUR EARLY...WITH
SLOWLY RISING TEMPERATURES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ON SATURDAY THE GUSTY SSW WINDS WILL CONTINUE...WITH WIND GUSTS OF
20 TO 25 KNOTS COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...AND 25-30 KNOTS
ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER WITH SOME ADDED ACCELERATION FROM
DOWNSLOPE FLOW. THE LOW STRATUS WHICH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WILL STILL BE AROUND FOR THE MORNING...BUT SHOULD BREAK BY
MIDDAY AS STRONG MIXING DILUTES THE RELATIVELY SHALLOW LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE. FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES FOR MOST OF THE DAY WITH JUST SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES
AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. ANY SHOWERS WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTHWEST
OF OUR REGION THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
850MB TEMPS SOAR TO AROUND +13C WEST AND +11C EAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 ON
THE LAKE PLAINS OF WESTERN NY WITH AN ADDED BOOST FROM STOUT SSW
DOWNSLOPE FLOW. EXPECT LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW MORNING CLOUDS MAY
INITIALLY HINDER WARMING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
SATURDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY START DRY ACROSS THE REGION. AHEAD OF A
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES COLD FRONT A RIBBON OF MOISTURE WILL REACH
WESTERN NEW YORK LATER OVERNIGHT. THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH A
STRENGTHENING LLJ UPWARDS TO 40 KNOTS AND ELEVATED INSTABILITY
BETWEEN 100 AND 500 J/KG WILL ALLOW FOR SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR
WNY WHICH WILL LIE CLOSER TO THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER
LEVEL 110 KNOT JET AT 250 HPA.
EXPECT SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS SUNDAY AS LIFT AHEAD OF A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
AND SURFACE COLD FRONT NEARS THE REGION. THIS UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
WILL BRING ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE. A SURFACE WAVE FORMING AND
DEEPENING ALONG THIS SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BRING ADDED LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE TO PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS...AND THUS WE WILL RAISE POPS TO
CATEGORICAL FOR SUNDAY. THOUGH WEAK INSTABILITY...ENOUGH WIND SHEAR
ALOFT AND AHEAD OF THIS SURFACE WAVE MAY FORM LINE SEGMENTS OF
STRONGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS DOWN
TO THE SURFACE.
THIS COLD FRONT WILL REACH FAR WNY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND OUR
EASTERN ZONES BY EARLY EVENING. EXPECT THE MAIN SLUG OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO BE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. BEHIND THE SURFACE
COLD FRONT THE LAGGING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COLD POOL OVERHEAD
WILL MAINTAIN CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT. CLOUDS
WILL HANG TOUGH THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY AS MOISTURE BECOMES TRAPPED
BENEATH A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND WINDS BECOME NORTHWESTERLY. THESE
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING COLD AIR ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES WITH
TEMPERATURES AT 850 HPA DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO CELSIUS. THIS...ALONG
WITH CLOUDY SKIES WILL KEEP MOST AREAS IN THE 50S THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON MONDAY. ANY LINGERING SHOWERS MONDAY TOWARDS THE EAST WILL
END BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE COOL NORTHWEST FLOW MONDAY NIGHT WILL
LIKELY MAINTAIN STRATUS AND LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION. IF
THERE IS AMPLE CLEARING MONDAY NIGHT THE INTERIOR SOUTHERN TIER AND
NORTH COUNTRY WILL AGAIN BE PRONE TO FROST OVERNIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ALOFT TO START THIS TIME PERIOD THERE WILL BE TWO LONG WAVE
TROUGHS OF LOW PRESSURE...ONE JUST OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COASTLINE AND A SECOND OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST US.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE CRESTING OVER A CENTRAL PLAINS
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ON TUESDAY.
A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TUESDAY IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROUGH...BOTH ALOFT AND ALSO REFLECTED AT THE
SURFACE OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST. THIS TROUGH WILL BE
LIFTING EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY SUCH THAT WARMER AND DRIER AIR WILL
BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS OUR REGION ALONG WITH AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE.
AS THE WESTERN LONGWAVE TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS THE WESTERN US...BROAD
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BE FOUND EAST OF THE ROCKIES...SAVE FOR THE
DAMPENING UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS PATTERN WILL BRING
DRY...BUILDING WARMTH AND ABUNDANT AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE WEDNESDAY AND
ON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE PASSING UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY ONLY BRING SOME CLOUDS TO
INTERRUPT THE FAIR WEATHER.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FROM THE LOW TO MID 60S TUESDAY UP TO THE
LOWER 70S BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH CLEAR SKIES AS HIGH
PRESSURE DRIFTS SLOWLY OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. LATER TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING A PLUME OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD ON INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS
MAY PRODUCE SOME LOW STRATUS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES...AND ALSO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH
AREAS OF MVFR/IFR CIGS. SOME OF THIS MAY IMPACT KJHW AS WELL.
INCREASING SSW DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL PREVENT THE LOWER CLOUDS FROM
MAKING IT TO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH VFR PREVAILING AT THE REST
OF THE TAF SITES.
A LOW LEVEL JET WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.
IT APPEARS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN MIXED ENOUGH TO PREVENT
ANY TRUE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR...ALTHOUGH MECHANICAL TURBULENCE WILL
INCREASE IN THE LOWEST LEVELS.
ON SATURDAY THE LOW STRATUS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SHOULD MIX OUT
BY MIDDAY...AND LEAVE VFR ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION FOR THE AFTERNOON
WITH A MIX OF SOME CUMULUS AROUND 5K FEET AND INCREASING MID/HIGH
CLOUDS. IT WILL BECOME QUITE BREEZY WITH SSW WINDS GUSTING TO 20-25
KNOTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...AND 25-30 KNOTS NORTHEAST OF LAKE
ERIE FROM KBUF-KIAG.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...AREAS OF MVFR AND SPOTTY IFR WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A
CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
WEDNESDAY...VFR EXCEPT FOR LOCAL IFR IN SOUTHERN TIER VALLEY FOG IN
THE MORNING.
&&
.MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
DEPARTING HIGH AND LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM LAKE SUPERIOR TO WESTERN
QUEBEC WILL PRODUCE MODERATE SSW WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES LATER
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS
ON LAKE ERIE AND WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO...AND ALSO AT THE NORTHEAST
END OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS SUSTAINED. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ON LAKE ERIE AND
WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO. ANOTHER PERIOD OF STRONGER SSW WINDS MAY
DEVELOP AT THE NORTHEAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE
WINDS DIMINISH AREAWIDE ON SUNDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
A PERIOD OF STRONGER NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING BEHIND A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE REGION SUNDAY. THIS
MAY PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON LAKE
ONTARIO.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR LEZ020.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
LEZ040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY
FOR LOZ030.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
LOZ042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
LOZ045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCKHazardous weather outlook, Sep 19, 8:47 AM EDT, 6 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 847 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-201300- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 847 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-201300- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 847 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2014Every small craft advisory in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.