Small Craft Advisory 68, NWS Buffalo, NY

214 
WHUS71 KBUF 111142
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
742 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

LEZ040-111945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0300Z-140812T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
742 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ041-111945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0500Z-140812T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
742 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-111945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T1100Z-140812T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
742 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-111945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0900Z-140812T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
742 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-111945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T1200Z-140813T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
742 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

951 
WHUS71 KBUF 111916
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
316 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

LEZ040-120330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0300Z-140812T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
316 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ041-120330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0500Z-140812T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
316 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-120330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T1100Z-140812T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
316 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-120330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0900Z-140812T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
316 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-120330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T1200Z-140813T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
316 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

052 
WHUS71 KBUF 120219
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1019 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

LEZ040-121030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0300Z-140812T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
1019 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ041-121030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0500Z-140812T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1019 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-121030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T1100Z-140812T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1019 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-121030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T0900Z-140812T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1019 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-121030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.140812T1200Z-140813T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1019 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

400 
WHUS71 KBUF 121201
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
801 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

LEZ040-122015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140812T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
801 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ041-122015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140812T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
801 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-122015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140812T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
801 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-122015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140812T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
801 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-122015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140813T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
801 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

390 
WHUS71 KBUF 121747
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
147 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

LOZ042-043-121900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140812T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
147 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

LEZ020-040-041-121900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140812T2100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
147 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

LOZ044-045-130100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140813T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
147 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

443 
WHUS71 KBUF 122126
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
526 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

LOZ044-045-130530-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140813T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.140813T1400Z-140814T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
526 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS...THEN WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-130530-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.140813T0900Z-140814T0600Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
526 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-130530-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.140813T0900Z-140814T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
526 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-130530-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.140813T1400Z-140814T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
526 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

311 
WHUS71 KBUF 122346
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
746 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

LOZ044-045-130800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-140813T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.140813T1400Z-140814T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
746 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO
5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-130800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.140813T0900Z-140814T0600Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
746 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-130800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.140813T0900Z-140814T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
746 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-130800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.140813T1400Z-140814T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
746 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
142 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
OVERHEAD SLIDES OFF THE EAST COAST. THIS WILL OPEN THE WAY FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY THAT WILL BRING THE
NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE TUESDAY NIGHT USHERING IN COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
ONE MORE CLEAR...'SUPER' MOONLIT NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK TONIGHT...AS THE CENTER OF THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT
EAST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. VALLEY FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ONCE
AGAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. INCREASING SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW
WILL KEEP LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S...WITH MID TO UPPER 50S ALONG
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

MONDAY...FOR THE MOST PART ANOTHER NICE SUMMER DAY. WE SHOULD SEE
HUMIDITY LEVELS CREEP UP AS THE RETURN FLOW INCREASES ON THE WESTERN
SIDE RETREATING ANTICYCLONE. COULD SEE THE LEADING EDGE OF SOME
CONVECTION MOVE IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY AND POSSIBLY IMPACT FAR
SOUTHWESTERN NEW YORK VERY LATE IN THE DAY...ALTHOUGH THE BULK OF
THE ACTIVITY WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT. MOST HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. GIVEN THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW...HAVE BUMPED TEMPS A COUPLE DEGREES IN THE DOWNSLOPE AREAS
NEAR THE LAKES AS WELL AS IN THE SRN TIER VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THIS PERIOD WILL FEATURE A RETURN TO COOLER AND MUCH MORE UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS AS THE LONGWAVE PATTERN OVER NORTH AMERICA REVERTS BACK
TO THE CONFIGURATION THAT HAS DOMINATED MUCH OF THIS SUMMER...THAT
OF A RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES AND A DOWNSTREAM TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
THIRD OF THE CONTINENT.

LOOKING A BIT MORE CLOSELY AT THE FORECAST DETAILS...MID AND UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGHING WILL DIG SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WHILE ALSO GRADUALLY SHARPENING UP AND
TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT. MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE...ITS ATTENDANT
PRIMARY SURFACE REFLECTION WILL INITIALLY TAKE SHAPE OVER THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES MONDAY NIGHT...BEFORE SLOWLY LIFTING ACROSS
SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND INTO WESTERN QUEBEC TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT...WHEN A SECONDARY WAVE IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER NEW JERSEY.
IN THE PROCESS...THE PRIMARY LOW WILL PUSH ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK DURING TUESDAY...WITH ITS
TRAILING COLD FRONT THEN SLOWLY OCCLUDING AS IT PUSHES ACROSS FAR
WESTERN NEW YORK AND INTO THE FINGER LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT.

AS THE SURFACE AND UPPER-LEVEL FEATURES STRENGTHEN...THE DEEPENING
LARGE-SCALE SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG THEIR EASTERN FLANKS WILL TRANSPORT
INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO OUR REGION MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY...RESULTING IN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SURGING
TO NEAR TWO INCHES. AT THE SAME TIME...SYNOPTIC-SCALE LIFT WILL ALSO
BE ON THE INCREASE DUE TO THE GENERAL WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME...A
DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET...AND GOOD HEIGHT FALLS/AN INCREASINGLY
DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT. ALL OF THIS WILL ADD UP TO INCREASING
PROBABILITIES FOR SHOWERS AND SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR THESE COMING DURING TUESDAY
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT/MAIN
SURGE OF WARM ADVECTION...AND A SECONDARY MAXIMUM IN PRECIP
POTENTIALLY ACCOMPANYING THE PASSAGE OF THE OCCLUDING COLD FRONT
LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

GIVEN ALL OF THE ABOVE...A ROUND OF WIDESPREAD CATEGORICAL POPS
APPEARS VERY MUCH IN ORDER FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT TO TUESDAY
EVENING TIME FRAME. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...THE
PRECIP SHOULD DIMINISH BACK TO SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM THE FINGER
LAKES WESTWARD TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DIMINISHING INSTABILITY AND
LARGE-SCALE FORCING...WHILE THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL REMAIN TO THE
EAST OF THIS BOUNDARY AND THEREFORE SUBJECT TO SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE EMBEDDED THUNDER RIGHT THROUGH THE NIGHT. AT THIS
POINT...IT STILL APPEARS THAT LIMITED INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE
MUCH OF A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THOUGH LOCALLY HEAVIER AREAS OF
RAINFALL WILL CERTAINLY BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE INCREASINGLY RICH
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE CONTENT AND FAVORABLE DYNAMICS. WITH THIS IN
MIND...HAVE ADDED THIS POTENTIAL TO BOTH THE GRIDS AND THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

FOLLOWING ALL THIS...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MORPH INTO A CLOSED
LOW AND DROP SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE ONTARIO-QUEBEC BORDER DURING
WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE SECONDARY SURFACE LOW GRADUALLY LIFTS
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE AND BECOMES MORE DOMINANT
OVER ITS FADING PRIMARY COUNTERPART OVER QUEBEC. EXPECT A DECENT
LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDER TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY AND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY UNTIL THE SURFACE OCCLUSION
FINALLY CLEARS THAT AREA DURING THE COURSE OF WEDNESDAY...WITH
FAIRLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SHOWERS OTHERWISE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER LOW AND
ATTENDANT COOL POOL ALOFT. WITH ALL GUIDANCE REMAINING IN AGREEMENT
ON A LACK OF SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR THUNDER BEHIND THE OCCLUDED
FRONT...HAVE AGAIN REMOVED ANY MENTION OF SUCH FOR AREAS FROM THE
FINGER LAKES WESTWARD ON WEDNESDAY.

WITH RESPECT TO TEMPERATURES...THESE WILL BE ON A DOWNWARD TREND
THROUGH THE PERIOD...FIRST DUE TO THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION ON TUESDAY...THEN THE ARRIVAL OF THE UPPER LOW AND
MUCH COOLER AIR ALOFT TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. EXPECT HIGHS TO
FALL BACK TO THE LOWER TO MID 70S ON TUESDAY AND TO RIGHT AROUND
70 ON WEDNESDAY...WHILE NIGHTTIME LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 60S
MONDAY NIGHT DROP BACK TO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S TUESDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR A GRADUAL SOUTHWEST-TO-NORTHEAST IMPROVING TREND ACROSS
OUR AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND...THOUGH THE
EXACT PACE OF THIS IMPROVEMENT STILL REMAINS VERY MUCH IN QUESTION
GIVEN THE CONTINUED SIGNIFICANT MODEL-TO-MODEL AND RUN-TO-RUN
DISCREPANCIES SEEN AMONGST THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE. WITH THE ABOVE
IN MIND...FOR NOW HAVE JUST KEPT A GENERAL DIMINISHING TREND IN POPS
AND CLOUD COVER IN THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH
THE AREA NOT TOTALLY PRECIPITATION-FREE UNTIL SUNDAY.

AS FOR TEMPS...THESE WILL EASILY REMAIN BELOW NORMAL EARLY ON IN THE
PERIOD GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND ITS ATTENDANT
COOLER AIRMASS...BEFORE SLOWLY MODERATING BACK TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS
LATE NEXT WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND AS THE LOW DRIFTS AWAY AND HEIGHTS/
TEMPS ALOFT GRADUALLY RECOVER. MORE SPECIFICALLY...EXPECT DAYTIME
HIGHS INITIALLY RANGING WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 70 ON THURSDAY TO
WARM BACK TO THE MID AND UPPER 70S BY NEXT SUNDAY...WHILE NIGHTTIME
LOWS SLOWLY CREEP BACK UP THROUGH THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT FOR THE
BULK OF THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFF TO THE EAST
COAST. ONCE AGAIN IT IS EXPECTED WITH THE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS THAT VALLEY FOG WILL DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHERN TIER...HOWEVER
THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT KJHW.

HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE
SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY...HOWEVER MAIN CLOUD
COVER WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN FEW-SCT FAIR WEATHER CU AROUND 4-5KFT
ACROSS AREAS INLAND FROM THE LAKES. CIGS WILL BEGIN TO LOWER MONDAY
NIGHT AS WARM FRONTAL PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW BEGINS TO PUSH
INTO WESTERN NY FROM THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 00-03Z...HOWEVER CONDITIONS
SHOULD REMAIN VFR WITH MVFR/POTENTIAL PERIODS OF IFR HOLDING OFF
UNTIL AFTER 06Z. IN ADDITION...A 40-45KT LOW LEVEL JET AT AROUND
2KFT WILL ACCOMPANY THE ARRIVAL OF THE PRECIP...CREATING A POTENTIAL
FOR LLWS...MAINLY AT KJHW FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD...THOUGH IT WILL
LIKELY PUSH EAST AND AFFECT OTHER AREA TERMINALS AFTER 06Z.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...MVFR WITH SHOWERS AND THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH A CHANCE OF MVFR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...VFR WITH A CHANCE OF MVFR IN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL GRADUALLY
SLIDE EAST AND MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST THROUGH MONDAY. TRANQUIL
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ON THE LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LIGHT
OFFSHORE BREEZES.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE MONDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY THAT WILL LIKELY
BRING A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
ALONG WITH A PERIOD OF BRISK SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THAT MAY REQUIRE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES.

A TRAILING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES
TUESDAY NIGHT RESULTING IN BRISK WESTERLY FLOW THAT AGAIN MAY
REQUIRE ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE MIDDLE OF
THE COMING WEEK.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...RSH/TMA
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...WOOD
MARINE...TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-111945-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
339 PM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA FROM LATER MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THESE MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW-
LYING AREAS...AND OTHER AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-111945-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
339 PM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJR