Tornado Warning 8, NWS Binghamton, NY

452 
WWUS51 KBGM 082355
SVSBGM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
755 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

NYC007-090005-
/O.CAN.KBGM.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140709T0015Z/
BROOME NY-
755 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOME COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-888-603-1402...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 4166 7527 4165 7571 4179 7573 4192 7585
      4200 7564 4200 7537 4201 7540 4203 7542
      4225 7516 4184 7480
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 236DEG 54KT 4216 7493

$$

NYC025-105-PAC115-127-090015-
/O.CON.KBGM.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140709T0015Z/
DELAWARE NY-SULLIVAN NY-SUSQUEHANNA PA-WAYNE PA-
755 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
WAYNE...EASTERN SUSQUEHANNA...NORTHWESTERN SULLIVAN AND SOUTHWESTERN
DELAWARE COUNTIES...

AT 752 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BEAR SPRING
MOUNTAIN CAMPGROUND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. THIS STORM 
HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING VERY DANGEROUS WINDS. 

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-888-603-1402...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

LAT...LON 4166 7527 4165 7571 4179 7573 4192 7585
      4200 7564 4200 7537 4201 7540 4203 7542
      4225 7516 4184 7480
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 236DEG 54KT 4216 7493

$$

/KAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
300 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING THE
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY UNTIL A SECOND COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
DIMINISHING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHICH WILL
BRING QUIET WEATHER BACK TO CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
140 PM EDT UPDATE...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 403 HAS BEEN ISSUED...
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES TO LOOK GOOD THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING... THUS A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NE PA AND CNTRL NY. STRONG WINDS APPEARS
THE BE THE MAIN THREAT. STILL CAN NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED
TORNADO. HAIL AROUND 1 INCH IN DIAMETER CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL.
PREVIOUS FORECAST HOLDS GOOD AS WE NOW HAVE 1000-1500 J/KG SBCAPE
ACROSS THE REGION. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE SITUATION PLEASE
READ PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

1045 AM EDT UPDATE...
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NY AND PA.
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER WI WILL DEEPEN AND SHIFT EAST
THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS OCCURS THE WINDS NEAR AND AROUND THE BASE
OF THE TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE ALREADY
STRONG SHEAR THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE TO STRENGTHEN. THIS MORNING
0-6KM BULK SHEAR VALUES ARE AROUND 40 KNOTS. AS THE TROUGH
STRENGTHENS AND MOVES EAST IT WILL RESULT IN 0-6KM BULK SHEAR TO
INCREASE TO 60 KNOTS OR GREATER.

A POTENT VORT MAX WILL BE EJECTED OVER THE REGION BETWEEN 18Z-00Z
TONIGHT WHICH IS THE EXPECTED UPPR LVL TRIGGER FOR DEVELOPMENT
TODAY. ATTENDANT WITH THIS VORT MAX WE WILL BE IN THE RIGHT REAR
QUADRANT OF THE UPPR LVL JET. THUS... WE WILL HAVE EXCELLENT UPPER
LEVEL DYNAMICS TO HELP THE CONTINUATION OF CONVECTION.

THE MAGNITUDE OF THE SHEAR THROUGH A DEEP LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE
INCREASES CONCERNS FOR A STRONG CONVECTIVE WIND EVENT TO DEVELOP
LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. SINGLE CELLS MAY DEVELOP EARLY
ON IN THE EVENT... BUT THE OVERALL PROGRESSION OF THE CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO BE LINEAR/BROKEN LINEAR AND POSSIBLE A DERECHO
EVENT.

LOTS OF SUNSHINE IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER NE PA AND CNTRL NY.
EXPECT A MODERATE CU FIELD TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS
INSTABILITY IS PRESENT. BUT... DO NOT EXPECT CU TO BECOME SO DENSE
THAT IT OVER POWERS THE BOUNDARY TO BECOME VERY UNSTABLE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. SB CAPE IS STILL EXPECTED AS PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT TO RANGE FROM 1000-1500 AND SOME REGIONS GREATER.

WITH ALL THE MENTIONED SAID. EXPECT WINDS TO BE THE MAIN THREAT...
HOWEVER CAN NOT RULE OUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES ALONG THE
INITIAL DEVELOPMENT. HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE AS WELL BUT EXPECTED TO
BE GREATER THAN AN INCH IN DIAMETER AS CAPE WITHIN THE -10 TO -20
DEGREE PORTION OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS NOT GREAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
140 PM EDT UPDATE...
TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AS THE SFC LOW
ATTENDANT WITH THE UPPER LVL TROUGH BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER TODAY MOVES ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER. COOLER
AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE PASSAGE. THIS MAY BE
ENOUGH TO CAUSE LINGERING SHOWERS OVER THE REGION FROM THE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
EARLY WED MORNING THUS TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW 60S
ACROSS THE REGION.

WED THE UPPR LVL TROUGH AXIS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY EAST AND START TO
LIFT NORTH. THE MAIN SUBSIDENCE ATTENDANT WITH THE TROUGH WILL
REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CWA... THUS WE WILL REMAIN UNDER
CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. THE
COMBINATION FROM UPPR LVL DYNAMICS AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAVING
SOME INSTABILITY WED... WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THESE
SHOWERS WILL BE DIURNAL DRIVEN AND WHEN THE SUNSETS EXPECT SHOWERS
START TO DIMINISH. REGIONS MAY SEE SOME SUN EARLY ON... HOWEVER
EXPECT A DENSE CU DECK TO BUILD QUICKLY WED AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
KEEP TEMPS COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. WED NIGHT A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ENDING WHAT SHOWERS STILL LINGER.

THURSDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST FROM
THE WEST WHICH WILL ALLOW A COUPLE OF BEAUTIFUL DAYS TO RETURN
BACK INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE
70S AS DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE 50S. EACH NIGHT TEMPS WILL FALL
INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S. THURS AND FRI WILL BE TRANQUIL WEATHER.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
3 PM UPDATE...
HIPRES WL BE SHIFTING OFF THE COAST IN THE EARLY PART OF THE
EXTNDD WITH RETURN FLOW BEGINNING TO KICK IN DRG THE DAY SATURDAY.
THIS MAY LEAD TO SLGT CHC THUNDER DRG THE AFTN HRS AS FRONTAL
BNDRY SETS UP TO OUR WEST SUN MRNG. AS FNT APPRCHS DRG THE DAY ON
SUNDAY POPS WL INCRS TO HICHC AND WITH MULTIPLE WVS POSSIBLY
RIDING UP ALONG BNDRY THRU EARLY IN THE WEEK THE CHC FOR THUNDER
CONTS UNTIL FROPA OCCURS BY TUE MRNG. TEMPS WL MODERATE TO ABV
NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND BFR DROPPING OFF TO NR NORMAL FOLLOWING
FROPA. HV BASICALLY FOLLOWED WPC GUIDANCE WITH JUST A FEW TWEEKS
FOR COLLABORATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MAJOR CONCERN FOR THIS TAF PACKAGE IS THE TIMING OF A POTENTIALLY
SEVERE SQUALL LINE ACROSS ALL TAF SITES LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EARLY EVENING. WITH THIS LINE...I EXPECT IFR CIG/VSBY +TSRA
AND A WEST WIND GUSTING TO AT LEAST 45 KNOTS. I PUT A TWO HOUR
TEMPO WINDOW FOR EACH TAF SITE WITH THESE IFR CONDITIONS AND
WINDS. CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM THAT THE LINE OF STORMS WILL FALL IN
THIS 2 HOUR WINDOW OF TIME FOR EACH TAF SITE IN C NY AND NE PA. FOR
NOW SEE SQUALL LINE FOR KELM 20-22Z, KITH TO KSYR TO KBGM 21Z-
23Z, AND KRME TO KAVP 22Z-00Z WED. AFTER THE STORMS PASS...I
EXPECT A VFR LAYER OF SCT-BKN SC...THAT CUD GO MVFR AT KBGM. NOT
EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION AS PER PREVIOUS TAF
FORECAST AS WINDS WILL REMAIN UP ALL NIGHT.

FOR WED AM...SEE MAINLY VFR CU AND MID CLDS.

WINDS WILL BE SW THIS AFTERNOON ARND 10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20-25
KNOTS. WINDS WILL SLACKEN OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE FROM THE W- SW
UNDER 10 KNOTS. FOR WED AM I EXPECT SW 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

OUTLOOK...

WED...VFR MAJORITY OF THE TIME...BUT RESTRICTIONS MAY OCCUR FROM
SCT SHRA/TSRA ESPECIALLY AFTN-EVE HRS.

THU-FRI-SAT...MAINLY VFR...EXCEPT PREDAWN VALLEY FOG KELM.
SUN...MAINLY VFR...POTENTIAL FOR MVFR IN SHRA AND TSRA.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KAH
NEAR TERM...KAH
SHORT TERM...KAH
LONG TERM...PVN
AVIATION...DJN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
638 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

NYZ009-018-023>025-036-037-044-045-055-056-PAZ038-039-043-044-047-
092245-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-
SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-TIOGA-BROOME-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
638 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 403 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY.
A FEW COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ046-057-062-PAZ040-048-072-092245-
OTSEGO-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-NORTHERN WAYNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
638 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 405 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY.
A FEW COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ015>017-022-092245-
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-STEUBEN-
638 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY.
A FEW COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
611 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EAST SYRACUSE           43.06N  76.07W
07/08/2014                   ONONDAGA           NY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON HOUSES

&&

JML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
627 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CANASTOTA               43.08N  75.76W
07/08/2014                   MADISON            NY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

&&

JML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
638 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MONTOUR FALLS           42.35N  76.85W
07/08/2014                   SCHUYLER           NY   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN ON WIRES AND HOUSES

&&

JML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
652 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 PM     HAIL             ROME                    43.23N  75.49W
07/08/2014  M1.25 INCH       ONEIDA             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
655 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROME                    43.23N  75.49W
07/08/2014                   ONEIDA             NY   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN

&&

JML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
714 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FAIRMOUNT               41.92N  75.42W
07/08/2014                   WAYNE              PA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

&&

JML