Brisk Wind Advisory 21, NWS Fairbanks, AK

977 
FZAK51 PAFG 112154
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1254 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-121300-
1254 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 978 MB LOW CENTERED OVER NORTHWESTERN BANKS ISLAND 
WILL MOVE TO NORTHEASTERN BANKS ISLAND BY SUNDAY EVENING
WEAKENING TO 987 MB. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER CENTRAL
SIBERIA AND THE SIBERIAN ARCTIC REGION.
                         

$$

PKZ225-121300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
1254 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS CALM.  

$$

PKZ230-121300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
1254 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS CALM.  

$$

PKZ235-121300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
1254 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS CALM.  

$$

PKZ240-121300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
1254 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS CALM.  

$$

PKZ245-121300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
1254 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS CALM.  

$$

RF/JK JAN 14

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1254 PM AKST FRI JAN 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTHEASTERN BANKS ISLAND AND THE
WESTERN CANADA ARCHIPELAGO IS PROGGED BY CURRENT MODEL RUNS TO
MOVE ON A CYCLONIC PATH TO NORTH OR NORTHWEST OF BANKS ISLAND BY
MON AFTERNOON. 500 MB HEIGHTS IN THE CORE OF THE LOW ARE QUITE
LOW...ABOUT 4700 METERS. THE COLDEST CORE ALOFT WILL REMAIN
NORTH OR NORTHEAST OF ALASKA...BUT MODERATELY COLD TEMPERATURES
WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. AREAS IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INTERIOR AND
OVER THE INTERIOR ARCTIC SLOPE CAN EXPECT TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER YUKON VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BROOKS RANGE WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD FALL TO AROUND 50 BELOW IN
VALLEYS AND ON THE YUKON FLATS. IN ZONES 221-222 AND NORTHERN
ZONE 224...THE CLOUD COVER IS GIVING WAY TO CLEAR SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO FALL. LOWS IN THE 30S BELOW ZERO ARE
LIKELY ON THE FLATS AND IN VALLEYS IN THESE AREAS TONIGHT...WITH
SOME COLD SPOTS APPROACHING 40 BELOW.

IN ZONE 204...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS HAVE ENDED OVERNIGHT. BRISK
WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE...BUT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN STEADY AT NEAR 15 BELOW...NOT LOW ENOUGH TO PRODUCE
ADVISORY LEVEL WIND CHILL OF 50 BELOW. LOWER WIND CHILL IS
EXPECTED IN ZONE 203 HOWEVER...WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND
10 DEGREES COLDER.

MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A MODERATING TREND BEGINNING
IN THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR AREAS WED AS A BUILDING RIDGE OVER
NW CANADA SETS UP SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE ALASKA
INTERIOR...BRINGING IN WARMER AIR ALOFT FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA.
850 MB TEMPERATURES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN INTERIOR AREAS
WILL APPROACH FREEZING THU AND FRI. GFS BUFKIT SOUNDINGS FOR
FAIRBANKS AND BIG DELTA BRING TEMPERATURES FROM THE SURFACE TO
5000 FT MSL SE TO FREEZING BY THU AFTERNOON.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ203.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ245.
&&

RF JAN 14

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
914 PM AKST FRI JAN 10 2014

AKZ222-110815-
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
914 PM AKST FRI JAN 10 2014

...MUCH COLDER ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS WEEKEND...

A COLD AIR MASS NOW OVER INTERIOR ALASKA WILL COOLING FURTHER THIS
WEEKEND AS SKIES CLEAR OUT AND WINDS DROP OFF. ON FRIDAY EVENING
TEMPERATURES WERE ALREADY IN THE 30S AND 40S BELOW ACROSS THE
NORTHERN INTERIOR AND IN THE 20S AND 30S BELOW IN THE SOUTHERN
INTERIOR. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT AS SKIES REMAIN CLEAR.

FAIRBANKS WAS AT 23 BELOW FRIDAY EVENING...AND CAN EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO NEAR 40 BELOW BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN
COLD INTO SUNDAY. HILLS AROUND FAIRBANKS WILL REMAIN MUCH WARMER
THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REMAINING ABOVE 20 BELOW.

SLIGHT WARMING IS EXPECTED MONDAY AS CLOUDS MOVE NORTH OVER THE
INTERIOR.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
914 PM AKST FRI JAN 10 2014

AKZ222-110815-
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
914 PM AKST FRI JAN 10 2014

...MUCH COLDER ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS WEEKEND...

A COLD AIR MASS NOW OVER INTERIOR ALASKA WILL COOL FURTHER THIS
WEEKEND AS SKIES CLEAR OUT AND WINDS DROP OFF. ON FRIDAY EVENING
TEMPERATURES WERE ALREADY IN THE 30S AND 40S BELOW ACROSS THE
NORTHERN INTERIOR AND IN THE 20S AND 30S BELOW ACROSS MOST OF THE
SOUTHERN INTERIOR. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT AS SKIES REMAIN CLEAR.

FAIRBANKS WAS AT 23 BELOW FRIDAY EVENING...AND CAN EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO NEAR 40 BELOW BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN
COLD INTO SUNDAY. HILLS AROUND FAIRBANKS WILL REMAIN MUCH WARMER
THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REMAINING ABOVE 20 BELOW.

SLIGHT WARMING IS EXPECTED MONDAY AS CLOUDS MOVE NORTH OVER THE
INTERIOR.