Storm Warning 86, NWS Anchorage, AK

063 
FZAK51 PAFC 170718
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014


UPDATED ZONES 120 AND 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN
GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND
COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171945-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW 70 NM E OF SITKINAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 60 NM NE OF KODIAK CITY LATE TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN
GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 1007 MB AS IT MOVES TO 30 NM N OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-171945-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171945-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT...THEN BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171945-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171945-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT
NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO
13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171945-
PORT VALDEZ-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 15 KT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171945-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 25 KT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171945-
VALDEZ ARM-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171945-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171945-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171945-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...THEN BECOMING SE 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171945-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 25 KT
BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171945-
CHINIAK BAY-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171945-
MARMOT BAY-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171945-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING W 25 KT S END OF THE
STRAIT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171945-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171945-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-171945-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1118 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

605 
FZAK51 PAFC 171200
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180115-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 984 MB LOW 40 NM NE OF KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN TO 990 MB AS 
IT MOVES OVER MIDDLETON ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN
MOVE TO 40 NM NW OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1006 MB BY WED AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE THERE THROUGH THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-180115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
ALONG THE COAST...SOUTHEAST WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT DURING
THE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-180115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ121-180115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-180115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE MORNING THEN
INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING 
TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-180115-
PORT VALDEZ-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-180115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-180115-
VALDEZ ARM-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-180115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-180115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ131-180115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT SHIFTING TO NW BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ132-180115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT EXCEPT W 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ136-180115-
CHINIAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-180115-
MARMOT BAY-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-180115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-180115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT 
IN  THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-180115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-180115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

.TODAY...N WIND TO 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
219 PM AKDT MON JUN 16 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM EASTERN RUSSIA TO THE ALCAN THIS
AFTERNOON WITH AN EMBEDDED CUT-OFF LOW OVER THE AKPEN AND BRISTOL
BAY...AND A SECOND CUT-OFF ANCHORED NORTH OF EXTREME EASTERN
RUSSIA. UPPER RIDGES ARE OVER KAMCHATKA AND SOUTHEAST AK AND THE
ALCAN. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK ISLAND...WITH A RIDGE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. A WEATHER
FRONT IS DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC ACROSS THE BERING...WITH NORTHWEST FLOW AT
THE SURFACE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE LOW
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL INTENSIFY TONIGHT BENEATH THE
LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE JET. THE LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
TO SOUTHERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND BY TUE
EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN BE ABSORBED INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE...THAT WILL INCLUDE A THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE ALEUTIAN
AND ALASKA RANGES. THE STRONG FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE KODIAK
LOW WILL REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS
EVENING AND LINGER INTO TUE MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN RUSSIA WILL ENTER THE NORTHERN BERING
TUE AFTERNOON AND BE ABSORBED INTO THE AREA OF MAINLAND LOW
PRESSURE WED AFTERNOON. ON THU THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF.

THE FORECAST UTILIZES SOME NAM EARLY...AND THEN GEM AND EC
THROUGH THE REST OF THE SHORT RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...

RAIN ON WINDWARD SLOPES AND STRONG WIND THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN
CAN BE EXPECTED INTO TUE. A STRONG GRADIENT DOWN COOK INLET WILL
KEEP MOST WINDS AND RAIN OUT OF ANCHORAGE EXCEPT FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD THIS EVENING DURING FRONTAL PASSAGE. AS THE SURFACE LOW
MOVES CLOSER TO THE SOUND...RAIN AND SHOWERS WILL SPREAD INLAND
TUE AND WED...WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG THE KENAI
PENINSULA TUE AFTERNOON. LATER ON WED AND INTO THU RAIN ASSOCIATED
WITH THE EASTERN RUSSIA LOW WILL ARRIVE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION UNTIL A BRIEF BREAK TUE
NIGHT INTO WED. IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER LOW WILL BRING
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TUE. RAIN
ARRIVES ALONG THE COAST WITH THE RUSSIAN LOW WED MORNING AND
REACHES THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES WED EVENING. DRYING BEGINS
LATER ON THU.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...

RAIN SHOWERS ON NORTHWEST SURFACE FLOW WILL PERSIST INTO TUE
MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION BEGINS TUE NIGHT INTO WED
AS THE RUSSIAN LOW TRANSITS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. ON THU
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW ENTERS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WITH RAIN
DEVELOPING THROUGH THE EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

THE EXTENDED PERIOD (FRI THROUGH MON) WILL STILL BE SHAPED BY THE
REMNANTS OF THE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF ALASKA.
HOWEVER ONCE THE UPPER LOW SETTLES INTO PLACE GUIDANCE DOES NOT
HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON WHAT TO DO WITH EACH INDIVIDUAL PIECE OF
ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE MAIN LONGWAVE. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE IS
HOW LONG RANGE MODELS HANDLE A PIECE OF ENERGY THAT MOVES UP THE
WESTERN CANADIAN COAST TOWARD THE YUKON. THAT SHORTWAVE WILL
EITHER TRACK ACROSS THE INTERIOR AS AN EASTERLY WAVE...OR CLOSE
OFF FROM THE GULF COMPLEX AND DRIFT NORTHWARD. THE FORECAST
CURRENTLY TAKES THE EASTERLY WAVE ROUTE ALBEIT NOT AS STRONG AS
THE ECMWF WOULD SUGGEST. EXPECT NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE MOUNTAINS FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 120 129 130 131 132 138 139 140
         STORMS 119 125

FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

DS/ML JUN 14