Storm Warning 11, NWS Anchorage, AK

147 
FZAK52 PAFC 032009 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1105 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

UPDATED ZONES 177 AND 178

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040300-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 MB LOW NEAR HOOPER BAY MOVES NORTHEAST INTO NORTON SOUND AND
DISSIPATES THIS AFTERNOON. A 968 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA PEAKS
AT 957 MB AS IT MOVES NORTH AND WEST TO 140 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES WEST TO NEAR KAMCHATKA WHILE WEAKENING
TO 971 MB SAT AFTERNOON. A 982 MB COMPLEX LOW 390 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF COLD BAY FRI AFTERNOON REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SAT
MORNING WHILE STRENGTHENING TO 975 MB...THEN MOVES NORTH AND WEST TO
60 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAINT GEORGE LATE SAT NIGHT. A 967 MB LOW DEVELOPS
325 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA SAT EVENING AND STRENGTHENS TO 964 MB LATE
SAT NIGHT WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY.

$$

PKZ150-040300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 22
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-040300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-040300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-040300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-040300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM
UNALASKA E. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-040300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-040300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-040300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-040300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-040300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT...DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON W OF
ATKA. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-040300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
500 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-040300-
ADAK TO KISKA
1110 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.   

$$

PKZ178-040300-
KISKA TO ATTU
1110 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-040300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-040300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 45 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-040300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 25 KT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ185-040300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT
BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 6 FT E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

686 
FZAK52 PAFC 040025
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-041500-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 980 MB LOW 375 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL STRENGTHEN TO 971 MB 
AND MOVE TO 225 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT SAT MORNING. THIS LOW WILL
THEN WEAKEN TO 978 MB AND MOVE TO 40 NM NORTH OF SAINT PAUL SUN
AFTERNOON. A 965 MB LOW 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN AS IT
TRACKS TO THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA SAT NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW OVER THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL TRACK TO 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA SAT NIGHT
AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ON SUN.
$$

PKZ150-041500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-041500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-041500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-041500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-041500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...FROM UNALASKA E...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. W OF UNALASKA...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...FROM UNALASKA E...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. W OF UNALASKA...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...FROM UNALASKA E...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF UNALASKA...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-041500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-041500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-041500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-041500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-041500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-041500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-041500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT
BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-041500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...BERING SIDE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-041500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-041500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S OF NEWENHAM...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. N OF NEWENHAM...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S OF NEWENHAM...NE WIND 40 KT. N OF NEWENHAM...NE WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-041500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ185-041500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 30 KT FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E.
SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

417 
FZAK52 PAFC 041252
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050300-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 972 MB LOW 330 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WEAKENS TO 978 MB AS IT MOVES 
TO 110 NM SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM EARLY SUN MORNING BEFORE
DISSIPATING. A 977 MB LOW DEVELOPS 90 NM EAST OF SAINT GEORGE EARLY
SUN MORNING AND MOVES TO 95 NM SOUTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND LATE SUN
NIGHT. A 962 MB LOW 240 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD
KAMCHATKA WHILE WEAKENING TODAY. A STRENGTHENING NORTHWEST PACIFIC
LOW MOVES TO 295 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 969 MB SAT EVENING...THEN
DRIFTS EAST TO 240 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA AT 965 MB SUN NIGHT. A 978 MB
LOW FORMS 255 NM SOUTH OF ADAK SUN MORNING AND STRENGTHENS TO 967 MB
85 NM SOUTH OF ATKA SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-050300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-050300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 14
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-050300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-050300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-050300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-050300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-050300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-050300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ174-050300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-050300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF ATKA. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ176-050300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF ATKA. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-050300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-050300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-050300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-050300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S OF CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. N OF CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-050300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ185-050300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.   

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE REMNANTS OF A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARE
SLIDING EASTWARD AND ARE NOW BARELY DISCERNABLE ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WITH MULTIPLE WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATIONS NOTED OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF AND IN UPPER COOK INLET. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY
IS RAPIDLY DIMINISHING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AS A WEAK RIDGE
BUILDS INTO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS IS IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER
VERTICALLY STACKED SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN BERING. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WITH
SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST CURRENTLY
SPREADING INLAND. THERE IS ANOTHER SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA NEAR 40N THAT HAS FORMED ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE MAIN
JET. THIS SYSTEM IS DRIFTING NORTHWARD. FINALLY...OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS...A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM NEAR THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA IS SPREADING WIND AND RAIN SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS BEGINNING TO TRANSITION. THE BULK OF THE
JET ENERGY REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE STATE...THOUGH A RIDGE OVER
WESTERN NORTH AMERICA IS BEGINNING TO AMPLIFY. THIS IS BEGINNING TO
CAUSE AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPSTREAM PATTERN OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC
AND ALASKA. AS A RESULT...THE CURRENT LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING
WILL BE THE LAST IN THE SERIES OF ATMOSPHERIC WAVES THAT TRACK TOWARD
THE MAINLAND. ALL AVAILABLE MODELS ARE PAINTING THE SAME GENERAL
PICTURE...WHICH FEATURES A LONGWAVE TROUGH AMPLIFYING OVER THE BERING
SEA WITH A LARGE AND COMPLEX LOW WITH MULTIPLE CENTERS SETTING UP
SHOP IN THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH. IN THE NEAR TERM...THERE IS GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST WILL
CLIP THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL WITH A QUICK SHOT OF SNOW
DURING THE DAY TOMORROW. THE HIGHEST RESOLUTION MODELS ARE THE MOST
AGGRESSIVE WITH SNOW AMOUNTS...LIKELY BECAUSE THERE WILL BE AN
UPSLOPE/OROGRAPHIC COMPONENT FROM ANCHORAGE TO THE MAT-SU. AM
INCLINED TO BITE OFF ON SOME OF THIS ENHANCEMENT...BUT NOT ALL THE
WAY GIVEN THAT LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD HAVE A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT THAT
MAY KEEP SURFACE TEMPERATURES ELEVATED AND REDUCE ACCUMULATION. A
COMBINATION OF THE NAM AND GFS IS PREFERRED ACROSS THE EASTERN DOMAIN
FOR THIS REASON. MEANWHILE THE WESTERN DOMAIN FORECAST WILL TAKE
ADVANTAGE OF THE SUPERIOR RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY OF THE
ECMWF...THOUGH NO MODELS WERE COMPLETELY REJECTED TODAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...CLOUDS AND FOG ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME SCOURING
OUT OF INLAND PORTIONS OF THE AREA AS A FAST-MOVING RIDGE HAS
REINFORCED PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS ACROSS THE
AREA. WITH WARM ADVECTION ALREADY BEGINNING OVER KODIAK ISLAND AND
LOWER COOK INLET IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM...THINK CONTINUATION
OF AREAS OF FOG IS LIKELY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE
AFOREMENTIONED WEATHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH COOK INLET TOMORROW DURING
THE DAY...WHICH WILL BE A FAIRLY QUICK EVENT IN RELATIVE TERMS BUT
COULD FEATURE SOME IMPRESSIVE SNOWFALL INTENSITIES AS DEEP-LAYER
INSTABILITY IS UNLEASHED WITH AN ADDITIONAL UPSLOPE COMPONENT FROM
ANCHORAGE NORTHWARD. THIS FRONT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND MOVE TO THE
NORTHEAST EARLY FRIDAY EVENING...AS ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES IN FOR THE FRIDAY NIGHT PERIOD. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FOG...PRIMARILY FOR PROTECTED INLAND AREAS.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...THE LOW CENTER HEADING TOWARD NORTON SOUND WILL
KEEP MUCH OF THE AREA IN SHOWERY PRECIP EVEN AS THE FRONT MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST THIS EVENING. THE THERMAL PROFILE WILL SLOWLY
COOL...ALLOWING MANY LOCATIONS NORTH OF THE PENINSULA THAT MAY HAVE
MIXED WITH RAIN TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ON
THE ORDER OF SEVERAL INCHES ACROSS A FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AREA BEFORE
SNOW TAPERS OFF DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN
AND DEPART THE AREA.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...OVER THE COMING DAYS THE LOW CENTER
CURRENTLY WEST OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL DRIFT EASTWARD AND BECOME
STATIONARY OVER THE WESTERN BERING...WITH NUMEROUS UPPER WAVES AND
SURFACE LOWS PINWHEELING AROUND THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE AREA...MEANING
THAT PERIODS OF RAIN OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL ACCOMPANY GUSTY (THOUGH
SHORT-LIVED) WIND EVENTS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP PUSH A STRONG CYCLONE AND WARM FRONT
NORTH INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA SUNDAY. WHILE PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO
BEGIN AS SNOW...WARM TEMPERATURES WILL PUSH INLAND BRINGING
PRECIPITATION-TYPE CONCERNS TO MANY AREAS...EVEN AS FAR NORTH AS
BETHEL AND POSSIBLY ANCHORAGE. THE REST OF THE EARLY TO MID WEEK
PERIOD NEXT WEEK WILL REMAIN STORMY WITH WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MAINLAND AND BERING AS WARM PACIFIC AIR
MASSES CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTH INTO THE STATE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 132 138 150 155 160 165 173 174 175 176 177 178 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD JAN 14