Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 24, 2013El Paso County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood warning at Jul 24, 2013, 3:21 PM MDT for El Paso County, Colorado. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 24, 2013, 3:21 PM MDT (21:21 UTC)
Expired: Jul 24, 2013, 6:30 PM MDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Pueblo, CO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County El Paso County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 429 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -353 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1506 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

858 
WGUS55 KPUB 242121
FFWPUB
COC041-250030-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.W.0010.130724T2121Z-130725T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
321 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

* UNTIL 630 PM MDT

* AT 320 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA. OVER ONE INCH OF RAIN WILL LIKELY OCCUR.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  COLORADO SPRINGS AND BLACK FOREST.

JUST A SMALL AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ON A BURN SCAR CAN LEAD TO FLASH 
FLOODING. WATER THAT IS NORMALLY ABSORBED BY THE SOILS AND 
VEGETATION...RUNS OFF ALMOST INSTANTLY. THIS CAUSES CREEKS AND 
DRAINAGE AREAS TO FLOOD AT A MUCH FASTER RATE THAN NORMAL. IN 
ADDITION...THE SOILS IN A BURN SCAR BECOME UNSTABLE WHEN IT 
RAINS...SOMETIMES RESULTING IN DEBRIS AND FALLING ROCK. ROADS CAN BE 
WASHED OUT BY THE FORCE OF THE RUSHING WATER AND DEBRIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS... OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING
STREAM... EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3910 10461 3902 10460 3899 10467 3901 10477
      3908 10475

$$

3 follow-up statements

216 
WGUS75 KPUB 242155
FFSPUB

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
355 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COC041-250030-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130725T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EL PASO CO-
355 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL EL PASO
COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM MDT...

AT 351 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAD MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. A REPORT OF 0.64 INCHES OF RAIN WAS RECEIVED FROM THE AREA 
JUST WEST OF THE BLACK FOREST BURN SCAR.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO 
OCCUR. 

AT 355 PM...THERE WERE NO REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN THE 
BLACK FOREST BURN SCAR.

JUST A SMALL AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ON A BURN SCAR CAN LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING. WATER THAT IS NORMALLY ABSORBED BY THE SOILS AND
VEGETATION...RUNS OFF ALMOST INSTANTLY. THIS CAUSES CREEKS AND
DRAINAGE AREAS TO FLOOD AT A MUCH FASTER RATE THAN NORMAL. IN 
ADDITION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3910 10461 3902 10460 3899 10467 3901 10477
      3908 10475

$$

735 
WGUS75 KPUB 242233
FFSPUB

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
433 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COC041-250030-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130725T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EL PASO CO-
433 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL EL PASO
COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM MDT...

AT 431 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAD MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA...ALTHOUGH LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE RAIN WAS FALLING OVER 
THE AREA. A REPORT OF 0.64 INCHES OF RAIN WAS RECEIVED FROM THE AREA 
JUST WEST OF THE BLACK FOREST BURN SCAR AS OF 350 PM MDT.

AT 430 PM...THERE WERE NO REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN THE 
BLACK FOREST BURN SCAR.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING 
INCLUDE...NORTHERN COLORADO SPRINGS AND BLACK FOREST.

JUST A SMALL AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ON A BURN SCAR CAN LEAD TO FLASH 
FLOODING. WATER THAT IS NORMALLY ABSORBED BY THE SOILS AND 
VEGETATION...RUNS OFF ALMOST INSTANTLY. THIS CAUSES CREEKS AND 
DRAINAGE AREAS TO FLOOD AT A MUCH FASTER RATE THAN NORMAL. IN 
ADDITION...THE SOILS IN A BURN SCAR BECOME UNSTABLE WHEN IT 
RAINS...SOMETIMES RESULTING IN DEBRIS AND FALLING ROCK. ROADS CAN BE 
WASHED OUT BY THE FORCE OF THE RUSHING WATER AND DEBRIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3910 10461 3902 10460 3899 10467 3901 10477
      3908 10475

$$

899 
WGUS75 KPUB 242256
FFSPUB

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
456 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COC041-242309-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130725T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EL PASO CO-
456 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL EL
PASO COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

JUST A SMALL AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ON A BURN SCAR CAN LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING. WATER THAT IS NORMALLY ABSORBED BY THE SOILS AND
VEGETATION...RUNS OFF ALMOST INSTANTLY. THIS CAUSES CREEKS AND
DRAINAGE AREAS TO FLOOD AT A MUCH FASTER RATE THAN NORMAL. IN
ADDITION...THE SOILS IN A BURN SCAR BECOME UNSTABLE WHEN IT RAINS...
SOMETIMES RESULTING IN DEBRIS AND FALLING ROCK. ROADS CAN BE WASHED
OUT BY THE FORCE OF THE RUSHING WATER AND DEBRIS.

LAT...LON 3910 10461 3902 10460 3899 10467 3901 10477
      3908 10475

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 24, 2:59 PM MDT, 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 24, 2:59 PM MDT, 22 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
259 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

...POTENTIALLY A BUSY NIGHT ACROSS AREA BURN SCARS ...

CURRENTLY...AN UPPER RIDGE PERSISTED ACROSS THE DESERT SW
TODAY...WITH A DISTURBANCE IN THE UPPER FLOW OVER UTAH HELPING TO
KICK OFF CONVECTION ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND ROCKY MT REGION.
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE CWA TODAY...BUT TEMPS HAVE GRADUALLY
CREPT UP INTO THE MID 80S TO 90 F FOR THE PLAINS. THE ONE EXCEPTION
IS COS WHERE THICK LOW CLOUD COVER HAS KEPT THE TEMPS IN THE MID 70S
AS OF 230 PM. GOOD AMOUNT OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN SO FAR...WITH A COUPLE OF SEVERE STORMS OVER CHAFFEE AND
FREMONT COUNTIES...AND STORMS ARE CONTINUING TO DEVELOP.

TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...SHORT RANGE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER
RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE...WHILE THE UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL ROTATE
THROUGH THE FLOW INTO NE AND N COLORADO TONIGHT...THEN ACROSS
NEBRASKA AND KANSAS TOMORROW. CURRENT S-SE SFC FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN AS SUCH FOR MUCH OF THE EVENING. DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO AROUND 60 F THIS AFTN AND EVE WILL SUPPLY PLENTY OF LLVL
MOISTURE...AND WITH THE DISTURBANCE ACTING AS THE TRIGGER...FEEL
THAT ACTIVITY MAY CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ALL
NIGHT AND THE AREA MAY NOT SEE THE NORMAL DIMINISHING OF CONVECTION
IMMEDIATELY AFTER SUNSET. THE VERY NATURE OF CONVECTION MAKES IT
HARD TO DETERMINE HOW MUCH RAIN BURN SCARS WILL GET. AVERAGED QPF
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE AREA DO NOT LOOK OVERLY IMPRESSIVE...BUT FEEL
THAT THE DIFFERENCE TONIGHT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL LONGEVITY OF THIS
EVENT.

THE CHANGE TOMORROW WILL OCCUR WHEN THE DISTURBANCE MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND A NORTHERLY SURGE WITH DRIER AIR DROPS
SOUTH OF THE PALMER DVD SOME TIME BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z. TIMING
DIFFERS DEPENDING ON THE MODEL...WHICH IS ALSO THE REASON BEHIND THE
DIFFERENCE IN EXPECTED MAX TEMPS. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH WIDESPREAD
SCATTERED POPS BY LATE MORNING...AND MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED TODAY. MOORE

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

SUBSIDENCE BEHIND DEPARTING UPPER WAVE AND MCS IN KS SHOULD HELP
END CONVECTION OVER THE AREA THU EVENING...AS WEAK AREA OF SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. WINDS THEN TURN EASTERLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...LEADING TO ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND I-25 CORRIDOR. ON SATURDAY...LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE WHILE WEAK MONSOON PLUME BEGINS TO
ROTATE INTO WESTERN COLORADO LATE IN THE DAY. MODELS HAVE BACKED
OFF SLIGHTLY ON QPF SAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS MID LEVEL
MOISTURE IS A LITTLE SLOWER TO ARRIVE...BUT OVERALL SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED TSRA AREA-WIDE WITH POCKETS OF HEAVY
RAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WESTERN MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS WHERE
MOISTURE WILL BE SLIGHTLY DEEPER. NOW APPEARS SUNDAY MAY BE THE
WETTER DAY OF THE WEEKEND AS MONSOON PLUME IS CENTERED OVER THE
STATE AND FAIRLY STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
AFTERNOON. FOR TEMPS...STAYED ON THE COOLER SIDE OF GUIDANCE FRI-
SUN...AS CLOUDS/CONVECTION KEEP READINGS A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL FOR
A CHANGE.

SLOW DRYING/WARMING TREND DEVELOPS MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY OF NEXT
WEEK...THOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR MOUNTAIN
CONVECTION IN THE FORECAST EACH DAY...WHILE PERIODIC FRONTAL
SURGES MAINTAIN A MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND
PLAINS. TEMPS WILL CLIMB BACK TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL READINGS BY
MIDWEEK AS HEIGHTS GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 219 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

KALS...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
IMPACT THE TERMINAL FROM 20-04Z WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
VARIABLE WIND GUSTS...PRODUCING SPOTTY MVFR CONDITIONS. DIMINISHED
CONVECTION FROM 09Z-15Z MAY ALLOW FOR LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP BRIEFLY EARLY MORNING...THEN ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED BY 17Z.

KCOS AND KPUB...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO AFFECT THE TERMINAL THROUGH
04-05Z TONIGHT PRODUCING MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND
GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.  ISOLATED CONVECTION
MOST LIKELY WILL LINGER VCNTY KCOS ALL NIGHT...WHILE KPUB SHOULD SEE
A LULL 09Z-15Z. ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
FORECAST BY 17Z.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...PETERSEN
AVIATION...MOORE

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 24, 11:36 AM MDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1136 AM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-251300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1136 AM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WILL
SPREAD EAST INTO THE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE MAIN
THREATS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG
WITH LIGHTNING AND OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH. MOUNTAIN
THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WILL SPREAD EAST INTO THE INTERSTATE 25
CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING ON THE WALDO CANYON...ROYAL GORGE AND
BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD
TO ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE PLAINS THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...CLEARING THE KANSAS BORDER BY THURSDAY
MORNING.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS ALONG WITH GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS. ON
MONDAY AND TUESDAY THERE WILL PROBABLY BE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER SOME OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
STORMS OVER AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. THE MAIN STORM THREATS WILL BE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. FLASH FLOODING
ON AREA BURN SCARS WILL BE A CONCERN IF STRONGER STORMS MOVE OVER
THESE AREAS AND PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO...
ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR AREA BURN SCARS.

27/10

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 24, 1:13 PM MDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
113 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     HAIL             2 SE SALIDA             38.51N 105.97W
07/24/2013  E1.00 INCH       CHAFFEE            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GROUND COVERED BY HAIL

&&

EPETERSE

Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:14 PM MDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
214 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COZ076-077-081>085-242215-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...
HOWARD...SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...
CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
214 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

THUNDERSTORMS WERE CONTINUING TO DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHERN COLORADO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND THE LATEST RADAR AND
SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST STORMS WILL WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD EAST INTO
THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 230 AND 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON.
OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING ON
THE WALDO CANYON...ROYAL GORGE AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS...WHERE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS. PERSONS
IN AND NEAR ANY SOUTHERN COLORADO BURN SCARS SHOULD PAY CLOSE
ATTENTION TO THE WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...AND
WATCH FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO.

Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:27 PM MDT, 54 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
227 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COZ081-084-242100-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500
FT-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500
AND 11000 FT-
227 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  NORTHWESTERN TELLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

AT 223 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF CHEESMAN RESERVOIR...OR 31 MILES
NORTHWEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT
35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN TELLER COUNTY AND PALMER LAKE.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:57 PM MDT, 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
257 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COZ081-082-084-085-242130-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE
7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
257 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  CENTRAL TELLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO...
  WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
   THIS INCLUDES...WEST CENTRAL COLORADO SPRINGS.

AT 248 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN WAS OCCURRING OVER EXTREME NORTHERN TELLER COUNTY.  IF
CURRENT TRENDS HOLD...THE HEAVY RAIN WILL STAY NORTH OF THE WALDO
CANYON BURN SCAR.  THERE IS ANOTHER AREA OF RAIN NEAR DIVIDE WHICH
WILL LIKELY MOVE THROUGH THE BURN SCAR...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL...AND POSSIBLY SOME MINOR FLOODING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WOODLAND PARK.
  GREEN MOUNTAIN FALLS.
  CRYSTOLA.
  CHIPITA PARK.
  CASCADE.
  AIR FORCE ACADEMY.
  WEST CENTRAL COLORADO SPRINGS.

Special weather statement, Jul 24, 3:07 PM MDT, 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
307 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COZ086-242130-
PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET-
307 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
   THIS INCLUDES...PUEBLO.

AT 302 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PUEBLO RESERVOIR...OR 10 MILES WEST OF
PUEBLO...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PUEBLO RESERVOIR.
  PUEBLO WEST.
  WEST CENTRAL PUEBLO.
  BLENDE.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Special weather statement, Jul 24, 3:19 PM MDT, 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
319 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

COZ074-087-088-242145-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000
FT-TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500
FT-WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
319 PM MDT WED JUL 24 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  SOUTH CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  WEST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 316 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GULNARE...OR 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF
TRINIDAD...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  AGUILAR.
  EAST PEAK BURN SCAR.

WINDS AROUND 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 24, 12:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Chaffee, Fremont	51 min
Jul 24, 1:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Fremont	45 min
Jul 24, 3:12 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PUB	El Paso	3 hr
Jul 24, 3:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Pueblo	42 min
Jul 24, 5:28 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PUB	Crowley, Otero	2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Colorado, 2013 Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.