Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2013
Small Craft Advisory 5, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Jan 18, 2013, 8:55 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 19, 2013, 12:57 AM EST. It was in force for 51 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 18, 2013, 8:55 PM EST (01:55 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 19, 2013, 12:57 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 21, 2013, 3:42 AM EST
- In force
- 51 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
176 WHUS71 KPHI 190155 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 855 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 ANZ450-451-191600- /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0001.130119T1600Z-130121T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.130119T1100Z-130121T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 855 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH A FEW GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 KT BECOMING WEST AT SIMILAR SPEEDS ON SUNDAY. * SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-452>455-470-191600- /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.130119T1100Z-130121T0000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM- 855 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH A FEW GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 KT. WEST WINDS AT SIMILAR SPEEDS ON SUNDAY. * SEAS...1 TO 4 FEET ON DELAWARE BAY AND 4 TO 8 FEET ON THE OCEAN. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ TFG
9 follow-up statements
649 WHUS71 KPHI 190202 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 902 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 ANZ470-190315- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.130119T1100Z-130121T0000Z/ WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM- 902 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WE APOLOGIZE FOR THE SOFTWARE ERROR. $$ ANZ450>455-191715- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.130119T1100Z-130121T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 902 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH A FEW GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 KT. WEST WINDS AT SIMILAR SPEEDS ON SUNDAY. * SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-191715- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.130119T1100Z-130121T0000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 902 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 4 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ TFG
409 WHUS71 KPHI 190557 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1257 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ANZ450>455-191900- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.130119T0557Z-130121T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 1257 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-191900- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.130119T0557Z-130121T0000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 1257 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 4 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
151 WHUS71 KPHI 190850 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 350 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ANZ450-192200- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0002.130119T0850Z-130120T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 350 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ451>455-192200- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 350 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-192200- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0300Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 350 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAYS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH A LULL POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
089 WHUS71 KPHI 191952 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 252 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ANZ450-201000- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130120T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 252 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ451>455-201000- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 252 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-201000- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0300Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 252 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
136 WHUS71 KPHI 200839 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 339 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ANZ450-202200- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130120T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 339 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ451>455-202200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 339 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-202200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0300Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 339 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
506 WHUS71 KPHI 201453 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 953 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ANZ450-202300- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130120T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 953 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ451>455-210000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 953 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-210000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 953 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
023 WHUS71 KPHI 202034 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 334 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ANZ450-210900- /O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130120T2300Z/ /O.EXA.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 334 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ451>455-210900- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 334 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-210900- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 334 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
047 WHUS71 KPHI 210208 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 908 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ANZ430-431-210900- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0002.130122T0100Z-130122T2300Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 908 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. * TIMING...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ451>455-210900- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0002.130122T0100Z-130122T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 908 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS UNTIL EARLY MONDAY, THEN GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ450-210900- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 908 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
879 WHUS71 KPHI 210842 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 342 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013 ANZ451>455-212200- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0002.130122T0100Z-130122T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0003.130122T0500Z-130123T0500Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 342 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450-212200- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130121T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0003.130122T0500Z-130123T0500Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 342 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-212200- /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0002.130122T0100Z-130122T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0003.130122T0500Z-130123T0500Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 342 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ROBERTSON
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 18, 6:31 PM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 6:31 PM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
631 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST AND
OFFSHORE SATURDAY. A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY, FOLLOWED BY QUICK MOVING LOW PRESSURE ON MONDAY. THIS
LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT PROGRESSES OFFSHORE AND AWAY FROM
THE EAST COAST TUESDAY. MEANWHILE, HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST OVER
THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD INTO OUR REGION
THROUGH THE MID-WEEK PERIOD. THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON, AND
POSSIBLY THE PAST FEW YEARS, WILL BE OVER THE AREA THROUGH MID-WEEK.
BY FRIDAY, A WARM FRONT MAY LIFT THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC, BRINGING
A RETURN TO MILDER CONDITIONS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
SHORT TERM ESTF ADJUSTMENTS MAINLY TO LOWER TEMPS A COUPLE OF
DEGREES AS THEY WERE RUNNING LOWER THAN EXPECTED. WE ALSO GAVE IT
A BIT MORE OF A FALL THIS EVENING AND THEN LEVELED THEM TOWARD
MORNING WHEN WINDS SHOULD INCREASE. MIN TEMPS WERE KEPT ABOUT THE
SAME, JUST HASTENED THEIR ARRIVAL.
HIGH PRES IS BUILDING OVER US FROM THE WEST AND THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL BE OVERHEAD THIS EVENING. FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...THE RIDGE
AXIS WILL MOVE OFFSHORE AND LOW PRES WILL BE MOVING EAST THROUGH
THE UPPER GRTLKS...RESULTING IN PRES FALLS AND INCRG SW WINDS OVER
THE AREA.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
A FAIRLY STRONG PRES GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. THIS PLUS 40 TO 50 KT WINDS AT 850 HPA WILL RESULT IN
GUSTY SW WINDS DURING THE DAY. WITH STRONG LOW-LVL WARM ADVCTN AND
850 TEMPS ABOUT 15 DEG C HIGHER THAN TODAY...AFTN MAX TEMPS SHOULD
REACH THE MID TO UPPER 40S AND COULD HIT 50 AT PHL. LOW FCST RH SUGS
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXCEPT POSSIBLY SOME HIGH OR MID CLDS OVER NRN NJ
AND ADJ PA.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM, AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO PROGRESS OFFSHORE AND AWAY FROM THE EASTERN SEABOARD. TO
OUR NORTH AND WEST, STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING OVER THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN CANADA FROM SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL SEND A STRONG ARCTIC COLD
FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION DURING SUNDAY. A FAIRLY MILD DAY IS STILL
EXPECTED SUNDAY, AS THE REGION WILL STILL BE UNDER A RETURN FLOW
BEHIND THE DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE, WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND THE
ECMWF AND GFS BOTH SHOWING 850 TEMPS IN THE +2C TO +4C RANGE FOR THE
AREA TO START THE DAY. THERE ARE STILL TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
THE GFS AND THE ECMWF WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE REGION, WITH THE GFS DEPICTING MORE OF A MORNING PASSAGE AND THE
ECMWF INDICATING MORE OF A SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING PASSAGE. FOR
NOW, WE KEPT A COMPROMISE SOLUTION IN THE FORECAST, WITH A GENERAL
PASSAGE IN THE SUNDAY AFTERNOON TIMEFRAME. EITHER WAY, 850 MB MODEL
TEMPERATURES DROP OFF QUICKLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE, DOWN TO
AROUND -4C TO -12C SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY 6Z TO
12Z MONDAY, WITH COLDER AIR STILL PROGRESSING INTO THE REGION. AS
THE BEST FORCING WITH THIS FRONT IS WELL TO OUR NORTH AND LITTLE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BOUNDARY, WE MAINTAIN A DRY FCST
FOR MOST OF THE REGION, EXCEPT OUR FAR NORTHWEST ZONES. FOR THE
SOUTHERN POCONOS TO NORTHWEST NJ, WE WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SNOW SHOWERS AS THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN FOR LIGHT PRECIP.
GOING INTO THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK, A MID-LEVEL TROUGH
BECOMES WELL-ESTABLISHED OVER THE NORTHEAST TO MID ATLANTIC STATES,
ALLOWING MORE COLD AIR TO SPREAD INTO OUR AREA. THIS CONTINUES TO
LOOK LIKE THE COLDEST AIRMASS WE'VE EXPERIENCED YET THIS WINTER
SEASON, AND POSSIBLY THE COLDEST IN A FEW YEARS. MODEL GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO INDICATE A FEW SHOTS OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROTATING
THROUGH THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH, DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF THE
WEEK. SOME GUIDANCE ALSO POINTS TO A WEAK SURFACE WAVE THAT MAY
QUICKLY PASS FROM THE UPPER PLAINS REGION TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO LATE MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM MAY YIELD SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY, AND WE HAVE
RETAINED SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW CHANCE POPS. THIS WEAK LOW WILL EMERGE
OFF THE COAST BY EARLY TUESDAY AND IS PROGGED TO INTENSIFY SOME AS
IT PULLS AWAY FROM THE EASTERN SEABOARD, THANKS TO MORE SHORTWAVE
ENERGY ROTATING THROUGH THE TROUGH. OVERALL, TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
LOOK TO BE THE COLDEST DAYS OF THE WEEK, WITH MOST LOCATIONS ONLY
REACHING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. A BRISK NORTHWEST TO WEST
WIND IS EXPECTED BOTH DAYS IN THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE, AND WIND CHILL
VALUES RANGING FROM THE TEENS SOUTH TO THE SINGLE DIGITS NORTH ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME.
AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER, IT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE THIS COLD AIRMASS WILL
BE WITH US FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD, AS THE DEEP MID-LEVEL TROUGH
PUSHES EAST, WITH MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW SETTING UP OVER OUR REGION.
IN ADDITION, LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MAY SEND A WARM FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION,
ALLOWING FOR A NOTICEABLE CHANGE IN AIRMASS.
&&
.AVIATION /23Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
VFR CONDITIONS WERE CONTINUED WITH THE 00Z TAFS.
FOR TONIGHT AND OVERNIGHT, WE JUST CARRIED SOME HIGH LEVEL ALTOCU
CLOUDS. CHANCE OF A CIG IS FROM KABE AND KRDG NORTHWARD. WINDS
ALOFT WILL INCREASE TOWARD MORNING AND WIND GROUP IS MOST
INDICATIVE OF TOWARD MORNING WIND SPEEDS AND DIRECTION. PRIOR TO
THAT WINDS SHOULD BE CALM OR LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST. NO VSBY
RESTRICTIONS.
ON SATURDAY, FEW TO SCATTERED ALTOCU CLOUDS WERE FORECAST AND
JUST SOME CIRRUS AT KACY AND KMIV. LARGEST IMPACT WILL BE
INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS PRIOR TO THE COLD FRONT. THE GUSTINESS
SHOULD BE THE LOWEST AT KRDG AND KABE AND INCREASE AT AIRPORTS AND
TERMINALS CLOSEST TO THE COAST. PEAK GUSTS CLOSE TO 30 KT ARE
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST.
WINDS SHOULD DECOUPLE TOWARD SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR AN ALTOCU CIG TO MOVE IN. BEST CHANCES NORTHWESTERN AIRPORTS
AND TERMINALS.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT...VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS. FLURRIES POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN
SITES. SOUTHWEST WINDS EARLY BECOME WESTERLY BY AFTERNOON, WITH
GUSTS RANGING 25 TO 30 KNOTS EXPECTED.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR. SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES
POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED.
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR. STILL A POSSIBILITY FOR LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS/FLURRIES WITH WESTERLY WINDS.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE LIGHT THIS EVENING BUT WILL INCREASE FROM THE
SW LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH
NAM AND GFS INDICATE SCA WIND GUSTS WILL DEVELOP BY AROUND 12Z OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. HENCE A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL FORECAST
WATERS STARTING SAT MORNING AND CONTG THRU SUNDAY. THE MIXED LAYER
OVER THE WATER IS NOT VERY DEEP BUT FCST WINDS ARE STRONG JUST ABOVE
THE SFC DUE TO THE STG PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES OFF SHORE AND
DEEPENING LOW PRES OVER THE GRTLKS. WAVES WILL INITIALLY BE BELOW 5
FT BUT WILL BE BUILDING THROUGH SAT AFTN AND BEYOND.
OUTLOOK...
FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, SCA WIND GUSTS APPEAR LIKELY FOR
OUR WATERS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PROGRESSES OFFSHORE AND A STRONG
ARCTIC COLD FRONT TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. WIND GUSTS MAY
EVEN BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR OUR NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS TO SUPPORT
GALES. WIND GUSTS REACHING GALE FORCE MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE FOR OUR
SOUTHERN WATERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
ACROSS THE REGION. AS THIS LOOKS TO BE A RATHER MARGINAL EVENT, WE
HELD OFF FOR NOW ON ISSUING A GALE WATCH FOR SUNDAY, BUT THIS MAY
NEED TO BE REVISITED. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED, ESPECIALLY
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH COLD ARCTIC AIR AND A FEW WAVES OF ENERGY
MOVING OVER THE AREA, CONDITIONS ON OUR WATERS WILL LIKELY REQUIRE
AT LEAST A SCA.
&&
.CLIMATE...
A BRIEF SUMMARY OF HOW COLD IT WAS LAST WINTER AT OUR BIG FOUR CLIMO
AIRPORTS AS WE WILL MAKE A RUN FOR THESE TEMPS THIS WEEK. THEY ALL
OCCURRED LAST JANUARY (2012)....
PHILADELPHIA...14 DEGREES
ALLENTOWN.......8 DEGREES
ATLANTIC CITY..10 DEGREES
WILMINGTON.....13 DEGREES.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ430-431-450>455-470.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HEAVENER/KLINE
NEAR TERM...AMC
SHORT TERM...AMC
LONG TERM...KLINE
AVIATION...AMC/KLINE
MARINE...AMC/KLINE
CLIMATE...GIGIHazardous weather outlook, Jan 18, 4:06 PM EST, 4 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 406 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 NJZ001-PAZ054-055-192115- SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- 406 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL BE IN PLACE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WIND CHILL VALUES COULD DROP BELOW ZERO AT TIMES ON TUESDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ007>010-012>024-027-PAZ060>062- 070-071-101>106-192115- NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET- MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER- CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH- NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- 406 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-450>455-192115- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 406 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. GALES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AS A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT TRACKS THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 3:50 AM EST | Gale Warning | PHI | 36 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.