Small Craft Advisory 41, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

641 
WHUS71 KPHI 110754
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

ANZ450-451-112100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.130411T1600Z-130412T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0016.130412T0600Z-130412T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
354 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO NOON EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO NOON EDT FRIDAY.

* WINDS...DEVELOPING NORTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 KT MIDDAY BECOMING
  EAST TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT NEAR
  DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

* SEAS...3 FEET TO START THIS MORNING BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUING FRIDAY.

* CONFIDENCE...ON GUSTS TO 35 KT IS GREATEST FROM SANDY HOOK OUT
  TO BUOY 44065 IN THE NORTHERN MOST NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DURING THE ADVISORY PERIOD.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-112100-
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.130411T1600Z-130412T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
354 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT
FRIDAY.

* WINDS...DEVELOPING EASTERLY WIND 15 TO 25 KT SOMETIME BETWEEN
  NOON AND 6 PM THIS AFTERNOON...GRADUALLY BECOMING SOUTHEAST 15
  TO 25 KT TONIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT AND THEN POSSIBLY SOUTH
  FOR A TIME FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE THE WINDS DIMINISH IN THE
  AFTERNOON.

* SEAS...3 FEET TO START THIS MORNING BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET LATE
  TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DURING THE ADVISORY PERIOD.


&&

$$

ANZ430-431-112100-
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.130411T1600Z-130412T1000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
354 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY.

* WINDS...BECOMING EAST 10 TO 15 KT BY MIDDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  KT DEVELOPING SOMETIME BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND
  THEN DIMINISHING LATE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND MUCH OF TONIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DURING THE ADVISORY PERIOD.

&&

$$

196 
WHUS71 KPHI 112000
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
400 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

ANZ450-451-121100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1000Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0016.130412T0600Z-130412T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
400 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WINDS...EAST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS UP TO 35
  KNOTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BECOMING
  NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS ON FRIDAY
  NIGHT.

* SEAS...4 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-121100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
400 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS...EAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS
  TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO
  25 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. BECOMING WEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
  UP TO 20 KNOTS ON FRIDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-120600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130412T0600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
400 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...EAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS
  TONIGHT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

IOVINO

579 
WHUS71 KPHI 120621
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
221 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

ANZ430-431-120730-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130412T0600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
221 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

EASTERLY WINDS HAVE TEMPORARILY DIMINISHED. HOWEVER...WE EXPECT TO
ISSUE ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR GUSTY SOUTH WINDS MIDDAY
FRIDAY IN OUR 330 AM FORECAST. 

$$

ANZ450-451-121800-
/O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0017.130412T0621Z-130412T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
221 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS AT 2 AM WERE GUSTING AROUND 30 KNOTS WITH  STRONGEST
  WINDS EXPECTED 7 AM TO NOON TODAY...IN THE 35 TO 40 KT RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED
THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR
TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-121930-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
221 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...EAST WIND BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT THIS AFTERNOON.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

DRAG

707 
WHUS71 KPHI 120743
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
343 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

ANZ450-451-121800-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130412T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
343 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS AT 3 AM WERE GUSTING 35 TO 40 KNOTS FROM SANDY
  HOOK TO NEAR BUOY 44065...THE OLD AMBROSE LIGHT LOCATION.
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED 7 AM TO NOON TODAY...IN THE 40 KT RANGE
  AND MORE WIDESPREAD THAN CURRENTLY OCCURRING AT 3AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-122045-
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.130412T1600Z-130412T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
343 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT
THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...TURNING SOUTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET....HIGHEST AT THE BAY ENTRANCE.

* TIMING...THE WINDS SHOULD TURN SOUTH SOUTHWEST DURING MIDDAY AS
  THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EDGES NORTH
  TO NEAR A WILMINGTON DELAWARE ATLANTIC CITY LINE. ISOLATED
  SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS TO 35 KT ARE POSSIBLE DURING MID AFTERNOON
  IF A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-122045-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
343 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...EAST WINDS TURNING SOUTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT. WINDS DIMINISHING THIS FRIDAY EVENING AND TURNING NORTHWEST
  BUT HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
  FRIDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

321 
WHUS71 KPHI 120929 AAA
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
529 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

ANZ450-451-121800-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130412T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
529 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...7 TO 11 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS AT 5 AM WERE GUSTING AROUND 35 KNOTS FROM SANDY
  HOOK TO NEAR BUOY 44065...THE OLD AMBROSE LIGHT LOCATION.
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED 7 AM TO NOON TODAY...IN THE 40 KT RANGE
  AND MORE WIDESPREAD THAN CURRENTLY OCCURRING AT 5 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-122230-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
529 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT BECOMING SOUTH
  THIS AFTERNOON AT THE SAME SPEEDS...THEN TURNING NORTHWEST
  TONIGHT AND DIMINISHING.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-122200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.130412T1600Z-130412T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
529 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...TURNING SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET...HIGHEST AT THE BAY ENTRANCE. 

* TIMING...THE WINDS SHOULD TURN SOUTH SOUTHWEST DURING MIDDAY 
  AS THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EDGES 
  NORTH TO NEAR A WILMINGTON DELAWARE ATLANTIC CITY LINE. 
  ISOLATED SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS TO 35 KT ARE POSSIBLE DURING MID 
  AFTERNOON IF A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OCCURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


..UPDATED FOR HIGHER SEAS TODAY IN THE WATERS EAST OF SANDY HOOK
NJ..

313 
WHUS71 KPHI 121644
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1244 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

ANZ450-451-122200-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130412T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1244 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WINDS BECOME
  SOUTH THIS EVENING THEN BECOME WEST OVERNIGHT AND DIMINISHING. 

* SEAS...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-122200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1244 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT BECOMING SOUTH
  THIS AFTERNOON...THEN TURNING NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND
  DIMINISHING.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-122200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130412T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1244 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET...HIGHEST AT THE ENTRANCE OF THE DELAWARE
  BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

200 
WHUS71 KPHI 121955
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
355 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

ANZ430-431-122100-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130412T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
355 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR DELAWARE BAY.

$$

ANZ450>455-131000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
355 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS
  ON THE NORTHERN WATERS THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS ON THE SOUTHERN WATERS THIS EVENING.
  NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.
  WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS ON SATURDAY.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

IOVINO

854 
WHUS71 KPHI 130131
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
931 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

ANZ450>455-131500-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
931 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS ON
  THE NORTHERN WATERS TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS ON THE SOUTHERN WATERS EARLY...BECOMING NORTHWEST
  AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. WEST
  AROUND 10 KNOTS ON SATURDAY.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

357 
WHUS71 KPHI 130741
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
341 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

ANZ450-451-131500-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0003.130413T0741Z-130414T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
341 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH
FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-131500-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-130413T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0003.130413T0741Z-130413T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
341 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM
EDT THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
351 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH TOWARDS THE REGION
TONIGHT WHILE A STRONGER SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES EASTWARD ALONG
IT. THE FRONT COULD PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND STALL TO
OUR SOUTH BEFORE LIFTING BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON FRIDAY. A
STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN MOVES BACK IN LATER ON SATURDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDES
OFF THE COAST ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
AT 300 PM, THE SKY OVER OUR FORECAST AREA WAS MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND AT MOST LOCATIONS. THERE WAS A SURFACE
BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDED FROM SUSSEX COUNTY, NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD
ACROSS MORRIS COUNTY AND SOMERSET COUNTY AND THEN DOWN ALONG THE
EASTERN EDGE OF MERCER COUNTY AND BURLINGTON COUNTY TO THE ATLANTIC
CITY VICINITY. THE BOUNDARY WAS DRIFTING WESTWARD. TEMPERATURES WERE
WELL INTO THE 80S AT MOST LOCATIONS TO THE WEST OF THE BOUNDARY WITH
SOME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ALREADY OCCURRING. READINGS WERE IN
THE 70S AND 60S TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT WITH THE EASTERLY WIND
COMING OFF THE OCEAN.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO DRIFT INLAND DURING THE
EVENING. MEANWHILE, A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST. THE CONVECTION EXTENDED FROM NORTH CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA TO THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE COMMONWEALTH AT MID
AFTERNOON. IT SHOULD BEGIN TO DIVE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND INTO AN
AREA OF INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF OUR
FORECAST AREA. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REACH OUR
NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES AROUND 5 OR 6 PM. THE LINE MAY ARRIVE ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR AROUND 8 PM AND IT IS EXPECTED TO PASS
OFF THE COAST AROUND 10 PM. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER CONTINUES TO
HAVE MOST OF OUR REGION UNDER THEIR SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
DESIGNATION. THERE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION THIS EVENING.

SHOWERS MAY LINGER IN OUR REGION AFTER THE MAIN CONVECTION PASSES TO
OUR EAST. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OVERNIGHT WILL BE GREATER ACROSS
OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES THAN IN THE SOUTH. THE CONVECTION MAY CAUSE
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO LIFT TO THE NORTH A BIT BEFORE IT BEGINS TO
SETTLE BACK TO THE SOUTH LATE TONIGHT. BASED ON THE TRENDS IN THE
GUIDANCE, IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE FRONT MAY EXTEND FROM AROUND
ALLENTOWN TO NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA TO OCEAN CITY, NEW JERSEY NEAR
DAYBREAK ON THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SINK TO THE SOUTHWEST ON
FRIDAY. A COOL NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURE TO BE
ABOUT 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE OF TODAY AT MOST LOCATIONS. WE
ARE FORECASTING MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 60S WITH SOME 50S
IN THE NORTH AND SOME 70S ON THE UPPER DELMARVA WHERE THE FRONT WILL
ARRIVE LAST.

A DECK OF STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO BE DRAWN OFF THE OCEAN AND OVER OUR
REGION ON THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
TOUGH SITUATION ON FRIDAY IN TERMS OF FORECAST HIGHS ON FRIDAY WITH
MOS GUIDANCE NORTH OF THE DELMARVA OFF BY NEARLY 20 DEGREES FROM ONE
ANOTHER. FRONTAL POSITION IS KEY TO THE SITUATION PROVIDING EITHER A
DAMP EASTERLY FLOW OR WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW. THE 12Z NAM IS
CONSIDERED THE OUTLIER FOR THIS LONGTERM PACKAGE AND HAS THE FRONT
SAGGING ALL THE WAY THROUGH PHILLY INTO NORTHERN DELMARVA. THE
REMAINING OPERATION 12Z GUIDANCE, EXCLUDING THE EURO WHICH WAS NOT
READILY AVAILABLE FOR THIS ANALYSIS, SHOWS IT SAGGING SOUTH BUT THEN
AS THE SURFACE WAVE TO OUR WEST MOVES EASTWARD IT PULLS THE FRONT
BACK NORTH AND THE SURFACE WINDS VEER SOUTHWARD. DECIDED TO USE A
CONTINUITY FORECAST WITH HIGHS ON FRIDAY AND BLENDED IN SOME MET/MAV
GUIDANCE.

ONE THING THAT IS FOR SURE ON FRIDAY IS A RATHER ANOMALOUS
PWAT SURGE INTO OUR REGION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM
THE WEST. PWAT VALUES JUMP UP TO 1.5 INCHES SO THERE IS PLENTY OF
MOISTURE TO TAP INTO. WE MAINTAIN THE HEAVY RAINFALL IN OUR GRIDS
AND PER HPC QPF AREAS NORTH OF THE METRO MAY RECEIVE UPWARDS OF
1-1.25 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE
RIVER FLOODING AT THIS TIME AS THE FRONT IS RATHER QUICK MOVING AND
SO SHOULD ANY CONVECTION THAT FIRES UP ALONG IT...BETTER CHANCE
SOUTH OF PHILLY WITHIN THE TRUE WARM SECTOR. SOME GUIDANCE SHOWING A
DECENT AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY WORKING IN ALONG WITH HIGHER SHEAR,
THEREFORE SOME STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION CANNOT BE RULED OUT
ESPECIALLY IF WE CAN ERODE ANY STABLE LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. AS OF
NOW, WE HELD OFF ON ANY ENHANCED WORDING IN THE FORECAST WITH THIS
SYSTEM DUE TO DETAIL UNCERTAINTIES.

THE FRONT MOVES OFF THE COAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND A WESTERLY SURFACE
FLOW TAKES OVER. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE JUST TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF OUR REGION WHICH KEEPS ITS COLD POOL LINGERING
THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. STEEPER LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES PROVIDE
THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES. A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW TO OUR EAST AND AN
APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL KEEP BREEZY CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY. THE HIGH SHOULD CREST OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND THE
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO RELAX AND THE SKIES SHOULD BE CLEAR.
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE CLIMBING AGAIN UNDER A MOSTLY
WESTERLY FLOW.

ON MONDAY HIGH PRESSURE IS LIKELY TO BE IN PLACE TO OUR SOUTHEAST
RESULTING IN SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE REGION ALONG WITH
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS. LOW PRESSURE IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
GULF COAST AROUND THE MONDAY TIMEFRAME IN RESPONSE TO A DIGGING
SHORTWAVE IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. MODEL AGREEMENT HAS IMPROVED FROM
OVERNIGHT RUNS LEADING TO INCREASED CONFIDENCE THIS FEATURE WILL
TRACK SOUTH OF THE REGION. WENT A TOUCH ABOVE HPC GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES
AFTER SEEING THE 12Z GFS COME IN MUCH WARMER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS,
EVEN WARMER THAN THE EC IN SPOTS. IF A TREND IS TO BE ESTABLISHED IT
MAY TO WHERE TO TEMPERATURES MAY NEED TO BE RAISED SOME MORE IF
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS REALIZED.  DID NOT DEVIATE MUCH FROM MODEL
AND HPC GUIDANCE ON WINDS FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WE MAY HAVE SOME
STRONG WIND GUSTS MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT WINDS SHOULD STAY BELOW ADV
CRITERIA. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY BEGIN TO APPROACH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. THE GFS IS MOST AGGRESSIVE BRINGING THIS IN LATE TUESDAY
WHILE THE EC AND CMC HOLD ANY INFLUENCES FROM THE BOUNDARY TILL LATER
WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE EC ENSEMBLE MEAN
APPEARS TO HOLD A STRONGER RIDGE IN PLACE FOR THIS PERIOD COMPARED
TO THE OP RUN AS WELL. WITH UNCERTAINTIES IN THE TIMING AND BEING
SEVERAL DAYS AWAY WILL PLACE LOW/SLIGHT CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT MAY BRING SOME UNSETTLED WX TO THE
REGION BUT WILL NOT GO INTO DETAILS ATTM BEING SEVERAL DAYS AWAY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH A LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVING FOR THIS EVENING. THE MOST LIKELY
TIME FOR THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT KRDG AND KABE IS
IN THE 2100Z TO 2300Z TIME FRAME. THE CONVECTION SHOULD REACH KTTN,
KPNE, KPHL AND KILG IN THE 2300Z TO 0100Z RANGE. A SOUTHWEST WIND
AROUND 8 TO 12 KNOTS WITH GUSTS INTO THE TEENS IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE
THE PRECIPITATION ARRIVES. GUSTY WIND ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. WE HAVE INCLUDED SOME MENTION OF GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS.

ONCE THE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE TO OUR EAST, MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH A LIGHT WIND AND LINGERING LIGHT SHOWERS,
ESPECIALLY AROUND KABE AND KTTN. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH DOWN
FROM THE NORTHEAST DURING THE LATE NIGHT HOURS AND ON THURSDAY. IT
WILL CAUSE A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND A STRATUS DECK IS
EXPECTED TO FOLLOW IN ITS WAKE. MAINLY MVFR CEILINGS ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. THE RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY LATE
FRIDAY MORNING. EAST WINDS 10-20 KNOTS PROBABLY TURN SOUTHERLY
FOR A TIME FRIDAY, THEN BECOMING WESTERLY LATE FRIDAY.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS
GENERALLY 10-20 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
AND THE COASTAL WATERS OFF NEW JERSEY DURING THE NIGHT. A LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE WEST MAY ARRIVE THIS EVENING. THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS TO THE WEST AND SOUTH FROM
LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE FLOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE WILL SETTLE INTO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST. WIND
SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW 25 KNOTS FOR TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY AND WAVE HEIGHTS SHOULD STAY UNDER 5 FEET.

OUTLOOK...
COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH ASSOCIATED STALLING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BE DRAPPED SOMEWHERE ACROSS OUR WATERS ON FRIDAY.
TO THE NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY WE WILL HAVE AN EASTERLY FLOW WHILE
THE SOUTH WILL HAVE A SOUTHERLY FLOW. WITHIN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL WE WILL START TO SEE SEAS BUILDING CLOSE TO 5 FEET ON FRIDAY
WHILE THE EASTERLY FLOW LOOKS TO PRODUCE SOME STRONG SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY GUSTS. THAT BEING SAID WE HAVE RAISED THE SCA FLAG FOR
LITTLE EGG NORTH ON FRIDAY...FOR THE TIME BEING. FURTHER SOUTH
WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ADDED BY LATER SHIFTS.

A COLD FRONT WILL THEN SWEEP THROUGH LATER ON FRIDAY WITH A LOT OF
RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PRESSURE THEN MOVES BACK
IN FOR A MAJORITY OF THE WEEKEND WITH WEST WINDS AND RELAXING
CONDITIONS.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THURSDAY TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     ANZ450-451.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GAINES/HEAVENER
NEAR TERM...IOVINO
SHORT TERM...IOVINO
LONG TERM...GAINES/GORSE/HEAVENER
AVIATION...GAINES/IOVINO/HEAVENER
MARINE...GAINES/IOVINO/HEAVENER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
401 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-
071-101>106-110815-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
401 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DOWNPOURS ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE, AND ANY STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ016>023-027-110815-
SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
401 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF AN ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD
FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DOWNPOURS ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE, AND ANY STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ015-019-020-110815-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
401 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DOWNPOURS ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE, AND ANY STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY LOCALLY
WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-024>026-110815-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
401 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DOWNPOURS ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE, AND ANY STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-110815-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
401 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. ANY STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-110815-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
401 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. ANY STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.