Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 9, NWS Mobile, AL

January 30, 2013Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jan 30, 2013, 1:19 PM CST for Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at Feb 2, 2013, 10:40 AM CST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2013, 1:19 PM CST (19:19 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 2, 2013, 10:40 AM CST
Expired
Feb 3, 2013, 10:31 AM CST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Leroy (LRYA1). The gauge peaked at 23.53 ft at Feb 3, 2013, 6:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate20253001/3001/3102/0102/0202/0302/04
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02470050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

340 
WGUS44 KMOB 301919
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 
119 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013



...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON
  COUNTIES.
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

.HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN FALLING OVER THE AREA AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
 FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AS A RESULT RIVER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AND A 
 FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-311919-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0008.130201T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130201T0400Z.130203T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
119 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 12PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...20.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 29.0 FEET...PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED 
  TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$

ALC023-025-129-311919-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0009.130201T0412Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130201T0412Z.130202T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
119 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 1PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...17.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.4 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
  OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
8 follow-up statements
513 
WGUS84 KMOB 310308
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
908 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-010308-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.130201T0224Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130201T0224Z.130203T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 30.8 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-010308-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0009.130201T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130201T0000Z.130203T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 25.6 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$
824 
WGUS84 KMOB 311457
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
857 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-011457-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.130201T0224Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130201T0224Z.130203T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 30.9 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

ALC023-025-129-011457-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0009.130201T0645Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130201T0645Z.130203T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.6 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$
004 
WGUS84 KMOB 010254
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
854 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-020254-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130205T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130201T1030Z.130203T0000Z.130204T1800Z.NO/
854 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 30.4 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC023-025-129-020254-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0009.130201T2225Z-130205T1930Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130201T2225Z.130203T1200Z.130205T1330Z.NO/
854 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 25.4 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.

$$
849 
WGUS84 KMOB 011542
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
942 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-021542-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130205T0100Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130201T2315Z.130203T0600Z.130204T1900Z.NO/
942 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 30.2 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-021542-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0009.130202T0532Z-130205T1942Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130202T0532Z.130203T1800Z.130205T1342Z.NO/
942 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  25.2 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

MSC039-041-153-021542-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130205T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130201T1015Z.130202T1800Z.130204T1800Z.NO/
942 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING 
* AT 9AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
*AT 20 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR.  

$$
903 
WGUS84 KMOB 020340
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
940 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-030340-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130204T2000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130202T0524Z.130203T0600Z.130204T1400Z.NO/
940 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  29.9 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
  BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-030340-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0009.130202T1640Z-130205T1434Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130202T1640Z.130204T0600Z.130205T0834Z.NO/
940 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING
* AT 9PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.0 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
  OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$
890 
WGUS84 KMOB 021700
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1100 AM CST SAT FEB 2 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-031700-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130204T0800Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130202T1240Z.130203T0600Z.130204T0200Z.NO/
1100 AM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.3 FEET BY MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 29 FEET...PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
  BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$

ALC023-025-129-031700-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130205T0359Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130203T0600Z.130203T1800Z.130204T2159Z.NO/
1100 AM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
* THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
  OCCUR. CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
845 
WGUS84 KMOB 030206
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
806 PM CST SAT FEB 2 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-040206-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130204T0600Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130202T1240Z.130202T2300Z.130204T0000Z.NO/
806 PM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 7PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-040206-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130204T1800Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130203T1800Z.130204T0000Z.130204T1200Z.NO/
806 PM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 7PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-040206-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130205T0200Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130201T1015Z.130203T0600Z.130204T2000Z.NO/
806 PM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING 
* AT 7PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$
948 
WGUS84 KMOB 031631
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1031 AM CST SUN FEB 3 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES.
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-153-041631-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130204T2159Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130201T1015Z.130203T0345Z.130204T1559Z.NO/
1031 AM CST SUN FEB 3 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 10AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-031701-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130204T0600Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130202T1240Z.130202T2300Z.130203T1305Z.NO/
1031 AM CST SUN FEB 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT 
* AT 9AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.9 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET


$$

ALC023-025-129-031701-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130204T1800Z/
/LRYA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1031 AM CST SUN FEB 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 10AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 30, 11:33 AM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 11:33 AM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1133 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

.AVIATION...[18Z ISSUANCE]...IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON FOR ALL TERMINAL SITES IN SW AL AND NWFL. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. LOWER CIGS WILL
RANGE FROM 500 TO 900 FEET AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. A WIND ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM
CST THIS EVENING FOR FREQUENT WIND GUST RANGING FROM 30 TO 40 KNOTS
AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 25
KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 30 TO 40 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST THEN
WEST THIS AFTERNOON AND NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 32/EE

&&

.MARINE...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF
AL AND NWFL FROM 0 TO 60 OUT CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE LIKELY WITH THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WITH THE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT...CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THEN GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL
CONTINUE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT EXPIRING DURING MID TO LATE MORNING
HOURS ON THURSDAY. 32/EE

&&

.UPDATE...UPDATED ZONES AGAIN AS WE HAVE REMOVED STONE...GREENE...
PERRY AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FROM TORNADO WATCH
18 AS WELL AS CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. OTHERWISE...NO
ADDITIONAL CHANGES MADE. 12/DS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 501 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013/

..STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY TODAY...

SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NE MS SOUTHWEST
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA JUST AHEAD OF A EASTWARD MOVING COLD
FRONT. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE I-59 CORRIDOR JUST WEST OF OUR CWA. THE MAIN LINE
IS MOVING TO THE EAST AROUND 25 KT WHILE INDIVIDUAL CELLS ARE
RAPIDLY MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 TO 50 KT. WHILE SEVERE ACTIVITY HAS
BEEN LIMITED WITH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THIS LINE...THERE ARE
REASONS TO BELIEVE THE THREAT WILL INCREASE ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
AS THIS ACTIVITY BEGINS TO MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN ZONES AROUND
DAYBREAK...PROGRESSING EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY.

THE OVERALL TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT AND ATTENDANT SEVERE THREAT HAS
SLOWED DOWN SOME WITH ALL OF THE HI-RES MODEL GUIDANCE NOW SHOWING
THE FRONT STILL WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR BY 18Z AND NOT CLEARING
THE EASTERN ZONES UNTIL AROUND 22Z. THIS LATER TIMING WILL PLACE THE
THREAT DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS ALONG
AND EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. MLCAPES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM
500-1000 J/KG...AND MAY EVEN BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER OVER OUR EASTERN
ZONES IF SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER MATERIALIZES. IN
ADDITION...A SOUTHERN STREAM JET STREAK OVER OLD MEXICO WILL
STRENGTHEN TO AROUND 150 KT AS IT NOSES INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS JET STREAK WILL SERVE
TO ENHANCE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND
USHER IN SOME STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES FROM THE OLD MEXICAN
PLATEAU. AS THIS JET STREAK AFFECTS THE REGION...IT WILL ALSO SERVE
TO FURTHER STRENGTHEN THE 850 MB JET TO AN IMPRESSIVE 70-75
KT...MAXIMIZED OVER OUR NORTHEASTERN CWA. SHEAR PARAMETERS REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR BOTH BOWING STRUCTURES AND THE POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED
ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE DEVELOPING LINE SEGMENTS. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS TO REACH OR EXCEED 70
MPH GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AND THE ENHANCED UPPER
LEVEL LIFT. STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OF THAT MAGNITUDE WILL PRODUCE THE
SAME RESULTS AS A WEAK TORNADO...SO PLEASE HEED ANY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING ISSUED AS SERIOUSLY AS A TORNADO WARNING. THE
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD END OVER THE SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ZONES BY
LATE MORNING AND THE FAR EASTERN ZONES BY LATE AFTERNOON.

GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...WITH WINDS FREQUENTLY GUSTING TO
35 TO 40 MPH. IT IS NOT OF THE QUESTION TO SEE SOME NON CONVECTIVE
GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-65. IF THIS LOOKS
LIKELY...THEN A HIGH WIND WARNING MAY BECOME NECESSARY. FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 30 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS.

USED A BLEND OF RAP/NAM12 SFC TEMPS FOR THE HOURLY GRIDS TODAY.
HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FILTER
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT WITH SKIES CLEARING BEHIND THE FRONT. LOWS
WILL DROP INTO THE 30S ACROSS THE AREA. 34/JFB

LONG TERM [THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY]...TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK...THE
FORECAST AREA WILL BE AT THE BASE OF A BROAD LONG WAVE UPPER LEVEL
TROF WHICH WILL CONTAIN A SERIES OF MID LEVEL IMPULSES/ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL BOUNDARIES THAT WILL PASS ACROSS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE. AFTER
A LONG PERIOD OF SEEING HIGH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGY...DAILY HIGHS TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK WILL BE MUCH COOLER
AND DRIER...CLOSER TO OR SLIGHTLY BELOW CLIMO. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE
BRINGS LOWER LAYER THICKNESS VALUES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
BOTH THURSDAY AND FOLLOWING A SECONDARY FRONTAL PASSAGE...FRIDAY
MORNING. RESULT WILL BE HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 50S/AROUND 60.
HIGH TEMPERATURES REFLECT A MODERATING TREND SATURDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. NIGHTTIME LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER/MID 30S
INTERIOR...LOWER 40S BEACHES...LOOK TO MODERATE INTO THE LOWER TO
MID 40S BY SUNDAY MORNING. THEN MID 30S INTERIOR TO MID 40S COASTAL
ZONES MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.

SATURDAY...FORECASTING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD OF
MID LEVEL IMPULSE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE SOUTHERN STATES TROF. THIS
FEATURE BRINGS FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH WEAK MOISTURE
RETURN AHEAD OF FRONT...MAY JUST BE ENOUGH LAYER LIFT FOR A SMALL
CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. /10

AVIATION (12Z ISSUANCE)...IFR TO MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS MORNING WITH CIGS RISING TO VFR LEVELS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. FROPA LOOKS TO BE AROUND 18-20Z FOR MOB/BFM
AND 19-22Z FOR PNS. BANDS OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH THE STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 55 KT. WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND
GUSTY OUTSIDE OF TSTMS...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS
EXPECTED. WINDS STAY GUSTY OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST THIS
EVENING...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. 34/JFB

MARINE...ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THIS MORNING
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL
AFFECT THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH A STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW EXPECTED IN ITS
WAKE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE
OPEN GULF WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL
BUILD TO 8 TO 12 FEET TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN
SUBSIDE BY THURSDAY MORNING. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH THE FLOW BECOMING
LIGHT TO MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 34/JFB

FIRE WEATHER...IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG/SEVERE STORM RISK THAT
EVOLVES TODAY AS THUNDERSTORMS ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL LINE AND MOVES
EAST...WILL BE VERY STRONG MIXED LAYER SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE. FRONTAL PASSAGE BRINGS WIND SHIFT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON. THURSDAY LOOKING TO BE MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. ALTHOUGH LOWEST
HUMIDITIES THURSDAY ARE FORECAST TO DIP DOWN TO BETWEEN 23 AND 28%
FOR SEVERAL HOURS...LOW FIRE DANGER INDICES (ENERGY RELEASE
COMPONENTS WELL BELOW 20) CRITERIA NOT MET TO INTRODUCE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH HEADLINES FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. CRITERIA NOT MET
FOR AL/MS ZONES AS WELL. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      72  35  58  38  60 /  90  10  05  00  00
PENSACOLA   73  38  58  41  60 /  90  10  05  00  00
DESTIN      72  40  56  43  60 /  90  20  05  00  00
EVERGREEN   73  34  57  33  58 /  90  10  05  00  00
WAYNESBORO  72  32  60  30  57 /  90  05  05  00  00
CAMDEN      73  33  56  33  55 /  90  10  05  00  00
CRESTVIEW   75  36  59  30  60 /  90  20  05  00  00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
     WILCOX...

FL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
     OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN MOBILE BAY...
     SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...

     GALE WARNING FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
     MS OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 6 AM THURSDAY
FOR      THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL      TO
PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 9 AM THURSDAY
FOR      THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA
FL      FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
PASCAGOULA      MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 5:32 AM CST, 7 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
532 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-311145-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
532 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WEST OF INTERSTATE
65 THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE THREAT WILL THEN INCREASE AND SHIFT
EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65 BY MIDDAY INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO COME TO AN END BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THE THREAT EXISTS FOR BOTH DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE MAGNITUDE OF THE STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE THE SAME DAMAGE AS A WEAK TORNADO.
TREAT ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING AS SERIOUSLY AS A TORNADO
WARNING.

STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR TODAY OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
WINDS WILL FREQUENTLY GUST TO 3O TO 40 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH
WIND GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH CONTINUING LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL BE NEEDED TODAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-311145-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
532 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS
THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND...MOBILE BAY...AND THE NEAR SHORE ALABAMA GULF
WATERS.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN TODAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
EVENING. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE ENTIRE MARINE AREA THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
TODAY...WITH SOME OF THE STORMS BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE. SPECIAL
MARINE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID
THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE GULF WATERS.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 30, 8:38 AM CST, 4 hours 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
838 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALZ051>055-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-301530-
CHOCTAW AL-MONROE AL-WASHINGTON AL-WILCOX AL-WAYNE MS-STONE MS-
PERRY MS-GREENE MS-CLARKE AL-GEORGE MS-
838 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WAYNE...STONE...
PERRY...GREENE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
CHOCTAW...NORTHERN MONROE...WASHINGTON...WESTERN WILCOX AND CLARKE
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 930 AM CST...

AT 837 AM CST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES EAST OF BUTLER...TO NEAR WAYNESBORO...TO 11
MILES NORTHEAST OF RICHTON...TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WIGGINS...AND
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  THOMASVILLE...         GROVE HILL...          CHATOM...
  BUCKATUNNA...          MCLAIN...              LEAKESVILLE...
  LUCEDALE...            NEW AUGUSTA...         MCHENRY...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING TELEPHONES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 9:34 AM CST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
934 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALZ052>057-059-061-062-FLZ001-MSZ076-078-079-301630-
BUTLER AL-CONECUH AL-ESCAMBIA AL-MONROE AL-WASHINGTON AL-WILCOX AL-
STONE MS-GREENE MS-INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-UPPER BALDWIN AL-CLARKE AL-
UPPER MOBILE AL-GEORGE MS-
934 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVES ACROSS GEORGE COUNTY
MISSISSIPPI AND THE SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA THROUGH 1030 AM CST...

AT 927 AM CST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM WESTERN WILCOX COUNTY ALABAMA SOUTHWEST TO
WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY ALABAMA TO WESTERN GEORGE COUNTY
MISSISSIPPI AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 35 TO 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  DOWNTOWN MOBILE...    BOYKIN...             PETERMAN...
  MOWA CHOCTAW RESERVATION...                 MOVICO...
  POARCH CREEK RESERVATION...                 SEMMES...
  SATSUMA...            SARALAND...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 5 AND 139.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW
AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE
PASSED.

THESE STORMS MAY LOCALLY INTENSIFY AND A WARNING MAY SUDDENLY BE
NEEDED. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO OR TV FOR FURTHER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 11:38 AM CST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1138 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALZ054>064-FLZ001>006-301900-
BUTLER AL-CONECUH AL-COVINGTON AL-CRENSHAW AL-ESCAMBIA AL-MONROE AL-
WILCOX AL-INLAND OKALOOSA FL-INLAND SANTA ROSA FL-INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-
UPPER BALDWIN AL-COASTAL ESCAMBIA FL-COASTAL OKALOOSA FL-
SANTA ROSA FL-LOWER BALDWIN AL-UPPER MOBILE AL-LOWER MOBILE AL-
1138 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...SEVERAL LINES OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AS WELL AS PARTS OF THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TROUGH 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON...

AT 1123 AM CST...SEVERAL LINES OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH.

ONE LINE EXTENDED FROM EASTERN WILCOX COUNTY SOUTH AND WEST ACROSS
MONROE COUNTY AND INTO NORTHEASTERN MOBILE COUNTY.  ANOTHER LINE
EXTENDED FROM EASTERN CONECUH COUNTY SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS EASTERN
ESCAMBIA COUNTY ALABAMA AND INTO NORTHERN SANTA ROSA COUNTY OF
FLORIDA.

THESE STORMS WILL MOVE ON EAST OF I-65 AFTER AROUND NOON TODAY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MIDTOWN MOBILE...     DOWNTOWN MOBILE...    WHITFIELD...
  PINE LEVEL...         PETERMAN...           WHITING FIELD...
  ROEVILLE...           POINT BAKER...
  POARCH CREEK RESERVATION...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN FLORIDA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 32 AND
67. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN ALABAMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 21
AND 53. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 137.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 OR 55
MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

IN ADDITION TO THE ENHANCED WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS...THE GENERAL ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS ARE QUITE GUSTY AS
WELL...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO AROUND 40 TO 45 MPH REPORTED. THESE
HIGH ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND
POWER LINES...AND ALSO BLOW AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 8:20 PM CSTWind AdvisoryMOBButler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 4 more22 hr
Jan 30, 12:48 AM CSTMarine Dense Fog AdvisoryMOB9 hr
Jan 30, 3:42 AM CSTGale WarningMOB20 hr
Jan 30, 3:42 AM CSTSmall Craft AdvisoryMOB32 hr
Jan 30, 7:29 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw46 min
Jan 30, 9:03 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington42 min
Jan 30, 10:18 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Washington, Wilcox74 days
Jan 30, 10:54 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington6 hr
Jan 30, 11:24 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningMOB51 min
Jan 30, 12:36 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBBaldwin, Clarke, Escambia, Mobile, Monroe, Washington and 1 more3 hr
Jan 30, 1:18 PM CSTSpecial Marine WarningMOB42 min
Jan 30, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington4 days
Jan 30, 1:59 PM CSTSpecial Marine WarningMOB91 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.