Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Melbourne, FL

340 
WWUS52 KMLB 301836
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
236 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

FLC127-301845-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-130630T1900Z/
VOLUSIA-
236 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN VOLUSIA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO 
LONGER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. AS A RESULT...THE 
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS 
LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE.

LAT...LON 2941 8108 2929 8104 2914 8095 2890 8108
      2899 8130 2927 8118 2927 8116 2932 8116
      2943 8111 2943 8110
TIME...MOT...LOC 1835Z 205DEG 21KT 2921 8107

$$


KELLY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
928 AM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT-TONIGHT...NOTICEABLY WARMER AIR ON THE KXMR SOUNDING THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES AT 700/500MB 8.5C/-6.5C RESPECTIVELY.
STILL FAIRLY MOIST AT 1.72 INCHES FOR PRECIPITABLE WATER AND EXPECT
THIS NUMBER TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY. SHOULD SEE DECENT SURFACE
HEATING OVER MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THOUGH WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY ERUPTED ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. CELL MOVEMENT SHOULD BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TODAY
AT 15 TO 20 MPH. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.

STILL BELIEVE THAT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS
IS A GOOD BET. THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW IS A BIT STRONGER TODAY AND
IF WE SEE DEVELOPMENT OF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY...MAINLY
FROM THE CAPE THROUGH THE TREASURE COAST...IT WILL LIKELY REMAIN
PINNED ALONG THE COAST. IF THIS OCCURS AN ADDED DANGER WILL EXIST
FOR THOSE ALONG THE COAST AND FOR MARINERS OVER THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAYS AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. THE REASONING HERE IS FOR
STORM INTENSIFICATION DUE TO BOUNDARY COLLISIONS. THE PRIMARY STORM
CONCERNS REMAIN FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN FROM STRONGER CONVECTION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THOSE THAT SEE RAIN.

A LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL EXIST INTO THIS
EVENING WITH RAIN CHANCES OVER LAND ENDING BY AROUND 11 PM TO
MIDNIGHT. AN UPSTREAM DISTURBANCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS MAY ASSIST
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OVERNIGHT.
CLOUD DEBRIS FROM EARLIER STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY DIMINISH WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MORNING. AGAIN MAINLY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING STORMS...A FEW STRONG...WILL MOVE FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS ECFL. STORM INTENSIFICATION ALONG THE
SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS POSSIBLE IF EAST COAST SEA BREEZE CAN AT
LEAST DEVELOP...THOUGH INLAND MOVEMENT IS UNLIKELY. BOUNDARY
COLLISIONS LATER IN THE DAY WILL LEAD TO A FEW STRONGER STORMS WITH
TEMPO IFR/MVFR CONDS AND SFC WND G35-40 KT EXPECTED WITH ANY
STRONGER TS. SHOWERS AND SCT STORMS WL LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING
BUT SHOULD SEE RAIN CHANCES END OVER THE AREA BY 03Z-04Z.

&&

.MARINE...TODAY-TONIGHT...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS SUPPRESSED
SOUTHWARD. SSW/S WINDS 10-15 KTS AWAY FROM THE COAST EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 15-20 KTS BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. SEAS 2-3
FT NEAR SHORE AND 3-4 FT OFFSHORE WILL BUILD TO 3-5 FT NEAR SHORE
AND 4-6 FT WELL OFFSHORE NORTH OF THE CAPE LATE OVERNIGHT.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS LIKELY FOR SOME OF THE MARINE LEGS LATE TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

THE MAIN HAZARD WILL ONCE AGAIN BE HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS IN SCT-NMRS
AFTERNOON/EVENING STORMS. A FEW CELLS MAY CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO
WATER LIGHTNING.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

SEDLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1215 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-302200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1215 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STORMS WILL OVERSPREAD EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH AVAILABLE MOISTURE
COMBINED WITH SURFACE HEATING WILL LEAD TO INCREASING LIKELIHOOD OF
LIGHTNING STORMS. AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY MAY DEVELOP
ALONG THE TREASURE COAST OF MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER
COUNTIES LEADING TO A BETTER CHANCE OF A FEW STRONG STORMS.

WHILE THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS IS LOW...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR ANY STORM TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
MPH AND POSSIBLY SOME SMALL HAIL. MOVEMENT WILL BE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AT AROUND 20 MPH.

PERSONS PLANNING TO BE OUTSIDE SHOULD REMAIN AWARE THAT STORMS MAY
APPROACH RAPIDLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST. BE PREPARED TO MOVE INSIDE A
STURDY BUILDING WELL BEFORE STORMS APPROACH YOUR AREA.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
NUISANCE FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN LOW SPOTS AND ON ROADWAYS. A
QUICK ONE TO TWO INCH RAINFALL MAY OCCUR WITHIN AN HOUR OR LESS
DURING THE STRONGER STORMS FROM EARLY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STORMS WILL HAVE A MODERATE TO HIGH
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS OVER INLAND
LAKES AS WELL AS COASTAL WATERWAYS. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PUSH
DEVELOPED STORMS ACROSS THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS OF THE SPACE AND
TREASURE COASTS AND ONTO THE NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE CAPE BUT REMAIN
PINNED TO THE COAST. THE STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS THEY
INTERACT WITH THE SEA BREEZE LATER THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST.
STORM MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 20 MPH.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVER THE WATERS LATE
TODAY AND TOWARD EVENING WELL OFFSHORE THE COAST. ADDITIONALLY...
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR NEAR ANY STORM MOVING NORTHEAST OFF
THE ATLANTIC COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST EARLY THIS WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO A
RELATIVELY HIGHER COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON STORMS ALONG WITH A LINGERING
POTENTIAL FOR OFFSHORE MOVING STORMS ALONG THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK.
A FEW STRONGER STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON WITH THE
PRIMARY THREATS BEING FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

KELLY/PENDERGRAST

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1246 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

FLZ047-053-301715-
OSCEOLA-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
1246 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
OVER SOUTHEASTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY...PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST BREVARD
COUNTY...

* UNTIL 115 PM EDT.

AT 1241 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER LAKE MARIAN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR CAPSIZE SMALL
BOATS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

LAT...LON 2784 8084 2782 8085 2782 8088 2778 8088
      2764 8095 2780 8119 2826 8097 2819 8072
TIME...MOT...LOC 1645Z 215DEG 21KT 2783 8104

KELLY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
100 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

FLZ045-046-301745-
ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
100 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
OVER ORANGE COUNTY...SEMINOLE COUNTY...

* UNTIL 145 PM EDT.

AT 1256 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER ORLANDO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
INCLUDE GOLDENROD...UNION PARK...ORLANDO EXECUTIVE AIRPORT AND
ORLANDO.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR CAPSIZE SMALL
BOATS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

LAT...LON 2879 8144 2878 8142 2881 8142 2885 8136
      2870 8103 2835 8126 2861 8166 2862 8166
TIME...MOT...LOC 1659Z 218DEG 16KT 2852 8137

KELLY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
106 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

FLZ047-053-054-058-147-301745-
INDIAN RIVER-NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-OKEECHOBEE-OSCEOLA-SOUTHERN
BREVARD COUNTY-
106 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY...WESTERN INDIAN RIVER
COUNTY...NORTHERN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 145 PM EDT.

AT 101 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS 6 MILES EAST OF
KENANSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
INCLUDE MELBOURNE AND PALM BAY.

OTHER STORMS OVER NORTHERN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY NEAR FORT DRUM WERE
ALSO PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THEY LIFT LIFT TOWARD BLUE
CYPRESS LAKE.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR CAPSIZE SMALL
BOATS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

LAT...LON 2756 8065 2756 8068 2750 8068 2735 8077
      2760 8115 2762 8115 2834 8085 2846 8065
      2841 8065 2842 8062 2848 8061 2852 8055
      2845 8052 2843 8057 2840 8059 2822 8059
      2807 8055 2789 8046
TIME...MOT...LOC 1704Z 219DEG 20KT 2790 8088

KELLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
124 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0106 PM     TSTM WND GST     ORLANDO EXECUTIVE AIRPO 28.55N 81.34W
06/30/2013  M66 MPH          ORANGE             FL   ASOS

            ORLANDO EXECUTIVE AIRPORT ASOS KORL MEASURED A WIND GUST
            OF 57 KT/ 66 MPH FROM 230 DEGREES.

&&

JRC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
128 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

FLZ041-044>046-141-147-301830-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
128 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
OVER NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY...NORTHEAST LAKE COUNTY...NORTHEASTERN
ORANGE COUNTY...SEMINOLE COUNTY...VOLUSIA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 230 PM EDT.

AT 121 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER LAKE JESSUP...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
INCLUDE GENEVA...NEW SMYRNA BEACH...OSTEEN AND DAYTONA BEACH.

ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS WILL LIFT NORTHEAST FROM ROCK SPRINGS. THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE BREVARD COAST WHICH
WILL INCREASE THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF STORMS.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR CAPSIZE SMALL
BOATS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

LAT...LON 2908 8093 2907 8090 2874 8069 2859 8057
      2849 8054 2846 8061 2850 8060 2850 8063
      2843 8066 2834 8084 2872 8159 2927 8133
      2927 8116 2941 8116 2943 8110
TIME...MOT...LOC 1725Z 211DEG 18KT 2874 8118

KELLY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
148 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

FLZ047-054-059-064-301815-
INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-ST. LUCIE-
148 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
OVER SOUTHEASTERN BREVARD COUNTY...INDIAN RIVER COUNTY...EASTERN
MARTIN COUNTY...ST. LUCIE COUNTY...

* UNTIL 215 PM EDT.

AT 146 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER FELLSMERE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
INCLUDE MICCO AND BAREFOOT BAY AND SEBASTIAN.

ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL PUSH TO THE COAST
NEAR VERO BEACH...FORT PIERCE AND STUART.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR CAPSIZE SMALL
BOATS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

LAT...LON 2697 8037 2785 8084 2807 8059 2798 8054
      2808 8058 2810 8056 2786 8043 2759 8032
      2759 8031 2746 8028 2720 8015 2697 8008
      2695 8015
TIME...MOT...LOC 1747Z 208DEG 22KT 2778 8064

KELLY