Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

857 
WGUS74 KEWX 130954
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
454 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

TXC209-453-131130-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-131013T1130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HAYS TX-TRAVIS TX-
454 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CDT FOR
WESTERN TRAVIS AND NORTHWESTERN HAYS COUNTIES...

AT 447 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE
WARNED AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WERE OCCURRING FROM HENLEY AND 
DRIPPING SPRINGS TO BEE CAVE. RAINFALL RATES WERE ESTIMATED AT 
2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR. LCRA RAIN GAUGES HAVE RECORDED 2 TO 5 INCHES
OF RAINFALL OVER THE WARNED AREA OVER THE LAST 2 HOURS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE MANSFIELD DAM...LAKEWAY...LAGO
VISTA AND BEE CAVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROAD...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. THE LIFE YOU
SAVE MAY BE YOUR OWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3038 9777 3014 9801 3023 9822 3038 9817
      3046 9810 3050 9811 3057 9807

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
330 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
A SURFACE BOUNDARY HAS DRIFTED SOUTH INTO CENTRAL TEXAS WHILE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS LIFTING NORTH AND APPROACHING THE RIO
GRANDE. PLUMES OF MOISTURE FROM THE PACIFIC AND GULF OF MEXICO
ARE SPREADING OVER TEXAS WITH A NEARLY TROPICAL AIRMASS AND PWS OF
1.7 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. EXPECT NUMEROUS TO
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY. WILL MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. HOWEVER...WILL HOLD OFF
ON ISSUING A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS SOILS ARE STILL FAIRLY DRY MOST
AREAS AND HEAVY RAINS RECENTLY HAVE BEEN ISOLATED. THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY LIFTS BACK NORTH AND MOISTURE LEVELS DECREASE SLIGHTLY
RESULTING IN LESS COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY MONDAY.
EXCEPT...ALONG THE RIO GRANDE AND OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS TONIGHT RESULTING IN
NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DUE TO CLOUDS
AND RAIN...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
MODELS APPEAR TO BE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT FOR MUCH OF THE
WEEK. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BRIEFLY BUILDS OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH MOVING OUT INTO THE PLAINS DROPS A COLD FRONT SOUTH
WITH A SLOW PASSAGE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS LATE TUESDAY INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE LEVELS INCREASE AS ADDITIONAL PACIFIC
MOISTURE IS DRAWN NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS FROM THE REMNANTS OF
CURRENT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E AND ARE MAXIMIZED IN THE FRONTAL
ZONE WITH PWS OF 1.9 TO 2.2 INCHES. EXPECT MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAINS DUE TO SLOW MOVEMENT OF FRONT AND STEERING FLOW PARALLEL TO
THE FRONT RESULTING IN TRAINING OF RAINS. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH
RAIN FALLS UNTIL THEN TO SATURATE THE SOILS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
MAY HAVE TO BE ISSUED FOR LATER TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. RAIN
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE LATER ON WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A
BRIEF PERIOD OF NO RAIN CHANCES FOR LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. THEN SLIGHT CHANCES OF RAIN DEVELOP AHEAD OF YET ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK
TURN BELOW AVERAGE MID TO LATE WEEK DUE TO CLOUDS...RAIN AND COLD
ADVECTION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              81  72  86  72  84 /  90  60  40  20  60
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  81  72  86  71  84 /  90  50  40  20  50
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     81  73  86  73  86 /  90  60  30  20  50
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            80  70  83  68  80 /  90  60  40  30  70
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           81  70  85  73  85 /  90  90  40  30  40
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        81  71  86  70  82 /  90  50  40  20  70
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             85  73  86  71  86 /  90  60  30  20  50
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        80  72  85  72  85 /  90  60  40  20  50
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   85  73  86  72  86 /  90  40  30  20  40
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       85  74  86  73  86 /  90  60  30  20  50
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           86  74  88  73  87 /  90  60  30  20  40

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...13
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
950 PM CDT SAT OCT 12 2013

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-140300-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
950 PM CDT SAT OCT 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AND
AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES. LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

LOW LEVEL GULF MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE AIRMASS WILL BE TROPICAL WHICH WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT INTERACTS WITH THE REMNANTS OF A
PACIFIC CYCLONE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1250 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PFLUGERVILLE            30.44N  97.62W
10/13/2013                   TRAVIS             TX   PUBLIC

            PD REPORTS SEVERAL ROADS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS NOT
            PASSABLE IN THE CITY DUE TO RISING WATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1300594

JME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
214 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0211 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW AUSTIN             30.29N 97.77W
10/13/2013                   TRAVIS             TX   MESONET

            THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS ARE CLOSED...BEE CAVES
            ROAD...6334 JOE TANNER...5003 WASSON AND 10131 DAVID
            MOORE.

&&

JME