Storm Warning 2, NWS Detroit, MI

882 
WHUS73 KDTX 171949
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...STORM AND GALE WARNINGS CONTINUE...

.ALL STORM AND GALE WARNINGS REMAIN IN PLACE AS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE 
WESTERN GREAT LAKES HAS BEGUN TO RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS EXPECTED. AN 
INTENSE RESPONSE IN THE WIND FIELD IS FORECAST TO TAKE PLACE TONIGHT 
AS SOUTHERLY NEAR-GALES TRANSITION TO SUSTAINED WESTERLY GALES WITH 
STORM FORCE GUSTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF LAKE HURON. ALL 
REMAINING WATERS ARE FORECAST TO EXPERIENCE A HIGH END WESTERLY 
GALE. THE WEST-SOUTHWEST PREVAILING WIND DIRECTION WILL FAVOR LOW 
WATER CONDITIONS IN SAGINAW BAY AS WELL AS THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF 
LAKE ERIE WHILE SUBSEQUENTLY CONFINING THE HIGHEST OF WAVES TO THE 
EASTERN HALF OF LAKE HURON...ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS WELL 
IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET CAN STILL BE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE OPEN 
WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS WILL EASE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY 
WITH SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS FALLING BELOW 5 FEET IN ALL AREAS BY 
LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

LHZ422-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-131118T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.LO.Y.0010.131118T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.131118T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A LOW
WATER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO DROP TO ABOUT 40 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER
  DATUM DURING THE NIGHT WITH LOW WATER CONDITIONS PERSISTING
  UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY.

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 39 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 
  UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST SUNDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-131118T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.LO.Y.0010.131118T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.131118T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A LOW
WATER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST MONDAY. 

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO DROP TO ABOUT 36 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER
  DATUM DURING THE NIGHT WITH LOW WATER CONDITIONS PERSISTING
  UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY.

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP 
  TO 37 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-131118T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.131118T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 38 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP 
  TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-131118T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.131118T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 
  UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SUNDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ463-464-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.131118T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 39 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ441-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-131118T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0002.131118T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 41 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 52 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP 
  TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-131118T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0002.131118T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 40 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 52 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP 
  TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361-362-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0002.131118T0200Z-131119T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 44 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 58 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 18 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 26 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

LHZ363-462-181800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0002.131118T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
249 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 43 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 52 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

306 
WHUS73 KDTX 180849
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE AND STORM WARNINGS CONTINUE...

.DEEPENING OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING TOWARD JAMES BAY THIS 
MORNING WILL SUPPORT HIGH END GALE FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLE STORMS 
ON LAKE HURON. THUS FAR MARINE OBSERVATIONS HAVE BEEN A LITTLE LOWER 
THAN ANTICIPATED...LIKELY FROM BOTH THE STORM SYSTEM NOT 
INTENSIFYING AS QUICKLY OVER THE NORTHERN LAKES AND SOME RESIDUAL 
STABILITY OVER LAKE HURON. WINDS SHOULD STILL INCREASE DURING THE 
COURSE OF THE MORNING AS THE SFC LOW DEEPENS AND COLDER AIR ARRIVES 
OVER THE LAKE...BOOSTING THE ABILITY FOR THE STRONGER WINDS TO MIX 
TO THE LAKE SURFACE. IN LIGHT OF RECENT OBSERVATIONS AND LATEST 
MODEL SOLUTIONS...GUSTS MAY STILL REACH STORM FORCE OVER NORTHERN 
LAKE HURON. THIS SUPPORTS HOLDING ONTO THE STORM WARNING NORTH OF 
STURGEON POINT. TO THE SOUTH...THE STORM WARNING WILL BE REPLACED BY 
A GALE WARNING. AS FOR LAKES ST CLAIR AND WRN LAKE ERIE...THE 
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRED EARLIER IN THE NIGHT FOLLOWING THE COLD 
FRONT. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES SHOULD HOWEVER PERSIST INTO 
THE AFTERNOON. WINDS AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATE TONIGHT 
INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS IN FROM THE 
WEST.

LHZ363-462-182100-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0900Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 47 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST MONDAY. 

THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-182100-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0300Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST MONDAY. 

THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361-362-182100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0029.131118T2100Z-131119T0900Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE STORM WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 39 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 52 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 18 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 26 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ463-464-182100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0900Z/
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-182100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0300Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-182100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST MONDAY. 

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO DROP 24 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER DATUM THIS
  MORNING WITH LOW WATER CONDITIONS PERSISTING UNTIL 4 PM EST
  THIS AFTERNOON.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LHZ422-182100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST MONDAY. 

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS AROUND 30 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER DATUM
  AROUND THIS MORNING THEN SLOWLY RISING THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOW
  WATER CONDITIONS PERSISTING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LCZ460-182100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
349 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

953 
WHUS73 KDTX 181234
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
734 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY...

.DEEPENING OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING TOWARD JAMES BAY THIS 
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS. THUS FAR MARINE
OBSERVATIONS HAVE BEEN A LITTLE LOWER THAN ANTICIPATED...LIKELY
FROM BOTH THE STORM SYSTEM NOT INTENSIFYING AS QUICKLY OVER THE
NORTHERN LAKES AND SOME RESIDUAL STABILITY OVER LAKE HURON. AS
SUCH...THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WINDS AND WAVES WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

LHZ361-362-190045-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0029.131118T1234Z-131119T0900Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
734 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
STORM WARNING. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-190000-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
734 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EST MONDAY. 

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO DROP TO 30 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER DATUM
  AROUND LATE THIS MORNING WITH LOW WATER CONDITIONS PERSISTING
  UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LHZ422-190000-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
734 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST MONDAY. 

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO DROP 20 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER DATUM THIS
  MORNING WITH LOW WATER CONDITIONS PERSISTING UNTIL 4 PM EST
  THIS AFTERNOON.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LHZ363-462>464-190045-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0900Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
734 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441>443-190045-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0300Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
734 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-190000-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131119T0000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
734 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT

POTENT MID-LEVEL WAVE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS WILL TAKE ON A
NEGATIVE TILT AS IT LIFTS UP THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES LATE TODAY AND
THIS EVENING. A STRONG UPPER JET WILL ALSO ROUND THE BASE OF THIS
TROUGH...WITH STRONG DIFFLUENCE AND LEFT EXIT REGION FORCING
BECOMING POSITIONED OVER THE AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF A SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL LIFT FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY AND TONIGHT.

IN THE MEANTIME...ANOTHER WEAKER UPPER WAVE IS CURRENTLY WORKING
THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WITH ASCENT ALONG THE ATTENDING
WARM FRONT AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET CONTINUING TO PROVIDE A GOOD
COVERAGE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
RAMP DOWN BY SUNRISE AS THE JET SLIDES EAST AND THE WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTH AND OUT OF THE AREA. COULD SEE A BREAK IN ACTIVITY THEN FOR
SEVERAL HOURS...OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS OVER INDIANA/OHIO CLIPPING THE
FAR SOUTHEAST PART OF LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING BEFORE ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS DEVELOPS.

AS THE UPPER WAVE BEGINS TO CONSOLIDATE/TILT AND SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEEPEN OVER IOWA AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...IT WILL
SEND A SECONDARY WARM FRONT AND RESURGENCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET UP
INTO SOUTHERN MICHIGAN FROM MID-MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
THIS SURGE SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER
ROUND OF CONVECTION. ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND THETA-E ADVECTION LOOK
DECENT ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...BUT BETTER TO OUR WEST CLOSER TO THE
LOW. HAVE CARRIED MID-RANGE TO LOW-END LIKELY POPS THROUGH 18Z/1PM
EST...AS SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW TSTORMS MOVE UP THROUGH THE AREA.
NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS INITIAL ROUND OF
ACTIVITY AS INSTABILITY LOOKS LIMITED AND MOSTLY ELEVATED...HOWEVER
WIND SHEAR WILL START TO BECOME QUIET STRONG WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE
LLJ (40-50 KNOTS OF 0-6KM BULK SHEAR) AND CANNOT RULE OUT AN
ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR EVEN A QUICK SPIN-UP.

BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/TSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...FROM 2PM TO 10 PM...AS AFORMENTIONED
FEATURES IN PARAGRAPH 1 COMBINE TO PROVIDE DEEP LAYER FORCING IN A
ROBUST WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF A POWERFUL COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO WORK ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. AS MENTIONED FOR THE
PAST FEW DAYS...INSTABILITY WILL BE THE MOST UNCERTAIN FACTOR IN
DETERMINING SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THROUGH THE DAY. CAPE VALUES
NEARING 1000 J/KG WOULD BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW UPDRAFTS TO SURVIVE THE
STRONGLY SHEAR ENVIRONMENT (IMPRESSIVE 60-75 KNOTS OF BULK SHEAR BY
21Z)...BUT WEAK INSTABILITY WOULD RESULT IN UPDRAFTS BECOMING
SHEARED APART. WE SHOULD SEE PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER TODAY TO TRY AND
LIMIT INSTABILITY...HOWEVER LAPSE RATES WILL STILL STEEPEN AS WARMER
AIR CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE AREA (HIGHS IN THE 60S) AND COOLER
AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO ARRIVE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONG DEEP
LAYER FORCING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MAY BE ENOUGH TO OVERCOME THE
LACK OF EVEN MODERATE INSTABILITY. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
70 MPH WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY CELLS THAT DEVELOP TODAY.
(MAY NOT NEED THEM TO NECESSARILY BECOME STRONG ENOUGH FOR THUNDER.)
STORMS WILL CLIP ALONG AT A VERY FAST PACE...60 MPH...AND THIS
MOMENTUM MAY EASILY BE TRANSPORTED TO THE SURFACE. STRONG LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR AND LOW LCL HEIGHTS WILL ALSO SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES.

THE FRONT WILL CLEAR THE AREA BY LATE THIS EVENING ALLOWING
SHOWERS/TSTORMS AND CONVECTIVE HAZARDOUS WEATHER THREAT TO END.

&&

.LONG TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY

IN ADDITION TO THE DAMAGING WIND THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE REMAINS A
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING NON CONVECTIVE WINDS ALONG AND IN THE
WAKE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE THIS EVENING /AROUND
03Z/. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE CONTINUE TO SHOW RAPID DEEPENING OF THE
SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO TRACK FROM NORTHERN MI INTO ONTARIO TONIGHT.
THIS WILL OCCUR AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS DEEPENS AS IT TAKES ON
A NEGATIVE TILT ACROSS LOWER MI THIS EVENING...INVOKING A STRONG
DYNAMIC RESPONSE. THE 00Z GFS SOLUTION HAS TRENDED MUCH DEEPER WITH
THE SFC LOW /DOWN TO 967MB BY MON MORNING/ AND IS THE STRONGEST
SOLUTION AMONG THE MODEL SUITE. WITH THIS SYSTEM STILL IN ITS
DEVELOPING STAGES...THERE IS NOT MUCH SUPPORT FOR THE GFS AT THIS
TIME. HOWEVER...THE NAM/ECMWF/GEM ALL SHOW FORMIDABLE WIND POTENTIAL
TONIGHT.

THE LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD A BETTER ISALLOBARIC
COMPONENT ALONG THE SFC FRONT. MORE IMPORTANTLY...THERE WILL BE A
PERIOD OF STRONG LARGE SCALE DESCENT /ESPECIALLY IN THE 03Z TO 06Z
TIME PERIOD/ IN THE WAKE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS. THE
CORRESPONDING ISENTROPIC DESCENT WILL COINCIDE WITH RAPID STEEPENING
OF THE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES COURTESY OF POST FRONTAL COLD AIR
ADVECTION. WITH MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOWING ANYWHERE FROM 45 TO 65 KTS
IN THE LOWEST 2KM TONIGHT...THERE IS REASONABLY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
EITHER A HIGH END WIND ADVISORY EVENT OR HIGH WIND WARNING EVENT.
THEREFORE A HIGH WIND WATCH IS BEING ISSUED FOR TONIGHT FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO REACH 60 MPH. THIS WILL ALSO AFFORD THE
DAY SHIFT THE OPPORTUNITY TO BETTER ASSES THE POTENTIAL STRENGTH OF
THE SYSTEM AND BETTER DELINEATE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE WINDS.
CONTINUED DEEPENING OF THE SFC LOW AS IT LIFTS INTO NRN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY WILL SUSTAIN A HEALTHY W-NW GRADIENT OVER SE MI. PERSISTENT
LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL FURTHER DEEPEN MIXING DEPTHS AND
MAY SUPPORT WIND GUSTS CLOSE TO ADVISORY CRITERIA /45 MPH/ INTO
EARLY MON AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT WILL FINALLY RELAX LATE MON
AFTERNOON INTO MON NIGHT.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODEL SUITE SUGGEST THE AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK. MID LEVEL HEIGHT RISES WILL SUPPORT A
MODEST WARMING TREND MID WEEK BEFORE A SHIFT IN THE POLAR VORTEX
OVER NRN CANADA LEADS TO A POTENTIAL ARCTIC AIR INTRUSION INTO THE
GREAT LAKES NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...

RAPID DEEPENING OF A SFC LOW FORECAST TO TRACK FROM IOWA THIS
MORNING TO JUST EAST OF THE SOO AROUND MIDNIGHT WILL LEAD TO STORM
AND GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS OVER THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THIS LOW HAS BEEN LIFTING MUCH
WARMER AIR ACROSS THE REGION. THIS HAS SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASED THE
STABILITY OVER THE LAKES. RECENT OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THE GALE
WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT EARLY THIS MORNING CAN BE CANCELLED.
ALTHOUGH THE SOUTHERLY GRADIENT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...SO TOO WILL THE STABILITY. THIS SHOULD KEEP WINDS BELOW
GALE FORCE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF STRONG WINDS
WILL OCCUR ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT...FORECAST TO ADVANCE ACROSS
LAKE HURON LATE THIS EVENING. CONTINUED DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW
AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST OF THE REGION WILL SUPPORT GALE AND STORM
FORCE GUSTS OVER LAKE HURON INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE
GRADIENT FINALLY WEAKENS. RECENT GUIDANCE IS SUPPORTIVE OF THE
ISSUANCE OF A STORM WARNING NORTH OF HARBOR BEACH AND A GALE WARNING
TO THE SOUTH. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A GUST TO 50 KNOTS SOUTH OF
HARBOR BEACH THIS EVENING...CONFIDENCE OF A THREE HOUR DURATION OF
STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTH IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO UPGRADE THE GALE
WARNING AT THIS TIME. THIS WILL BE SOMETHING THE DAY SHIFT NEEDS TO
CONSIDER.

&&

.AVIATION...ISSUED 1218 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

//DISCUSSION...

A SMALL DRY PUNCH OVER NW OHIO WILL ALLOW A SHORT PERIOD OF VFR AT
DTW BEFORE FILLING IN WITH MVFR CEILING FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.
HEAVIER SHOWERS IN THE MBS TO FNT AREA WILL MOVE OFF TO THE NORTH
FOLLOWED BY A SECOND SHOT THAT WILL AFFECT THE DTW CORRIDOR BEFORE
SUNRISE. FOR NOW, THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE LOOKS TOO LOW IN THIS
SECTION OF PRECIPITATION TO INCLUDE AT ANY ONE LOCATION.

THE WIND WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACT FOR AVIATION DURING THE DAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT, STARTING WITH WARM SECTOR GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS BY
AFTERNOON. A POWERFUL COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES LATE IN THE DAY AND SUNDAY EVENING. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRECEDE THE FRONT WITH POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WIND FOLLOWED BY WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 KNOTS POST FRONT LASTING THROUGH
MUCH OF SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS POINT IN THE FORECAST, TIMING AND
COVERAGE REFINEMENT OF THUNDERSTORM EXPECTATIONS IS NEEDED BEFORE
INCLUSION AT ANY ONE LOCATION SINCE THEY WILL BE OUT AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL WIND SHIFT.

//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...

* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CEILING BELOW 5000 FEET THROUGH SUNDAY.

* LOW CONFIDENCE ON THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND TIMING.

* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WIND WESTERLY WIND GUSTS 35-45 KTS SUNDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...HIGH WIND WATCH...MIZ047-MIZ048-MIZ049-MIZ053-MIZ054-MIZ055-MIZ060-
     MIZ061-MIZ062-MIZ063-MIZ068-MIZ069-MIZ070-MIZ075-MIZ076-MIZ082-
     MIZ083...FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM MONDAY.

LAKE HURON...
     STORM WARNING...LHZ361-LHZ362...FROM 9 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM MONDAY.

     STORM WARNING...LHZ363-LHZ421-LHZ441-LHZ462...FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 7
     PM MONDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...NEARSHORE WATERS FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT
     HURON INCLUDING SAGINAW BAY...UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY.

     GALE WARNING...LHZ422-LHZ442-LHZ443-LHZ463-LHZ464...FROM 7 PM
     SUNDAY TO 7 PM MONDAY.

LAKE ST CLAIR...
     GALE WARNING...FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM MONDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY.

MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...
     GALE WARNING...FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM MONDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY.

&&

SHORT TERM...HLO
LONG TERM....SC
MARINE.......SC
AVIATION.....BT

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1052 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-172115-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
1052 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE... TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE SEVERE AS THEY MOVE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THE STRONGEST STORMS
WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND POSSIBLY SOME MINOR STREET
FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH BUT ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL ALSO BE CONCERNS. STORM
MOTION WILL BE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT WILL BE BETWEEN 2PM AND 10PM.

STRONG WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH COLD AIR ADVANCING BACK INTO THE
REGION ON SUNDAY NIGHT WILL LEAD TO WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND MAY
PROMPT THE ISSUANCE OF A WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-172115-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1052 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FORECAST FOR MORE DETAIL.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AS THEY MOVE NORTHEAST AT 40 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT SUNDAY FOR ALL NEARSHORE MARINE
AREAS. GALE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY FOR
ALL MARINE AREAS SOUTH OF ALABASTER...INCLUDING LAKE ST CLAIR AND
WESTERN LAKE ERIE. A STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE HURON
NORTH OF ALABASTER. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST FOR MORE DETAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

BT

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).